Luke Gold — OGILVIE

Luke Gold3B West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 220 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 0 ros · stats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .242 / .303

PA1

HR0

K%30

BB%4

BABIP251

ISO114

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	69	55	11	2	0	0	9	17	2	0	0	200	333	236	570	36	268	25	13	268	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	159	136	34	8	1	6	14	27	8	1	0	250	354	456	810	206	269	17	9	360	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	245	208	56	13	1	6	25	54	9	11	1	269	372	428	800	159	331	22	10	357	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	497	442	100	24	2	14	36	128	14	7	3	226	305	385	689	158	282	26	7	308	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	247	225	46	11	2	5	14	58	8	0	0	204	275	338	613	133	253	23	6	278	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	69	58	10	2	0	0	6	24	2	0	0	172	273	207	480	34	230	35	9	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	159	140	29	6	1	5	10	34	8	1	0	207	297	371	669	164	227	21	6	290	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	245	217	45	9	1	4	16	75	9	11	1	207	289	313	603	106	281	31	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	497	453	80	19	2	12	25	170	14	7	3	177	242	307	549	130	238	34	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	247	230	36	8	2	4	9	77	8	0	0	157	215	261	475	104	208	31	4	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	69	58	10	2	0	0	6	24	2	0	0	172	273	207	480	34	270	35	9	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	69	55	11	2	0	0	9	17	2	0	0	200	333	236	570	36	268	25	13	268	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	404	357	73	15	1	9	26	109	17	12	1	204	290	328	618	123	263	27	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	404	344	90	21	2	12	39	81	17	12	1	262	365	439	804	177	306	20	10	358	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	497	453	80	19	2	12	25	170	14	7	3	177	242	307	549	130	246	34	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	497	442	100	24	2	14	36	128	14	7	3	226	305	385	689	158	282	26	7	308	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	247	230	36	8	2	4	9	77	8	0	0	157	215	261	475	104	215	31	4	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	247	225	46	11	2	5	14	58	8	0	0	204	275	338	613	133	253	23	6	278	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	69	61	10	2	0	0	6	24	2	0	0	164	273	197	469	33	230	35	9	215	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	404	358	73	15	1	9	26	109	17	12	1	204	290	327	617	123	260	27	6	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	497	455	80	19	2	12	25	170	14	7	3	176	242	305	547	130	238	34	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	247	228	36	8	2	4	9	77	8	0	0	158	215	263	478	105	208	31	4	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	497	455	80	19	2	12	25	170	14	7	3	176	242	305	547	130	238	34	5	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	247	228	36	8	2	4	9	77	8	0	0	158	215	263	478	105	208	31	4	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	DET	0%	297	276	54	12	2	6	13	88	6	3	1	191	245	310	555	119	255	30	4	249	55	-16	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	DET	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	188	242	303	545	115	251	0	0	245	55	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	DET	26%	131	121	24	5	1	3	6	39	3	1	0	193	248	312	560	119	256	30	5	252	56	-7	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	DET	26%	34	31	6	1	0	1	2	10	1	0	0	189	245	305	549	115	252	29	6	247	56	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	34	31	6	1	0	1	2	10	1	0	0	194	265	323	587	129	250	29	6	247	50	-2	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	114	19	0	19	38	191	19	0	0	192	263	320	583	128	248	29	6	247	50	-34	+0	+0	+2	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	1461	1324	243	53	7	30	77	453	46	21	4	184	253	302	555	119	249	31	5	242	50	-13	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	589	108	24	3	13	34	202	20	9	2	183	252	301	552	117	250	31	5	242	50	-34	+1	+0	+2	+14	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luke Gold (OGILVIE)	26	30	40	40	25	190/243/307	118	255	2	1	30%	4%	55	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Drake Osborn 2024 · A	26	30	47→50	43→40	39	172/228/297	126	219	16	4	30%	6%	47	-2.6	199/253/294	95	277	9	5	30%	5%	55	-2.0	220/268/296	77	308	5	3	29%	5%	57	-0.8
✕Jay Brossman 2011 · AA	26	37→36	45	44→45	40	191/243/313	122	240	12	7	26%	5%	55	-1.9	207/255/324	117	279	12	11	29%	6%	62	-1.4	185/222/306	120	244	15	17	31%	4%	42	-0.5
✕Jeffrey Eure 2007 · AA	26	39→30	47→50	41→45	35	200/246/332	132	280	15	5	34%	4%	61	-1.5	204/258/313	109	298	10	8	33%	5%	61	-1.5	161/223/237	76	255	5	5	36%	4%	28	-1.2
✕David Masters 2019 · A	26	37	41→45	38→40	44	187/256/276	90	258	9	2	30%	8%	52	-2.2	207/269/340	133	285	16	4	32%	7%	72	-0.7	192/250/352	160	250	22	2	33%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Madison Stokes 2022 · AA	26	39→36	42→45	41→40	37	196/244/302	106	285	10	4	34%	5%	53	-2.1	186/258/289	103	297	9	9	37%	8%	56	-1.9	161/248/256	95	264	7	9	38%	9%	42	-1.5
✕Arden Pabst 2021 · AA	26	38	44→45	43→30	36	197/233/315	118	265	12	5	31%	4%	51	-2.2	181/226/303	122	274	15	5	39%	5%	47	-2.6	129/179/229	99	194	15	0	42%	5%	10	-1.6
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	33→25	41→50	45→50	35	170/234/264	94	274	10	6	40%	6%	41	-3.0	198/254/313	115	283	11	10	33%	5%	60	-1.6	196/248/320	125	268	11	11	30%	4%	56	-0.6
✕Barrett Kleinknecht 2014 · AA	26	40→35	43→45	44→45	42	203/246/311	108	241	11	5	21%	5%	56	-1.9	207/244/318	111	245	11	4	20%	4%	56	-1.9	197/229/301	104	230	11	1	20%	3%	44	-1.6
✕Tim Roberson 2015 · A	26	39→35	41→40	46→30	36	198/236/294	97	278	9	2	32%	5%	47	-2.5	221/257/312	91	310	7	3	30%	4%	59	-1.6	241/275/329	88	330	6	1	28%	4%	65	-0.5
✕David Maroul 2009 · AA	26	35→36	47→50	41→40	34	190/227/323	133	264	15	4	34%	4%	51	-2.2	199/243/323	124	306	13	6	38%	5%	57	-1.8	162/205/283	122	262	15	2	44%	4%	30	-1.3
✕Jorge Saez 2017 · AA	26	38	45	44→30	41	194/252/312	118	271	13	4	33%	7%	59	-1.7	207/272/331	124	290	15	5	32%	8%	70	-0.8	189/263/302	114	258	16	2	32%	9%	59	-0.5
✕Kale Emshoff 2024 · A	26	36→31	44→45	44→40	37	183/245/294	111	285	12	3	38%	6%	52	-2.2	199/255/321	122	312	14	6	38%	6%	61	-1.5	184/233/325	141	284	19	3	41%	5%	53	-0.8
✕Jordan Betts 2018 · AA	26	36→28	44→45	46→40	35	183/230/295	112	279	11	5	38%	6%	46	-2.6	201/249/309	108	295	11	5	34%	5%	57	-1.8	188/232/279	91	267	11	0	33%	5%	41	-1.8
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	34→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/243/305	121	244	14	10	31%	6%	54	-2.0	209/255/340	131	279	14	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/258/338	126	272	14	10	27%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Alvin Colina 2008 · AAA	26	38	44→45	42→40	38	196/241/308	112	254	12	4	28%	5%	53	-2.1	210/261/333	123	280	14	5	29%	5%	67	-1.1	207/259/330	123	274	15	3	30%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Cael Brockmeyer 2018 · AAA	26	36→38	44→45	47→40	37	188/242/300	112	260	12	4	32%	5%	53	-2.1	215/273/311	96	313	9	8	32%	5%	66	-1.1	242/302/318	76	364	6	5	33%	5%	76	-0.2
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	32	42→40	49→45	42	169/233/265	96	237	10	5	32%	7%	40	-3.0	193/263/284	91	262	8	8	27%	8%	56	-1.9	178/258/254	76	233	6	7	25%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Seaver Whalen 2021 · A	26	40	40→45	48→50	40	195/263/286	90	264	8	6	28%	5%	57	-1.8	205/273/326	121	263	12	10	26%	4%	71	-0.8	170/246/302	132	208	14	10	25%	3%	55	-0.7
✕Matt Jones 2018 · AA	26	39	43→45	37→30	46	198/263/304	107	244	12	3	24%	7%	61	-1.5	200/260/300	100	298	10	5	34%	7%	59	-1.7	183/230/264	81	309	11	0	43%	5%	37	-0.9
✕Greg Thissen 2006 · A	25	38	43→45	40→45	39	195/244/303	108	262	11	5	30%	5%	53	-2.1	202/268/295	93	268	8	7	26%	8%	60	-1.6	194/271/275	80	255	7	7	25%	9%	56	-0.7