Luke Gold — OGILVIE

Luke Gold3B West Michigan Whitecaps

Age 25 R/R 6'1" / 220 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 194 proj PA

wRC+†52

AVG/OBP/SLG.185 / .244 / .316

PA194

HR5

K%33

BB%5

ISO132

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	69	57	9	2	0	0	7	25	2	0	0	158	273	193	466	35	257	36	10	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	69	55	11	2	0	0	9	17	2	0	0	200	333	236	570	36	268	25	13	268	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	404	357	75	16	1	10	26	117	17	12	1	210	295	345	640	134	278	29	6	280	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	2 teams	—	404	344	90	21	2	12	39	81	17	12	1	262	365	439	804	177	306	20	10	358	132	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	497	454	79	21	2	13	24	189	14	7	3	174	238	315	553	141	257	38	5	239	41	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	497	442	100	24	2	14	36	128	14	7	3	226	305	385	689	158	282	26	7	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	247	231	36	9	2	5	8	85	8	0	0	156	211	277	488	121	220	34	3	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	247	225	46	11	2	5	14	58	8	0	0	204	275	338	613	133	253	23	6	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	DET	—	194	178	34	8	1	5	9	64	5	2	1	191	250	331	581	140	259	33	5	254	52	-10	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	DET	30%	243	222	43	10	1	6	13	78	6	2	1	194	257	329	586	135	262	32	5	262	59	-11	+0	+0	+1	+7	-0.4
2028	27	MLB	DET	42%	302	275	54	12	1	8	17	95	7	3	1	196	261	335	595	138	265	31	6	267	62	-13	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.3
2027	26	MLB	DET	30%	74	68	13	3	0	2	4	24	2	1	0	191	257	324	580	132	258	32	5	239	41	-5	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
2028	27	MLB	DET	42%	126	115	23	5	1	3	7	40	3	1	0	200	264	339	603	139	260	32	6	245	45	-8	+0	+0	+0	+4	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	200	183	36	8	1	5	11	64	5	2	0	197	261	333	595	137	270	32	6	243	44	-13	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	595	117	26	3	16	36	208	16	6	0	197	261	331	592	134	270	32	6	243	44	-41	+1	+0	+2	+18	-2.0
Career	—			—	1956	1774	330	78	8	47	104	653	59	26	7	186	255	318	573	132	260	33	5	252	51	-109	+2	+0	+7	+55	-4.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	110	26	3	16	35	217	20	9	2	186	256	322	578	136	260	33	5	252	51	-36	+1	+0	+2	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	69	55	11	2	0	0	9	17	2	0	0	200	333	236	570	36	268	25	13	268	63	-3	+0	—	—	+2	-0.1
2023	22	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	159	136	34	8	1	6	14	27	8	1	0	250	354	456	810	206	269	17	9	360	134	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.1
2023	22	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	245	208	56	13	1	6	25	54	9	11	1	269	372	428	800	159	331	22	10	357	131	+9	+2	—	—	+7	1.8
2024	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	497	442	100	24	2	14	36	128	14	7	3	226	305	385	689	158	282	26	7	308	94	-4	+0	—	—	+14	1.1
2025	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	247	225	46	11	2	5	14	58	8	0	0	204	275	338	613	133	253	23	6	278	71	-8	+0	—	—	+7	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	9	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
	/162	664	18	6	227	293	367	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	201	5	2	196	256	334	+1	+0	-0.2	-0.1
	/162	664	17	6	196	256	334	+2.4	+1.7	-0.7	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luke Gold (OGILVIE)	25	30	40	40	25	185/244/316	131	259	5	2	33%	5%	52	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeffrey Eure 2006 · A	25	36→31	47→50	41→45	34	187/242/321	134	283	14	4	38%	5%	52	-1.6	202/252/324	122	295	13	6	35%	5%	56	-1.3	198/244/317	120	281	13	5	34%	4%	47	-0.9
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2023 · A	24	37→38	45	43→45	36	187/251/309	122	283	13	3	37%	6%	53	-1.5	199/274/313	114	267	12	6	29%	7%	63	-0.8	191/273/299	108	247	12	6	26%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Trevor Schwecke 2023 · AAA	25	39	44→45	41→50	39	195/257/308	113	291	11	6	35%	7%	54	-1.4	218/275/332	114	316	10	14	32%	6%	68	-0.5	223/280/335	112	320	9	17	31%	6%	68	-0.3
✕Drew Biery 2011 · A	25	41→39	45	42→45	41	210/268/328	118	281	14	8	30%	6%	64	-0.8	217/272/343	126	291	15	7	29%	6%	69	-0.4	205/249/353	149	252	22	0	29%	5%	61	-0.2
✕Dexter Kjerstad 2017 · A	25	39→33	45	45	34	200/251/321	122	293	13	9	36%	4%	55	-1.4	191/248/292	101	289	11	6	36%	6%	46	-2.0	150/208/215	64	228	8	0	36%	6%	6	-2.0
✕Chad Spann 2009 · AAA	25	40→37	41→45	39→40	38	201/249/297	95	282	10	4	32%	5%	47	-1.9	197/244/278	81	275	7	6	30%	5%	40	-2.4	165/209/202	38	232	2	0	29%	4%	2	-1.7
✕Joseph Odom 2016 · A	24	36	43→45	42→30	41	186/243/296	110	256	11	4	31%	7%	45	-2.1	217/257/323	106	294	10	3	28%	5%	57	-1.2	199/254/318	119	330	12	2	41%	6%	52	-0.6
✕Greg Thissen 2006 · A	25	39	43→45	40→45	39	196/245/305	109	263	11	5	30%	5%	48	-1.9	204/270/299	95	271	8	7	26%	8%	57	-1.2	197/274/281	84	258	7	7	25%	9%	54	-0.6
✕Alan Trejo 2021 · AA	25	38→42	41→50	42→45	36	194/232/287	94	263	10	6	30%	4%	37	-2.6	207/249/352	145	265	15	6	28%	5%	63	-0.9	211/267/341	130	267	14	7	26%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Jay Brossman 2010 · A	25	40→36	46→45	46→45	41	206/259/335	128	260	13	8	26%	5%	62	-0.9	200/247/324	124	262	13	9	28%	5%	53	-1.5	158/192/269	110	200	14	9	29%	4%	13	-0.7
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	38	43→45	42→45	46	189/279/295	106	260	11	6	30%	9%	62	-0.9	198/275/331	133	251	15	10	27%	7%	69	-0.4	185/264/327	142	224	17	12	25%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Quincy Latimore 2014 · AA	25	38→41	46→50	43→50	40	200/254/329	130	265	14	9	30%	6%	59	-1.1	210/261/343	133	280	15	10	30%	6%	65	-0.7	199/251/331	132	266	16	8	31%	6%	54	-1.0
✕Madison Stokes 2021 · A	25	38→35	42→40	40	34	190/232/286	96	282	10	4	36%	4%	37	-2.6	182/244/283	101	296	9	7	39%	7%	43	-2.2	165/240/264	98	269	8	7	39%	8%	33	-1.6
✕Jhalan Jackson 2018 · AA	25	38→33	47→50	40→45	39	194/259/330	136	293	15	6	38%	7%	61	-1.0	189/253/331	142	327	17	8	44%	7%	59	-1.1	156/229/300	144	275	19	8	48%	7%	39	-1.6
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA	25	38→39	43→45	42→45	48	190/274/298	109	258	11	5	30%	10%	60	-1.0	194/275/299	105	281	10	7	32%	9%	61	-1.0	106/214/187	81	163	7	0	37%	8%	7	-1.1
✕Matt Repec 2009 · A	25	42→40	44→50	44→45	37	208/253/327	118	295	12	5	33%	5%	56	-1.3	212/260/327	115	301	10	5	31%	6%	59	-1.1	209/257/328	119	293	9	4	30%	6%	57	-0.7
✕Carter Aldrete 2023 · AA	25	41→40	49→50	42→45	39	212/262/357	145	288	18	7	33%	6%	69	-0.4	205/251/344	139	284	17	5	33%	6%	61	-1.0	185/226/315	130	252	17	1	34%	5%	40	-1.3
✕Jarek Cunningham 2015 · AA	25	36→38	50→55	44→45	36	197/245/348	151	262	19	7	33%	5%	59	-1.1	206/263/344	138	309	14	7	36%	7%	66	-0.6	178/245/312	134	293	12	4	41%	8%	48	-1.0
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	36	44→45	47→50	43	187/255/303	116	259	12	5	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/267/312	121	296	14	14	37%	9%	60	-1.0	169/257/271	103	275	11	16	40%	10%	43	-1.1
✕Taylor Gushue 2019 · AA	25	33	45→50	42→30	39	179/236/296	116	244	14	2	32%	6%	42	-2.3	212/261/345	133	295	15	3	32%	6%	65	-0.7	204/266/342	138	281	16	0	32%	7%	65	-0.3