Kade Bragg

P Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 26 LHP 6'1" / 190 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	AMIN	6	0	8	1.08	2.74	26.5%	14.7%	—	K 26.5% · BB 14.7% · FIP 2.73
2025	24	MIX3 levels	42	0	67	2.94	3.20	30.1%	11.4%	—	K 23.3% · BB 13.0% · FIP 4.33
2026	25	AAMIA	30	1	49	4.04	3.26	29.6%	19.0%	—	K 24.0% · BB 20.9% · FIP 4.02
2027PROJ	26	MLBMIA	31	0	33	5.00	5.00	23.5%	16.8%	-0.2
2028PROJ38% MLB	27	MLBMIA	21	0	22	4.96	4.97	23.5%	16.1%	-0.1
2029PROJ60% MLB	28	MLBMIA	32	0	34	4.97	5.01	23.4%	15.7%	-0.2

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJake Rice (age 26) · Matt Thornton (age 27) · Trey Jeans (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 128

ERA5.00

FIP5.00

K%23.5%

BB%16.8%

K-BB%6.7%

Proj IP33

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	6	0	8	34	9	5	0	0%	1.4	26.5%	14.7%	11.8%	0.0%	1.08	2.73	—
2024	23	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	6	0	8	34	9	5	0	0%	1.4	26.5%	14.7%	11.8%	0.0%	1.08	2.73	—
2024	23	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	6	0	8	34	9	5	0	0%	1.4	26.5%	14.7%	11.8%	0.0%	1.08	2.74	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	0	67	272	82	31	6	0%	1.6	23.3%	13.0%	10.3%	2.8%	2.94	4.33	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	0	67	272	82	31	6	0%	1.6	23.3%	13.0%	10.3%	2.8%	2.94	4.33	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	42	0	67	272	82	31	6	0%	1.6	30.1%	11.4%	18.8%	2.2%	2.94	3.20	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	30	1	49	216	64	41	1	3%	1.6	24.0%	20.9%	3.1%	0.6%	4.04	4.02	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	30	1	49	216	64	41	1	3%	1.6	24.0%	20.9%	3.1%	0.6%	4.04	4.02	—
2026	25	AA RAW	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	30	1	49	216	64	41	1	3%	1.6	29.6%	19.0%	10.6%	0.5%	4.04	3.26	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	MIA	31	0	33	139	33	23	4	0%	1.1	23.5%	16.8%	6.7%	2.5%	5.00	5.00	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	MIA	57	0	60	252	59	41	7	0%	1.0	23.5%	16.1%	7.4%	2.6%	4.96	4.97	-0.3
2029	28	MLB MLE	MIA	55	0	58	244	57	38	7	0%	1.1	23.4%	15.7%	7.6%	2.7%	4.97	5.01	-0.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	MIA	21	0	22	93	22	15	2	0%	1.0	23.5%	16.1%	7.4%	2.6%	4.96	4.97	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	MIA	32	0	34	144	34	23	4	0%	1.1	23.4%	15.7%	7.6%	2.7%	4.97	5.01	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	0	57	240	56	38	6	0%	1.1	23.4%	15.9%	7.5%	2.7%	4.97	4.61	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	197	134	21	0%	1.1	23.4%	15.9%	7.5%	2.7%	4.97	4.61	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		78	1	125	522	124	85	9	1%	1.6	23.8%	16.4%	7.4%	1.7%	3.25	4.10	-0.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		125	2	200	837	199	137	14	1%	1.6	23.8%	16.4%	7.4%	1.7%	3.25	4.10	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kade Bragg (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.00	23.5%	16.8%	2.5%	—	4.99	23.4%	7.5%	118	-0.01	—	—	—
Jake Rice L 2023 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	23.4%	18.1%	1.8%	.305	4.87	19.0%	4.3%	103	+0.46	3.16	199	87
Matt Thornton L 2004 · 4.18 FIP	27	SU	4.18	20.3%	16.2%	1.4%	.304	4.18	21.8%	11.5%	167	-0.00	1.71	663	86
Trey Jeans L 2022 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	22.3%	16.5%	3.3%	.291	—	—	—	—	—	2.74	111	85
Hector Mercado L 2000 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	21.7%	13.3%	3.3%	.270	4.22	22.9%	10.0%	111	-0.57	3.47	125	83
C.J. Widger L 2024 · 4.21 FIP	25	SU	4.21	26.0%	16.0%	2.3%	.258	5.75	18.1%	-0.7%	57	+1.54	3.83	105	83
Andy Fisher L 2022 · 4.20 FIP	26	SU	4.20	21.5%	15.4%	1.8%	.333	4.25	17.2%	6.3%	52	+0.05	3.13	167	83
Matt Purke L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	26	SU	4.25	19.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.284	3.54	21.4%	8.8%	112	-0.71	3.01	226	82
Nick Hagadone L 2012 · 4.74 FIP	26	SU	4.74	22.4%	12.9%	3.5%	.310	3.88	24.6%	14.7%	82	-0.86	2.97	141	82
Brendan Cellucci L 2024 · 3.98 FIP	26	SU	3.98	26.3%	16.6%	1.8%	.288	4.38	21.7%	9.6%	79	+0.40	3.98	288	81
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	81
Trey Cumbie L 2022 · 5.07 FIP	26	SU	5.07	23.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.215	—	—	—	—	—	3.44	152	81
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	80
John Bale L 2001 · 4.41 FIP	27	SU	4.41	18.6%	15.0%	1.8%	.219	4.12	19.0%	13.9%	46	-0.29	2.49	168	80
Christian Chamberlain L 2023 · 4.29 FIP	24	SU	4.29	26.7%	17.5%	2.2%	.238	3.91	20.7%	0.5%	43	-0.38	3.91	148	80
Andrew Walling L 2024 · 4.05 FIP	24	SU	4.05	23.4%	13.2%	2.3%	.281	3.73	20.8%	7.5%	52	-0.32	3.14	161	80
Brian Marconi L 2022 · 5.02 FIP	25	SU	5.02	20.3%	18.2%	2.4%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.89	101	79
Adam McCreery L 2019 · 4.29 FIP	26	SU	4.29	20.7%	14.5%	2.0%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	207	79
Fabian Williamson L 2015 · 5.31 FIP	26	SU	5.31	17.4%	17.9%	2.6%	.289	4.16	20.0%	8.2%	77	-1.15	3.39	154	79
Nick Lee L 2016 · 4.96 FIP	25	SU	4.96	19.0%	19.7%	1.8%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	102	79
Mitchell Tyranski L 2024 · 4.90 FIP	26	SU	4.90	21.0%	12.3%	3.7%	.234	3.46	20.5%	4.0%	57	-1.44	3.46	145	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	50	23.5%	16.1%	1.02	4.97
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Derrick Turnbow ('08)	1.3	64	23.4%	14.8%	0.87	4.30
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Dave Jolly ('53-'57, -0 WAR*)	1.5	58	20.2%*	14.3%*	0.91*	4.33*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*