Eric Adler — OGILVIE

Eric Adler P Birmingham Barons

Age 26 RHP 6'2" / 210 lbs AA

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 11 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 130

ERA5.98

FIP5.98

K%15.6%

BB%16.1%

K-BB%-0.5%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 11 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	0	5	28	8	9	0	0%	0.8	28.6%	32.1%	-3.6%	0.0%	5.79	4.76	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	0	5	28	8	9	0	0%	0.8	28.6%	32.1%	-3.6%	0.0%	5.79	5.46	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	0	31	132	42	18	1	0%	1.1	20.4%	14.5%	5.8%	0.0%	2.87	3.22	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	0	31	132	42	18	1	0%	1.1	31.8%	13.6%	18.2%	0.8%	2.87	2.56	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	40	161	52	24	1	0%	1.0	23.9%	17.1%	6.8%	1.0%	3.15	3.79	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	40	0	40	161	52	24	1	0%	1.0	23.9%	17.1%	6.8%	1.0%	3.15	3.79	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	40	0	40	161	52	24	1	0%	1.0	32.3%	14.9%	17.4%	0.6%	3.15	2.62	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	1	37	181	33	31	2	3%	1.1	15.0%	17.8%	-2.9%	1.3%	5.89	4.81	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	1	37	181	33	31	2	3%	1.1	15.0%	17.8%	-2.9%	1.3%	5.89	4.81	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	1	37	181	33	31	2	3%	1.1	18.2%	17.1%	1.1%	1.1%	5.89	4.55	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	9	0	7	52	4	9	5	0%	0.8	6.2%	19.0%	-12.8%	11.5%	23.32	11.32	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Birmingham Barons	9	0	7	52	4	9	5	0%	0.8	6.2%	19.0%	-12.8%	11.5%	23.32	11.32	—
2026	25	AA RAW	Birmingham Barons	9	0	7	52	4	9	5	0%	0.8	7.7%	17.3%	-9.6%	9.6%	23.32	14.55	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	CWS	10	0	11	46	7	7	2	0%	1.1	15.6%	16.1%	-0.5%	3.2%	5.98	5.98	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	CWS	31	0	32	137	22	21	4	0%	1.0	16.4%	15.5%	0.9%	3.3%	5.84	5.85	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	CWS	11	0	12	51	8	8	2	0%	1.1	16.4%	15.5%	0.9%	3.3%	5.84	5.85	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		12	0	12	52	8	8	2	0%	1.0	16.4%	15.5%	0.9%	3.3%	5.84	5.47	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	131	131	33	0%	1.1	16.4%	15.5%	0.9%	3.3%	5.84	5.47	-2.1
Career	—	MLE		117	1	120	554	104	98	10	1%	1.0	18.7%	17.7%	1.0%	1.8%	5.25	4.75	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		195	2	200	923	173	163	17	1%	1.0	18.7%	17.7%	1.0%	1.8%	5.25	4.75	-3.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Eric Adler (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.98	15.6%	16.1%	3.2%	—	5.85	16.4%	0.9%	32	-0.13	—	—	—
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	84
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	84
Luis García R 2013 · 4.92 FIP	26	SU	4.92	16.7%	16.7%	2.0%	.270	3.68	20.3%	9.3%	151	-1.24	2.33	662	84
Tim Elliott R 2023 · 6.21 FIP	25	SU	6.21	15.5%	16.1%	4.3%	.338	—	—	—	—	—	5.54	138	83
Jake Haberer R 2021 · 6.54 FIP	26	SU	6.54	13.4%	17.5%	4.3%	.287	5.15	19.6%	4.0%	106	-1.39	3.46	183	81
Trey Haley R 2016 · 4.98 FIP	26	SU	4.98	14.0%	16.5%	1.8%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	3.14	111	81
Chad Harville R 2003 · 5.17 FIP	26	SU	5.17	17.3%	15.4%	2.9%	.328	4.84	17.6%	6.5%	142	-0.33	4.51	178	81
Kevin Gryboski R 2002 · 5.02 FIP	28	SU	5.02	13.9%	13.4%	2.5%	.263	3.83	12.0%	2.9%	126	-1.19	3.67	178	80
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	80
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	80
Justin Courtney R 2022 · 5.11 FIP	26	SU	5.11	16.8%	12.8%	3.3%	.331	8.63	18.4%	7.1%	21	+3.52	4.58	108	80
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	80
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	80
Yunior Thibo R 2023 · 5.32 FIP	25	SU	5.32	14.3%	15.6%	2.7%	.231	—	—	—	—	—	4.42	110	79
Harrison Cooney R 2018 · 6.60 FIP	26	SU	6.60	18.8%	21.9%	4.2%	.237	—	—	—	—	—	4.65	186	79
Roman Phansalkar R 2024 · 5.39 FIP	26	SU	5.39	15.8%	13.2%	3.6%	.294	4.33	18.2%	3.7%	31	-1.06	4.33	164	79
Connor Cooke R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	24	SU	5.02	17.4%	17.0%	2.2%	.253	—	—	—	—	—	2.93	103	79
Yaramil Hiraldo R 2021 · 4.86 FIP	25	SU	4.86	18.5%	15.5%	2.5%	.270	—	—	—	—	—	2.88	155	78
Tyler Burch R 2023 · 4.92 FIP	25	SU	4.92	15.0%	12.6%	2.7%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.56	119	78
Christian Ruebeck R 2024 · 6.03 FIP	23	SU	6.03	20.6%	24.4%	2.9%	.265	4.57	21.6%	1.9%	70	-1.46	4.35	104	78