Robert Gasser

P Milwaukee Brewers

Age 28 LHP 6'0" / 197 lbs MLB Svc 3.0 · Ctrl thru 2029 peak 1.5 · 2027

Overview

MLBSP40-MANFG #298Arb-1FA 2030

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	25	MIX2 levels	8	8	40	3.38	3.92	20.0%	4.2%	0.5	K 18.6% · BB 3.9% · FIP 4.27
2025	26	MIX4 levels	16	12	44	2.47	2.62	25.7%	8.4%	1.2	K 23.8% · BB 6.9% · FIP 2.38
2026	27	MIX2 levels	28	27	136	3.77	3.50	24.4%	7.5%	2.3	K 23.5% · BB 7.3% · FIP 3.50
2027PROJ	28	MLBMIL	16	16	97	3.87	4.05	22.0%	7.0%	1.0
2028PROJ95% MLB	29	MLBMIL	15	15	88	4.15	4.29	21.4%	7.2%	0.7
2029PROJ95% MLB	30	MLBMIL	14	14	82	4.37	4.50	20.7%	7.5%	0.5

Last 3 seasons WAR 4.0 · Next 3 projected WAR 2.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2029Service3.000First FA2030

2027Arb-1$3M2028Arb-2$4M2029Arb-3$5M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

K%51

xwOBA vs45

Whiff%30

FB Velo27

CompsRyan Bollinger (age 27) · Dylan Dodd (age 26) · John Lamb (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 93102vR 110

ERA3.87

FIP4.05

K%22.0%

BB%7.0%

K-BB%15.0%

Proj IP97

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 97 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$5M ctrl surplus

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

OFP—45

STUF4550

CTRL2050

CMD5555

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p2792.9

Whiff%

p3022.5%

p5122.3%

xwOBA vs

p450.317

SL+0.9 (33%)

SI (19%)

FB (53%)

CH-0.6 (11%)

CT-1.7 (3%)

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2024

Service 3.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-1	$3M	+1.0	$8M	+$5M
2028	Arb-2	$4M	+0.7	$3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2029	Arb-3	$5M	+0.5	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$12M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	6	15	54	14	2	1	100%	2.5	18.9%	4.6%	14.2%	3.1%	1.20	3.81	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	6	15	54	14	2	1	100%	2.5	25.9%	3.7%	22.2%	1.9%	1.20	2.50	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	27	27	137	579	172	52	11	100%	5.1	23.6%	10.0%	13.7%	2.5%	3.94	3.73	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	27	27	137	579	172	52	11	100%	5.1	29.7%	9.0%	20.7%	1.9%	3.94	2.77	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	26	25	135	592	166	50	12	96%	5.2	24.1%	7.6%	16.5%	2.5%	3.79	3.38	—
2023	24	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	26	25	135	592	166	50	12	96%	5.2	28.0%	8.4%	19.6%	2.0%	3.79	2.91	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	8	40	165	33	7	6	100%	5.0	18.6%	3.9%	14.7%	4.1%	3.38	4.27	+0.3
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	8	40	165	33	7	6	100%	5.0	18.6%	3.9%	14.7%	4.1%	3.38	4.27	+0.3
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	8	40	165	33	7	6	100%	5.0	20.0%	4.2%	15.8%	3.6%	3.38	3.92	+0.5
2025	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	16	12	44	179	46	15	2	75%	2.7	23.8%	6.9%	16.9%	0.8%	2.47	2.38	+1.4
2025	26	MIX MLE	4 levels	16	12	44	179	46	15	2	75%	2.7	23.8%	6.9%	16.9%	0.8%	2.47	2.38	+1.4
2025	26	MIX RAW	4 levels	16	12	44	179	46	15	2	75%	2.7	25.7%	8.4%	17.3%	1.1%	2.47	2.62	+1.2
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	27	136	577	141	43	16	96%	4.9	23.5%	7.3%	16.2%	2.7%	3.77	3.50	+2.3
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	27	136	577	141	43	16	96%	4.9	23.5%	7.3%	16.2%	2.7%	3.77	3.50	+2.3
2026	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	27	136	577	141	43	16	96%	4.9	24.4%	7.5%	17.0%	2.8%	3.77	3.50	+2.3
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			28	27	143	606	124	40	18	96%	5.1	20.5%	6.6%	13.9%	3.0%	3.59	3.84	+1.8
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	MIL	16	16	97	410	90	29	11	100%	6.1	22.0%	7.0%	15.0%	2.8%	3.87	4.05	+1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	MIL	15	15	92	390	83	28	11	100%	6.2	21.4%	7.2%	14.2%	2.9%	4.07	4.21	+0.8
2029	30	MLB MLE	MIL	14	14	87	366	76	28	12	100%	6.2	20.7%	7.5%	13.2%	3.1%	4.28	4.41	+0.5
2030	31	MLB MLE	MIL	13	13	81	342	68	27	12	100%	6.2	19.9%	7.9%	12.1%	3.4%	4.50	4.64	+0.2
2031	32	MLB MLE	MIL	12	12	75	316	67	24	11	100%	6.2	21.1%	7.5%	13.7%	3.6%	4.58	4.63	+0.2
2032	33	MLB MLE	MIL	11	11	69	290	59	23	11	100%	6.2	20.3%	7.9%	12.4%	3.9%	4.78	4.91	-0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	MIL	15	15	88	372	79	27	12	100%	5.9	21.4%	7.2%	14.2%	3.1%	4.15	4.29	+0.7
2029	30	MLB CTX	MIL	14	14	82	346	72	26	11	100%	5.9	20.7%	7.5%	13.2%	3.3%	4.37	4.50	+0.5
2030	31	MLB CTX	MIL	13	13	77	325	65	26	12	100%	5.9	19.9%	7.9%	12.1%	3.5%	4.59	4.73	+0.2
2031	32	MLB CTX	MIL	12	12	71	300	63	22	11	100%	5.9	21.1%	7.5%	13.7%	3.8%	4.68	4.73	+0.2
2032	33	MLB CTX	MIL	11	11	65	274	56	22	11	100%	5.9	20.3%	7.9%	12.4%	4.1%	4.89	5.02	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		92	91	526	2224	459	163	75	99%	5.7	20.6%	7.3%	13.3%	3.4%	4.26	4.14	+4.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	845	174	62	29	99%	5.7	20.6%	7.3%	13.3%	3.4%	4.26	4.14	+1.8
Career	—	MLE		111	105	507	2146	499	166	54	95%	4.6	23.2%	7.7%	15.5%	2.5%	3.60	3.50	+3.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		44	41	200	847	197	66	21	95%	4.6	23.2%	7.7%	15.5%	2.5%	3.60	3.50	+1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Robert Gasser (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.05	22.0%	7.0%	2.8%	—	4.41	20.7%	13.2%	260	+0.36	—	—	—
Ryan Bollinger L 2018 · 3.56 FIP	27	SP	3.56	17.1%	7.5%	1.7%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	112	72
Dylan Dodd L 2024 · 4.71 FIP	26	SP-	4.71	17.5%	6.0%	4.2%	.338	3.97	26.5%	21.7%	123	-0.74	3.31	475	70
John Lamb L 2018 · 4.64 FIP	28	SP	4.64	22.5%	7.2%	4.6%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	3.38	390	69
Ben Shields L 2024 · 3.23 FIP	25	SP-	3.23	25.3%	8.2%	2.2%	.273	3.02	23.5%	13.3%	43	-0.21	3.02	147	67
Irwin Delgado L 2017 · 3.54 FIP	28	SP	3.54	18.7%	10.2%	1.3%	.345	4.73	15.6%	6.1%	89	+1.19	3.52	383	66
Wei-Yin Chen L 2013 · 3.86 FIP	28	SP	3.86	18.2%	6.5%	2.7%	.302	3.94	18.6%	13.9%	500	+0.08	3.63	1,065	65
Matt Tracy L 2017 · 4.82 FIP	28	SP-	4.82	16.1%	9.4%	3.5%	.325	3.24	13.9%	3.5%	49	-1.58	3.24	298	64
Danny Wirchansky L 2024 · 4.47 FIP	27	SP-	4.47	16.2%	7.4%	3.3%	.246	5.88	13.0%	0.2%	68	+1.41	4.47	179	64
Justin Marks L 2016 · 3.91 FIP	28	SP	3.91	19.1%	9.3%	2.3%	.283	3.83	18.7%	7.7%	76	-0.08	3.83	324	64
T.J. Sikkema L 2024 · 3.57 FIP	26	SP-	3.57	18.5%	6.0%	2.3%	.282	4.10	16.1%	7.2%	87	+0.53	3.57	300	64
James Gillheeney L 2015 · 3.79 FIP	27	SP-	3.79	14.4%	8.0%	1.6%	.300	—	—	—	—	—	3.79	129	64
Brian Duensing L 2011 · 4.22 FIP	28	SP	4.22	16.2%	6.9%	2.9%	.327	3.64	16.3%	10.1%	224	-0.58	2.57	799	63
Alejandro Soto L 2015 · 4.41 FIP	29	SP	4.41	12.8%	7.0%	2.7%	.367	4.07	14.6%	9.1%	128	-0.34	3.96	280	63
Chipper Smith L 2015 · 3.81 FIP	25	SP-	3.81	15.6%	9.5%	1.5%	.321	—	—	—	—	—	3.81	109	63
Orlando Lara L 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SP	4.29	15.2%	10.3%	2.1%	.348	4.08	14.2%	7.2%	230	-0.21	3.85	426	63
Eric Stults L 2008 · 4.39 FIP	28	SP	4.39	18.0%	6.6%	3.6%	.267	4.42	14.5%	4.7%	62	+0.03	3.50	773	63
Kramer Sneed L 2016 · 4.21 FIP	27	SP	4.21	13.2%	8.2%	2.2%	.265	—	—	—	—	—	4.21	116	63
Brent Suter L 2018 · 4.15 FIP	28	SP	4.15	19.8%	4.0%	4.0%	.275	3.15	24.1%	18.9%	123	-1.00	2.15	954	63
Jared Koenig L 2022 · 4.06 FIP	28	SP-	4.06	18.1%	7.4%	2.8%	.308	3.29	23.6%	15.8%	187	-0.77	2.79	475	62
Tommy Henry L 2024 · 4.36 FIP	27	SP	4.36	19.6%	10.2%	3.0%	.333	5.16	14.7%	5.5%	143	+0.80	4.36	676	62

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 3,327 pitcher careers (1,251 from 1990-2025 + 2,076 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	3.2	80	20.9%	7.3%	1.24	4.15
Don Gross ('55-'60, 4 WAR*)	2.0	80	21.1%*	6.9%*	1.17*	3.95*
Mike Ryba ('35-'46, 4 WAR*)	3.9	112	19.5%*	7.2%*	1.34*	4.23*
Tom Walker ('72-'77, 1 WAR*)	2.1	83	20.9%*	7.5%*	1.28*	4.32*
Ross Stripling ('24)	4.2	94	20.9%	5.6%	1.32	4.17
Zach McAllister ('23)	3.0	85	21.1%	7.8%	1.07	4.15
Matt Andriese ('24)	2.6	74	21.8%	6.7%	1.36	4.65