Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 17 | 118 | 478 | 83 | 38 | 6 | 65% | 4.6 | 14.3% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 1.6% | 2.36 | 3.88 | — |
| 2015 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 17 | 118 | 478 | 83 | 38 | 6 | 65% | 4.6 | 17.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 1.3% | 2.36 | 3.32 | — |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 17 | 132 | 544 | 90 | 19 | 8 | 42% | 3.3 | 14.9% | 3.6% | 11.3% | 1.6% | 3.47 | 3.20 | +3.4 |
| 2016 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 40 | 17 | 132 | 544 | 90 | 19 | 8 | 42% | 3.3 | 16.5% | 3.5% | 13.1% | 1.5% | 3.47 | 2.96 | +3.8 |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 23 | 121 | 506 | 103 | 28 | 13 | 70% | 3.7 | 19.7% | 5.7% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 3.63 | 3.79 | +2.3 |
| 2017 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 23 | 121 | 506 | 103 | 28 | 13 | 70% | 3.7 | 20.4% | 5.5% | 14.8% | 2.6% | 3.63 | 3.49 | +2.7 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 20 | 18 | 101 | 424 | 84 | 17 | 18 | 90% | 5.1 | 19.8% | 4.0% | 15.8% | 4.4% | 4.44 | 4.36 | +1.2 |
| 2018 | 28 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 20 | 18 | 101 | 424 | 84 | 17 | 18 | 90% | 5.1 | 19.8% | 4.0% | 15.8% | 4.2% | 4.44 | 4.25 | +1.4 |
| 2019 | 29 | MIX | 4 levels | 17 | 4 | 35 | 124 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 24% | 2.1 | 23.1% | 1.5% | 21.5% | 1.6% | 0.26 | 2.23 | +1.0 |
| 2019 | 29 | MIX | 4 levels | 17 | 4 | 35 | 124 | 40 | 4 | 1 | 24% | 2.1 | 32.3% | 3.2% | 29.0% | 0.8% | 0.26 | 1.53 | +1.2 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 16 | 4 | 32 | 129 | 38 | 5 | 4 | 25% | 2.0 | 29.5% | 3.9% | 25.6% | 3.2% | 3.13 | 2.88 | +0.6 |
| 2020 | 30 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 16 | 4 | 32 | 129 | 38 | 5 | 4 | 25% | 2.0 | 29.5% | 3.9% | 25.6% | 3.1% | 3.13 | 2.82 | +0.6 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 61 | 1 | 73 | 313 | 69 | 21 | 9 | 2% | 1.2 | 22.0% | 6.7% | 15.3% | 3.0% | 3.07 | 3.73 | +0.9 |
| 2021 | 31 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 61 | 1 | 73 | 313 | 69 | 21 | 9 | 2% | 1.2 | 22.0% | 6.7% | 15.3% | 2.9% | 3.07 | 3.67 | +1.0 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 54 | 0 | 67 | 272 | 53 | 22 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 3.4% | 3.78 | 4.37 | +0.3 |
| 2022 | 32 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | 54 | 0 | 67 | 272 | 53 | 22 | 9 | 0% | 1.2 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 3.3% | 3.78 | 4.25 | +0.3 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 2 | 70 | 295 | 56 | 25 | 3 | 3% | 1.2 | 18.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 0.8% | 3.33 | 3.03 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 33 | MIX | 2 levels | 58 | 2 | 70 | 295 | 56 | 25 | 3 | 3% | 1.2 | 19.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 1.0% | 3.33 | 3.13 | +1.4 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 3 | 70 | 288 | 54 | 12 | 10 | 6% | 1.4 | 18.5% | 4.4% | 14.1% | 3.5% | 3.07 | 4.03 | +0.6 |
| 2024 | 34 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 3 | 70 | 288 | 54 | 12 | 10 | 6% | 1.4 | 18.8% | 4.2% | 14.6% | 3.5% | 3.07 | 3.92 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 48 | 3 | 68 | 291 | 53 | 17 | 11 | 6% | 1.4 | 18.2% | 5.8% | 12.4% | 3.6% | 4.52 | 4.27 | +0.4 |
| 2025 | 35 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | 48 | 3 | 68 | 291 | 53 | 17 | 11 | 6% | 1.4 | 18.2% | 5.8% | 12.4% | 3.8% | 4.52 | 4.40 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 36 | MLB | Los Angeles Angels | 35 | 2 | 52 | 222 | 46 | 13 | 5 | 6% | 1.5 | 20.7% | 5.9% | 14.9% | 2.3% | 4.64 | 3.33 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | LAA | 44 | 0 | 47 | 197 | 33 | 13 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 3.3% | 4.37 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | LAA | 38 | 0 | 40 | 170 | 27 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 4.85 | 5.17 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 39 | MLB | LAA | 33 | 0 | 35 | 146 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 14.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.30 | 5.60 | -0.4 |
| 2027 | 37 | MLB | LAA | 45 | 0 | 47 | 198 | 33 | 14 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 3.2% | 4.34 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 38 | MLB | LAA | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 4.81 | 5.13 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 39 | MLB | LAA | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 14.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.26 | 5.56 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 499 | 49 | 771 | 3223 | 623 | 196 | 100 | 10% | 1.5 | 19.3% | 6.1% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 3.83 | 3.94 | +13.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 129 | 13 | 200 | 836 | 162 | 51 | 26 | 10% | 1.5 | 19.3% | 6.1% | 13.2% | 3.1% | 3.83 | 3.94 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 458 | 94 | 941 | 3886 | 730 | 225 | 103 | 21% | 2.1 | 18.8% | 5.8% | 13.0% | 2.7% | 3.42 | 3.71 | +18.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 97 | 20 | 200 | 826 | 155 | 48 | 22 | 21% | 2.1 | 18.8% | 5.8% | 13.0% | 2.7% | 3.42 | 3.71 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brent Suter (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.69 | 15.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | — | 5.13 | 15.8% | 8.3% | 122 | +0.44 | — | — | — |
| Neal Cotts L 2026 · 4.83 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.83 | 18.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | .290 | 3.24 | 25.5% | 17.5% | 48 | -1.59 | 3.24 | 156 | 61 |
| Craig Breslow L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.22 | 14.5% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .308 | 5.02 | 17.8% | 2.7% | 19 | +0.80 | 4.22 | 159 | 61 |
| Fernando Abad L 2026 · 3.97 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.97 | 15.6% | 7.0% | 2.4% | .290 | 4.65 | 22.4% | 17.7% | 38 | +0.68 | 2.35 | 306 | 61 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2025 · 4.09 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.09 | 26.2% | 9.9% | 3.5% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.72 | 166 | 56 |
| Heriberto Ruelas L 2025 · 3.56 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.56 | 17.2% | 6.7% | 1.9% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.05 | 117 | 56 |
| Jorge De La Rosa L 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.03 | 20.5% | 7.8% | 3.1% | .260 | 3.99 | 19.3% | 9.8% | 56 | -0.04 | 3.68 | 405 | 55 |
| Brandon Mann L 2024 · 3.60 FIP | 34 | SU | 3.60 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 1.0% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.60 | 190 | 48 |
| Wilfredo Ledezma L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.47 | 26.7% | 8.3% | 2.9% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.56 | 109 | 45 |
| Brian Duensing L 2026 · 5.80 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.80 | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | .353 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.59 | 198 | 44 |
| Zach Duke L 2026 · 5.66 FIP | 36 | SU | 5.66 | 17.0% | 16.0% | 3.6% | .254 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.44 | 215 | 43 |
| Jean Machi R 2025 · 3.92 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.92 | 18.6% | 6.6% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.92 | 186 | 32 |
| César Valdez R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.55 | 21.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | .354 | 4.18 | 17.3% | 12.3% | 260 | +0.63 | 1.91 | 882 | 32 |
| Carlos Torres R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.25 | 17.8% | 9.0% | 2.7% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.78 | 326 | 31 |
| Rafael Martín R 2025 · 4.60 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.60 | 22.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 227 | 31 |
| Jim Johnson R 2025 · 4.58 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.58 | 16.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.51 | 251 | 30 |
| Tommy Hunter R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.96 | 22.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | .292 | 5.23 | 18.9% | 14.2% | 24 | +1.27 | 2.82 | 316 | 28 |
| Manny Acosta R 2025 · 3.99 FIP | 35 | SU | 3.99 | 18.1% | 9.1% | 2.3% | .273 | 3.04 | 23.2% | 9.9% | 44 | -0.95 | 3.04 | 102 | 28 |
| Juan Sandoval R 2026 · 3.53 FIP | 36 | SU | 3.53 | 16.7% | 7.2% | 1.7% | .298 | 5.49 | 15.9% | 8.7% | 57 | +1.96 | 3.17 | 225 | 28 |
| Francisco Del Rosario R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 36 | SU | 4.09 | 16.4% | 10.0% | 2.0% | .267 | 6.61 | 11.9% | -0.6% | 77 | +2.52 | 4.09 | 145 | 28 |
| Dustin McGowan R 2025 · 4.59 FIP | 35 | SU | 4.59 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | .277 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.83 | 208 | 27 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 44 | 15.8% | 7.1% | 1.37 | 4.61 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| JC Ramírez ('17) | 3 | 83 | 17.0% | 7.7% | 1.30 | 4.33 |
| Austin Pruitt ('23) | 5 | 61 | 16.9% | 5.6% | 1.22 | 4.45 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Jarlín García ('22) | 5 | 61 | 19.6% | 7.8% | 1.33 | 3.79 |