Jake Holton

1B Sacramento River Cats

Age 29 R/R 5'11" / 242 lbs AAA HR -15%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	27	AADET	464	.257/.350/.479	19	6	77	—	.211/.281/.372
2025	27	INTLGigantes del …	51	.419/.510/.674	2	1	234	—
2026	28	AAASF	308	.219/.361/.348	6	1	69	—	.195/.301/.290
2027PROJ10% MLB	29	MLBSF	25	.208/.291/.334	1	0	81	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	30	MLBSF	85	.206/.288/.329	2	0	79	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

BB%87

Chase%81

Whiff%79

Z-Con%79

Max EV72

K%72

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsBrett Carroll (age 29) · Dustin Peterson (age 29) · Nick Gorneault (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†81

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .291 / .334

PA25

HR1

K%24

BB%8

BABIP264

ISO174

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	23	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	128	104	32	8	1	3	16	24	7	0	2	308	433	490	923	183	372	19	12	410	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	187	153	40	8	3	5	25	42	7	1	0	261	389	451	840	190	324	22	13	373	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	26	23	5	0	0	0	1	8	2	0	0	217	308	217	525		333	31	4	257	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	470	381	100	19	3	13	71	86	15	5	5	262	397	430	828	168	306	18	15	374	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	463	379	93	13	2	14	68	68	14	0	1	245	380	401	781	156	264	15	15	356	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	410	351	98	21	0	14	44	91	11	6	2	279	377	459	836	179	336	22	11	370	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	464	405	104	29	2	19	54	118	4	6	1	257	350	479	829	222	316	25	12	365	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	INTL	Gigantes del Cibao	—	51	43	18	5	0	2	6	3	2	1	1	419	510	674	1.184	256	421	6	12	514	234	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	308	247	54	12	1	6	48	58	7	1	0	219	361	348	709	130	254	19	16	324	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	23	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	128	109	29	7	1	3	11	34	7	0	2	266	370	431	801	165	338	27	9	339	116	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	Lakeland Flying Tigers	—	187	161	36	7	3	4	17	58	7	1	0	224	324	379	703	155	293	31	9	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	26	23	4	0	0	0	1	10	2	0	0	174	269	174	443		314	38	4	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	West Michigan Whitecaps	—	470	405	92	18	2	12	48	114	15	5	5	227	331	370	702	143	281	24	10	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	463	402	91	13	2	11	45	88	14	0	1	226	325	351	676	124	255	19	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	410	367	93	18	0	12	28	110	11	6	2	253	325	401	726	147	317	27	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	464	422	89	22	2	14	37	139	4	6	1	211	281	372	653	161	276	30	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	308	262	51	11	1	4	33	70	7	1	0	195	301	290	591	95	231	23	11	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	315	270	62	13	3	7	28	92	14	1	2	230	333	378	711	148	316	29	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	315	257	72	16	4	8	41	66	14	1	2	280	407	467	874	187	344	21	13	388	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	496	428	96	18	2	12	49	124	17	5	5	224	328	360	688	136	286	25	10	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	496	404	105	19	3	13	72	94	17	5	5	260	393	418	811	158	308	19	15	368	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	463	402	91	13	2	11	45	88	14	0	1	226	325	351	676	124	262	19	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	—	463	379	93	13	2	14	68	68	14	0	1	245	380	401	781	156	264	15	15	356	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	410	367	93	18	0	12	28	110	11	6	2	253	325	401	726	147	325	27	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	—	410	351	98	21	0	14	44	91	11	6	2	279	377	459	836	179	336	22	11	370	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	515	467	99	25	2	15	41	154	6	7	2	212	284	370	654	158	281	30	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	515	448	122	34	2	21	60	121	6	7	2	272	366	498	864	225	329	23	12	380	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	308	262	51	11	1	4	33	70	7	1	0	195	301	290	591	95	242	23	11	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA RAW	Sacramento River Cats	—	308	247	54	12	1	6	48	58	7	1	0	219	361	348	709	130	254	19	16	324	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	315	270	62	13	3	7	28	92	14	1	2	230	333	378	711	148	311	29	9	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	496	427	96	18	2	12	49	124	17	5	5	225	328	361	689	136	283	25	10	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	25	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	463	401	91	13	2	11	45	88	14	0	1	227	325	352	677	125	255	19	10	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	26	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	410	368	93	18	0	12	28	110	11	6	2	253	325	399	725	147	317	27	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	515	463	99	25	2	15	41	154	6	7	2	214	284	374	658	160	276	30	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	308	265	51	11	1	4	33	70	7	1	0	192	301	287	588	94	231	23	11	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	26	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	410	368	93	18	0	12	28	110	11	6	2	253	325	399	725	147	317	27	7	313	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	515	463	99	25	2	15	41	154	6	7	2	214	284	374	658	160	276	30	8	282	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	28	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	308	265	51	11	1	4	33	70	7	1	0	192	301	287	588	94	231	23	11	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	29	MLB MLE	SF	10%	358	318	67	15	1	8	32	92	5	3	1	211	294	344	638	132	267	26	9	288	81	-8	+0	+0	-6	+8	-0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	29	MLB CTX	SF	10%	25	23	5	1	0	1	2	6	0	0	0	208	291	334	625	127	264	24	8	283	81	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	30	MLB MLE	SF	27%	310	275	57	12	1	7	27	80	5	2	0	210	291	338	630	129	266	26	9	285	79	-8	+0	-2	-6	+7	-0.8
2028	30	MLB CTX	SF	27%	85	77	15	3	0	2	7	22	1	0	0	206	288	329	617	123	262	26	8	280	79	-2	+0	-1	-2	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	85	77	15	3	0	2	7	22	1	0	0	195	271	312	582	117	245	26	8	280	86	-2	+0	-1	-2	+2	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	589	114	23	0	15	54	168	8	0	0	194	271	309	580	115	244	26	8	280	86	-16	+0	-4	-12	+14	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		—	3067	2693	596	120	12	74	273	782	78	24	12	221	311	357	668	136	281	25	9	295	86	-13	+1	-2	-10	+12	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	127	25	3	16	58	166	17	5	3	222	313	361	673	138	282	26	9	295	86	-15	+1	-2	-12	+14	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jake Holton (OGILVIE)	29	45	60	45	50	209/292/341	131	267	6	2	26%	9%	81	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brett Carroll 2012 · MLB	29	42→46	48→55	48→50	43	214/278/354	140	262	16	11	25%	6%	78	-0.3	205/269/338	133	269	16	10	29%	7%	72	-0.7	190/259/323	133	248	16	10	30%	7%	61	-0.9
✕Dustin Peterson 2024 · AAA	29	40→50	47→45	47→45	44	208/267/339	130	263	15	5	27%	7%	70	-0.8	206/265/332	126	290	15	9	32%	7%	68	-1.0	170/226/256	86	251	12	9	36%	6%	35	-1.2
✕Nick Gorneault 2008 · AAA	29	45→48	49→55	48→50	44	227/283/377	150	290	17	12	28%	7%	85	+0.2	205/260/338	133	270	15	11	29%	7%	68	-1.0	190/244/318	127	249	15	9	29%	6%	54	-1.4
●Jeff Bailey 2008 · AAA	29	42→48	50→55	44→45	48	218/298/371	153	268	18	7	26%	8%	90	+0.6	230/309/389	159	277	18	6	23%	8%	98	+1.2	227/307/380	153	272	17	3	23%	8%	93	+0.7
✕Marquez Smith 2014 · AAA	29	47→50	46→55	46→40	45	232/289/368	135	281	14	4	22%	6%	85	+0.2	228/301/370	142	292	14	5	25%	8%	91	+0.6	226/305/370	144	290	14	3	26%	9%	90	+0.5
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2015 · AAA	29	41→45	52→55	44→50	43	219/266/392	173	254	19	6	23%	5%	82	+0.0	216/263/359	143	254	15	11	21%	6%	73	-0.6	229/273/404	176	255	22	11	20%	5%	86	+0.2
✕Jamie Romak 2015 · MLB	29	38→48	50→55	48→45	40	202/254/354	152	257	18	6	29%	6%	70	-0.9	214/271/389	175	291	21	7	33%	7%	84	+0.1	207/268/394	187	280	23	6	34%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Jason Coats 2019 · MLB	29	44→50	50→55	49→45	40	225/268/384	159	275	17	6	25%	5%	81	-0.1	214/253/367	153	276	19	9	29%	5%	72	-0.7	195/229/342	148	248	21	8	31%	4%	55	-1.2
✕Jerad Head 2012 · MLB	29	44→42	50→55	47→50	38	228/273/380	153	279	17	6	25%	4%	82	+0.0	221/273/360	139	268	16	8	24%	5%	78	-0.3	214/270/345	130	257	15	7	23%	5%	69	-0.6
✕Jeff Frazier 2012 · MLB	29	42→52	49→50	42→45	44	217/259/362	145	237	17	5	18%	5%	72	-0.7	212/260/323	111	245	12	6	19%	5%	64	-1.3	201/244/273	72	235	9	2	18%	4%	43	-1.4
✕Clint Coulter 2023 · AAA	30	42→43	50	43→40	41	220/282/374	154	273	18	5	26%	6%	84	+0.2	221/288/353	132	266	13	9	22%	6%	82	-0.0	201/273/314	113	238	10	9	20%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Ryan Cordell 2021 · MLB	29	43→42	46→50	49→50	42	216/272/344	128	288	14	11	30%	6%	74	-0.6	203/269/353	150	324	19	14	41%	7%	75	-0.5	141/210/279	138	225	21	18	47%	7%	34	-1.3
✕Jorge Bonifacio 2022 · MLB	29	39→49	49→55	46→45	44	203/265/351	149	258	16	7	28%	7%	73	-0.6	203/271/348	145	262	17	8	29%	8%	74	-0.5	191/261/332	141	242	18	7	29%	7%	65	-0.9
✕Rusty Ryal 2012 · MLB	29	49→46	47→55	42→45	40	240/293/382	142	318	14	6	28%	5%	90	+0.6	214/254/312	98	288	9	7	28%	4%	59	-1.7	206/241/290	84	278	7	5	28%	3%	47	-1.5
✕Nick Tanielu 2022 · AAA	29	40→50	47→50	47→40	43	209/261/342	133	252	15	5	24%	6%	69	-0.9	204/265/332	128	259	13	6	25%	6%	68	-1.0	191/256/319	128	241	11	3	25%	7%	59	-0.7
✕O'Koyea Dickson 2019 · AAA	29	41→46	54→55	44→45	44	221/282/398	177	264	23	6	26%	7%	91	+0.6	231/288/379	148	269	16	9	20%	6%	88	+0.4	232/283/390	157	251	13	0	14%	5%	85	+0.0
✕Christian Bethancourt 2021 · AAA	29	45→53	49→50	50	40	232/272/376	144	287	17	11	26%	5%	80	-0.1	236/274/381	145	294	17	8	25%	5%	82	+0.0	233/268/383	149	287	19	5	25%	4%	80	-0.1
✕Bryce Brentz 2018 · MLB	29	43→51	52→60	46→40	40	225/270/384	160	284	20	4	29%	6%	82	+0.0	208/265/385	177	295	23	4	36%	7%	81	-0.1	176/242/359	183	257	25	1	41%	7%	64	-0.6
✕Jeremy Barfield 2017 · AAA	29	41→48	43→55	47→30	45	203/267/310	107	267	10	5	27%	8%	63	-1.3	214/273/378	164	275	22	5	30%	6%	82	+0.0	197/258/368	171	243	25	1	30%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Alfredo Silverio 2016 · AAA	29	43→52	46→55	45→50	37	220/249/342	122	275	14	8	26%	3%	64	-1.3	222/269/344	122	282	13	12	25%	6%	72	-0.7	179/229/259	80	229	7	13	24%	6%	34	-0.7