Stu Flesland III

Stu Flesland III P Hartford Yard Goats

Age 25 LHP 6'5" / 207 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION107 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 112120vR 128

ERA4.99

FIP4.99

K%15.8%

BB%8.5%

K-BB%7.3%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 114 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL5555

CMD4545

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	3	0	4	16	2	4	0	0%	1.2	12.5%	25.0%	-12.5%	0.0%	2.45	5.21	—
2023	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	3	0	4	16	2	4	0	0%	1.2	12.5%	25.0%	-12.5%	0.0%	2.45	5.21	—
2023	22	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	3	0	4	16	2	4	0	0%	1.2	12.5%	25.0%	-12.5%	0.0%	2.45	5.28	—
2024	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	32	7	71	315	70	27	2	22%	2.2	16.4%	10.1%	6.3%	0.8%	3.91	3.44	—
2024	23	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	32	7	71	315	70	27	2	22%	2.2	16.4%	10.1%	6.3%	0.8%	3.91	3.44	—
2024	23	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	32	7	71	315	70	27	2	22%	2.2	22.2%	8.6%	13.7%	0.6%	3.91	2.64	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	30	10	95	386	83	25	14	33%	3.2	16.6%	7.4%	9.1%	4.5%	3.97	5.14	—
2025	24	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	30	10	95	386	83	25	14	33%	3.2	16.6%	7.4%	9.1%	4.5%	3.97	5.14	—
2025	24	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	30	10	95	386	83	25	14	33%	3.2	21.5%	6.5%	15.0%	3.6%	3.97	4.05	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	25	13	107	436	92	39	7	52%	4.3	17.4%	9.2%	8.2%	1.5%	3.02	3.61	—
YTD	25	AAA MLE	Albuquerque Isotopes	25	13	107	436	92	39	7	52%	4.3	17.4%	9.2%	8.2%	1.5%	3.02	3.61	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A+ RAW	COL	5	1	17	73	19	7	1	20%	3.5	26.0%	9.6%	16.4%	1.4%	3.63	2.87	—
2026	25	AA RAW	COL	18	12	86	336	70	27	4	67%	4.8	20.8%	8.0%	12.8%	1.2%	2.09	3.01	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	COL	2	0	4	27	3	5	2	0%	2.0	11.1%	18.5%	-7.4%	7.4%	20.25	8.57	—
ROS	25	MLB MLE	COL	1	1	6	27	4	2	1	100%	6.4	15.8%	8.5%	7.3%	3.2%	4.99	4.99	-0.0
2026 TOT	25	MLB MLE	COL	—	—	114	463	96	41	8	—	—	20.8%	8.9%	11.9%	1.7%	3.13	3.69	+1.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	COL	100	0	105	444	75	37	14	0%	1.1	16.9%	8.3%	8.5%	3.2%	4.89	4.87	-0.4
2028	27	MLB MLE	COL	99	0	104	437	75	37	14	0%	1.0	17.2%	8.4%	8.9%	3.2%	4.85	4.86	-0.4
2029	28	MLB MLE	COL	96	0	100	424	74	36	14	0%	1.0	17.3%	8.5%	8.8%	3.3%	4.88	4.91	-0.4
2030	29	MLB MLE	COL	91	0	96	405	70	35	14	0%	1.1	17.2%	8.7%	8.5%	3.5%	4.96	5.03	-0.5
2031	30	MLB MLE	COL	86	0	90	380	64	34	14	0%	1.0	16.9%	9.0%	7.9%	3.7%	5.11	5.21	-0.6
2027	26	MLB CTX	COL	44	0	46	194	33	16	6	0%	1.0	16.9%	8.3%	8.5%	3.2%	4.89	4.87	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	COL	63	0	66	279	48	23	9	0%	1.0	17.2%	8.4%	8.9%	3.2%	4.85	4.86	-0.2
2029	28	MLB CTX	COL	72	0	76	321	56	27	11	0%	1.1	17.3%	8.5%	8.8%	3.3%	4.88	4.91	-0.3
2030	29	MLB CTX	COL	74	0	78	329	57	29	11	0%	1.1	17.2%	8.7%	8.5%	3.5%	4.96	5.03	-0.4
2031	30	MLB CTX	COL	73	0	77	325	55	29	12	0%	1.1	16.9%	9.0%	7.9%	3.7%	5.11	5.21	-0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		327	0	343	1449	248	125	49	0%	1.0	17.1%	8.6%	8.5%	3.4%	4.95	4.61	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	144	73	29	0%	1.1	17.1%	8.6%	8.5%	3.4%	4.95	4.61	-0.1
Career	—	MLE		90	30	278	1153	194	105	27	33%	3.1	16.8%	9.1%	7.7%	2.3%	3.57	4.10	-2.4
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	22	200	830	140	76	19	33%	3.1	16.8%	9.1%	7.7%	2.3%	3.57	4.10	-1.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Stu Flesland III (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.99	15.8%	8.5%	3.2%	—	4.88	17.1%	8.7%	309	-0.11	—	—	—
Nick Maronde L 2015 · 3.85 FIP	25	SW	3.85	18.3%	8.9%	2.1%	.359	3.62	16.3%	8.9%	48	-0.23	3.62	133	85
Irwin Delgado L 2015 · 4.77 FIP	26	SW	4.77	14.4%	9.6%	3.0%	.349	3.53	16.2%	7.6%	237	-1.24	3.52	383	84
Matt Tracy L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SW	3.96	14.4%	9.8%	1.5%	.306	4.10	14.7%	5.5%	208	+0.14	3.24	298	83
Brad Hand L 2015 · 3.95 FIP	25	SW	3.95	16.4%	7.6%	2.3%	.326	2.71	32.9%	25.0%	241	-1.24	0.84	577	81
Drake Britton L 2015 · 4.69 FIP	26	SW	4.69	11.1%	9.7%	2.4%	.268	4.79	8.0%	-2.2%	41	+0.10	4.69	125	81
Hayden Wynja L 2023 · 4.74 FIP	24	SP-	4.74	20.5%	10.5%	3.7%	.315	4.79	18.0%	7.5%	56	+0.05	4.74	154	79
Matt Crouse L 2015 · 3.99 FIP	25	SW	3.99	12.0%	6.3%	2.0%	.276	4.40	12.2%	4.3%	268	+0.41	3.99	342	78
Ryan Kellogg L 2019 · 3.99 FIP	25	SW	3.99	12.4%	5.8%	2.2%	.359	4.33	12.3%	7.1%	64	+0.34	3.65	446	78
Eric Wooten L 2015 · 4.02 FIP	25	SP-	4.02	14.6%	7.5%	2.2%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	116	76
Samuel Strickland L 2023 · 4.87 FIP	24	SW	4.87	19.5%	7.3%	4.5%	.337	3.53	20.1%	14.4%	148	-1.34	2.91	292	76
Nate Peterson L 2023 · 4.46 FIP	23	SP-	4.46	18.4%	11.4%	2.7%	.284	5.04	17.2%	5.3%	241	+0.58	4.27	315	76
Colin Rodgers L 2018 · 4.36 FIP	24	SW	4.36	16.8%	9.7%	2.6%	.346	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	313	75
Jackson Stoeckinger L 2019 · 4.57 FIP	23	SW	4.57	13.5%	6.9%	3.2%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	184	74
Austin Hamilton L 2019 · 4.02 FIP	25	SW	4.02	17.3%	7.9%	2.5%	.374	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	135	74
Carson Teel L 2021 · 5.34 FIP	25	SW	5.34	16.2%	6.7%	5.0%	.296	4.26	17.7%	10.6%	63	-1.08	3.43	248	74
Rob Zastryzny L 2017 · 4.88 FIP	25	SW	4.88	17.5%	8.2%	4.0%	.328	4.46	18.1%	8.9%	169	-0.42	3.34	634	73
Adam Wolf L 2022 · 3.91 FIP	25	SW	3.91	19.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.292	4.18	16.8%	5.9%	109	+0.27	3.91	383	73
Patrick Wicklander L 2023 · 4.95 FIP	23	SP-	4.95	16.9%	8.8%	3.9%	.327	5.11	15.1%	0.1%	45	+0.16	4.88	254	73
Matt Tomshaw L 2015 · 3.91 FIP	26	SP-	3.91	13.8%	6.0%	2.2%	.318	3.57	16.0%	10.7%	401	-0.34	3.04	681	72
Michael Roth L 2015 · 4.94 FIP	25	SP-	4.94	12.1%	8.3%	3.3%	.298	4.42	13.5%	6.2%	358	-0.52	3.96	483	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.8	94	16.9%	8.6%	1.30	4.94
Luis Perdomo ('22)	2.3	90	16.6%	7.8%	1.08	5.09
Sal Romano ('21)	1.3	86	17.0%	8.8%	1.29	5.10
Jaime Barria ('23)	2.3	77	17.9%	7.7%	1.61	4.38
Chad Kuhl ('24)	3.3	84	20.0%	10.4%	1.31	4.98
Andrew Suárez ('23)	1.1	74	18.2%	7.8%	1.51	5.02
Aaron Sanchez ('22)	3.3	93	18.1%	10.0%	0.98	4.32