Will Simpson — OGILVIE

Will Simpson1B Montgomery Biscuits

Age 24 R/R 6'3" / 225 lbs AA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION327 act + 218 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .255 / .360

PA218

HR8

SB5

K%35

BB%7

BABIP267

ISO165

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	150	141	35	9	0	5	8	46	0	3	1	248	289	418	707	170	330	31	5	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	2 teams	—	150	138	44	13	0	6	11	34	0	3	1	319	369	543	913	225	384	23	7	397	162	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	550	485	101	22	2	19	56	191	1	5	3	208	292	379	671	171	290	35	10	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	2 teams	—	550	465	131	31	4	18	76	135	1	5	3	282	384	482	865	200	353	25	14	378	148	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	479	440	80	18	0	13	30	138	3	8	3	182	239	311	550	130	228	29	6	238	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	479	428	93	21	0	12	42	109	3	8	3	217	292	350	642	133	260	23	9	288	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AA	TB	—	327	304	55	12	0	14	21	131	2	12	2	181	239	359	597	178	258	40	6	260	57	-16	+2	+0	-6	+9	-1.1
YTD	24	AA	TB	—	327	294	68	16	0	17	31	102	2	12	2	231	309	459	768	228	291	31	9	339	117	+6	+2	+0	-6	+9	1.2
ROS	24	AA	TB	2%	218	200	39	9	0	8	15	77	1	5	1	195	255	360	615	165	265	35	7	272	66	-8	+1	+0	-4	+6	-0.6
ROS	24	MLB	TB	2%	4	4	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						267	25	0	267	62	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	AA	TB	—	331	308	55	12	0	14	21	132	2	12	2	179	236	354	590	175	253	40	6	260	57	-16	+2	+0	-6	+9	-1.1
TOT	24	AA	TB	—	545	504	94	21	0	22	36	208	3	17	3	187	245	359	604	173	262	38	7	265	61	-24	+2	+0	-10	+15	-1.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	TB	31%	370	338	68	15	1	13	27	125	2	7	2	201	264	367	631	166	270	34	7	280	73	-11	+1	+0	-7	+10	-0.7
2028	26	MLB	TB	45%	407	372	76	16	1	15	30	134	2	8	2	204	267	374	641	169	272	33	7	285	76	-11	+1	+0	-7	+12	-0.6
2029	27	MLB	TB	49%	420	382	79	17	1	15	32	137	3	8	2	207	273	374	648	168	273	33	8	287	78	-11	+1	+0	-8	+12	-0.6
2027	25	MLB	TB	31%	115	105	21	5	0	4	8	39	1	2	1	200	263	362	625	162	272	34	7	275	69	-4	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.3
2028	26	MLB	TB	45%	181	164	33	7	0	6	14	60	1	3	1	201	268	354	622	152	274	33	8	279	72	-6	+0	+0	-3	+5	-0.4
2029	27	MLB	TB	49%	207	188	38	8	0	7	16	67	1	4	1	202	268	356	625	154	275	32	8	281	73	-6	+0	+0	-4	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	507	461	92	20	0	17	38	167	3	9	3	200	265	354	619	154	268	33	7	279	72	-16	+1	+0	-9	+14	-1.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	119	26	0	22	49	214	4	12	4	201	267	357	625	156	270	33	8	279	72	-21	+1	+0	-12	+18	-1.3
Career	—			—	2594	2358	478	106	5	88	198	848	12	44	14	203	268	364	632	161	270	33	8	278	71	-86	+3	+0	-46	+73	-5.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	591	120	27	1	22	50	212	3	11	4	203	269	364	632	161	271	33	8	278	71	-22	+1	+0	-12	+18	-1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	21	A	Stockton Ports	—	126	115	37	11	0	4	10	29	0	3	1	322	376	522	898	200	398	23	8	392	158	+8	+0	—	—	+4	1.2
2023	21	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	24	23	7	2	0	2	1	5	0	0	0	304	333	652	986	348	312	21	4	423	182	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	22	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	76	69	24	4	0	2	7	18	0	1	0	348	408	493	901	145	449	24	9	401	165	+6	+0	—	—	+2	0.8
2024	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	474	396	107	27	4	16	69	117	1	4	3	270	380	480	860	210	336	25	15	375	145	+24	-0	—	—	+13	3.8
2025	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	479	428	93	21	0	12	42	109	3	8	3	217	292	350	642	133	260	23	9	288	78	-12	+0	—	—	+14	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	8	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
	/162	664	31	2	238	315	455	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#2Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#3Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	11	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.8
	/162	664	27	0	229	322	419	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#4Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	7	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	37	3	219	314	462	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
#5Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#5Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	6	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
	/162	664	21	5	238	305	421	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	509	18	10	206	268	373	-9	-2	-0.7	-0.4
	/162	664	24	13	206	268	373	-11.9	-2.0	-1.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Will Simpson (OGILVIE)	24	40	40	45	40	187/245/359	173	262	22	17	38%	7%	61	-1.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ruben Ibarra 2023 · A	24	41→35	49→50	47→30	42	209/285/351	142	288	18	6	32%	7%	79	+0.3	201/274/346	145	276	19	3	33%	7%	72	-0.2	191/265/346	155	252	23	0	33%	7%	66	-0.4
✕Logan Hill 2018 · AA	25	40→39	49→55	45	40	206/269/351	145	287	17	7	34%	7%	71	-0.3	208/271/378	170	297	22	4	36%	7%	79	+0.3	197/262/376	179	277	24	1	37%	7%	72	-0.1
✕Brandon Meredith 2015 · AA	25	40→36	50	43→45	46	207/287/359	152	273	17	7	30%	9%	81	+0.4	212/279/335	123	294	13	8	31%	8%	71	-0.3	191/254/285	93	268	11	5	31%	7%	43	-0.6
✕D.J. Peterson 2016 · AA	24	42→46	50→55	51→40	39	219/268/371	153	290	19	6	31%	6%	76	+0.0	221/267/361	140	291	16	5	29%	5%	72	-0.2	218/262/356	138	285	16	3	29%	5%	65	-0.5
✕Quincy Latimore 2013 · AA	24	38→41	47→50	43→50	37	199/253/334	134	278	15	9	34%	6%	59	-1.1	210/262/342	132	280	15	10	29%	6%	65	-0.7	208/258/343	135	271	15	10	29%	5%	61	-0.6
●Joey Curletta 2018 · AA	24	36→46	49→55	48→45	39	190/253/339	149	284	18	6	38%	7%	61	-1.0	211/275/366	155	300	20	5	35%	8%	78	+0.2	206/273/363	157	284	22	2	34%	8%	76	+0.1
✕Tyreque Reed 2021 · A	24	41→35	47→50	42→40	41	205/272/338	133	293	14	5	34%	7%	69	-0.4	211/279/369	158	320	21	5	38%	8%	80	+0.4	195/267/360	165	291	24	3	40%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Stefan Trosclair 2018 · A	24	43→42	47→50	50	45	217/293/356	139	283	15	9	28%	8%	82	+0.5	218/282/357	139	301	15	7	31%	6%	78	+0.2	208/270/353	144	290	16	4	32%	5%	69	-0.3
✕Richie Shaffer 2015 · AA	24	38	49→55	52→40	43	199/262/347	149	261	16	6	30%	7%	67	-0.5	197/265/350	153	275	18	5	34%	8%	69	-0.4	185/255/331	146	265	19	4	36%	8%	58	-1.1
✕Mike Spina 2011 · A	24	43→42	47→45	47→30	42	215/281/347	131	289	15	3	30%	7%	75	-0.0	197/266/314	117	277	12	3	32%	7%	60	-1.0	180/254/290	111	253	12	1	32%	8%	47	-1.5
✕Johermyn Chavez 2013 · AA	24	40→45	47→50	38→45	41	208/272/341	132	273	16	5	29%	6%	69	-0.4	215/278/329	114	296	12	6	30%	6%	69	-0.4	221/278/322	101	302	14	0	30%	4%	66	-0.1
✕Jon Zeringue 2008 · AA	25	40→44	47→50	43→45	40	208/262/339	132	274	16	6	30%	6%	65	-0.7	222/286/382	160	290	20	6	30%	7%	86	+0.8	217/284/386	169	273	22	3	29%	7%	82	+0.4
✕Brett Carroll 2007 · AA	24	37→45	49→55	46→50	36	197/250/344	147	255	17	9	30%	4%	61	-1.0	219/272/383	164	276	19	5	27%	5%	80	+0.4	220/274/393	174	271	20	1	26%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Pedro Castellanos 2022 · AA	24	46→45	50	42→45	42	236/284/386	150	274	19	6	22%	5%	86	+0.8	225/262/355	130	281	16	4	26%	3%	68	-0.5	216/249/333	117	272	14	1	26%	2%	53	-1.0
✕Eric Wagaman 2023 · AA	25	39→49	48→50	48→45	46	205/270/344	139	256	16	5	27%	8%	69	-0.4	233/286/380	147	284	16	12	23%	7%	85	+0.7	242/291/388	146	290	16	11	22%	6%	86	+0.5
✕Jon Mark Owings 2009 · A	24	42→43	49→50	45	39	218/263/363	145	278	16	8	28%	5%	71	-0.3	204/251/328	124	288	12	7	32%	5%	56	-1.3	191/240/311	121	269	12	4	33%	5%	44	-1.1
✕Luis Castro 2021 · AA	25	43→38	47→50	48→45	47	213/309/346	133	293	14	10	30%	9%	87	+0.8	198/267/323	125	326	14	8	41%	7%	63	-0.8	198/263/340	142	299	16	6	37%	6%	62	-0.5
✕Jodd Carter 2019 · AA	23	42→41	45	46→45	41	209/266/325	116	286	13	9	31%	6%	63	-0.9	215/286/351	136	293	16	9	30%	8%	78	+0.2	203/288/353	150	269	20	9	31%	10%	76	+0.0
✕Jabari Henry 2016 · AA	25	36→40	51→55	46→45	46	191/276/352	161	267	19	7	34%	10%	75	-0.0	196/264/341	145	281	18	6	35%	7%	66	-0.6	174/240/314	140	235	21	2	35%	6%	46	-1.3
✕Clint Coulter 2017 · AA	24	42	45→50	43→40	42	211/274/334	123	267	12	4	25%	6%	69	-0.4	200/257/316	116	289	11	4	33%	5%	56	-1.3	202/269/353	151	245	18	4	25%	5%	68	-0.1