Zack Morris — OGILVIE

Zack Morris P ACL Rockies

Age 26 LHP 6'3" / 225 lbs ROK

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 60 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107115vR 124

ERA4.76

FIP4.76

K%18.4%

BB%9.4%

K-BB%9.1%

ROS IP60

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL5050

CMD4545

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	3	46	199	51	14	4	18%	2.7	18.0%	8.7%	9.3%	3.4%	3.30	4.53	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	3	46	199	51	14	4	18%	2.7	18.0%	8.7%	9.3%	3.4%	3.30	4.53	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	3	46	199	51	14	4	18%	2.7	25.6%	7.0%	18.6%	2.0%	3.30	2.93	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	5	0	7	28	9	1	0	0%	1.3	32.1%	3.6%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.84	—
2026	25	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	5	0	7	28	9	1	0	0%	1.3	32.1%	3.6%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.84	—
2026	25	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	5	0	7	28	9	1	0	0%	1.3	32.1%	3.6%	28.6%	0.0%	0.00	0.85	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	COL	57	0	60	253	47	24	8	0%	1.1	18.4%	9.4%	9.1%	3.0%	4.76	4.76	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	COL	56	0	59	247	47	23	8	0%	1.0	18.9%	9.4%	9.5%	3.1%	4.74	4.76	-0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	COL	54	0	57	240	46	23	8	0%	1.1	19.1%	9.6%	9.6%	3.2%	4.77	4.81	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	COL	20	0	21	89	17	8	3	0%	1.1	18.9%	9.4%	9.5%	3.1%	4.74	4.76	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	COL	31	0	33	139	27	13	4	0%	1.1	19.1%	9.6%	9.6%	3.2%	4.77	4.81	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		52	0	55	231	44	22	7	0%	1.1	19.1%	9.5%	9.6%	3.1%	4.76	4.41	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	161	80	26	0%	1.1	19.1%	9.5%	9.6%	3.1%	4.76	4.41	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		22	3	53	227	45	18	7	14%	2.4	19.7%	8.0%	11.7%	3.0%	2.89	4.08	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		83	11	200	857	169	69	25	14%	2.4	19.7%	8.0%	11.7%	3.0%	2.89	4.08	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Zack Morris (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	18.4%	9.4%	3.0%	—	4.78	19.0%	9.5%	115	+0.02	—	—	—
Luis Perez L 2011 · 4.35 FIP	26	SU	4.35	18.4%	8.8%	3.1%	.317	3.32	22.3%	13.2%	42	-1.03	3.32	173	92
Pedro Feliciano L 2003 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.7%	8.3%	2.3%	.309	3.52	20.2%	11.1%	79	-0.22	2.69	378	88
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	87
Braulio Lara L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SU	3.96	16.7%	8.7%	2.1%	.367	5.20	18.9%	3.9%	67	+1.24	3.96	118	84
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	82
Colton Johnson L 2024 · 3.92 FIP	26	SU	3.92	20.8%	11.0%	2.1%	.309	4.53	12.2%	-0.4%	48	+0.61	3.92	106	82
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	82
Triston Polley L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	26	SU	4.15	17.8%	8.9%	2.6%	.331	4.53	17.4%	-0.3%	22	+0.38	4.15	151	82
Michael Johnson L 2017 · 4.20 FIP	26	SU	4.20	21.7%	9.5%	3.1%	.272	5.19	13.4%	3.4%	67	+0.99	3.92	256	81
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	81
Diego Barrera L 2024 · 3.69 FIP	24	SU	3.69	17.9%	9.2%	1.7%	.310	4.55	17.9%	7.4%	89	+0.86	3.66	155	81
Aaron Fultz L 2000 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.7%	9.4%	2.7%	.294	3.88	19.4%	12.5%	180	-0.12	3.46	480	81
Mac Lardner L 2023 · 3.66 FIP	25	SU	3.66	17.5%	9.4%	1.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	186	81
Stephen Peterson L 2015 · 4.59 FIP	27	SU	4.59	13.0%	9.5%	2.5%	.284	3.04	17.3%	6.3%	55	-1.55	3.04	120	81
Hayden Howard L 2019 · 3.76 FIP	25	SU	3.76	17.5%	8.4%	1.9%	.328	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	200	81
Rob Zastryzny L 2018 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	18.4%	11.0%	2.5%	.264	4.81	19.8%	10.8%	142	+0.50	3.31	634	80
Tyler Holton L 2022 · 4.30 FIP	26	SU	4.30	20.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.288	3.67	21.7%	16.8%	258	-0.63	2.97	439	80
Ben Onyshko L 2023 · 4.39 FIP	26	SU	4.39	16.1%	10.2%	2.5%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	219	79
Nolan Becker L 2016 · 4.17 FIP	25	SU	4.17	13.9%	7.5%	2.4%	.313	5.41	18.9%	14.6%	13	+1.24	3.71	105	79
Cam Alldred L 2022 · 3.70 FIP	26	SU	3.70	19.2%	9.2%	1.9%	.318	4.50	18.6%	9.2%	140	+0.80	3.70	332	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	18.8%	9.4%	1.19	4.76
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Juan Gutierrez ('14)	1.4	57	19.4%	8.4%	1.04	4.49
John Johnstone ('00)	1.4	56	19.4%	9.5%	1.23	4.01
Logan Ondrusek ('16)	1.4	55	18.1%	9.5%	1.14	4.03
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65