Ben Peoples

P Round Rock Express

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs AAA

Overview

AAARP40-MANROOKIEFG #841

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2024	23	AATB	12	12	55	3.42	3.70	24.9%	10.0%	—	K 20.2% · BB 11.0% · FIP 4.60
2025	24	AAACWS	45	0	49	3.33	3.84	23.0%	12.7%	—	K 19.8% · BB 11.5% · FIP 3.78
2026	25	MIX2 levels	54	0	63	3.02	3.88	24.9%	12.8%	0.5	K 22.0% · BB 11.9% · FIP 4.05
2027PROJ	26	MLBTEX	64	0	67	4.49	4.69	21.8%	12.3%	-0.1
2028PROJ64% MLB	27	MLBTEX	40	0	42	4.59	4.69	21.9%	12.1%	-0.1
2029PROJ76% MLB	28	MLBTEX	47	0	49	4.67	4.74	21.9%	12.0%	-0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.5 · Next 3 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Skills · percentileStatcast 2026

FB Velo71

xwOBA vs57

Whiff%41

K%10

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsGrant Black (age 27) · Daniel Corcino (age 26) · Layne Somsen (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.49

FIP4.69

K%21.8%

BB%12.3%

K-BB%9.5%

Proj IP67

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 67 IP

Grades · Statcast · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5055

CMD3040

K†5050

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p7196.0

Whiff%

p4124.0%

p1014.7%

xwOBA vs

p570.305

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Rays	5	2	11	50	16	11	1	40%	2.1	21.8%	27.5%	-5.7%	2.8%	5.91	6.28	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Rays	5	2	11	50	16	11	1	40%	2.1	32.0%	22.0%	10.0%	2.0%	5.91	4.41	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	9	4	19	85	29	13	0	44%	2.1	23.2%	19.1%	4.1%	0.0%	2.84	3.56	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	9	4	19	85	29	13	0	44%	2.1	34.1%	15.3%	18.8%	0.0%	2.84	2.10	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	94	388	121	42	9	96%	3.9	23.0%	12.8%	10.2%	3.5%	3.06	4.72	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	23	94	388	121	42	9	96%	3.9	31.2%	10.8%	20.4%	2.3%	3.06	3.11	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	22	22	84	365	96	45	7	100%	3.8	20.3%	14.2%	6.1%	2.2%	4.06	4.42	—
2023	22	A+ RAW	Bowling Green Hot Rods	22	22	84	365	96	45	7	100%	3.8	26.3%	12.3%	14.0%	1.9%	4.06	3.50	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	12	12	55	229	57	23	6	100%	4.6	20.2%	11.0%	9.1%	3.3%	3.42	4.60	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	12	12	55	229	57	23	6	100%	4.6	20.2%	11.0%	9.1%	3.3%	3.42	4.60	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	12	12	55	229	57	23	6	100%	4.6	24.9%	10.0%	14.8%	2.6%	3.42	3.70	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	45	0	49	204	47	26	4	0%	1.1	19.8%	11.5%	8.3%	1.6%	3.33	3.78	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Charlotte Knights	45	0	49	204	47	26	4	0%	1.1	19.8%	11.5%	8.3%	1.6%	3.33	3.78	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	Charlotte Knights	45	0	49	204	47	26	4	0%	1.1	23.0%	12.7%	10.3%	2.0%	3.33	3.84	—
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	63	257	64	33	6	0%	1.2	22.0%	11.9%	10.1%	2.4%	3.02	4.05	+0.4
2026	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	54	0	63	257	64	33	6	0%	1.2	22.0%	11.9%	10.1%	2.4%	3.02	4.05	+0.4
2026	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	54	0	63	257	64	33	6	0%	1.2	24.9%	12.8%	12.1%	2.3%	3.02	3.88	+0.5
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			16	0	16	68	10	8	3	0%	1.0	14.7%	11.8%	2.9%	4.4%	2.76	5.73	-0.2
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	TEX	64	0	67	283	62	35	8	0%	1.0	21.8%	12.3%	9.5%	2.7%	4.49	4.69	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TEX	63	0	66	279	61	34	8	0%	1.0	21.9%	12.1%	9.9%	2.8%	4.59	4.69	-0.1
2029	28	MLB MLE	TEX	61	0	64	271	59	32	8	0%	1.1	21.9%	12.0%	9.9%	2.9%	4.67	4.74	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	TEX	40	0	42	177	39	21	5	0%	1.1	21.9%	12.1%	9.9%	2.8%	4.59	4.69	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	TEX	47	0	49	207	45	25	6	0%	1.0	21.9%	12.0%	9.9%	2.9%	4.67	4.74	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		103	0	107	452	94	54	14	0%	1.0	20.9%	12.0%	8.9%	3.1%	4.35	4.55	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		191	0	200	843	175	101	26	0%	1.0	20.9%	12.0%	8.9%	3.1%	4.35	4.55	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		171	63	375	1578	337	211	40	37%	2.2	21.4%	13.3%	8.0%	2.6%	3.44	4.39	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		91	34	200	842	180	112	22	37%	2.2	21.4%	13.3%	8.0%	2.6%	3.44	4.39	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ben Peoples (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	21.8%	12.3%	2.7%	—	4.71	21.9%	9.9%	130	+0.02	—	—	—
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.35	15.0%	3.8%	156	+0.89	4.46	215	78
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	77
Layne Somsen R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	19.5%	12.5%	1.3%	.265	4.00	19.9%	6.7%	92	+0.26	3.66	154	76
Tyler Yates R 2004 · 4.47 FIP	26	SW	4.47	15.4%	9.6%	2.6%	.333	3.64	22.5%	13.5%	116	-0.83	3.23	248	75
Logan Taylor R 2018 · 4.79 FIP	26	SU	4.79	17.2%	12.1%	2.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	300	75
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	74
Calvin Drummond R 2016 · 3.55 FIP	26	SW	3.55	16.9%	11.1%	0.9%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	112	74
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	74
Noah Denoyer R 2023 · 5.24 FIP	25	SW	5.24	22.2%	14.0%	4.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	181	73
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	73
Linder Castro R 2017 · 4.63 FIP	26	SW	4.63	18.9%	10.7%	3.2%	.305	5.68	21.1%	6.3%	62	+1.05	4.23	279	73
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	73
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.23	26.7%	16.4%	76	-0.81	2.28	121	73
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	73
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	72
Hayden Snelsire R 2024 · 5.10 FIP	23	SU	5.10	18.9%	13.8%	3.4%	.272	4.28	20.0%	13.7%	135	-0.82	3.83	178	72
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	72
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	72
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	72
Will Cunnane R 2000 · 3.62 FIP	26	SU	3.62	20.1%	12.4%	1.2%	.295	3.97	20.3%	12.9%	98	+0.35	2.99	271	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	71	21.4%	12.1%	1.13	4.44
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
Blake Wood ('18)	1.4	72	21.7%	11.2%	0.90	4.47
Bill Kelso ('64-'68, 1 WAR*)	1.0	67	23.1%*	11.6%*	1.09*	4.19*
Tyler Yates ('09)	1.2	62	19.7%	12.0%	0.94	5.12
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57