Adam Fogel
OF Birmingham Barons| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 27 | AA/ROKCWS | 108 | .280/.362/.581 | 7 | 2 | 104 | — | .242/.306/.496 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 28 | MLBCWS | 2 | .225/.286/.377 | 0 | 0 | 84 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ23% MLB | 29 | MLBCWS | 27 | .223/.285/.372 | 1 | 0 | 83 | -0.0 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 91 | 80 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 250 | 326 | 512 | 838 | 262 | 288 | 26 | 8 | 358 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | ROK | ACL White Sox | — | 17 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 462 | 562 | 1.000 | 1.562 | 538 | 364 | 6 | 18 | 603 | 220 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 91 | 82 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 207 | 270 | 415 | 684 | 207 | 259 | 32 | 5 | 289 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | ROK MLE | ACL White Sox | — | 17 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 429 | 500 | 929 | 1.429 | 500 | 262 | 6 | 12 | 494 | 220 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 108 | 97 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 237 | 295 | 485 | 780 | 247 | 274 | 29 | 6 | 321 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 108 | 93 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 280 | 362 | 581 | 943 | 301 | 302 | 23 | 9 | 397 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 108 | 99 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 295 | 475 | 770 | 242 | 259 | 29 | 6 | 321 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 108 | 99 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 295 | 475 | 770 | 242 | 259 | 29 | 6 | 321 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB MLE | CWS | 2% | 200 | 183 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 57 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 224 | 285 | 374 | 658 | 150 | 290 | 28 | 6 | 293 | 84 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB CTX | CWS | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 225 | 286 | 377 | 663 | 152 | 291 | 50 | 0 | 294 | 84 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 29 | MLB MLE | CWS | 23% | 120 | 110 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 222 | 284 | 369 | 653 | 147 | 289 | 28 | 7 | 291 | 83 | -2 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB CTX | CWS | 23% | 27 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 285 | 372 | 657 | 149 | 290 | 30 | 7 | 292 | 83 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 27 | 25 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 259 | 360 | 619 | 160 | 250 | 30 | 7 | 292 | 90 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -0 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 602 | 120 | 24 | 0 | 24 | 48 | 193 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 199 | 258 | 359 | 617 | 159 | 249 | 30 | 7 | 292 | 90 | -13 | +0 | -8 | -4 | +14 | -1.1 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 312 | 284 | 64 | 15 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 89 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 225 | 286 | 401 | 687 | 176 | 283 | 29 | 6 | 302 | 90 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -1 | +4 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 592 | 133 | 31 | 2 | 23 | 42 | 185 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 225 | 285 | 400 | 685 | 176 | 282 | 28 | 6 | 302 | 90 | -13 | +1 | -4 | -4 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AABirmingham Barons · 91 PAwOBA .352 → .289 (−63)K% 26.4% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.37% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 32.18% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.968 | 5.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.20% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.968 | 1.79% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.07% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.036 | ×0.968 | 14.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.71% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.036 | ×0.968 | 9.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×1.036 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.93% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.968 | 6.91% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.036.
Result: wOBA .352 → .289; ISO .263 → .212; BABIP .288 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 ROKACL White Sox · 17 PAwOBA .623 → .494 (−129)K% 5.9% → 8.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 8.47% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.940 | 10.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.940 | 19.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 5.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.940 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.940 | 12.22% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 19.5 → −6.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (8.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .623 → .494; ISO .538 → .449; BABIP .364 → .262. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).