Will Frisch — OGILVIE

Will Frisch P Myrtle Beach Pelicans

Age 27 RHP 6'0" / 222 lbs A

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 60 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 152144vR 136

ERA6.26

FIP6.26

K%16.2%

BB%20.0%

K-BB%-3.8%

ROS IP60

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2020

CMD2525

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	4	6	30	4	7	0	100%	1.4	13.3%	23.3%	-10.0%	0.0%	11.12	4.93	—
2024	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	4	4	6	30	4	7	0	100%	1.4	13.3%	23.3%	-10.0%	0.0%	11.12	4.93	—
2024	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	4	4	6	30	4	7	0	100%	1.4	13.3%	23.3%	-10.0%	0.0%	11.12	5.39	—
2025	25	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	12	12	45	209	45	37	3	100%	3.8	15.9%	20.9%	-5.0%	2.0%	5.40	5.51	—
2025	25	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	12	12	45	209	45	37	3	100%	3.8	15.9%	20.9%	-5.0%	2.0%	5.40	5.51	—
2025	25	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	12	12	45	209	45	37	3	100%	3.8	21.5%	17.7%	3.8%	1.4%	5.40	4.43	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	CHC	10	10	60	253	41	51	7	100%	6.0	16.2%	20.0%	-3.8%	2.9%	6.26	6.26	-0.9
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	CHC	10	10	58	244	41	46	7	100%	5.8	16.8%	19.1%	-2.3%	3.0%	6.12	6.15	-0.8
2029	29	MLB MLE	CHC	9	9	55	233	40	43	7	100%	6.1	17.0%	18.6%	-1.5%	3.2%	6.08	6.15	-0.8
2028	28	MLB CTX	CHC	4	4	21	89	15	17	3	100%	5.2	16.8%	19.1%	-2.3%	3.0%	6.12	6.15	-0.3
2029	29	MLB CTX	CHC	5	5	30	127	22	23	4	100%	6.0	17.0%	18.6%	-1.5%	3.2%	6.08	6.15	-0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		9	9	51	216	37	41	7	100%	5.7	16.9%	18.8%	-1.8%	3.1%	6.10	5.77	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		33	33	200	844	145	160	27	100%	6.0	16.9%	18.8%	-1.8%	3.1%	6.10	5.77	-1.9
Career	—	MLE		16	16	51	239	37	51	4	100%	3.2	15.6%	21.2%	-5.6%	1.8%	6.04	5.44	-1.6
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	63	200	943	147	200	17	100%	3.2	15.6%	21.2%	-5.6%	1.8%	6.04	5.44	-2.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Will Frisch (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.26	16.2%	20.0%	2.9%	—	6.15	16.9%	-1.9%	113	-0.11	—	—	—
Noah Song R 2023 · 6.06 FIP	26	SP	6.06	12.0%	13.2%	4.2%	.239	3.80	19.8%	8.3%	116	-2.26	3.68	138	72
Connor Jones R 2022 · 5.50 FIP	27	SP	5.50	15.1%	15.7%	3.1%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.77	402	68
Matt Palmer R 2008 · 5.81 FIP	29	SP	5.81	4.5%	17.9%	1.5%	.314	4.33	12.8%	2.4%	171	-1.48	2.98	183	66
Jake Bockenstedt R 2024 · 6.05 FIP	24	SP	6.05	17.0%	13.1%	5.0%	.322	4.35	16.8%	5.4%	126	-1.70	3.74	218	66
Luis Niebla R 2017 · 5.12 FIP	26	SP-	5.12	11.6%	13.2%	2.4%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.37	156	66
Jonathon Crawford R 2017 · 6.93 FIP	25	SP	6.93	7.8%	20.7%	3.4%	.273	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	125	66
Noah Bremer R 2023 · 5.82 FIP	27	SP	5.82	13.1%	11.9%	4.2%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	3.19	271	64
Johnny Hellweg R 2016 · 5.43 FIP	27	SP	5.43	8.9%	14.1%	2.4%	.370	2.98	20.2%	7.7%	27	-2.45	2.98	140	63
Marcel Rentería R 2022 · 6.43 FIP	27	SP	6.43	20.6%	17.3%	5.3%	.450	3.91	15.9%	3.7%	28	-2.52	3.91	194	62
Alex Blackford R 2017 · 5.59 FIP	26	SP	5.59	14.9%	12.5%	4.0%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	229	61
Blair Henley R 2024 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP	5.41	17.2%	12.4%	4.0%	.318	—	—	—	—	—	3.97	187	61
Riley Thompson R 2023 · 5.76 FIP	27	SP-	5.76	18.5%	12.9%	4.7%	.284	4.48	17.6%	8.7%	107	-1.28	4.48	340	60
Asher Wojciechowski R 2016 · 5.40 FIP	27	SP	5.40	13.5%	11.0%	3.7%	.315	4.71	22.2%	14.4%	379	-0.69	3.15	678	59
Mark Appel R 2017 · 5.14 FIP	26	SP	5.14	13.8%	14.6%	2.5%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.22	363	59
Clay Condrey R 2003 · 5.41 FIP	27	SP-	5.41	14.9%	10.1%	4.2%	.303	4.07	13.1%	7.4%	29	-1.34	3.18	250	58
Keyvius Sampson R 2017 · 5.08 FIP	26	SP-	5.08	19.6%	16.4%	2.8%	.333	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	316	58
Kurt Ainsworth R 2004 · 5.84 FIP	25	SP	5.84	13.2%	13.2%	4.0%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	125	58
David Fletcher R 2024 · 5.67 FIP	30	SP-	5.67	7.5%	10.3%	3.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	5.67	100	57
Adam Oller R 2022 · 5.45 FIP	27	SP-	5.45	15.6%	11.9%	3.9%	.289	5.15	19.5%	9.5%	229	-0.30	3.47	670	57
Samuel Deduno R 2012 · 5.22 FIP	29	SP	5.22	16.4%	15.3%	2.9%	.260	3.94	16.6%	7.2%	230	-1.28	2.99	327	57

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 754 reliever careers (1990-2025).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	16.6%	19.2%	1.18	6.16
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Doug Bochtler ('00)	1.3	65	18.6%	14.4%	1.25	4.57
Matt Perisho ('05)	1.4	69	15.2%	12.2%	1.37	6.39
Paul Spoljaric ('00)	1.4	69	22.1%	12.9%	1.33	5.52