Amos Willingham
P
Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp
Age 27
RHP
6'4" / 223 lbs
AAA
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 56 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 132123vR 113
ERA5.03
FIP5.00
K%20.5%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%10.3%
ROS IP56
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 93 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p6895.8
Whiff%
p2221.3%
K%
p1012.9%
xwOBA vs
p100.394
FB (65%)
CT (20%)
SL-1.2 (15%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 60 | 267 | 56 | 24 | 10 | 0% | 2.1 | 15.7% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.92 | 5.82 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 60 | 267 | 56 | 24 | 10 | 0% | 2.1 | 21.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 3.7% | 4.92 | 4.59 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 29 | 0 | 34 | 145 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.2% | 5.6% | 15.7% | 0.7% | 3.41 | 2.39 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Wilmington Blue Rocks | 29 | 0 | 34 | 145 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 27.6% | 4.8% | 22.8% | 0.7% | 3.41 | 1.76 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 46 | 0 | 60 | 262 | 51 | 20 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 15.5% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 3.90 | 5.13 | -0.4 |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 46 | 0 | 60 | 262 | 51 | 20 | 9 | 0% | 1.3 | 19.5% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 3.4% | 3.90 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 0 | 69 | 298 | 72 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.3% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 1.9% | 3.89 | 3.58 | +0.9 |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 56 | 0 | 69 | 298 | 72 | 27 | 6 | 0% | 1.2 | 24.2% | 9.1% | 15.1% | 2.0% | 3.89 | 3.32 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 34 | 3 | 56 | 247 | 64 | 18 | 11 | 9% | 1.6 | 20.9% | 7.6% | 13.4% | 5.6% | 5.17 | 5.34 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 4 levels | 34 | 3 | 56 | 247 | 64 | 18 | 11 | 9% | 1.6 | 25.9% | 7.3% | 18.6% | 4.5% | 5.17 | 4.34 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Sugar Land Space Cowboys | 32 | 0 | 37 | 164 | 28 | 30 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 15.0% | 19.2% | -4.2% | 2.0% | 4.14 | 5.37 | -0.4 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | HOU | 53 | 0 | 56 | 236 | 48 | 24 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 5.03 | 5.00 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | HOU | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 5.03 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 93 | 400 | 76 | 54 | 11 | — | — | 19.1% | 13.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 4.67 | 5.15 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 6 | 24 | 5 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 20.5% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 5.03 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 52 | 0 | 54 | 229 | 47 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 4.99 | 5.02 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 49 | 0 | 52 | 219 | 44 | 23 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 5.05 | 5.12 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | HOU | 22 | 0 | 23 | 97 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 3.6% | 4.99 | 5.02 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | HOU | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.2% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 5.05 | 5.12 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 75 | 0 | 85 | 371 | 67 | 33 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 5.65 | 5.38 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 178 | 0 | 200 | 878 | 158 | 78 | 43 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.1% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 5.65 | 5.38 | +0.1 | ||
| Career | — | 226 | 3 | 317 | 1383 | 253 | 138 | 48 | 1% | 1.4 | 18.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 4.29 | 4.71 | +2.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 143 | 2 | 200 | 873 | 160 | 87 | 30 | 1% | 1.4 | 18.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 4.29 | 4.71 | +1.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Amos Willingham (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.00 | 20.5% | 10.2% | 3.6% | — | 5.07 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 106 | +0.07 | — | — | — |
| José A. Váldez R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.52 | 21.6% | 8.3% | 4.0% | .325 | 4.07 | 18.8% | 6.4% | 153 | -0.45 | 4.02 | 328 | 80 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 80 |
| Jay Flaa R 2026 · 4.92 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.92 | 19.4% | 9.8% | 4.0% | .300 | 4.86 | 22.8% | 4.7% | 36 | -0.06 | 3.52 | 273 | 79 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.39 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.65 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.26 | 4.39 | 101 | 79 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 5.10 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.10 | 20.3% | 12.3% | 3.9% | .191 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 131 | -0.90 | 2.32 | 676 | 79 |
| Brett McKinney R 2025 · 5.06 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.06 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 4.1% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.42 | 183 | 78 |
| Ty Adcock R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.84 | 21.3% | 10.3% | 2.2% | .405 | 4.57 | 21.0% | 12.4% | 37 | +0.73 | 3.84 | 102 | 78 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 78 |
| Pierce Johnson R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.93 | 22.4% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .269 | 3.14 | 32.2% | 22.0% | 79 | -0.79 | 2.83 | 577 | 78 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 78 |
| Bo Schultz R 2028 · 4.31 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.31 | 18.3% | 7.9% | 3.2% | .218 | 3.45 | 15.1% | 8.9% | 77 | -0.86 | 2.73 | 141 | 77 |
| Lucas Erceg R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.8% | 14.0% | 2.5% | .339 | 2.99 | 24.6% | 15.7% | 193 | -1.52 | 2.09 | 339 | 77 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 77 |
| Hunter Parsons R 2025 · 5.03 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.03 | 22.8% | 10.9% | 4.5% | .274 | 6.73 | 25.5% | 9.0% | 29 | +1.70 | 4.95 | 183 | 77 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.51 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.8% | .355 | 4.54 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | +0.03 | 3.57 | 187 | 77 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% | .341 | 4.97 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | +0.01 | 3.75 | 223 | 77 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 77 |
| Carter Rustad R 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 77 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 77 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 54 | 20.4% | 10.3% | 1.40 | 5.02 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Roansy Contreras ('24) | 3 | 77 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.36 | 4.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |