Rafael Escalante

C FCL Twins

Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2023	21	ROKPIT	115	.256/.412/.367	2	1	57	—	.192/.298/.283
2025	23	ROKMIN	18	.308/.500/.538	1	0	99	—	.200/.333/.400
2027PROJ0% MLB	25	MLBMIN	200	.203/.295/.311	5	2	74	0.1
2028PROJ30% MLB	26	MLBMIN	29	.205/.296/.316	1	0	76	0.0
2029PROJ42% MLB	27	MLBMIN	81	.206/.296/.318	2	1	76	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+4

CompsBrian O'Keefe (age 25) · William Simoneit (age 25) · Jakson Reetz (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 56 proj PA

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.201 / .292 / .308

PA56

HR1

K%32

BB%11

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	DSL Pirates 1	—	112	87	18	5	2	3	15	13	9	2	4	207	378	414	792	207	208	12	13	359	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	DSL PIT Black	—	111	91	25	5	0	0	15	18	5	4	1	275	405	330	735	55	342	16	14	348	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	121	93	21	8	2	0	24	23	4	0	1	226	405	355	760	129	300	19	20	357	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	115	90	23	4	0	2	23	15	1	1	1	256	412	367	779	111	284	13	20	361	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK	FCL Twins	—	18	13	4	0	0	1	5	4	0	0	0	308	500	538	1.038	231	375	22	28	460	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates 1	—	112	91	12	3	1	2	11	16	9	2	4	132	288	253	541	121	126	14	10	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Black	—	111	96	16	3	0	0	10	23	5	4	1	167	279	198	477	31	210	21	9	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	121	102	16	6	1	0	15	31	4	0	1	157	289	235	525	78	220	26	12	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	115	99	19	3	0	2	14	23	1	1	1	192	298	283	581	91	211	20	12	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	18	15	3	0	0	1	3	6	0	0	0	200	333	400	733	200	277	33	17	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates 1	—	112	91	12	3	1	2	11	16	9	2	4	132	288	253	541	121	135	14	10	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates 1	—	112	87	18	5	2	3	15	13	9	2	4	207	378	414	792	207	208	12	13	359	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Black	—	111	96	16	3	0	0	10	23	5	4	1	167	279	198	477	31	219	21	9	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	DSL PIT Black	—	111	91	25	5	0	0	15	18	5	4	1	275	405	330	735	55	342	16	14	348	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	121	102	16	6	1	0	15	31	4	0	1	157	289	235	525	78	225	26	12	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	—	121	93	21	8	2	0	24	23	4	0	1	226	405	355	760	129	300	19	20	357	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	115	99	19	3	0	2	14	23	1	1	1	192	298	283	581	91	227	20	12	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	FCL Pirates	—	115	90	23	4	0	2	23	15	1	1	1	256	412	367	779	111	284	13	20	361	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	18	15	3	0	0	1	3	6	0	0	0	200	333	400	733	200	250	33	17	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK RAW	FCL Twins	—	18	13	4	0	0	1	5	4	0	0	0	308	500	538	1.038	231	375	22	28	460	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates 1	—	112	91	12	3	1	2	11	16	9	2	4	132	288	253	541	121	126	14	10	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL PIT Black	—	111	95	16	3	0	0	10	23	5	4	1	168	279	200	479	32	210	21	9	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	121	101	16	6	1	0	15	31	4	0	1	158	289	238	527	79	220	26	12	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Pirates	—	115	99	19	3	0	2	14	23	1	1	1	192	298	283	581	91	211	20	12	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	18	15	3	0	0	1	3	6	0	0	0	200	333	400	733	200	277	33	17	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	23	ROK MLE	FCL Twins	—	18	15	3	0	0	1	3	6	0	0	0	200	333	400	733	200	277	33	17	314	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIN	0%	200	175	37	4	1	5	22	64	1	2	1	203	295	311	606	108	287	32	11	278	74	-6	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIN	30%	95	84	17	2	0	2	10	30	1	1	0	205	296	316	612	111	287	32	11	280	76	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIN	42%	196	172	36	4	1	5	21	61	1	1	1	206	296	318	614	112	286	31	11	281	76	-6	-0	+0	+4	+4	0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIN	48%	267	235	49	6	1	6	28	83	2	1	1	206	295	318	613	111	286	31	10	280	76	-8	-0	-1	+5	+6	0.2
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIN	49%	308	271	56	7	1	7	32	95	2	0	1	206	294	316	609	110	284	31	10	278	75	-9	-0	-1	+6	+7	0.1
2032	30	MLB MLE	MIN	50%	335	296	60	7	1	7	34	103	2	0	0	205	291	312	604	108	283	31	10	276	73	-11	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.0
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIN	30%	29	26	6	1	0	1	3	9	0	0	0	205	296	316	612	111	287	31	10	280	76	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIN	42%	81	72	15	2	0	2	9	25	0	1	0	206	296	318	615	112	287	31	11	281	76	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIN	48%	127	112	24	3	1	3	13	39	1	0	0	206	295	318	613	112	286	31	10	280	76	-4	+0	-0	+2	+3	0.1
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIN	49%	152	134	27	3	1	3	16	47	1	0	0	206	294	316	610	110	284	31	11	279	75	-5	+0	-1	+3	+3	0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	MIN	50%	168	148	31	4	1	4	17	52	1	0	0	205	291	313	604	108	283	31	10	276	73	-5	+0	-1	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	557	492	103	13	3	13	58	172	3	1	0	209	297	327	624	118	290	31	10	279	67	-17	+0	-2	+10	+12	0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	120	15	4	15	68	201	4	1	0	209	298	328	625	118	290	31	10	279	67	-20	+0	-2	+12	+14	0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	1734	1511	293	42	6	33	184	489	27	10	10	194	293	295	588	101	261	28	11	268	67	-38	-1	-4	+22	+27	0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	566	109	16	2	12	69	183	10	4	4	193	291	292	583	99	259	28	11	268	67	-20	-0	-2	+12	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Paul Richards'32-'46 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,602 PA	2.4	1,602	15	15	218*	296*	337*	+29	+0	2.3	2.5
/162	664	6	6	+11.9	+0.0	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#6Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	0.9	613	14	2	206	291	317	+11	+12	0.9	0.9
/162	664	15	2	+11.9	+13.0	1.0	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Rafael Escalante (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	201/292/308	107	287	1	0	32%	11%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Brian O'Keefe 2018 · A	25	41→42	47→50	45→40	45	212/273/345	133	269	15	5	27%	7%	74	-0.5	208/277/340	132	263	14	4	26%	8%	74	-0.5	205/273/347	142	263	18	2	29%	8%	71	-0.5
✕William Simoneit 2022 · A	25	46	44→45	50→45	43	224/291/342	118	314	12	8	31%	8%	80	-0.1	208/283/321	113	306	11	6	33%	8%	73	-0.6	184/264/295	111	281	11	4	36%	7%	59	-0.7
✕Jakson Reetz 2021 · A	25	42→33	46→55	44→45	42	208/286/332	125	292	14	5	32%	7%	77	-0.3	196/273/349	153	268	18	5	33%	6%	76	-0.4	198/277/386	187	246	23	4	29%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Matt Liuzza 2009 · A	25	43→42	45	45→30	41	210/272/331	121	308	12	3	34%	7%	70	-0.8	212/287/342	130	307	13	4	33%	9%	79	-0.2	195/288/337	142	273	16	2	32%	11%	75	-0.2
✕Ian Rice 2019 · AA	25	41→40	48→50	44→30	49	209/298/350	141	280	16	3	30%	10%	85	+0.2	200/274/302	102	285	10	5	31%	8%	65	-1.2	158/229/219	60	230	5	0	31%	7%	30	-1.7
✕Jeferson Morales 2024 · A	25	40→47	45	51→50	45	202/283/328	127	268	13	10	28%	8%	75	-0.5	225/294/348	123	279	11	8	22%	7%	82	+0.0	227/297/352	126	275	11	7	21%	6%	82	+0.0
✕Zach Wright 2015 · A	25	42→44	44→45	45→40	41	208/273/319	111	295	13	5	33%	7%	68	-1.0	201/275/312	111	287	10	8	32%	7%	68	-1.0	151/249/258	106	210	8	9	30%	8%	45	-0.8
✕Scott Manea 2021 · A	25	40→42	46→45	39→30	41	204/281/329	125	266	14	4	28%	6%	75	-0.5	214/297/320	106	302	10	3	30%	9%	78	-0.3	204/295/299	95	291	10	0	30%	10%	69	-0.5
✕Braxton Fulford 2024 · AA	25	43→41	46→50	49→50	43	213/294/344	130	292	14	9	30%	8%	82	+0.0	212/286/353	141	292	15	11	31%	7%	81	-0.1	202/279/347	145	279	15	13	31%	7%	75	-0.2
✕Vito Friscia 2022 · A	25	45	42→45	51→40	44	210/288/314	104	325	10	6	36%	9%	73	-0.6	211/294/332	121	308	12	4	32%	10%	79	-0.2	193/284/314	122	272	12	0	31%	10%	70	-0.5
✕Nick Cimillo 2024 · A	24	42→37	49→55	47→40	45	211/291/359	149	291	16	5	32%	9%	84	+0.2	206/277/378	172	264	21	5	29%	8%	84	+0.1	191/263/365	174	240	22	3	30%	8%	73	-0.4
✕Jimmy Glowenke 2024 · AA	25	43→38	46→45	49→45	43	212/287/341	128	289	13	5	30%	7%	79	-0.2	201/276/303	102	266	10	8	27%	7%	66	-1.1	163/244/240	77	216	8	6	27%	6%	38	-2.1
✕Ryan Ortiz 2013 · AA	25	41	43→45	48→40	50	201/289/307	105	266	11	5	27%	10%	72	-0.7	199/288/295	96	278	8	4	29%	10%	69	-0.9	187/284/271	85	264	7	0	29%	10%	59	-0.8
✕Dusty Brown 2006 · A	24	43	45	44→30	45	215/278/336	122	282	13	5	28%	8%	74	-0.6	219/275/334	115	288	12	3	27%	7%	72	-0.7	231/294/342	111	311	11	0	28%	7%	78	-0.1
✕Logan Driscoll 2023 · A	25	41→46	45	48→40	41	205/269/325	120	285	13	6	32%	7%	68	-1.0	226/281/343	117	304	11	5	28%	6%	76	-0.4	230/288/345	115	310	11	3	28%	6%	77	-0.2
✕Wade Wass 2016 · A	24	43	46→50	45	42	211/287/345	134	309	13	3	34%	8%	80	-0.2	204/280/339	135	318	15	9	38%	7%	76	-0.4	194/275/334	140	305	17	11	39%	7%	71	-0.4
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2018 · A	25	40→36	47→50	46→50	37	204/264/341	138	292	15	11	34%	6%	70	-0.8	219/295/368	149	305	17	8	32%	8%	88	+0.4	214/313/385	172	279	23	2	30%	11%	101	+0.5
✕Jaxx Groshans 2022 · A	24	46	47→50	47→30	46	228/292/362	134	300	15	4	28%	8%	84	+0.2	198/263/320	122	284	13	5	33%	8%	65	-1.2	121/197/239	117	168	13	0	36%	8%	20	-1.5
✕Shane Selman 2022 · A	25	43	48→50	45	45	214/290/352	138	304	16	8	33%	9%	82	+0.0	200/267/341	141	297	17	7	36%	7%	72	-0.7	161/228/311	150	227	20	3	38%	6%	49	-1.2
✕Edgar Cabral 2021 · A	25	42	44→40	47→30	41	209/265/321	113	285	11	6	30%	6%	65	-1.2	199/266/288	89	314	7	8	36%	8%	58	-1.7	192/273/260	67	333	0	0	38%	9%	53	-0.4

Rafael Escalante

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps