Owen Caissie

RF Miami Marlins

Age 25 L/R 6'4" / 190 lbs MLB HR -10%H -3% Svc 0.198 · Ctrl thru 2032

Overview

MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2033

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	22	AAACHC	549	.278/.377/.472	19	11	91	—	.234/.313/.377
2025	23	MLBCHC	27	.192/.222/.346	1	0	57	-0.5
2026	24	MLBMIA	330	.220/.295/.412	14	5	102	0.5
2027PROJ	25	MLBMIA	380	.213/.290/.386	14	6	97	0.5
2028PROJ82% MLB	26	MLBMIA	340	.215/.292/.394	13	5	99	0.5
2029PROJ82% MLB	27	MLBMIA	345	.213/.291/.391	14	5	98	0.5

Last 3 seasons WAR -0.0 · Next 3 projected WAR 1.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2032Service0.198First FA2033

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Arb-1$2M2031Arb-2$2M2032Arb-3$2M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2025-2026

Barrel%90

Whiff%90

Chase%90

Bat Spd85

Avg EV75

Speed71

Form.216/.297/.388 · rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .221/.295/.404

CompsJack Suwinski (age 25) · MJ Melendez (age 25) · Andrew Lambo (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†97

AVG/OBP/SLG.213 / .290 / .386

PA380

HR14

SB6

K%32

BB%9

BABIP282

ISO171

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 40 / POW 66

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

901.8%

xAVG

100.209

POWER66

Barrel%

9014.1

Avg EV

7590.8

Bat Spd

8575.0

EYE52

Chase%

903.3%

SPEED42

Sprint

7128.3

DEFENSE49

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%33%·33% over 33 PA (60d) · proj 32%

BB%9%▲12% over 33 PA (60d) · proj 9%

ISO.172▼.107 over 28 AB (60d) · proj .184

BABIP.291·.176 over 17 BIP (60d) · proj .293

SLASH.216/.297/.388·proj .221/.295/.404

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2025

Service 0.198 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.7	$3M	+$2M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2030	Arb-1	$2M	+0.3	$1.0M	+$0.0M (cut)
2031	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$2M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	19	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	90	73	17	4	0	1	16	28	0	0	0	233	371	329	700	96	356	31	18	325	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	136	109	38	7	1	6	26	39	1	1	2	349	478	596	1.074	248	500	29	19	468	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	433	378	96	21	1	11	50	124	5	11	6	254	349	402	751	148	350	29	12	340	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	63	59	13	5	0	1	4	24	0	3	0	220	270	356	626	136	353	38	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	528	439	127	31	2	22	76	164	7	7	9	289	402	519	922	230	407	31	14	402	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	549	472	131	29	3	19	71	156	4	11	2	278	377	472	849	195	375	28	13	376	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB	Chicago Cubs	—	27	26	5	1	0	1	1	11	0	0	0	192	222	346	568	154	286	41	4	251	57	-1	+0	+1	-5	+1	-0.5
2025	23	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	433	370	106	28	2	22	57	121	4	5	4	286	387	551	939	265	367	28	13	408	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	330	291	64	14	0	14	27	123	4	5	1	220	295	412	707	192	309	37	8	307	102	+1	+1	-0	-4	+7	0.5
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	357	317	69	15	0	15	28	134	4	5	1	218	289	407	696	189	307	38	8	303	91	-4	+1	+1	-8	+8	-0.3
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	19	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	90	77	14	3	0	1	12	40	0	0	0	182	292	260	552	78	337	44	13	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	136	120	28	5	1	4	15	57	1	1	2	233	324	392	715	158	393	42	11	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	433	390	82	16	1	9	38	157	5	11	6	210	289	326	614	115	325	36	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	528	464	119	29	2	17	51	199	7	7	9	256	339	438	777	181	390	38	10	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	549	491	115	25	3	13	52	188	4	11	2	234	313	377	689	143	346	34	9	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	MLB MLE	Chicago Cubs	—	27	26	5	1	0	1	1	11	0	0	0	192	222	346	568	154	286	41	4	252	57	-1	+0	+1	-5	+1	-0.5
2025	23	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	433	386	93	23	2	14	41	147	4	5	4	241	320	420	740	179	343	34	9	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	330	291	67	15	0	15	27	123	4	5	1	230	304	436	741	206	309	37	8	319	102	+1	+1	-0	-4	+7	0.5
2021	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	226	197	42	8	1	5	27	96	1	1	2	213	311	340	651	127	381	42	12	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	226	182	55	11	1	7	42	67	1	1	2	302	436	489	925	187	440	30	19	411	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	496	448	94	19	1	10	43	180	5	14	6	210	286	324	610	114	326	36	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	496	437	109	26	1	12	54	148	5	14	6	249	339	396	735	146	350	30	11	332	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	528	464	119	29	2	17	51	199	7	7	9	256	339	438	777	181	403	38	10	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA RAW	Tennessee Smokies	—	528	439	127	31	2	22	76	164	7	7	9	289	402	519	922	230	407	31	14	402	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	549	491	115	25	3	13	52	188	4	11	2	234	313	377	689	143	349	34	9	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	—	549	472	131	29	3	19	71	156	4	11	2	278	377	472	849	195	375	28	13	376	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	460	412	98	24	2	15	42	158	4	5	4	238	314	415	729	177	344	34	9	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	460	396	111	29	2	23	58	132	4	5	4	280	378	538	916	258	362	29	13	399	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	330	291	67	15	0	15	27	123	4	5	1	230	304	436	741	206	323	37	8	319	102	+1	+1	-0	-4	+7	0.5
2026	24	MLB RAW	Miami Marlins	—	330	291	64	14	0	14	27	123	4	5	1	220	295	412	707	192	309	37	8	307	102	+1	+1	-0	-4	+7	0.5
2021	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	226	196	42	8	1	5	27	96	1	1	2	214	311	342	653	128	371	42	12	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	496	445	94	19	1	10	43	180	5	14	6	211	286	326	612	115	325	36	9	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	528	465	119	29	2	17	51	199	7	7	9	256	339	437	776	181	390	38	10	334	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	549	488	115	25	3	13	52	188	4	11	2	236	313	379	692	143	346	34	9	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	460	411	98	24	2	15	42	158	4	5	4	238	314	416	730	178	340	34	9	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	330	296	67	15	0	15	27	123	4	5	1	226	304	429	733	203	309	37	8	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	549	488	115	25	3	13	52	188	4	11	2	236	313	379	692	143	346	34	9	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	460	411	98	24	2	15	42	158	4	5	4	238	314	416	730	178	340	34	9	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	24	MLB MLE	Miami Marlins	—	330	296	67	15	0	15	27	123	4	5	1	226	304	429	733	203	309	37	8	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	MIA	100%	380	340	75	15	1	15	33	123	4	6	1	221	298	404	702	183	293	32	9	311	97	-2	+1	+1	-4	+8	0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	MIA	100%	380	340	72	14	1	14	33	123	4	6	1	213	290	386	676	173	282	32	9	301	97	-2	+1	+1	-4	+8	0.5
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	MIA	82%	415	372	83	17	1	17	36	134	4	7	2	223	299	414	713	191	293	32	9	315	99	-0	+1	+1	-4	+9	0.6
2029	27	MLB MLE	MIA	82%	421	377	83	17	1	17	37	137	4	6	1	222	298	411	709	189	292	33	9	313	98	-1	+1	+1	-5	+9	0.6
2030	28	MLB MLE	MIA	82%	422	378	83	17	1	17	37	138	4	5	1	219	296	405	701	186	291	33	9	310	96	-2	+1	+1	-5	+9	0.4
2031	29	MLB MLE	MIA	82%	414	371	81	16	1	17	36	136	4	4	1	217	293	398	691	182	289	33	9	306	93	-3	+0	-0	-4	+9	0.2
2032	30	MLB MLE	MIA	82%	407	365	79	16	1	16	35	135	4	2	1	213	289	390	678	177	286	33	9	301	90	-5	+0	-1	-4	+9	-0.1
2028	26	MLB CTX	MIA	82%	340	303	64	12	1	13	30	110	4	5	1	215	292	394	686	180	282	32	9	305	99	-0	+1	+1	-4	+7	0.5
2029	27	MLB CTX	MIA	82%	345	308	67	13	1	14	30	112	4	5	1	213	291	391	682	178	282	32	9	303	98	-1	+1	+1	-4	+7	0.5
2030	28	MLB CTX	MIA	82%	346	310	66	13	1	13	30	113	3	4	1	211	289	386	675	175	280	33	9	300	96	-2	+0	+0	-4	+7	0.3
2031	29	MLB CTX	MIA	82%	339	304	64	12	1	13	29	112	3	3	1	209	286	380	665	171	278	33	9	296	93	-3	+0	-0	-4	+7	0.1
2032	30	MLB CTX	MIA	82%	334	299	62	12	1	12	29	111	3	2	1	205	282	372	653	166	275	33	9	291	90	-4	+0	-1	-4	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2061	1841	392	77	5	80	176	692	21	24	6	213	289	391	680	178	287	34	9	300	95	-13	+2	+2	-27	+45	1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	124	24	2	25	56	218	7	8	2	213	291	391	682	177	288	34	9	300	95	-4	+1	+1	-8	+14	0.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5048	4506	1019	218	15	174	456	1747	49	73	31	226	304	397	701	171	323	35	9	308	95	-16	+4	+4	-35	+61	1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	131	28	2	22	59	225	6	9	4	226	304	395	699	169	323	35	9	308	95	-4	+1	+1	-8	+14	0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Duvalllast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,723 PA	5.6	3,723	195	22	227	287	459	-31	+11	11.0	11.8
/162	664	35	4	-5.5	+2.0	2.0	pk7: 13
#2Willie Kirkland'58-'66 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,882 PA	5.8	3,882	148	52	237*	302*	437*	-37	-0	8.1	8.5
/162	664	25	9	-6.3	-0.1	1.4	pk7: 9
#3Leroy Stanton'70-'78 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,883 PA	4.3	2,883	77	36	245*	314*	430*	-33	-1	6.5	7.8
/162	664	18	8	-7.7	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 9
#4Franklin Stubbs'84-'95 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,899 PA	4.4	2,899	104	74	229*	301*	428*	-43	+18	6.0	6.2
/162	664	24	17	-9.8	+4.2	1.4	pk7: 6
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.6	2,415	98	31	220	292	406	-26	-1	3.1	3.1
/162	664	27	8	-7.1	-0.1	0.9	pk7: 3
#6Dan Johnson'05-'15 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,625 PA	2.4	1,625	57	1	226*	330*	401*	-30	-3	2.2	2.8
/162	664	23	0	-12.2	-1.2	0.9	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Owen Caissie (OGILVIE)	25	36→40	63→66	43→42	52	219/295/401	182	293	15	6	32%	9%	97	+0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jack Suwinski 2023 · MLB	25	40→43	56→60	45→50	46	215/296/406	191	289	25	8	34%	10%	97	+1.1	209/298/399	190	280	25	13	33%	10%	97	+1.1	198/293/382	184	263	24	15	33%	11%	91	+0.5
✕MJ Melendez 2024 · MLB	25	44→48	54→60	43→50	52	229/311/411	181	285	21	6	27%	10%	103	+1.6	209/278/388	179	269	20	10	29%	8%	86	+0.3	194/263/380	185	247	22	10	31%	8%	77	-0.3
✕Andrew Lambo 2014 · MLB	25	44→51	57→60	47→45	40	235/286/431	196	301	25	6	31%	6%	99	+1.3	238/285/414	176	296	21	6	26%	6%	95	+0.9	241/287/398	157	290	16	4	23%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2024 · MLB	25	44→47	54→55	47→45	47	233/298/410	177	283	22	10	26%	8%	99	+1.2	215/280/367	152	258	18	7	24%	8%	82	-0.0	201/264/344	143	233	17	3	22%	7%	69	-0.5
✕Bobby Dalbec 2021 · MLB	26	39→42	58→60	42→50	43	212/294/410	198	292	27	5	36%	8%	98	+1.2	224/292/428	204	307	28	7	35%	7%	101	+1.4	212/285/410	198	297	28	9	37%	8%	94	+0.7
●Ryan Ward 2023 · AA	25	41→48	56→60	46→50	40	224/275/404	180	280	25	6	30%	6%	89	+0.5	221/277/397	176	284	22	10	29%	7%	88	+0.4	228/286/415	187	271	24	10	25%	7%	93	+0.8
✕Jason Cooper 2006 · AAA	25	42→40	54→55	42→45	41	223/284/400	177	297	22	6	32%	7%	91	+0.7	214/277/369	155	283	15	7	29%	7%	81	-0.1	207/275/358	152	266	13	7	27%	7%	76	-0.3
✕Rougned Odor 2020 · MLB	26	39→49	57→60	43→50	45	216/283/411	195	256	25	12	27%	8%	94	+0.9	207/276/393	186	248	25	7	28%	7%	87	+0.4	201/278/356	155	240	19	5	25%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Casper Wells 2011 · MLB	26	42→44	55→60	45→50	42	221/287/415	194	279	23	10	29%	7%	96	+1.0	226/296/407	181	287	20	8	28%	8%	97	+1.1	219/296/392	174	276	19	6	27%	8%	94	+0.4
✕Jeff Larish 2009 · MLB	26	45	53→55	42→45	47	232/303/407	176	288	21	5	27%	8%	99	+1.3	229/300/398	169	300	20	4	29%	9%	97	+1.1	219/295/388	169	288	21	2	30%	9%	92	+0.4
✕Wladimir Balentien 2009 · MLB	25	41→48	54→60	44→50	45	221/283/398	177	269	22	9	27%	8%	91	+0.6	233/290/411	178	281	21	9	25%	7%	96	+1.0	236/293/416	180	281	21	10	24%	7%	99	+0.8
✕Joe Koshansky 2007 · AA	25	45→48	58→55	41→40	42	238/295/436	198	299	27	4	30%	7%	104	+1.6	225/287/400	175	313	22	4	34%	8%	93	+0.8	207/274/378	171	296	21	4	36%	8%	81	-0.0
✕Jabari Blash 2015 · AAA	26	38→41	53→60	46→50	43	201/285/373	172	278	21	10	35%	8%	86	+0.3	210/303/398	188	293	24	7	35%	10%	99	+1.2	202/308/391	189	286	24	5	36%	11%	97	+0.8
✕AJ Reed 2018 · MLB	25	43→53	57→60	46→30	46	229/301/423	193	298	26	2	32%	9%	103	+1.5	205/274/379	174	280	23	3	34%	8%	83	+0.1	186/257/356	170	248	23	0	34%	8%	71	-0.6
✕Greg Bird 2018 · MLB	25	44→49	55→60	45→30	52	235/315/426	191	269	23	4	22%	10%	109	+2.0	214/300/386	172	263	20	4	26%	10%	94	+0.9	184/263/334	150	228	19	1	28%	9%	67	-0.6
●Matt Wallner 2023 · MLB	25	45→48	54→60	46→45	43	218/305/401	183	337	22	7	39%	10%	99	+1.3	226/320/433	207	318	25	6	35%	9%	112	+2.2	221/320/445	224	297	28	5	33%	10%	115	+2.0
✕Taylor Trammell 2023 · MLB	25	45→48	53→55	49→55	47	229/304/403	174	298	20	15	29%	9%	99	+1.3	216/305/385	169	292	20	19	31%	11%	96	+1.0	201/299/368	166	270	20	20	31%	11%	89	+0.3
✕Christin Stewart 2019 · MLB	25	43→48	54→55	49→45	48	224/300/401	177	279	22	3	28%	9%	97	+1.1	227/295/392	165	289	20	3	27%	8%	93	+0.8	206/284/366	160	277	20	5	32%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Matt Clark 2012 · AAA	25	44→45	53→55	40→30	42	231/289/398	167	303	22	2	31%	7%	93	+0.8	233/290/395	162	301	21	2	29%	7%	92	+0.7	223/279/384	161	274	22	0	27%	6%	84	+0.2
✕Josh Ockimey 2021 · AAA	25	40→46	54→50	42→30	49	205/301/384	179	295	22	4	36%	11%	94	+0.9	196/288/331	135	296	15	4	36%	11%	77	-0.3	177/275/300	123	265	14	2	36%	12%	63	-1.0

Owen Caissie

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps