Connor Dykstra

C Inland Empire 66ers

Age 26 R/R 6'1" / 230 lbs A K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	AModesto Nuts	232	.205/.358/.319	2	3	49	—	.155/.293/.237
2026	25	ASEA	251	.245/.401/.362	4	3	63	—	.184/.320/.272
2027PROJ0% MLB	26	MLBSEA	301	.183/.275/.267	3	4	58	0.0
2028PROJ26% MLB	27	MLBSEA	34	.183/.275/.268	0	0	59	-0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A

wOBA61

wRC+59

Chase%57

Speed51

Z-Con%50

BB%48

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsStuart Levy (age 26) · Connor Justus (age 26) · J.J. Franco (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 114 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.181 / .273 / .265

PA114

HR1

K%32

BB%7

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	24	A	Modesto Nuts	—	232	185	38	11	2	2	22	64	23	3	0	205	358	319	677	114	303	28	9	321	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A	Inland Empire 66ers	—	251	196	48	7	2	4	30	75	21	3	3	245	401	362	763	117	364	30	12	353	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	24	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	232	194	30	8	1	2	15	83	23	3	0	155	293	237	530	82	247	36	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	251	206	38	5	2	3	20	102	21	3	3	184	320	272	592	87	302	41	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	232	194	30	8	1	2	15	83	23	3	0	155	293	237	530	82	257	36	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A RAW	Modesto Nuts	—	232	185	38	11	2	2	22	64	23	3	0	205	358	319	677	114	303	28	9	321	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	251	206	38	5	2	3	20	102	21	3	3	184	320	272	592	87	333	41	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	—	251	196	48	7	2	4	30	75	21	3	3	245	401	362	763	117	364	30	12	353	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	232	192	30	8	1	2	15	83	23	3	0	156	293	240	533	83	247	36	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	251	208	38	5	2	3	20	102	21	3	3	183	320	269	589	87	302	41	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	24	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	232	192	30	8	1	2	15	83	23	3	0	156	293	240	533	83	247	36	6	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	—	251	208	38	5	2	3	20	102	21	3	3	183	320	269	589	87	302	41	8	261	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SEA	0%	301	264	49	10	2	3	22	95	12	4	1	183	275	267	542	84	268	32	7	254	58	-15	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	SEA	26%	132	116	21	4	1	1	10	41	5	2	1	185	276	272	548	86	269	31	8	256	59	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	27	MLB CTX	SEA	26%	34	31	5	1	0	0	2	11	1	0	0	183	275	268	543	85	266	32	6	254	59	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	34	31	5	1	0	0	2	11	1	0	0	161	235	194	429	32	250	32	6	254	57	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	95	19	0	0	38	210	19	0	0	160	234	192	426	32	248	32	6	254	57	-32	+0	+0	+12	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	729	617	108	21	5	7	53	262	53	10	4	175	296	259	555	84	285	36	7	252	57	-12	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	550	96	19	4	6	47	234	47	9	4	175	295	256	551	82	286	36	7	252	57	-32	+1	+0	+12	+14	-0.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Connor Dykstra (OGILVIE)	26	25	30	40	35	181/273/265	83	268	1	2	32%	7%	58	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	35	38→30	44→40	38	173/241/247	74	265	6	5	35%	6%	40	-3.0	190/250/278	88	303	8	7	37%	6%	50	-2.3	142/198/221	78	234	8	3	41%	6%	14	-1.0
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37	38→40	43→45	43	178/254/252	74	250	5	8	29%	7%	46	-2.6	193/256/269	76	288	5	7	32%	7%	50	-2.3	166/232/216	50	256	3	3	33%	6%	27	-2.1
✕J.J. Franco 2017 · A	25	40	36→30	37→45	42	192/243/253	62	256	3	5	26%	6%	40	-3.0	209/278/264	55	292	2	6	26%	8%	57	-1.8	211/288/246	35	294	0	4	26%	10%	54	-0.7
✕David Masters 2019 · A	26	37	41→45	38→40	44	187/256/276	90	258	9	2	30%	8%	52	-2.2	207/269/340	133	285	16	4	32%	7%	72	-0.7	192/250/352	160	250	22	2	33%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Beau Seabury 2011 · A	26	40	35→30	40→45	36	191/240/247	56	290	2	5	34%	5%	38	-3.2	214/265/307	93	307	8	6	31%	5%	62	-1.4	223/262/337	114	303	11	0	29%	4%	64	-0.3
✕Tim Roberson 2015 · A	26	39→35	41→40	46→30	36	198/236/294	97	278	9	2	32%	5%	47	-2.5	221/257/312	91	310	7	3	30%	4%	59	-1.6	241/275/329	88	330	6	1	28%	4%	65	-0.5
✕Lyle Lin 2023 · AA	26	40	35→30	43→40	41	190/249/248	58	270	3	4	29%	6%	42	-2.9	210/277/282	72	282	5	5	26%	6%	61	-1.5	162/233/177	16	197	0	4	16%	6%	20	-0.8
✕Andy Leer 2013 · A	25	34	37→30	39→45	39	166/235/230	64	269	5	5	38%	7%	34	-3.5	177/237/262	85	293	7	8	39%	7%	41	-3.0	136/185/219	82	223	8	7	41%	5%	10	-2.0
✕Nick Clarno 2024 · A	26	33	39→30	44→45	42	163/248/246	83	267	8	7	39%	9%	43	-2.8	186/257/279	93	288	9	10	36%	8%	53	-2.1	140/212/204	63	208	9	12	36%	7%	16	-1.0
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	32	42→40	49→45	42	169/233/265	96	237	10	5	32%	7%	40	-3.0	193/263/284	91	262	8	8	27%	8%	56	-1.9	178/258/254	76	233	6	7	25%	9%	45	-1.0
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	38→40	45→40	40	181/259/253	72	263	5	5	31%	6%	49	-2.4	196/275/282	86	273	7	6	29%	7%	61	-1.5	149/252/214	66	204	4	0	27%	8%	36	-0.7
✕Ricardo Valenzuela 2016 · A	25	40	38→30	44→50	44	192/249/266	75	242	5	5	23%	6%	47	-2.6	211/264/269	58	257	4	3	18%	6%	52	-2.2	221/269/269	47	257	5	0	16%	6%	52	-0.7
✕Jeff Kemp 2016 · A	26	43→44	38→40	43→45	37	208/252/291	83	287	5	5	29%	4%	53	-2.1	204/257/293	89	301	8	8	33%	6%	55	-1.9	148/213/219	70	234	10	10	39%	7%	21	-1.3
✕D.K. Carey 2017 · A	25	38→37	41→40	39→45	47	187/261/280	93	251	9	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/268/283	89	290	7	6	33%	9%	58	-1.7	162/248/230	68	259	4	2	36%	10%	37	-1.4
✕Jordan Procyshen 2019 · AA	26	39	38→40	38→40	40	190/250/268	78	279	6	4	33%	6%	47	-2.5	197/253/328	131	249	15	5	27%	6%	63	-1.4	166/233/306	140	198	19	4	28%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Chandler Seagle 2022 · AA	26	40	38→40	44→45	35	192/246/276	84	282	5	5	32%	4%	48	-2.5	189/239/268	79	291	6	6	35%	5%	43	-2.8	169/217/235	66	268	5	4	37%	5%	24	-1.5
✕Jon Townsend 2011 · A	26	41	41→40	44→50	37	201/258/294	92	301	10	9	35%	6%	57	-1.8	221/275/318	97	321	9	10	32%	6%	68	-1.0	235/282/321	86	329	8	9	29%	5%	70	-0.3
✕Brandon Van Horn 2019 · A	25	37→28	41→40	42→45	36	186/228/277	91	274	9	9	35%	5%	40	-3.0	180/225/261	81	295	7	6	39%	5%	36	-3.4	147/189/199	52	255	4	2	42%	4%	6	-3.3
✕John Nester 2014 · A	25	38	39→40	44→40	42	186/252/269	83	284	7	6	35%	8%	49	-2.4	204/262/292	88	306	6	6	33%	7%	57	-1.8	181/241/247	67	275	3	0	33%	7%	36	-1.2
✕Ryan Gridley 2021 · A	26	44	39→40	45	43	214/266/301	87	267	7	8	22%	6%	61	-1.5	215/277/298	83	271	5	12	21%	6%	64	-1.3	196/269/240	44	242	0	18	17%	6%	45	-0.6