Colin Barber

LF Sugar Land Space Cowboys

Age 26 L/L 5'11" / 200 lbs AAA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	23	AAHOU	282	.222/.292/.353	8	4	46	—	.186/.242/.287
2025	24	AAAHOU	223	.204/.312/.314	2	3	53	—	.185/.262/.275
2025	24	AAHOU	163	.221/.280/.376	4	1	44	—	.184/.230/.309
2027PROJ10% MLB	26	MLBHOU	25	.198/.264/.302	0	0	58	-0.1
2028PROJ31% MLB	27	MLBHOU	104	.199/.266/.305	2	1	60	-0.4

Next 2 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AAA

Max EV95

Chase%72

Speed72

BB%66

Whiff%61

Z-Con%52

CompsJustin Toerner (age 26) · Matt Winaker (age 26) · Kody Eaves (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .264 / .302

PA25

HR0

K%28

BB%8

BABIP269

ISO43

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	18	ROK	GCL Astros	—	119	99	26	5	1	2	19	29	1	2	1	263	387	394	780	131	353	24	16	357	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	53	42	9	1	0	3	9	22	1	1	1	214	358	452	811	238	353	42	17	360	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	Asheville Tourists	—	260	218	65	10	1	7	30	57	11	7	4	298	409	450	859	151	374	22	12	387	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	321	270	66	16	1	11	45	73	4	5	2	244	361	433	794	189	293	23	14	354	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	282	252	56	9	0	8	21	85	4	4	2	222	292	353	646	131	293	30	7	288	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	223	191	39	9	3	2	27	61	3	3	1	204	312	314	626	110	285	27	12	288	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	163	149	33	7	2	4	10	45	2	1	1	221	280	376	655	154	284	28	6	289	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	—	119	106	18	3	1	1	12	42	1	2	1	170	261	245	506	75	267	35	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	53	46	7	1	0	2	6	30	1	1	1	152	264	304	568	152	311	57	11	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	260	228	50	6	1	6	20	81	11	7	4	219	313	333	646	114	305	31	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	321	283	57	14	1	7	32	85	4	5	2	201	292	332	624	131	256	26	10	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	282	258	48	8	0	6	15	103	4	4	2	186	242	287	529	101	264	37	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Sugar Land Space Cowboys	—	223	200	37	9	3	1	18	74	3	3	1	185	262	275	537	90	275	33	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	163	152	28	6	2	3	7	53	2	1	1	184	230	309	539	125	249	33	4	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	—	119	106	18	3	1	1	12	42	1	2	1	170	261	245	506	75	270	35	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	GCL Astros	—	119	99	26	5	1	2	19	29	1	2	1	263	387	394	780	131	353	24	16	357	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	53	46	7	1	0	2	6	30	1	1	1	152	264	304	568	152	357	57	11	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	—	53	42	9	1	0	3	9	22	1	1	1	214	358	452	811	238	353	42	17	360	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	260	228	50	6	1	6	20	81	11	7	4	219	313	333	646	114	310	31	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ RAW	Asheville Tourists	—	260	218	65	10	1	7	30	57	11	7	4	298	409	450	859	151	374	22	12	387	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	321	283	57	14	1	7	32	85	4	5	2	201	292	332	624	131	259	26	10	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	321	270	66	16	1	11	45	73	4	5	2	244	361	433	794	189	293	23	14	354	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	282	258	48	8	0	6	15	103	4	4	2	186	242	287	529	101	273	37	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	282	252	56	9	0	8	21	85	4	4	2	222	292	353	646	131	293	30	7	288	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	386	351	64	14	5	4	26	127	5	4	2	182	249	285	534	103	268	33	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	386	340	72	16	5	6	37	106	5	4	2	212	298	341	640	129	284	27	10	288	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	GCL Astros	—	119	105	18	3	1	1	12	42	1	2	1	171	261	248	508	76	267	35	10	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	53	46	7	1	0	2	6	30	1	1	1	152	264	304	568	152	311	57	11	239	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+ MLE	Asheville Tourists	—	260	227	50	6	1	6	20	81	11	7	4	220	313	335	648	115	305	31	8	286	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	321	282	57	14	1	7	32	85	4	5	2	202	292	333	625	131	256	26	10	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	282	261	48	8	0	6	15	103	4	4	2	184	242	284	525	100	264	37	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	386	352	64	14	5	4	26	127	5	4	2	182	249	284	533	102	264	33	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AA MLE	Corpus Christi Hooks	—	282	261	48	8	0	6	15	103	4	4	2	184	242	284	525	100	264	37	5	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	386	352	64	14	5	4	26	127	5	4	2	182	249	284	533	102	264	33	7	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	HOU	10%	380	345	68	14	3	6	27	109	5	6	2	195	262	298	560	103	264	29	7	254	58	-19	+0	+0	-4	+8	-0.8
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	HOU	10%	25	23	4	1	0	0	2	7	0	0	0	198	264	302	567	105	269	28	8	257	58	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	HOU	31%	336	305	59	12	2	5	24	96	4	5	2	196	264	301	565	105	265	29	7	256	60	-16	+0	+0	-4	+7	-1.3
2028	27	MLB CTX	HOU	31%	104	95	20	4	1	2	7	30	1	1	0	199	266	305	571	106	270	29	7	259	60	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	104	95	20	4	1	2	7	30	1	1	0	211	272	337	609	126	281	29	7	259	59	-5	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	594	124	25	6	12	44	188	6	6	0	209	270	332	602	123	280	29	7	259	59	-31	+1	+0	-7	+14	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		—	2007	1804	348	67	12	35	153	636	33	32	15	193	268	302	570	109	273	32	8	256	59	-29	+1	+0	-6	+13	-2.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	584	113	22	4	11	50	206	11	10	5	193	270	301	572	108	274	32	8	256	59	-32	+1	+0	-7	+14	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Colin Barber (OGILVIE)	26	35	40	45	55	193/260/296	103	264	4	4	29%	7%	58	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Justin Toerner 2023 · AAA	26	40	42→40	48→50	45	193/287/295	103	289	10	10	34%	9%	70	-0.9	192/283/307	115	279	12	11	33%	10%	70	-0.8	124/235/230	107	167	13	9	33%	11%	35	-1.2
✕Matt Winaker 2022 · AA	26	44→39	38→45	45	47	206/296/287	81	283	5	6	27%	8%	70	-0.8	196/285/287	91	266	7	7	27%	8%	66	-1.1	139/244/213	74	186	6	4	27%	9%	35	-1.4
✕Kody Eaves 2019 · AAA	26	40→43	42→45	46→50	42	198/255/308	110	268	9	7	29%	7%	58	-1.7	202/252/319	117	289	11	7	32%	6%	60	-1.6	188/236/312	124	270	12	4	34%	6%	49	-1.9
✕Mark Contreras 2021 · AA	26	36→39	43→50	47→55	38	183/247/296	112	267	11	13	34%	6%	53	-2.1	201/262/336	135	294	15	19	35%	6%	68	-1.0	197/259/326	130	285	15	24	35%	6%	62	-1.1
✕Eric Jagielo 2018 · AAA	26	39→37	40→45	42→30	42	191/262/279	87	272	8	2	31%	7%	55	-1.9	188/243/293	105	275	10	4	34%	6%	51	-2.3	161/206/267	106	236	11	1	36%	4%	29	-2.8
✕Jameson Fisher 2019 · AA	25	39→36	41→40	42→45	42	192/264/290	98	282	8	6	33%	8%	58	-1.7	196/260/297	101	290	9	6	33%	7%	58	-1.7	195/256/298	103	279	10	4	32%	7%	55	-1.5
✕Scott Hurst 2022 · AAA	26	39→32	39→40	43→50	39	188/247/271	83	296	7	8	37%	7%	47	-2.5	223/298/326	103	303	10	19	28%	9%	79	-0.2	241/324/345	105	302	11	25	23%	10%	89	+0.3
✕Connor Panas 2019 · AA	26	41→42	45	45→40	40	208/268/329	121	273	13	5	28%	6%	69	-0.9	214/277/337	123	278	12	8	27%	6%	74	-0.6	172/258/322	149	210	16	6	26%	7%	60	-0.3
✕Seth Fortenberry 2010 · AA	26	36→41	43→45	51→50	42	182/255/296	114	271	11	10	35%	8%	57	-1.8	190/253/290	100	306	7	9	37%	7%	53	-2.1	154/208/242	88	288	0	4	44%	6%	22	-0.8
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	38→40	43→45	45→50	40	188/260/301	113	281	9	10	35%	7%	60	-1.6	193/272/299	106	298	8	13	35%	8%	64	-1.3	165/257/264	99	259	6	16	35%	9%	51	-1.0
✕Preston Palmeiro 2021 · AA	26	41→47	41→45	45→40	39	205/247/300	95	274	9	4	28%	5%	53	-2.1	214/263/327	113	273	11	5	25%	6%	65	-1.2	206/260/318	111	260	10	3	24%	6%	60	-0.9
✕Nick Banks 2021 · AA	26	45	43→45	49→45	39	223/264/334	111	295	10	8	28%	5%	68	-1.0	213/265/322	109	317	11	5	34%	6%	65	-1.2	205/258/311	106	309	11	2	36%	6%	57	-1.0
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	40	41→45	45	43	196/256/296	101	271	9	9	30%	7%	56	-1.9	181/266/305	124	275	14	6	37%	10%	63	-1.4	140/232/254	115	204	16	3	39%	10%	37	-1.0
✕Ryan Aguilar 2021 · AA	26	40	41→45	49→50	41	192/266/289	97	311	9	8	39%	8%	59	-1.7	190/280/303	113	308	12	13	39%	10%	68	-1.0	175/274/295	120	276	14	14	38%	11%	61	-0.8
✕Preston Beck 2017 · AAA	26	44→42	43→45	50→45	46	218/274/334	116	266	9	8	22%	7%	71	-0.8	212/264/311	99	269	8	5	23%	6%	62	-1.4	202/257/296	94	259	8	2	24%	6%	54	-1.4
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→30	40→45	48→60	36	177/240/265	88	277	7	11	37%	6%	44	-2.8	185/267/299	114	279	11	21	35%	9%	61	-1.5	178/268/298	120	261	12	28	34%	10%	60	-0.9
✕K.C. Hobson 2017 · AA	26	38→45	41→45	47→40	42	192/236/286	94	239	10	3	24%	5%	46	-2.6	209/257/349	140	287	18	6	33%	6%	69	-0.9	202/242/361	159	253	25	2	32%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Jake Lowery 2016 · AA	26	37	43→45	47→30	44	186/253/298	111	262	10	4	32%	8%	55	-1.9	187/257/288	101	288	9	5	35%	8%	55	-2.0	125/202/184	59	253	4	0	48%	9%	10	-1.2
✕Wes Darvill 2018 · AA	26	41→40	41→40	49→45	46	203/262/297	94	259	8	10	25%	7%	58	-1.7	205/253/295	90	286	8	7	29%	6%	54	-2.0	167/207/218	52	233	5	0	30%	5%	17	-1.3
✕Devin Foyle 2022 · AA	25	41→39	46→45	48→45	44	207/273/338	131	273	14	10	29%	7%	72	-0.7	214/284/324	110	273	10	7	24%	8%	74	-0.6	194/281/260	67	243	5	0	21%	9%	55	-0.7