Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Indians/Brewers | 8 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 31.9% | 8.5% | 23.4% | 4.3% | 3.27 | 3.82 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Indians/Brewers | 8 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0% | 1.4 | 31.9% | 8.5% | 23.4% | 4.3% | 3.27 | 3.83 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Indians | 14 | 14 | 65 | 258 | 59 | 19 | 3 | 100% | 4.6 | 15.6% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 1.6% | 3.05 | 3.85 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | DSL Indians | 14 | 14 | 65 | 258 | 59 | 19 | 3 | 100% | 4.6 | 22.9% | 7.4% | 15.5% | 1.2% | 3.05 | 2.76 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | DSL Indians Blue | 13 | 5 | 43 | 185 | 38 | 14 | 3 | 38% | 3.3 | 14.0% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 5.27 | 4.52 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | DSL Indians Blue | 13 | 5 | 43 | 185 | 38 | 14 | 3 | 38% | 3.3 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 1.6% | 5.27 | 3.22 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 1 | 22 | 107 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 8% | 1.8 | 14.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 6.65 | 4.26 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 1 | 22 | 107 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 8% | 1.8 | 18.7% | 6.5% | 12.1% | 1.9% | 6.65 | 3.42 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 26 | 0 | 32 | 132 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.8% | 12.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.53 | 4.83 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 26 | 0 | 32 | 132 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.7% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 2.3% | 2.53 | 3.76 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.38 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.00 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 193 | 83 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 3.0% | 4.36 | 4.00 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 73 | 20 | 172 | 729 | 119 | 70 | 17 | 27% | 2.4 | 16.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 3.97 | 4.26 | +2.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 85 | 23 | 200 | 846 | 138 | 81 | 20 | 27% | 2.4 | 16.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 3.97 | 4.26 | +2.7 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Tomas Reyes (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 23.2% | 9.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.38 | 23.2% | 13.9% | 20 | +0.04 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Barbosa L 2027 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.30 | 22.8% | 12.2% | 1.1% | .292 | 3.80 | 20.2% | 11.3% | 127 | +0.50 | 2.68 | 175 | 78 |
| Evan Shawver L 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.01 | 19.5% | 8.3% | 2.8% | .304 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 258 | 77 |
| Sean Mellen L 2024 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 75 |
| Tyler Holton L 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.7% | 9.8% | 3.2% | .288 | 3.75 | 21.7% | 16.8% | 258 | -0.61 | 3.02 | 409 | 74 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.61 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.36 | 1.79 | 186 | 74 |
| Braulio Lara L 2026 · 4.10 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.10 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .367 | 5.20 | 18.9% | 3.9% | 67 | +1.10 | 4.10 | 118 | 73 |
| Greg Nappo L 2026 · 3.40 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.40 | 22.7% | 7.5% | 2.3% | .267 | 5.45 | 16.5% | 5.9% | 79 | +2.05 | 3.40 | 144 | 72 |
| Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 72 |
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2027 · 4.83 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.83 | 16.6% | 9.0% | 3.6% | .308 | 3.98 | 22.0% | 15.2% | 59 | -0.85 | 3.98 | 122 | 72 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.88 | 21.7% | 9.5% | 2.6% | .272 | 4.99 | 13.4% | 3.4% | 67 | +1.11 | 3.88 | 256 | 72 |
| James Reeves L 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.79 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 2.3% | .226 | 5.24 | 27.0% | 10.8% | 51 | +1.45 | 2.02 | 280 | 72 |
| Brian Flynn L 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 21.3% | 11.1% | 2.0% | .258 | 4.41 | 16.6% | 8.2% | 198 | +0.63 | 3.78 | 277 | 71 |
| Logan Darnell L 2026 · 3.18 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.18 | 17.8% | 7.7% | 1.1% | .316 | 4.67 | 12.2% | 5.5% | 305 | +1.49 | 3.18 | 430 | 71 |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 71 |
| Reid Love L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.8% | .373 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 280 | 70 |
| Ryan Verdugo L 2028 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 19.8% | 10.8% | 1.5% | .281 | 3.41 | 22.7% | 17.3% | 82 | -0.21 | 3.41 | 153 | 70 |
| Colton Turner L 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% | .311 | 3.61 | 21.9% | 13.0% | 158 | +0.15 | 2.83 | 325 | 70 |
| Will Gilbert L 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 70 |
| Ben Holmes L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.89 | 19.1% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .264 | 5.63 | 19.7% | 8.6% | 61 | +1.74 | 3.12 | 451 | 70 |
| Giovanni Soto L 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.96 | 25.6% | 10.5% | 3.1% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 128 | 70 |