Tomas Reyes P Lynchburg Hillcats
Age 26 LHP 5'11" / 150 lbs A
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 19 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 99109vR 118
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%23.2%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%13.9%
ROS IP19
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP
K: +0.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.1 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -0.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-0CONTACTSTAM: +0.8 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: +0.05 (19 IP)+0.0WAR
0.00.02627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201818ROKDSL Indians/Brewers80114715420%1.431.9%8.5%23.4%4.3%3.273.82
201818ROKDSL Indians/Brewers80114715420%1.431.9%8.5%23.4%4.3%3.273.83
201919ROKDSL Indians14146525859193100%4.615.6%9.2%6.3%1.6%3.053.85
201919ROKDSL Indians14146525859193100%4.622.9%7.4%15.5%1.2%3.052.76
202121ROKDSL Indians Blue135431853814338%3.314.0%9.5%4.5%2.6%5.274.52
202121ROKDSL Indians Blue135431853814338%3.320.5%7.6%13.0%1.6%5.273.22
202222MIX2 levels1212210720728%1.814.6%7.7%7.0%2.6%6.654.26
202222MIX2 levels1212210720728%1.818.7%6.5%12.1%1.9%6.653.42
202323ALynchburg Hillcats26032132301430%1.216.8%12.5%4.3%2.9%2.534.83
202323ALynchburg Hillcats26032132301430%1.222.7%10.6%12.1%2.3%2.533.76
▸ 2026 Season
202626MLBCLE180198019720%1.123.2%9.3%13.9%3.0%4.344.34+0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727MLBCLE190208420830%1.123.2%9.4%13.9%3.0%4.364.38+0.0
202727MLBCLE707307310%1.023.2%9.4%13.9%3.0%4.364.38+0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career707317310%1.023.2%9.4%13.9%3.0%4.364.00+0.0
/ 200 IP190020084419383280%1.123.2%9.4%13.9%3.0%4.364.00+3.3
Career7320172729119701727%2.416.3%9.6%6.7%2.4%3.974.26+2.3
/ 200 IP8523200846138812027%2.416.3%9.6%6.7%2.4%3.974.26+2.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Tomas Reyes (OGILVIE) 4.34 23.2%9.3%3.0% 4.38 23.2%13.9%20 +0.04
Andrew Barbosa L 2027 · 3.30 FIP 27 SW 3.30 22.8%12.2%1.1%.292 3.80 20.2%11.3%127 +0.50 2.68 175 78
Evan Shawver L 2026 · 4.01 FIP 26 SW 4.01 19.5%8.3%2.8%.304 4.01 258 77
Sean Mellen L 2024 · 3.97 FIP 24 SU 3.97 21.3%10.4%2.5%.285 3.97 101 75
Tyler Holton L 2026 · 4.36 FIP 26 SU 4.36 20.7%9.8%3.2%.288 3.75 21.7%16.8%258 -0.61 3.02 409 74
Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 3.61 FIP 26 SU 3.61 25.8%12.9%1.9%.305 3.97 25.4%15.7%128 +0.36 1.79 186 74
Braulio Lara L 2026 · 4.10 FIP 26 SU 4.10 16.7%8.7%2.4%.367 5.20 18.9%3.9%67 +1.10 4.10 118 73
Greg Nappo L 2026 · 3.40 FIP 26 SU 3.40 22.7%7.5%2.3%.267 5.45 16.5%5.9%79 +2.05 3.40 144 72
Juan Grullon L 2026 · 4.86 FIP 26 SU 4.86 19.8%10.9%3.7%.305 4.86 134 72
Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2027 · 4.83 FIP 27 SW 4.83 16.6%9.0%3.6%.308 3.98 22.0%15.2%59 -0.85 3.98 122 72
Michael Johnson L 2026 · 3.88 FIP 26 SU 3.88 21.7%9.5%2.6%.272 4.99 13.4%3.4%67 +1.11 3.88 256 72
James Reeves L 2026 · 3.79 FIP 26 SU 3.79 22.4%10.3%2.3%.226 5.24 27.0%10.8%51 +1.45 2.02 280 72
Brian Flynn L 2026 · 3.78 FIP 26 SU 3.78 21.3%11.1%2.0%.258 4.41 16.6%8.2%198 +0.63 3.78 277 71
Logan Darnell L 2026 · 3.18 FIP 26 SW 3.18 17.8%7.7%1.1%.316 4.67 12.2%5.5%305 +1.49 3.18 430 71
Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP 26 SU 4.04 20.8%11.0%2.4%.309 4.49 12.2%-0.4%48 +0.45 4.04 106 71
Reid Love L 2026 · 3.89 FIP 26 SW 3.89 19.6%7.2%2.8%.373 3.50 280 70
Ryan Verdugo L 2028 · 3.62 FIP 28 SU 3.62 19.8%10.8%1.5%.281 3.41 22.7%17.3%82 -0.21 3.41 153 70
Colton Turner L 2026 · 3.46 FIP 26 SU 3.46 19.6%5.4%2.4%.311 3.61 21.9%13.0%158 +0.15 2.83 325 70
Will Gilbert L 2025 · 4.26 FIP 25 SU 4.26 19.9%10.3%2.8%.306 2.85 141 70
Ben Holmes L 2026 · 3.89 FIP 26 SW 3.89 19.1%9.3%2.2%.264 5.63 19.7%8.6%61 +1.74 3.12 451 70
Giovanni Soto L 2026 · 3.96 FIP 26 SU 3.96 25.6%10.5%3.1%.317 3.26 128 70