Tomas Reyes — OGILVIE

Tomas Reyes P Lynchburg Hillcats

Age 26 LHP 5'11" / 150 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103111vR 119

ERA4.53

FIP4.53

K%22.4%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%12.2%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Indians/Brewers	8	0	11	47	15	4	2	0%	1.4	31.9%	8.5%	23.4%	4.3%	3.27	3.82	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Indians/Brewers	8	0	11	47	15	4	2	0%	1.4	31.9%	8.5%	23.4%	4.3%	3.27	3.83	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	DSL Indians	14	14	65	258	59	19	3	100%	4.6	15.6%	9.2%	6.3%	1.6%	3.05	3.85	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	DSL Indians	14	14	65	258	59	19	3	100%	4.6	22.9%	7.4%	15.5%	1.2%	3.05	2.76	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	DSL Indians Blue	13	5	43	185	38	14	3	38%	3.3	14.0%	9.5%	4.5%	2.4%	5.27	4.44	—
2021	21	ROK RAW	DSL Indians Blue	13	5	43	185	38	14	3	38%	3.3	20.5%	7.6%	13.0%	1.6%	5.27	3.22	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	12	1	22	107	20	7	2	8%	1.8	14.6%	7.7%	7.0%	2.4%	6.65	4.13	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	12	1	22	107	20	7	2	8%	1.8	18.7%	6.5%	12.1%	1.9%	6.65	3.42	—
2023	23	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	26	0	32	132	30	14	3	0%	1.2	16.8%	12.5%	4.3%	2.9%	2.53	4.86	—
2023	23	A MLE	Lynchburg Hillcats	26	0	32	132	30	14	3	0%	1.2	16.8%	12.5%	4.3%	2.9%	2.53	4.86	—
2023	23	A RAW	Lynchburg Hillcats	26	0	32	132	30	14	3	0%	1.2	22.7%	10.6%	12.1%	2.3%	2.53	3.76	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	CLE	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	22.4%	10.2%	12.2%	3.0%	4.53	4.53	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	CLE	19	0	20	84	19	9	3	0%	1.1	22.5%	10.2%	12.3%	3.0%	4.53	4.55	0.0
2027	27	MLB CTX	CLE	7	0	7	30	7	3	1	0%	1.0	22.5%	10.2%	12.3%	3.0%	4.53	4.55	0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	7	3	1	0%	1.0	22.5%	10.2%	12.3%	3.0%	4.53	4.17	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	193	83	28	0%	1.1	22.5%	10.2%	12.3%	3.0%	4.53	4.17	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		73	20	172	729	119	70	17	27%	2.4	16.3%	9.6%	6.7%	2.3%	3.97	4.22	0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		85	23	200	846	138	81	20	27%	2.4	16.3%	9.6%	6.7%	2.3%	3.97	4.22	0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Tomas Reyes (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.53	22.4%	10.2%	3.0%	—	4.55	22.5%	12.3%	20	+0.02	—	—	—
Sean Mellen L 2022 · 4.01 FIP	24	SU	4.01	21.3%	10.4%	2.5%	.285	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	101	77
Tyler Holton L 2022 · 4.30 FIP	26	SU	4.30	20.7%	9.8%	3.1%	.288	3.67	21.7%	16.8%	258	-0.63	2.97	436	75
Tony Cingrani L 2015 · 3.60 FIP	26	SU	3.60	25.8%	12.9%	1.9%	.305	3.84	25.4%	15.7%	128	+0.24	1.68	186	75
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	74
Braulio Lara L 2015 · 3.96 FIP	26	SU	3.96	16.7%	8.7%	2.1%	.367	5.20	18.9%	3.9%	67	+1.24	3.96	118	74
Brian Flynn L 2016 · 3.80 FIP	26	SU	3.80	21.3%	11.1%	2.0%	.258	4.39	16.6%	8.2%	198	+0.59	3.80	277	73
Garrett Irvin L 2023 · 4.42 FIP	24	SU	4.42	23.2%	11.6%	3.3%	.283	4.32	17.7%	2.9%	39	-0.10	4.32	110	73
Michael Johnson L 2017 · 4.20 FIP	26	SU	4.20	21.7%	9.5%	3.1%	.272	5.19	13.4%	3.4%	67	+0.99	3.92	256	72
Ryan Verdugo L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	28	SU	3.61	19.8%	10.8%	1.5%	.281	3.36	22.7%	17.3%	82	-0.25	3.36	153	72
James Reeves L 2019 · 3.74 FIP	26	SU	3.74	22.4%	10.3%	2.2%	.226	5.11	27.0%	10.8%	51	+1.37	2.02	280	72
Brad Kuntz L 2018 · 4.10 FIP	26	SU	4.10	20.9%	11.7%	2.4%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	2.35	197	72
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	71
Ben Holmes L 2018 · 4.02 FIP	26	SW	4.02	19.1%	9.3%	2.5%	.264	5.57	19.7%	8.6%	61	+1.55	3.09	451	71
Greg Nappo L 2015 · 3.37 FIP	26	SU	3.37	22.7%	7.5%	2.2%	.267	5.25	16.5%	5.9%	79	+1.88	3.37	144	70
Russell Smith L 2023 · 5.26 FIP	24	SU	5.26	23.3%	12.8%	4.5%	.343	4.00	19.0%	5.1%	53	-1.26	4.00	175	70
Adam Scott L 2022 · 5.27 FIP	26	SW	5.27	21.1%	13.5%	4.1%	.317	4.70	15.6%	-1.7%	46	-0.57	4.17	315	70
Jordan Carr L 2023 · 3.49 FIP	26	SW	3.49	17.2%	8.5%	1.4%	.270	5.16	12.7%	2.3%	137	+1.67	3.49	269	70
Reid Love L 2018 · 3.98 FIP	26	SW	3.98	19.6%	7.2%	3.0%	.373	—	—	—	—	—	3.66	280	70
Ben Onyshko L 2023 · 4.39 FIP	26	SU	4.39	16.1%	10.2%	2.5%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	219	70
Rob Zastryzny L 2018 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	18.4%	11.0%	2.5%	.264	4.81	19.8%	10.8%	142	+0.50	3.34	634	70