Juan Guerrero

SS Hartford Yard Goats

Age 25 R/R 6'2" / 160 lbs AA HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

ETA2029MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	22	AACOL	124	.313/.352/.383	2	4	85	—	.299/.328/.368
2024	22	A+COL	385	.302/.344/.399	4	23	66	—	.252/.283/.323
2025	23	AACOL	413	.259/.320/.322	2	13	66	—	.251/.298/.304
2027PROJ2% MLB	25	MLBCOL	5	.238/.279/.307	0	0	59	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	26	MLBCOL	87	.241/.284/.324	1	1	64	-0.1
2029PROJ42% MLB	27	MLBCOL	140	.241/.286/.327	2	2	65	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AA

K%90

Whiff%71

Z-Con%63

wRC+37

wOBA36

Speed33

CompsShawn Roof (age 25) · Alfredo Rodriguez (age 25) · Luis Porchas (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .279 / .307

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%5

BABIP289

ISO74

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE35

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	DSL Rockies	—	221	191	61	9	1	2	21	26	2	17	4	319	393	408	801	89	355	12	10	352	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	171	148	47	13	1	4	16	29	4	9	5	318	399	500	899	182	368	17	9	392	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	506	453	124	24	4	14	39	85	6	18	8	274	339	437	776	163	305	17	8	340	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	Spokane Indians	—	488	441	113	22	6	6	32	70	8	14	7	256	318	374	692	118	288	14	7	308	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	124	115	36	2	0	2	7	15	0	4	3	313	352	383	735	70	343	12	6	327	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	385	358	108	21	1	4	19	54	4	23	2	302	344	399	743	98	343	14	5	331	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	INTL	Estrellas Orientales	—	119	105	20	8	0	4	6	25	1	4	1	190	241	381	622	190	203	21	5	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	Hartford Yard Goats	—	413	370	96	17	0	2	32	63	1	13	6	259	320	322	642	62	300	15	8	287	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	221	197	40	5	1	1	15	32	2	17	4	203	266	254	520	51	225	14	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	171	155	35	9	1	3	9	42	4	9	5	226	286	355	641	129	269	25	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	506	465	110	20	4	12	27	120	6	18	8	237	287	374	661	138	280	24	5	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	488	452	97	18	5	5	21	96	8	14	7	215	262	310	572	95	252	20	4	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	124	117	35	2	0	2	5	19	0	4	3	299	328	368	695	68	328	15	4	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	385	365	92	15	1	3	12	73	4	23	2	252	283	323	607	71	301	19	3	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	413	378	95	17	0	1	24	75	1	13	6	251	298	304	602	53	292	18	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	221	197	40	5	1	1	15	32	2	17	4	203	266	254	520	51	234	14	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rockies	—	221	191	61	9	1	2	21	26	2	17	4	319	393	408	801	89	355	12	10	352	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	171	155	35	9	1	3	9	42	4	9	5	226	286	355	641	129	286	25	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	171	148	47	13	1	4	16	29	4	9	5	318	399	500	899	182	368	17	9	392	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	506	465	110	20	4	12	27	120	6	18	8	237	287	374	661	138	288	24	5	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	506	453	124	24	4	14	39	85	6	18	8	274	339	437	776	163	305	17	8	340	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	488	452	97	18	5	5	21	96	8	14	7	215	262	310	572	95	258	20	4	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	Spokane Indians	—	488	441	113	22	6	6	32	70	8	14	7	256	318	374	692	118	288	14	7	308	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	628	589	156	21	1	6	21	113	5	31	6	265	296	334	630	70	314	18	3	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	628	578	164	31	1	10	32	94	5	31	6	284	327	393	720	109	320	15	5	316	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	413	378	95	17	0	1	24	75	1	13	6	251	298	304	602	53	303	18	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	Hartford Yard Goats	—	413	370	96	17	0	2	32	63	1	13	6	259	320	322	642	62	300	15	8	287	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rockies	—	221	202	40	5	1	1	15	32	2	17	4	198	266	248	514	50	225	14	7	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	171	156	35	9	1	3	9	42	4	9	5	224	286	353	638	128	269	25	5	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	506	468	110	20	4	12	27	120	6	18	8	235	287	372	659	137	280	24	5	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	488	456	97	18	5	5	21	96	8	14	7	213	262	307	569	94	252	20	4	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	628	597	156	21	1	6	21	113	5	31	6	261	296	330	626	69	308	18	3	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	413	385	95	17	0	1	24	75	1	13	6	247	298	299	596	52	292	18	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	628	597	156	21	1	6	21	113	5	31	6	261	296	330	626	69	308	18	3	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	Hartford Yard Goats	—	413	385	95	17	0	1	24	75	1	13	6	247	298	299	596	52	292	18	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	25	MLB MLE	COL	2%	380	356	81	14	1	2	19	73	2	6	2	229	271	292	563	64	278	19	5	255	59	-19	+0	+0	+4	+8	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	25	MLB CTX	COL	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	238	279	307	587	69	289	20	0	265	59	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	COL	31%	282	264	62	11	1	3	15	54	1	4	1	232	275	307	582	75	279	19	5	263	64	-12	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	COL	42%	333	310	72	13	1	3	18	65	2	4	1	231	277	309	586	78	279	20	5	264	65	-14	+0	+0	+4	+7	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	COL	31%	87	82	19	3	0	1	5	17	0	1	0	241	284	324	608	83	290	20	6	273	64	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
2029	27	MLB CTX	COL	42%	140	130	31	5	0	2	8	27	1	2	1	241	286	327	613	86	290	19	6	275	65	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	227	212	50	8	0	3	13	44	1	3	1	236	283	316	599	80	283	19	6	275	65	-10	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	607	144	23	0	9	37	126	3	9	3	237	284	320	604	82	284	19	6	275	65	-27	+1	+0	+7	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3300	3052	724	124	15	36	163	646	30	114	39	237	283	323	606	86	286	20	5	264	65	-39	+1	+0	+9	+19	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	601	142	24	3	7	32	127	6	22	8	236	282	321	603	85	285	20	5	264	65	-29	+1	+0	+7	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#2Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#3Paul Popovich'64-'75 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,909 PA	2.9	1,909	14	4	233*	288*	323*	+10	+20	0.2	0.9
/162	664	5	1	+3.5	+7.0	0.1	pk7: 2
#4Jimmy Cooney'17-'28 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,722 PA	2.6	1,722	2	30	235*	281*	341*	+17	+8	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	12	+6.7	+3.0	0.2	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.4	233	2	3	232	274	310	+2	+3	-0.1	-0.0
/162	664	7	8	+7.1	+8.6	-0.2	pk7: 0
#5David Howard'91-'99 * career totals — 8 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	11	23	220*	280*	301*	+10	+23	-1.6	-0.8
/162	664	4	9	+3.7	+8.5	-0.6	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Guerrero (OGILVIE)	25	50	30	50	35	227/269/290	63	278	2	4	19%	5%	59	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shawn Roof 2010 · AA	25	49	35→30	47→50	44	231/288/287	57	299	2	10	22%	6%	65	-1.2	235/286/292	57	305	2	15	22%	5%	65	-1.2	238/286/278	40	308	0	19	21%	5%	58	-0.6
✕Alfredo Rodriguez 2019 · AA	25	44→54	36→30	46→45	41	210/253/271	60	270	4	10	23%	5%	49	-2.4	226/265/285	59	284	3	10	20%	4%	55	-1.9	231/265/282	51	296	2	8	22%	3%	52	-1.4
✕Luis Porchas 2015 · AAA	25	51	37→30	50	41	241/287/311	70	313	5	10	24%	5%	70	-0.8	236/292/315	79	317	5	13	25%	7%	73	-0.6	233/271/280	46	318	0	14	25%	4%	53	-0.4
✕Gary Cates 2006 · AA	25	49→51	37→30	48→50	47	232/278/303	71	270	4	13	15%	6%	65	-1.2	235/272/302	67	274	4	13	15%	5%	62	-1.4	239/270/294	55	275	2	13	14%	4%	57	-0.8
✕Evan Mendoza 2021 · AAA	25	48→52	38→30	49→50	42	230/273/308	78	295	6	7	24%	5%	64	-1.3	214/268/273	59	284	4	17	24%	7%	55	-2.0	209/266/256	47	272	3	19	23%	7%	48	-1.3
✕Alejandro Rivero 2014 · AAA	25	51	34→30	50→55	44	241/289/283	42	287	3	15	17%	5%	64	-1.3	232/284/277	45	271	2	16	14%	5%	61	-1.5	229/285/258	28	266	0	17	13%	5%	55	-1.0
✕Blake Trahan 2019 · AAA	25	46→51	35→30	46→50	45	218/273/277	59	279	3	10	22%	6%	57	-1.8	206/254/286	80	275	7	8	26%	5%	53	-2.1	182/220/253	72	242	7	4	27%	4%	30	-2.4
✕Arvicent Perez 2019 · AA	25	45	36→40	47→45	38	214/240/282	67	270	3	6	22%	3%	45	-2.7	215/243/290	75	274	6	9	23%	3%	49	-2.4	213/221/258	46	263	4	7	21%	1%	29	-1.3
✕Ronaiker Palma 2024 · AA	24	48	37→30	46→50	44	225/264/294	69	262	4	8	16%	4%	57	-1.8	223/276/285	62	274	4	10	19%	6%	60	-1.6	227/283/262	35	279	2	10	19%	6%	54	-0.6
✕Wilberto Ortiz 2010 · AA	25	50→53	36→40	45→50	45	235/277/301	65	273	3	10	15%	5%	63	-1.3	220/275/302	82	273	5	6	20%	6%	64	-1.3	206/268/293	87	264	5	2	23%	7%	58	-0.8
✕Fidel Hernandez 2011 · AA	25	52	35→30	45→50	44	241/270/294	54	273	3	11	13%	3%	59	-1.7	229/265/294	65	267	4	9	15%	4%	57	-1.8	226/253/269	43	257	3	5	13%	3%	44	-1.2
✕Jake Romanski 2016 · AA	25	49	37→40	45	44	231/270/303	72	272	4	9	17%	5%	62	-1.4	240/267/312	72	286	4	4	17%	3%	62	-1.4	244/264/299	55	297	3	0	19%	2%	55	-0.7
✕Cobie Fletcher-Vance 2023 · AA	25	45→46	37→40	46→45	45	215/274/288	73	268	5	6	21%	6%	61	-1.5	216/271/309	93	284	7	6	25%	6%	65	-1.2	206/261/303	96	281	6	0	27%	5%	56	-0.7
✕Omar Luna 2012 · AAA	25	47→57	35→30	45→50	39	221/249/276	56	265	2	9	18%	3%	47	-2.5	251/287/319	68	287	3	12	13%	4%	72	-0.7	268/303/330	62	300	2	12	11%	4%	77	-0.2
✕Casey Rowlett 2008 · AA	25	47→48	38→40	48→50	45	222/271/308	86	269	5	10	19%	6%	63	-1.3	214/264/305	91	262	7	11	20%	6%	60	-1.6	202/252/285	83	244	7	11	20%	6%	49	-0.8
✕Ryan Leonards 2016 · AA	25	48	38→40	50	46	226/284/304	78	286	5	11	22%	6%	68	-1.0	213/276/296	83	275	6	8	23%	6%	63	-1.3	171/246/226	55	219	3	2	21%	6%	34	-1.0
✕Rodrigo Vigil 2018 · AA	25	49	35→30	47→30	41	230/266/288	58	274	2	5	17%	3%	57	-1.8	217/258/292	75	256	6	6	17%	3%	55	-1.9	209/250/268	59	251	5	3	18%	2%	45	-0.9
✕Matt Williams 2015 · AA	25	47→48	37→40	49→50	47	221/278/294	73	276	5	15	21%	7%	63	-1.3	215/282/292	77	271	5	14	21%	8%	65	-1.2	208/275/286	77	256	5	15	19%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Carlos Paulino 2015 · AAA	25	46	37→40	47→40	41	218/262/290	72	276	4	6	22%	4%	56	-1.9	228/276/301	73	282	4	5	19%	6%	63	-1.3	231/282/292	61	284	2	1	18%	6%	62	-0.4
✕Alfredo Lopez 2016 · AA	26	46	36→30	48→50	47	218/275/285	68	272	3	14	20%	7%	60	-1.6	239/283/307	68	287	4	16	17%	6%	68	-1.0	260/297/304	44	305	1	19	15%	5%	67	-0.3

Juan Guerrero

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps