Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | DSL Braves | 11 | 8 | 35 | 156 | 47 | 22 | 0 | 73% | 3.2 | 20.5% | 17.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% | 2.60 | 3.60 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | DSL Braves | 11 | 8 | 35 | 156 | 47 | 22 | 0 | 73% | 3.2 | 30.1% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 0.0% | 2.60 | 2.29 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | DSL Braves | 18 | 4 | 33 | 136 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 22% | 1.9 | 22.5% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 0.0% | 2.43 | 2.48 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | ROK | DSL Braves | 18 | 4 | 33 | 136 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 22% | 1.9 | 33.1% | 8.1% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 2.43 | 1.39 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | FCL Braves | 15 | 0 | 22 | 97 | 37 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 25.9% | 21.9% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 3.68 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | ROK | FCL Braves | 15 | 0 | 22 | 97 | 37 | 17 | 0 | 0% | 1.5 | 38.1% | 17.5% | 20.6% | 0.0% | 2.45 | 2.05 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 49 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 24.5% | 16.7% | 7.7% | 0.8% | 4.29 | 3.60 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 22 | 0 | 36 | 152 | 49 | 21 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 32.2% | 13.8% | 18.4% | 1.3% | 4.29 | 2.85 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 45 | 192 | 50 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 19.8% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 2.0% | 2.38 | 4.04 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 0 | 45 | 192 | 50 | 20 | 3 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.0% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 1.6% | 2.38 | 3.08 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | ATL | 25 | 0 | 27 | 113 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 24 | 0 | 26 | 108 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | ATL | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.09 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 181 | 78 | 26 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.09 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 99 | 12 | 171 | 733 | 163 | 111 | 5 | 12% | 1.7 | 22.2% | 15.2% | 7.1% | 0.7% | 2.84 | 3.52 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 116 | 14 | 200 | 857 | 191 | 130 | 6 | 12% | 1.7 | 22.2% | 15.2% | 7.1% | 0.7% | 2.84 | 3.52 | +4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Ronaldo Alesandro (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.47 | 23.0% | 13.4% | 26 | +0.13 | — | — | — |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 86 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 82 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 81 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 81 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 80 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .327 | 4.77 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.31 | 2.32 | 676 | 80 |
| Dayan Díaz R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.43 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .358 | 4.01 | 29.4% | 19.3% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.17 | 205 | 80 |
| Trevor May R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 26.1% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .291 | 3.46 | 31.9% | 23.6% | 150 | -0.37 | 3.04 | 432 | 79 |
| David Hernandez R 2028 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 79 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 79 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 79 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 79 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 22.6% | 8.6% | 4.4% | .350 | 5.85 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 137 | +1.16 | 4.26 | 258 | 79 |
| Luis Santos R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.12 | 22.9% | 10.0% | 3.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 472 | 79 |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 79 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.34 | 23.5% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 166 | 78 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 78 |
| Blake Smith R 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.66 | 22.4% | 8.6% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 124 | 78 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2024 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 78 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.32 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 1.9% | .271 | 2.99 | 26.0% | 17.7% | 215 | -0.33 | 1.51 | 544 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 23.1% | 9.5% | 1.18 | 4.38 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |