Evan Reifert
P
Durham Bulls
+0.3
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'4" / 190 lbs
AAA
peak 0.3 · 2026
ERA4.01
FIP4.01
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%28.4%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%17.1%
IP28
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2026
K†6565
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 37 | 0 | 60 | 256 | 103 | 35 | 4 | 30.4% | 16.2% | 2.0% | 2.10 | 3.67 | +0.9 |
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 31 | 0 | 37 | 161 | 62 | 20 | 2 | 29.6% | 11.3% | 2.2% | 4.58 | 3.24 | +0.7 |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 9 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 12 | 15 | 0 | — | — | — | 8.22 | — | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 35 | 0 | 41 | 161 | 65 | 16 | 3 | 32.7% | 10.9% | 2.3% | 1.96 | 2.99 | +0.9 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 33 | 2 | 30 | 140 | 54 | 20 | 3 | 35.1% | 14.8% | 1.8% | 3.26 | 3.02 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 6 | 1 | 8 | 32 | 11 | 7 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | TB | 28 | — | 28 | 119 | 34 | 13 | 3 | 28.4% | 11.3% | 2.7% | 4.01 | 4.01 | +0.3 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | TB | — | — | 36 | 151 | 45 | 20 | 3 | 29.7% | 13.6% | 2.1% | 3.12 | 3.12 | +0.7 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TB | 28 | — | 28 | 117 | 33 | 13 | 3 | 27.9% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.06 | 4.07 | +0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 151 | 4 | 185 | 792 | 250 | 120 | 15 | 31.6% | 15.1% | 1.9% | 2.92 | 3.38 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 164 | 4 | 200 | 858 | 271 | 130 | 16 | 31.6% | 15.1% | 1.9% | 2.92 | 3.38 | +4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Evan Reifert (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.01 | 28.4% | 11.3% | 2.7% | — | 4.07 | 27.9% | 16.7% | 28 | +0.06 | — | — | — |
| Peyton Gray R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.4% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.26 | 104 | 87 |
| Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.42 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.42 | 27.9% | 9.9% | 2.6% | .301 | 3.61 | 23.6% | 14.3% | 70 | +0.19 | 2.59 | 156 | 86 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.09 | 28.2% | 9.7% | 3.9% | .277 | 5.99 | 11.9% | -5.1% | 16 | +1.90 | 3.86 | 134 | 86 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.21 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.21 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 1.7% | .330 | 3.20 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 81 | -0.01 | 2.42 | 125 | 84 |
| Justin Grimm R 2026 · 3.19 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.19 | 28.9% | 9.3% | 2.5% | .313 | 4.23 | 25.2% | 13.4% | 170 | +1.04 | 2.87 | 335 | 83 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.86 | 27.3% | 10.0% | 3.3% | .280 | 4.05 | 28.5% | 17.2% | 107 | +0.19 | 3.02 | 363 | 82 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.39 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.4% | .264 | 2.39 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.00 | 2.39 | 132 | 82 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.93 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.93 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.99 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 69 | +1.06 | 3.83 | 181 | 81 |
| Alex Powers R 2026 · 2.87 FIP | 27 | SU | 2.87 | 27.9% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .272 | 4.22 | 25.0% | 14.7% | 48 | +1.35 | 2.81 | 264 | 81 |
| Simon Castro R 2026 · 3.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.26 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.4% | .320 | 3.48 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.22 | 3.07 | 185 | 81 |
| Spencer Patton R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.49 | 26.8% | 9.6% | 2.6% | .295 | 2.83 | 30.3% | 18.1% | 57 | -0.66 | 2.83 | 239 | 81 |
| José Cisnero R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.50 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.9% | .367 | 3.92 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.58 | 2.26 | 279 | 80 |
| Jason Adam R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.37 | 24.2% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .237 | 2.63 | 33.1% | 24.9% | 88 | -0.74 | 2.40 | 362 | 80 |
| Justin Sterner R 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.02 | 27.6% | 9.3% | 3.8% | .262 | 3.97 | 26.3% | 19.2% | 65 | -0.05 | 3.97 | 252 | 79 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.48 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.85 | 2.36 | 309 | 79 |
| Brooks Kriske R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.81 | 28.6% | 12.1% | 4.7% | .261 | 4.45 | 30.7% | 16.5% | 88 | -0.36 | 3.04 | 230 | 79 |
| Cristofer Ogando R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.81 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 4.7% | .281 | 4.92 | 20.6% | 9.0% | 53 | +0.11 | 3.23 | 179 | 79 |
| Gavin Hollowell R 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.43 | 26.2% | 12.0% | 3.7% | .356 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.39 | 191 | 79 |
| Brandyn Sittinger R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 28.2% | 11.3% | 2.5% | .291 | 5.72 | 20.6% | 9.6% | 27 | +2.18 | 3.54 | 152 | 78 |
| Michael Tonkin R 2026 · 3.24 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.24 | 29.2% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .309 | 6.36 | 21.8% | 8.3% | 22 | +3.12 | 2.30 | 480 | 78 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.