Evan Reifert — OGILVIE

Evan Reifert P Durham Bulls

Age 27 RHP 6'4" / 190 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 19 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 10597vR 89

ERA3.79

FIP3.79

K%31.4%

BB%11.5%

K-BB%19.9%

ROS IP20

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 19 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†7070

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	60	256	103	35	4	0%	1.6	30.4%	16.2%	14.2%	2.0%	2.10	3.66	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	60	256	103	35	4	0%	1.6	40.2%	13.7%	26.6%	1.6%	2.10	2.28	—
2022	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	31	0	37	161	62	20	2	0%	1.2	29.6%	11.3%	18.3%	2.2%	4.58	3.24	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	31	0	37	161	62	20	2	0%	1.2	38.5%	12.4%	26.1%	1.2%	4.58	2.08	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	1	8	42	12	15	0	11%	0.9	28.6%	35.7%	-7.1%	0.0%	8.22	5.21	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	9	1	8	42	12	15	0	11%	0.9	28.6%	35.7%	-7.1%	0.0%	8.22	5.21	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	9	1	8	42	12	15	0	11%	0.9	28.6%	35.7%	-7.1%	0.0%	8.22	5.84	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	35	0	41	161	65	16	3	0%	1.2	32.7%	10.9%	21.8%	2.3%	1.96	3.00	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	35	0	41	161	65	16	3	0%	1.2	32.7%	10.9%	21.8%	2.3%	1.96	3.00	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	35	0	41	161	65	16	3	0%	1.2	40.4%	9.9%	30.4%	1.9%	1.96	2.06	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	2	30	140	54	20	3	6%	0.9	33.1%	12.7%	20.4%	1.9%	3.26	2.94	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	2	30	140	54	20	3	6%	0.9	33.1%	12.7%	20.4%	1.9%	3.26	2.94	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	2	30	140	54	20	3	6%	0.9	38.6%	14.3%	24.3%	2.1%	3.26	2.80	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	44	3	55	233	76	30	6	7%	1.3	27.1%	11.6%	15.5%	2.8%	2.44	3.84	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	44	3	55	233	76	30	6	7%	1.3	27.1%	11.6%	15.5%	2.8%	2.44	3.84	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AAA RAW	TB	44	3	55	233	76	30	6	7%	1.3	32.6%	12.9%	19.7%	2.6%	2.44	3.39	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	TB	19	0	20	84	26	10	2	0%	1.1	30.5%	11.4%	19.1%	2.9%	3.89	3.92	+0.2
2027	28	MLB CTX	TB	9	0	9	38	12	4	1	0%	1.0	30.5%	11.4%	19.1%	2.9%	3.89	3.92	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		8	0	9	36	11	4	1	0%	1.1	30.5%	11.4%	19.1%	2.9%	3.89	3.54	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	259	94	24	0%	1.1	30.5%	11.4%	19.1%	2.9%	3.89	3.54	+2.4
Career	—	MLE		189	6	232	993	300	137	22	3%	1.2	30.2%	13.8%	16.4%	2.2%	2.91	3.49	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		163	5	200	856	258	118	19	3%	1.2	30.2%	13.8%	16.4%	2.2%	2.91	3.49	+1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Evan Reifert (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.79	31.4%	11.5%	2.7%	—	3.92	30.5%	19.1%	20	+0.13	—	—	—
Jon Edwards R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	27	SU	3.40	31.7%	13.1%	2.4%	.264	2.40	30.3%	22.6%	30	-1.00	2.40	132	85
Leonel Campos R 2015 · 2.62 FIP	28	SU	2.62	30.1%	11.1%	1.2%	.259	3.63	25.2%	12.2%	118	+1.01	2.62	168	83
Maikel Cleto R 2016 · 3.44 FIP	27	SU	3.44	27.9%	9.9%	2.6%	.301	3.61	23.6%	14.3%	70	+0.17	2.59	156	83
Zac Leigh R 2023 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	28.1%	11.7%	3.0%	.282	4.58	19.9%	3.7%	131	+0.74	3.70	201	83
Justin Grimm R 2016 · 3.11 FIP	27	SU	3.11	28.9%	9.3%	2.3%	.313	4.33	25.2%	13.4%	170	+1.22	3.00	335	83
Dan Winkler R 2017 · 2.70 FIP	27	SU	2.70	34.0%	11.3%	1.9%	.214	3.82	24.0%	12.5%	131	+1.12	2.40	231	82
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	81
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	159	80
Brad Boxberger R 2015 · 3.93 FIP	27	SU	3.93	27.3%	10.0%	3.4%	.280	4.09	28.5%	17.2%	107	+0.16	3.01	363	80
Jordan Jankowski R 2016 · 2.95 FIP	27	SU	2.95	30.3%	9.8%	2.1%	.296	4.23	23.4%	8.8%	62	+1.28	2.57	196	80
Spencer Patton R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	27	SU	3.47	26.8%	9.6%	2.6%	.295	2.79	30.3%	18.1%	57	-0.68	2.79	239	79
Alex Powers R 2019 · 2.88 FIP	27	SU	2.88	27.9%	9.1%	1.8%	.272	4.24	25.0%	14.7%	48	+1.36	2.82	264	79
Simon Castro R 2015 · 3.28 FIP	27	SU	3.28	26.4%	8.5%	2.4%	.320	3.58	26.0%	17.6%	128	+0.30	3.01	185	79
Michael Tonkin R 2017 · 3.32 FIP	27	SU	3.32	29.2%	9.6%	2.7%	.309	6.30	21.8%	8.3%	22	+2.98	2.31	480	77
Cody Allen R 2016 · 3.18 FIP	27	SU	3.18	33.0%	9.5%	3.0%	.229	4.17	29.4%	19.2%	157	+0.99	1.58	295	77
Dylan Heid R 2023 · 2.66 FIP	25	SU	2.66	29.4%	12.5%	0.8%	.337	3.74	18.5%	4.2%	64	+1.08	2.66	135	77
Jason Stoffel R 2016 · 3.49 FIP	27	SU	3.49	27.2%	8.0%	3.0%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	3.49	103	76
Brandyn Sittinger R 2021 · 3.58 FIP	27	SU	3.58	28.2%	11.3%	2.6%	.291	5.73	20.6%	9.6%	27	+2.15	3.58	152	76
José Cisnero R 2016 · 4.50 FIP	27	SU	4.50	26.1%	11.7%	3.9%	.367	3.90	24.5%	13.3%	75	-0.60	2.26	279	76
Matt Ramsey R 2017 · 3.25 FIP	27	SU	3.25	24.2%	9.6%	1.8%	.330	3.21	23.6%	14.6%	81	-0.04	2.42	125	76