Evan Reifert
P
Durham Bulls
Age 27
RHP
6'4" / 190 lbs
AAA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 20 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 110101vR 92
ERA3.98
FIP3.98
K%28.4%
BB%11.3%
K-BB%17.1%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 57 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 60 | 256 | 103 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 30.4% | 16.2% | 14.2% | 1.7% | 2.10 | 3.53 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 37 | 0 | 60 | 256 | 103 | 35 | 4 | 0% | 1.6 | 40.2% | 13.7% | 26.6% | 1.6% | 2.10 | 2.28 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 0 | 37 | 161 | 62 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 29.6% | 11.3% | 18.3% | 2.1% | 4.58 | 3.21 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 31 | 0 | 37 | 161 | 62 | 20 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 38.5% | 12.4% | 26.1% | 1.2% | 4.58 | 2.08 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 12 | 15 | 0 | 11% | 0.9 | 28.6% | 35.7% | -7.1% | 0.0% | 8.22 | 5.21 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 9 | 1 | 8 | 42 | 12 | 15 | 0 | 11% | 0.9 | 28.6% | 35.7% | -7.1% | 0.0% | 8.22 | 5.84 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 35 | 0 | 41 | 161 | 65 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.7% | 10.9% | 21.8% | 2.4% | 1.96 | 3.06 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Montgomery Biscuits | 35 | 0 | 41 | 161 | 65 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.2 | 40.4% | 9.9% | 30.4% | 1.9% | 1.96 | 2.06 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 2 | 30 | 140 | 54 | 20 | 3 | 6% | 0.9 | 35.1% | 14.8% | 20.3% | 1.5% | 3.26 | 2.81 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 33 | 2 | 30 | 140 | 54 | 20 | 3 | 6% | 0.9 | 38.6% | 14.3% | 24.3% | 2.1% | 3.26 | 2.80 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Durham Bulls | 29 | 3 | 38 | 156 | 46 | 18 | 5 | 10% | 1.3 | 25.9% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 3.5% | 2.39 | 4.38 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | TB | 19 | 0 | 20 | 83 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.4% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 2.7% | 3.98 | 3.98 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | TB | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 28.4% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 2.7% | 3.98 | 3.98 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | TB | — | — | 57 | 239 | 70 | 27 | 7 | — | — | 29.1% | 11.5% | 17.7% | 3.0% | 2.94 | 4.24 | +0.2 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | TB | — | — | 2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | 28.4% | 11.3% | 17.1% | 2.7% | 3.98 | 3.60 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TB | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.8% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 2.8% | 4.06 | 4.10 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | TB | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.8% | 11.2% | 16.5% | 2.8% | 4.06 | 4.10 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.9% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 2.8% | 4.04 | 3.69 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 229 | 95 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 27.9% | 11.3% | 16.6% | 2.8% | 4.04 | 3.69 | +4.0 | ||
| Career | — | 174 | 6 | 214 | 916 | 280 | 132 | 19 | 3% | 1.2 | 30.5% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 2.1% | 2.94 | 3.51 | +4.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 162 | 6 | 200 | 855 | 261 | 123 | 18 | 3% | 1.2 | 30.5% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 2.1% | 2.94 | 3.51 | +4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Evan Reifert (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.98 | 28.4% | 11.3% | 2.7% | — | 4.10 | 27.8% | 16.5% | 20 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Maikel Cleto R 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.29 | 27.9% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .301 | 3.49 | 23.6% | 14.3% | 70 | +0.20 | 2.59 | 156 | 85 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 28.2% | 9.7% | 3.7% | .277 | 4.83 | 16.8% | 2.7% | 45 | +0.84 | 3.74 | 163 | 85 |
| Justin Grimm R 2026 · 3.03 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.03 | 28.9% | 9.3% | 2.2% | .313 | 4.33 | 25.2% | 13.4% | 170 | +1.30 | 2.93 | 335 | 84 |
| Jon Edwards R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.54 | 31.7% | 13.1% | 2.7% | .264 | 2.30 | 30.3% | 22.6% | 30 | -1.24 | 2.30 | 132 | 83 |
| Spencer Patton R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.46 | 26.8% | 9.6% | 2.5% | .295 | 2.74 | 30.3% | 18.1% | 57 | -0.72 | 2.74 | 239 | 83 |
| Brad Boxberger R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 27.3% | 10.0% | 3.5% | .280 | 4.01 | 28.5% | 17.2% | 107 | +0.02 | 3.07 | 363 | 83 |
| Simon Castro R 2026 · 3.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.16 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .320 | 3.55 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.39 | 2.85 | 185 | 82 |
| Peyton Gray R 2025 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.31 | 29.2% | 14.1% | 3.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 138 | 82 |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.04 | 24.2% | 9.6% | 1.4% | .330 | 3.26 | 23.6% | 14.6% | 81 | +0.22 | 2.42 | 125 | 81 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 81 |
| José Cisnero R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 81 |
| Alex Powers R 2026 · 2.91 FIP | 27 | SU | 2.91 | 27.9% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .272 | 4.01 | 25.0% | 14.7% | 48 | +1.10 | 2.80 | 264 | 80 |
| Jacob Bosiokovic R 2026 · 3.94 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.94 | 26.4% | 14.3% | 2.3% | .274 | 4.93 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 69 | +0.99 | 3.68 | 181 | 79 |
| Michael Tonkin R 2026 · 3.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.33 | 29.2% | 9.6% | 2.7% | .309 | 6.08 | 21.8% | 8.3% | 22 | +2.75 | 2.33 | 480 | 79 |
| Jason Adam R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.39 | 24.2% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .237 | 2.64 | 33.1% | 24.9% | 88 | -0.75 | 2.45 | 394 | 79 |
| Matt Jachec R 2024 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 28.3% | 9.9% | 3.6% | .245 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.29 | 120 | 79 |
| Curtis Partch R 2027 · 2.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 2.85 | 25.9% | 9.9% | 1.2% | .345 | 3.14 | 21.7% | 9.2% | 60 | +0.29 | 2.85 | 124 | 79 |
| Jordan Jankowski R 2026 · 2.91 FIP | 27 | SU | 2.91 | 30.3% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .296 | 4.26 | 23.4% | 8.8% | 62 | +1.35 | 2.57 | 196 | 79 |
| Justin Sterner R 2026 · 3.92 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.92 | 27.6% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .262 | 4.36 | 24.8% | 18.3% | 107 | +0.44 | 3.92 | 294 | 79 |
| Ryan Garton R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.71 | 25.2% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .252 | 4.13 | 23.5% | 10.8% | 108 | +0.42 | 3.15 | 307 | 79 |