Daniel Martinez (P, Gwinnett Stripers) prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Daniel Martinez P Gwinnett Stripers

Age 28 RHP 5'11" / 190 lbs AAA peak 0.2 · 2026

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.38

FIP4.38

K%21.5%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%12.7%

ROS IP77

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 76 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	1	26	105	29	12	1	6%	1.6	20.3%	16.0%	4.3%	0.0%	3.12	3.41	—
2018	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	1	26	105	29	12	1	6%	1.6	27.6%	11.4%	16.2%	1.0%	3.12	2.75	—
2019	21	A MLE	Beloit Snappers	4	3	15	68	14	6	1	75%	3.8	15.2%	10.4%	4.8%	1.9%	2.35	4.17	—
2019	21	A RAW	Beloit Snappers	4	3	15	68	14	6	1	75%	3.8	20.6%	8.8%	11.8%	1.5%	2.35	3.30	—
2021	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	5	58	298	61	29	13	25%	2.9	14.3%	11.4%	2.9%	5.2%	8.69	6.19	—
2021	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	5	58	298	61	29	13	25%	2.9	20.5%	9.7%	10.7%	4.4%	8.69	5.41	—
2022	24	A+ MLE	Lansing Lugnuts	30	1	39	188	35	26	12	3%	1.3	14.3%	15.9%	-1.6%	8.4%	9.00	8.54	—
2022	24	A+ RAW	Lansing Lugnuts	30	1	39	188	35	26	12	3%	1.3	18.6%	13.8%	4.8%	6.4%	9.00	7.31	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	20	111	471	116	36	8	83%	4.6	19.3%	8.6%	10.7%	2.1%	3.50	3.70	—
2023	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	20	111	471	116	36	8	83%	4.6	19.3%	8.6%	10.7%	2.1%	3.50	3.70	—
2023	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	20	111	471	116	36	8	83%	4.6	24.6%	7.6%	17.0%	1.7%	3.50	2.92	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	2	1	7	37	7	8	2	50%	3.7	18.9%	21.6%	-2.7%	5.4%	9.82	7.21	—
2024	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	2	1	7	37	7	8	2	50%	3.7	18.9%	21.6%	-2.7%	5.4%	9.82	7.21	—
2024	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	2	1	7	37	7	8	2	50%	3.7	18.9%	21.6%	-2.7%	5.4%	9.82	8.01	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	28	MLB	ATL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	21.5%	8.8%	12.7%	2.9%	4.38	4.38	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	29	MLB MLE	ATL	70	0	73	309	66	28	10	0%	1.0	21.5%	9.1%	12.4%	3.1%	4.45	4.51	+0.0
2028	30	MLB MLE	ATL	66	0	69	290	62	27	9	0%	1.0	21.3%	9.4%	11.9%	3.3%	4.57	4.67	-0.1
2027	29	MLB CTX	ATL	21	0	22	93	20	8	3	0%	1.0	21.5%	9.1%	12.4%	3.1%	4.45	4.51	+0.0
2028	30	MLB CTX	ATL	33	0	35	148	31	14	5	0%	1.1	21.3%	9.4%	11.9%	3.3%	4.57	4.67	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		54	0	57	241	51	22	8	0%	1.1	21.4%	9.3%	12.1%	3.2%	4.52	4.23	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	179	77	28	0%	1.1	21.4%	9.3%	12.1%	3.2%	4.52	4.23	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		96	31	256	1167	199	136	44	32%	2.7	17.1%	11.7%	5.4%	3.8%	5.58	5.23	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	24	200	911	155	106	35	32%	2.7	17.1%	11.7%	5.4%	3.8%	5.58	5.23	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daniel Martinez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.38	21.5%	8.8%	2.9%	—	4.59	21.4%	12.1%	142	+0.21	—	—	—
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	85
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	81
Jose Pina R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	29	SW	4.90	16.9%	9.2%	3.8%	.231	3.66	13.6%	6.9%	246	-1.24	3.63	424	78
Casey Sadler R 2018 · 3.95 FIP	28	SW	3.95	16.0%	7.8%	2.2%	.298	3.35	23.2%	16.5%	145	-0.60	2.21	385	77
Asher Wojciechowski R 2017 · 3.99 FIP	28	SW	3.99	23.4%	6.5%	3.7%	.299	5.06	21.5%	13.1%	323	+1.07	3.15	678	75
Yoanner Negrin R 2015 · 3.79 FIP	31	SW	3.79	15.1%	7.5%	1.9%	.256	3.29	15.0%	8.5%	270	-0.50	3.15	485	75
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	75
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	75
Alfonso Sanchez R 2016 · 5.26 FIP	28	SW	5.26	15.9%	7.4%	4.7%	.244	5.55	11.2%	2.3%	115	+0.29	4.51	224	75
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	74
Kolton Mahoney R 2019 · 3.56 FIP	27	SW	3.56	19.4%	8.8%	1.8%	.293	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	302	74
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	73
Sam Lewis R 2019 · 3.41 FIP	27	SP-	3.41	21.0%	10.8%	1.3%	.246	—	—	—	—	—	2.21	224	72
Forrest Snow R 2017 · 3.46 FIP	28	SW	3.46	24.0%	7.6%	2.6%	.321	5.22	19.4%	11.6%	146	+1.76	3.02	406	72
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	72
Chris Kachmar R 2023 · 4.82 FIP	26	SW	4.82	20.5%	7.8%	4.5%	.319	4.65	18.4%	7.3%	248	-0.17	4.29	360	72
Jesse Scholtens R 2022 · 4.18 FIP	28	SW	4.18	22.4%	8.4%	3.5%	.303	4.35	18.8%	11.9%	193	+0.17	3.34	883	72
Mitch Neunborn R 2023 · 3.65 FIP	26	SP-	3.65	24.5%	9.5%	2.6%	.232	5.11	17.6%	6.7%	206	+1.46	3.65	248	72
Todd Wellemeyer R 2007 · 4.74 FIP	28	SW	4.74	17.0%	10.8%	3.1%	.270	4.86	15.5%	6.4%	373	+0.12	3.35	615	72
Donovan Hand R 2013 · 4.72 FIP	27	SW	4.72	12.9%	7.0%	3.3%	.279	4.30	11.1%	6.8%	97	-0.42	4.30	305	71

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.1	73	21.4%	9.1%	1.19	4.46
Mark Lowe ('16)	1.9	64	20.9%	9.7%	1.10	4.22
Justin Grimm ('22)	1.9	75	23.0%	10.1%	1.17	5.10
Carlos Torres ('19)	2.5	72	20.7%	8.9%	1.12	4.09
Hisanori Takahashi ('13)	1.2	81	21.6%	8.2%	1.07	3.99
Kerry Ligtenberg ('05)	2.0	65	21.5%	9.5%	1.06	3.82
Juan Gutierrez ('14)	1.4	57	19.4%	8.4%	1.04	4.49