Justin Dean

CF Iowa Cubs

Age 30 R/R 5'8" / 185 lbs AAA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAA40-MANPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

MLB%30%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	28	AAALAD	347	.289/.378/.431	6	27	91	—	.257/.317/.361
2026	29	AAACHC	352	.213/.329/.297	3	25	44	—	.183/.265/.247
2027PROJ30% MLB	30	MLBCHC	75	.208/.281/.290	1	5	61	-0.1
2028PROJ39% MLB	31	MLBCHC	121	.206/.278/.287	1	6	60	-0.3

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.8M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed94

BB%80

Chase%70

Max EV66

K%33

Whiff%31

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsBilly Hamilton (age 30) · Darren Ford (age 30) · Todd Donovan (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†61

AVG/OBP/SLG.208 / .281 / .290

PA75

HR1

SB5

K%28

BB%8

BABIP292

ISO103

MLB%30%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2025-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

904.5%

xAVG

140.222

POWER45

Avg EV

1071.4

Bat Spd

1065.1

EYE55

Chase%

904.8%

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	21	A	Rome Braves	—	126	113	29	2	5	0	11	27	2	9	3	257	333	363	696	106	337	21	9	315	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK	Danville Braves	—	155	130	40	8	4	1	22	32	3	7	6	308	419	454	873	146	402	21	14	392	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A	Rome Braves	—	503	429	122	18	9	9	62	115	10	47	10	284	387	431	818	147	368	23	12	367	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	53	45	9	0	0	0	7	18	0	3	1	200	308	200	508		321	34	13	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	423	363	86	14	4	8	42	128	18	29	6	237	345	364	709	127	344	30	10	326	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	INTL	Mayos de Navojoa	—	198	176	54	10	1	6	17	40	4	16	9	307	381	477	858	170	369	20	9	380	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	59	54	11	2	0	0	3	15	1	5	1	204	259	241	499	37	275	25	5	230	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	322	274	64	12	4	3	40	97	6	19	5	234	344	339	683	106	347	30	12	314	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	INTL	Mexico	—	320	272	87	12	7	2	39	66	4	19	8	320	413	438	850	118	415	21	12	377	142	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	199	159	26	3	1	4	32	67	3	13	3	164	314	270	585	107	237	34	16	274	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	236	193	44	3	1	5	39	72	3	22	5	228	366	332	698	104	336	31	17	326	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	258	204	44	5	2	3	40	61	4	17	4	216	355	304	659	88	283	24	16	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	—	90	74	19	3	1	0	12	30	2	14	1	257	375	324	699	68	413	33	13	321	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA	Mississippi Braves	—	362	315	77	11	2	3	39	92	4	47	7	244	335	321	656	76	330	25	11	301	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	INTL	Caneros de los Mochis	—	222	190	46	6	1	7	26	47	5	7	3	242	348	395	743	153	287	21	12	336	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	Oklahoma City Comets	—	347	304	88	13	6	6	39	82	4	27	9	289	378	431	808	141	380	24	11	363	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	352	296	63	12	2	3	48	87	3	25	2	213	329	297	626	84	287	25	14	290	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	21	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	126	117	24	1	4	0	7	38	2	9	3	205	262	282	544	77	319	30	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK MLE	Danville Braves	—	155	138	32	6	3	1	14	45	3	7	6	232	316	341	657	109	332	29	9	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	Rome Braves	—	503	450	98	12	7	8	41	154	10	47	10	218	297	329	626	111	305	31	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	423	379	77	12	4	7	26	157	18	29	6	203	286	311	597	108	320	37	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	59	55	10	2	0	0	2	18	1	5	1	182	224	218	442	36	253	31	3	197	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	322	287	55	10	4	2	27	118	6	19	5	192	275	275	550	84	307	37	8	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	199	169	25	3	1	3	22	80	3	13	3	148	258	231	489	83	224	40	11	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	236	204	41	3	1	5	28	85	3	22	5	201	306	299	605	98	304	36	12	269	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Gwinnett Stripers	—	90	78	17	2	1	0	8	38	2	14	1	218	307	269	576	51	381	42	9	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Mississippi Braves	—	362	329	71	11	2	3	25	109	4	47	7	216	279	289	568	73	302	30	7	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	—	347	319	82	11	5	4	24	97	4	27	9	257	317	361	678	103	362	28	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	352	312	57	10	2	2	32	105	3	25	2	183	265	247	512	64	255	30	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	281	255	57	7	7	1	21	83	5	16	9	224	295	318	613	94	327	30	7	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	281	243	69	10	9	1	33	59	5	16	9	284	381	412	792	128	372	21	12	358	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	556	497	108	14	7	9	46	170	10	50	11	217	297	328	625	111	308	31	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	556	474	131	18	9	9	69	133	10	50	11	276	380	409	789	133	364	24	12	356	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	621	559	112	17	6	10	39	230	22	45	15	200	279	306	585	106	320	37	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	621	539	140	24	5	14	59	168	22	45	15	260	356	401	757	141	353	27	10	343	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	701	628	120	22	7	5	54	251	11	43	14	191	267	272	539	81	306	36	8	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA RAW	3 teams	—	701	600	162	26	11	5	82	178	11	43	14	270	368	375	743	105	373	25	12	336	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	693	588	104	9	3	13	79	263	10	52	12	177	285	269	554	92	283	38	11	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	INTL RAW	3 teams	—	693	556	114	11	4	12	111	200	10	52	12	205	347	304	651	99	288	29	16	302	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	3 teams	—	674	607	131	20	4	4	49	218	11	68	11	216	286	282	568	66	325	32	7	255	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA RAW	3 teams	—	674	579	142	20	4	10	77	169	11	68	11	245	345	345	690	100	325	25	11	315	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	—	347	319	82	11	5	4	24	97	4	27	9	257	317	361	678	103	358	28	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	Oklahoma City Comets	—	347	304	88	13	6	6	39	82	4	27	9	289	378	431	808	141	380	24	11	363	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	352	312	57	10	2	2	32	105	3	25	2	183	265	247	512	64	264	30	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA RAW	Iowa Cubs	—	352	296	63	12	2	3	48	87	3	25	2	213	329	297	626	84	287	25	14	290	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	281	253	57	7	7	1	21	83	5	16	9	225	295	320	616	95	326	30	7	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	556	495	108	14	7	9	46	170	10	50	11	218	297	329	626	111	305	31	8	276	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	621	555	112	17	6	10	39	230	22	45	15	202	279	308	587	106	320	37	6	263	64	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AA MLE	3 teams	—	701	630	120	22	7	5	54	251	11	43	14	190	267	271	538	81	299	36	8	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	INTL MLE	3 teams	—	693	599	104	9	3	13	79	263	10	52	12	174	285	264	549	90	267	38	11	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	3 teams	—	674	609	131	20	4	4	49	218	11	68	11	215	286	281	567	66	318	32	7	255	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	—	347	316	82	11	5	4	24	97	4	27	9	259	317	364	681	104	362	28	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	352	314	57	10	2	2	32	105	3	25	2	182	265	245	510	64	255	30	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	27	AA MLE	3 teams	—	674	609	131	20	4	4	49	218	11	68	11	215	286	281	567	66	318	32	7	255	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	Oklahoma City Comets	—	347	316	82	11	5	4	24	97	4	27	9	259	317	364	681	104	362	28	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	29	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	352	314	57	10	2	2	32	105	3	25	2	182	265	245	510	64	255	30	9	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	30	MLB MLE	CHC	30%	380	342	70	12	3	3	31	109	4	23	4	206	279	286	564	80	288	29	8	259	61	-17	+3	+0	+1	+8	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	30	MLB CTX	CHC	30%	75	68	14	2	1	1	6	21	1	5	1	208	281	290	571	82	292	28	8	262	61	-3	+1	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	CHC	39%	310	279	58	10	2	3	25	89	3	15	3	204	276	283	559	79	285	29	8	257	60	-15	+2	-3	+1	+7	-0.8
2028	31	MLB CTX	CHC	39%	121	109	23	4	1	1	10	35	1	6	1	206	278	287	565	81	289	29	8	259	60	-6	+1	-1	+0	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	121	109	23	4	1	1	10	35	1	6	1	211	283	294	577	83	297	29	8	259	61	-6	+1	-1	+0	+3	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	586	122	21	5	5	54	188	5	32	5	208	281	287	567	78	294	29	8	259	61	-31	+4	-6	+2	+14	-1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	4785	4270	876	128	45	53	389	1578	81	356	89	205	284	293	577	88	308	33	8	259	61	-26	+4	-3	+2	+12	-1.2
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	118	17	6	7	53	214	11	48	12	203	283	290	572	86	306	33	8	259	61	-31	+4	-3	+2	+14	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Justin Dean (OGILVIE)	30	55	45	60	55	204/276/283	79	288	2	15	29%	8%	61	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Billy Hamilton 2021 · MLB	30	46→56	39→40	59→70	49	220/285/307	86	285	5	34	24%	8%	69	-0.9	195/248/294	99	291	8	34	33%	6%	52	-2.2	158/208/235	77	253	4	47	37%	6%	22	-1.0
✕Darren Ford 2016 · AAA	30	45→53	41→45	57→65	43	218/270/309	91	280	9	39	25%	6%	64	-1.3	218/270/298	80	283	6	24	24%	6%	61	-1.5	212/261/258	46	279	1	23	23%	6%	45	-1.9
✕Todd Donovan 2009 · AAA	30	49→52	36→40	61→65	48	232/291/301	69	291	3	38	21%	7%	70	-0.9	224/300/306	82	289	5	31	22%	10%	75	-0.5	214/305/285	71	275	3	38	21%	11%	71	-0.6
✕Tyler Graham 2014 · AAA	30	47→54	39→40	60→65	45	225/290/311	86	287	6	33	23%	6%	72	-0.7	228/274/303	75	282	6	28	21%	5%	63	-1.3	230/270/276	46	284	3	38	19%	4%	52	-1.6
✕Delino DeShields 2023 · MLB	30	45→55	36→45	56→65	52	205/300/272	67	298	4	31	29%	11%	68	-1.0	214/295/288	74	313	5	23	30%	10%	70	-0.9	227/304/279	52	363	0	11	34%	9%	65	-0.3
✕Trent Durrington 2007 · MLB	31	47→43	38→40	59→60	43	223/275/304	81	286	6	35	24%	6%	64	-1.3	217/277/301	84	279	6	26	23%	7%	65	-1.2	201/270/253	52	258	2	33	21%	7%	49	-0.9
✕Matt Lipka 2022 · AAA	30	50→52	44→45	58→60	39	239/287/355	116	329	11	31	30%	5%	81	-0.1	222/281/328	106	323	9	34	32%	7%	72	-0.7	188/256/263	75	291	4	59	34%	8%	45	-1.0
✕Jonathan Davis 2023 · MLB	31	46→52	40→45	57→55	51	219/314/311	92	297	8	27	27%	10%	82	+0.0	218/293/335	117	304	10	17	29%	8%	79	-0.2	204/277/324	120	289	10	14	31%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Tyler Wade 2024 · MLB	29	49→58	39→45	61→60	47	234/299/321	87	306	7	42	25%	8%	78	-0.3	224/293/294	70	295	5	29	24%	8%	70	-0.9	213/289/252	39	283	1	26	23%	9%	58	-0.6
✕Ben DeLuzio 2023 · MLB	28	47→50	42→45	60	41	224/281/335	111	303	8	29	28%	6%	74	-0.5	210/272/317	107	307	10	20	33%	7%	68	-1.0	148/218/218	71	242	7	18	39%	7%	24	-1.2
✕Darin Mastroianni 2014 · MLB	28	48→58	38→40	61→60	47	227/292/306	78	291	5	34	23%	7%	71	-0.8	218/269/293	75	276	5	24	22%	6%	59	-1.6	214/262/278	64	270	4	24	21%	5%	50	-1.6
✕Quintin Berry 2015 · MLB	30	49→59	37→40	59→65	48	230/299/303	73	304	4	32	24%	8%	74	-0.6	214/279/277	63	292	5	33	26%	8%	60	-1.6	200/264/246	46	280	3	42	28%	7%	45	-1.4
✕Ray-Patrick Didder 2024 · AAA	29	41→49	44→45	55→60	44	203/288/317	114	282	12	28	31%	8%	74	-0.5	181/276/293	112	255	12	25	32%	9%	65	-1.2	127/237/219	92	178	10	29	32%	9%	33	-2.6
✕Johnny Davis 2019 · AAA	29	49→54	36→30	59→65	38	228/269/293	65	322	4	32	29%	5%	59	-1.7	229/273/307	78	305	5	41	25%	5%	63	-1.3	236/277/299	63	310	4	58	24%	4%	61	-1.2
✕Craig Gentry 2016 · MLB	32	48→55	37→40	57→60	46	228/284/295	67	282	5	29	20%	6%	65	-1.2	218/278/298	80	277	6	24	22%	7%	64	-1.3	218/282/291	73	279	4	29	22%	7%	64	-0.4
✕Tommy Murphy 2009 · MLB	29	50→53	40→45	55→60	43	237/284/332	95	310	7	29	25%	6%	74	-0.6	218/275/310	92	291	7	25	26%	7%	66	-1.1	186/247/252	65	251	4	26	26%	7%	39	-1.6
✕Tony Gwynn Jr. 2013 · MLB	30	51→57	38→40	59→60	48	241/293/329	88	291	4	28	18%	7%	76	-0.4	227/289/299	72	274	4	17	17%	8%	68	-1.0	215/282/271	56	256	2	15	15%	8%	57	-1.0
✕Zach Remillard 2024 · MLB	30	45→49	40	52→55	44	218/282/303	86	291	7	20	27%	7%	68	-1.0	200/261/295	95	269	8	14	27%	7%	58	-1.7	132/192/197	65	179	6	8	29%	6%	9	-1.9
✕Wynton Bernard 2021 · AAA	30	45→55	42→45	56→60	44	219/268/327	108	277	8	25	24%	6%	68	-1.0	229/277/348	119	287	10	29	23%	6%	76	-0.4	245/290/364	119	296	10	37	20%	5%	81	-0.1
✕Kenny Wilson 2019 · AAA	29	46→51	39→40	53→60	43	215/283/303	88	309	6	23	30%	7%	68	-1.0	215/278/335	120	331	11	16	36%	7%	74	-0.6	179/240/301	123	291	11	16	40%	6%	48	-0.7