D.J. Carpenter
P
Springfield Cardinals
Age 26
RHP
6'7" / 242 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION30 act + 22 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 107
ERA4.70
FIP4.70
K%21.9%
BB%11.8%
K-BB%10.1%
ROS IP22
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 52 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.3% | 11.8% | 23.5% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 1.61 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 4 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.3% | 11.8% | 23.5% | 0.0% | 2.25 | 1.60 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 36 | 0 | 37 | 178 | 41 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 17.7% | 18.7% | -1.0% | 2.0% | 5.35 | 5.05 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 36 | 0 | 37 | 178 | 41 | 29 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 16.3% | 6.7% | 1.1% | 5.35 | 3.94 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 29 | 0 | 30 | 150 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.3% | 15.6% | 0.6% | 6.4% | 7.12 | 7.24 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | STL | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 4.70 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | STL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 4.70 | 4.70 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | STL | — | — | 52 | 243 | 51 | 32 | 11 | — | — | 21.1% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 6.10 | 6.17 | -1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | STL | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.9% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% | 4.70 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | STL | 21 | 0 | 22 | 92 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | STL | 8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.1% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 8 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.32 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 186 | 93 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 2.9% | 4.68 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 69 | 0 | 71 | 345 | 62 | 59 | 13 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 17.0% | 0.9% | 3.8% | 5.93 | 5.83 | -0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 193 | 0 | 200 | 967 | 174 | 165 | 37 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.0% | 17.0% | 0.9% | 3.8% | 5.93 | 5.83 | -1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| D.J. Carpenter (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.70 | 21.9% | 11.8% | 2.9% | — | 4.70 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 22 | +0.00 | — | — | — |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.16 | 24.5% | 13.2% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.34 | 20.3% | 9.0% | 115 | +0.18 | 3.78 | 180 | 89 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 88 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 87 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 87 |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 84 |
| Collin Baumgartner R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 23.9% | 12.3% | 1.8% | .291 | 6.27 | 19.1% | -8.3% | 16 | +2.65 | 3.05 | 134 | 83 |
| Mason Vinyard R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 21.8% | 14.5% | 2.3% | .254 | 4.21 | 13.5% | -4.3% | 15 | -0.15 | 3.58 | 169 | 83 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 83 |
| Keagan Gillies R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.85 | 21.1% | 13.3% | 1.6% | .306 | 3.61 | 20.1% | 13.5% | 54 | -0.24 | 2.88 | 157 | 83 |
| Matt Wivinis R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.87 | 19.5% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .262 | 5.90 | 14.5% | 6.2% | 17 | +2.03 | 1.61 | 124 | 83 |
| Shawn Armstrong R 2026 · 4.11 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.11 | 22.1% | 9.2% | 3.1% | .282 | 3.23 | 26.9% | 17.2% | 144 | -0.88 | 1.79 | 647 | 83 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2028 · 4.81 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.81 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.0% | .265 | 3.88 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.93 | 3.53 | 365 | 82 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .310 | 4.40 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | +0.04 | 3.42 | 161 | 82 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 82 |
| Kyle Winkler R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.60 | 23.1% | 8.7% | 2.5% | .234 | 3.53 | 18.4% | 8.3% | 43 | -0.07 | 2.96 | 114 | 82 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 81 |
| Derek Eitel R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.32 | 18.1% | 13.9% | 1.8% | .338 | 4.21 | 19.7% | 5.0% | 113 | -0.11 | 3.85 | 138 | 81 |
| Nelson L. Alvarez R 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.09 | 23.4% | 14.2% | 2.1% | .282 | 4.63 | 18.5% | 9.4% | 35 | +0.54 | 2.53 | 233 | 81 |
| Armando Rivero R 2027 · 4.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.39 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .256 | 2.81 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.58 | 2.81 | 125 | 81 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.57 | 26.5% | 11.2% | 4.2% | .299 | 4.42 | 22.3% | 10.3% | 87 | -0.15 | 3.74 | 163 | 81 |