Ezequiel Pagan

OF Tulsa Drillers

Age 27 L/R 5'11" / 163 lbs AA HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	24	AATennessee Smo…	233	.184/.230/.304	6	7	19	—	.155/.196/.256
2024	24	INTLCriollos de C…	94	.253/.326/.470	3	2	119	—
2025	25	AALAD	306	.249/.298/.391	6	5	55	—	.213/.252/.324
2025	25	INTLGigantes de C…	143	.248/.336/.314	1	1	85	—
2027PROJ2% MLB	27	MLBLAD	5	.217/.257/.335	0	0	67	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	28	MLBLAD	69	.217/.258/.334	1	1	67	-0.2

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 AA

K%83

Whiff%82

Z-Con%79

ISO66

Speed51

wOBA50

CompsSebastián Elizalde (age 27) · Tucker Nathans (age 27) · Anderson Miller (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .257 / .335

PA5

HR0

K%20

BB%4

BABIP262

ISO127

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	18	ROK	AZL Cubs 1	—	108	92	20	3	1	0	14	27	0	3	5	217	321	272	592	54	299	25	13	275	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK	AZL Cubs 2	—	241	212	60	6	0	1	21	45	4	19	8	283	359	325	684	42	353	19	9	313	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	162	143	35	6	2	1	10	26	6	2	1	245	321	336	656	91	286	16	6	296	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	ACL Cubs	—	115	107	36	6	5	6	3	20	3	3	0	336	372	654	1.026	318	361	17	3	433	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	438	384	112	15	5	11	40	57	7	13	4	292	369	443	812	151	317	13	9	357	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	429	376	113	20	2	5	39	66	10	12	10	301	380	404	785	104	351	15	9	354	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	233	217	40	6	1	6	8	49	5	7	0	184	230	304	535	120	206	21	3	238	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+	South Bend Cubs	—	55	47	13	2	0	2	6	5	2	3	0	277	382	447	829	170	275	9	11	373	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	INTL	Criollos de Caguas	—	94	83	21	9	0	3	7	17	2	2	2	253	326	470	796	217	277	18	7	344	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	306	281	70	14	4	6	15	53	5	5	6	249	298	391	689	142	284	17	5	303	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	143	121	30	1	2	1	15	24	2	1	0	248	336	314	650	66	299	17	10	294	85	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	18	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 1	—	108	97	16	2	1	0	9	39	0	3	5	165	236	206	442	41	256	36	8	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	—	241	220	45	4	0	1	13	65	4	19	8	205	262	236	498	32	273	27	5	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	162	146	31	5	2	1	7	37	6	2	1	212	277	295	571	82	264	23	4	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Cubs	—	115	108	25	4	3	4	2	29	3	3	0	231	265	435	701	204	270	25	2	302	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	438	398	101	13	4	9	26	79	7	13	4	254	311	374	685	121	288	18	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	429	391	98	14	1	3	25	87	10	12	10	251	312	315	627	64	310	20	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	233	219	34	5	1	5	6	61	5	7	0	155	196	256	451	100	177	26	3	196	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	55	49	12	2	0	2	4	6	2	3	0	245	327	408	735	163	240	11	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	Tulsa Drillers	—	306	287	61	11	3	5	10	66	5	5	6	213	252	324	576	111	252	22	3	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 1	—	108	97	16	2	1	0	9	39	0	3	5	165	236	206	442	41	267	36	8	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 1	—	108	92	20	3	1	0	14	27	0	3	5	217	321	272	592	54	299	25	13	275	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	—	241	220	45	4	0	1	13	65	4	19	8	205	262	236	498	32	284	27	5	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	AZL Cubs 2	—	241	212	60	6	0	1	21	45	4	19	8	283	359	325	684	42	353	19	9	313	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	277	254	56	9	5	5	9	66	9	5	1	220	272	354	626	134	271	24	3	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	277	250	71	12	7	7	13	46	9	5	1	284	342	472	814	188	317	17	5	353	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	438	398	101	13	4	9	26	79	7	13	4	254	311	374	685	121	294	18	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	438	384	112	15	5	11	40	57	7	13	4	292	369	443	812	151	317	13	9	357	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	429	391	98	14	1	3	25	87	10	12	10	251	312	315	627	64	312	20	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	South Bend Cubs	—	429	376	113	20	2	5	39	66	10	12	10	301	380	404	785	104	351	15	9	354	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	382	355	60	8	1	10	13	90	9	12	2	169	218	282	499	113	192	24	3	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	3 teams	—	382	347	74	17	1	11	21	71	9	12	2	213	276	363	639	150	233	19	5	284	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	449	421	90	16	5	7	14	97	7	6	6	214	251	325	577	112	259	22	3	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	449	402	100	15	6	7	30	77	7	6	6	249	310	368	678	119	289	17	7	300	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 1	—	108	98	16	2	1	0	9	39	0	3	5	163	236	204	440	41	256	36	8	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	AZL Cubs 2	—	241	222	45	4	0	1	13	65	4	19	8	203	262	234	496	32	273	27	5	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	277	257	56	9	5	5	9	66	9	5	1	218	272	350	622	132	266	24	3	273	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	Myrtle Beach Pelicans	—	438	402	101	13	4	9	26	79	7	13	4	251	311	371	682	119	288	18	6	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	South Bend Cubs	—	429	391	98	14	1	3	25	87	10	12	10	251	312	315	627	64	310	20	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	382	357	60	8	1	10	13	90	9	12	2	168	218	280	498	112	189	24	3	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	449	425	90	16	5	7	14	97	7	6	6	212	251	322	573	111	252	22	3	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AA MLE	3 teams	—	382	357	60	8	1	10	13	90	9	12	2	168	218	280	498	112	189	24	3	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	449	425	90	16	5	7	14	97	7	6	6	212	251	322	573	111	252	22	3	250	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	LAD	2%	356	335	74	14	2	7	13	81	5	6	2	222	261	341	602	119	268	23	4	267	67	-14	+0	+0	-2	+8	-0.4
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	LAD	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	217	257	335	592	117	262	20	0	263	67	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	LAD	27%	256	241	53	10	2	5	10	58	3	4	2	221	262	339	601	118	269	23	4	268	67	-10	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.7
2028	28	MLB CTX	LAD	27%	69	65	14	3	0	1	3	16	1	1	0	217	258	334	592	117	262	23	4	264	67	-3	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	69	65	14	3	0	1	3	16	1	1	0	215	261	308	569	92	271	23	4	264	61	-3	+0	-0	-0	+1	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	612	131	28	0	9	28	151	9	9	0	214	258	304	562	90	270	23	4	264	61	-25	+2	-2	-4	+14	-1.5
Career	—	MLE		—	2822	2605	570	86	21	45	128	636	52	78	40	219	269	320	589	101	269	23	5	259	61	-19	+0	-1	-3	+11	-1.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	600	131	20	5	10	29	146	12	18	9	218	268	318	587	100	269	22	4	259	61	-25	+0	-1	-4	+14	-1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ezequiel Pagan (OGILVIE)	27	50	40	45	25	220/259/338	118	268	5	4	23%	4%	67	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Sebastián Elizalde 2019 · AAA	27	49→54	41→45	46→45	43	238/275/332	94	271	9	7	16%	4%	70	-0.8	228/281/327	99	265	9	14	17%	6%	72	-0.7	213/271/275	62	248	4	22	15%	7%	55	-0.4
✕Tucker Nathans 2016 · AA	27	45→46	41→45	47→45	41	223/265/320	98	282	9	6	24%	5%	64	-1.3	221/259/316	95	287	9	6	26%	4%	61	-1.5	216/249/292	76	270	7	2	23%	4%	49	-0.9
✕Anderson Miller 2021 · AA	27	41→47	42→45	47→50	38	206/245/309	103	273	10	12	28%	5%	54	-2.0	206/268/335	129	284	16	15	32%	7%	70	-0.8	167/239/293	126	217	19	18	32%	7%	48	-1.0
✕Blake Rutherford 2023 · AAA	26	46→55	42→45	46→50	36	225/256/331	106	293	9	8	26%	3%	63	-1.3	247/292/380	133	311	13	11	24%	5%	88	+0.5	273/321/424	151	338	14	10	22%	5%	107	+1.1
✕Peter Lavin 2015 · AA	27	47→51	41→45	46→50	44	228/271/332	103	276	7	10	20%	5%	69	-0.9	220/264/330	110	264	9	8	20%	6%	66	-1.1	207/251/318	111	243	8	6	19%	6%	57	-1.5
✕Steele Walker 2023 · MLB	27	44→47	46→45	47→50	44	220/272/343	123	260	14	12	22%	6%	73	-0.6	216/273/336	120	270	13	10	24%	7%	72	-0.7	157/219/241	85	197	9	0	25%	7%	28	-0.8
✕Cole Sturgeon 2019 · AAA	27	48→50	40→45	50	42	232/274/322	89	292	8	12	23%	5%	68	-1.0	234/282/349	115	307	12	11	27%	5%	78	-0.3	215/264/315	100	266	10	10	23%	5%	61	-1.1
✕Preston Palmeiro 2022 · AAA	27	42→47	45	45→40	40	213/254/332	119	272	13	7	27%	5%	63	-1.3	214/271/326	112	271	9	5	23%	7%	69	-0.9	205/269/307	103	257	7	2	22%	7%	61	-0.8
✕Noah Perio 2019 · AA	27	50→54	40→45	47→45	44	242/278/334	92	280	8	8	17%	4%	72	-0.7	227/271/338	111	277	12	10	22%	5%	71	-0.8	218/259/322	104	260	13	9	21%	4%	61	-0.7
✕Adam Melker 2014 · AA	26	47	41→40	43→50	42	228/276/323	94	293	9	9	25%	6%	69	-0.9	233/279/328	95	287	10	13	22%	5%	72	-0.7	242/284/310	68	289	8	18	19%	4%	65	-0.6
✕Orlando Martinez 2024 · AAA	26	46→48	45→50	46→50	41	226/270/353	127	288	12	9	25%	5%	74	-0.5	226/283/329	103	279	8	10	21%	7%	73	-0.6	224/286/313	89	274	6	12	20%	8%	69	-0.5
✕Nick Banks 2021 · AA	26	45	43→45	49→45	39	223/264/334	111	295	10	8	28%	5%	68	-1.0	213/265/322	109	317	11	5	34%	6%	65	-1.2	205/258/311	106	309	11	2	36%	6%	57	-1.0
✕Beau Amaral 2018 · AAA	27	45→51	38→40	45→55	42	217/268/293	76	282	6	9	24%	6%	59	-1.6	214/263/299	85	276	7	11	24%	6%	59	-1.7	208/255/283	74	267	6	10	23%	5%	50	-1.1
✕Engel Beltre 2017 · AAA	27	53→59	40→45	42→55	39	253/284/346	93	305	7	9	20%	3%	77	-0.3	244/289/339	95	293	8	13	19%	4%	78	-0.3	240/285/312	72	283	6	16	17%	4%	66	-0.6
✕Preston Beck 2018 · AAA	27	44→42	40→45	48→45	45	215/267/312	97	264	7	7	21%	6%	63	-1.3	211/264/316	105	271	9	4	25%	6%	63	-1.3	203/258/308	105	261	10	1	25%	6%	57	-1.5
✕Irving Lopez 2022 · AAA	27	42→49	41→45	50→40	39	208/260/310	103	272	9	6	26%	5%	61	-1.5	216/286/317	101	273	9	6	23%	7%	72	-0.7	213/292/310	98	264	9	4	21%	8%	71	-0.4
✕Danny Perales 2012 · AAA	27	44→47	44→50	52→50	41	220/258/338	119	257	12	11	20%	4%	66	-1.1	219/262/328	109	260	10	9	20%	5%	65	-1.2	210/251/312	102	247	10	6	19%	4%	53	-0.7
✕Paul Hoenecke 2017 · AA	27	42→43	47→50	45→40	39	217/251/348	131	261	14	4	24%	4%	66	-1.1	208/245/330	122	271	13	6	28%	4%	59	-1.6	161/190/275	114	210	13	2	30%	2%	24	-1.3
✕Adam Calderone 2011 · AAA	27	40→41	47→50	45	39	206/251/349	143	262	14	9	28%	5%	66	-1.1	205/251/330	125	268	12	12	27%	5%	61	-1.5	162/194/257	95	204	5	16	23%	4%	20	-1.0
✕Connor Marabell 2021 · AAA	27	49→55	44→45	48→45	44	240/276/360	119	268	11	8	16%	4%	78	-0.3	250/292/368	118	308	10	8	22%	4%	86	+0.3	273/309/392	119	339	9	6	21%	3%	93	+0.5