Leury Tejada prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Leury Tejada P Hickory Crawdads

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 160 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 39 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125117vR 109

ERA4.84

FIP4.84

K%18.9%

BB%10.4%

K-BB%8.5%

ROS IP39

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	8	2	16	74	18	6	1	25%	2.0	16.5%	10.1%	6.4%	1.9%	3.31	4.03	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	8	2	16	74	18	6	1	25%	2.0	24.3%	8.1%	16.2%	1.4%	3.31	2.79	—
2019	19	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	4	0	8	37	7	3	0	0%	1.9	18.9%	8.1%	10.8%	0.0%	7.04	2.53	—
2019	19	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	4	0	8	37	7	3	0	0%	1.9	18.9%	8.1%	10.8%	0.0%	7.04	2.45	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	22	4	42	191	47	17	6	18%	1.9	17.4%	11.2%	6.2%	3.6%	4.54	5.06	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	22	4	42	191	47	17	6	18%	1.9	24.6%	8.9%	15.7%	3.1%	4.54	3.94	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	37	0	72	327	77	26	10	0%	2.0	17.9%	9.3%	8.6%	3.6%	4.98	4.74	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	37	0	72	327	77	26	10	0%	2.0	23.5%	8.0%	15.6%	3.1%	4.98	3.85	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	29	2	56	245	31	25	5	7%	1.9	9.7%	11.7%	-2.0%	2.7%	4.53	5.24	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	29	2	56	245	31	25	5	7%	1.9	9.7%	11.7%	-2.0%	2.7%	4.53	5.24	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	Hickory Crawdads	29	2	56	245	31	25	5	7%	1.9	12.7%	10.2%	2.4%	2.0%	4.53	4.50	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	TEX	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	18.9%	10.4%	8.5%	3.0%	4.84	4.84	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	TEX	37	0	38	162	31	17	5	0%	1.0	19.4%	10.3%	9.0%	3.0%	4.81	4.82	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	TEX	13	0	14	59	11	6	2	0%	1.1	19.4%	10.3%	9.0%	3.0%	4.81	4.82	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		13	0	14	59	11	6	2	0%	1.1	19.4%	10.3%	9.0%	3.0%	4.81	4.44	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	156	85	28	0%	1.1	19.4%	10.3%	9.0%	3.0%	4.81	4.44	+0.3
Career	—	MLE		100	8	194	874	135	91	27	8%	1.9	15.4%	10.4%	5.0%	3.1%	4.69	4.79	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		103	8	200	903	139	94	28	8%	1.9	15.4%	10.4%	5.0%	3.1%	4.69	4.79	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Leury Tejada (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.84	18.9%	10.4%	3.0%	—	4.82	19.4%	9.0%	38	-0.02	—	—	—
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	87
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	86
Kyle Martin R 2017 · 4.41 FIP	26	SU	4.41	18.3%	10.0%	2.9%	.304	3.22	23.0%	10.0%	51	-1.19	3.01	214	85
Jonathan Hughes R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	17.1%	9.2%	2.7%	.283	3.54	17.1%	4.9%	50	-0.77	3.44	219	84
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	84
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	84
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	84
Ryan Conroy R 2022 · 4.75 FIP	25	SU	4.75	19.3%	12.6%	3.1%	.361	—	—	—	—	—	4.01	106	84
Spencer Stockton R 2022 · 4.18 FIP	26	SU	4.18	20.2%	10.3%	2.7%	.276	5.45	18.9%	6.4%	63	+1.27	1.93	233	84
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	84
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	83
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	83
Guido Knudson R 2016 · 4.69 FIP	26	SU	4.69	17.5%	10.8%	3.1%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	106	83
D.J. Carrasco R 2003 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	16.1%	10.1%	2.2%	.291	4.66	10.5%	1.4%	150	+0.39	3.23	490	83
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	83
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	83
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	83
Casey Fien R 2009 · 5.17 FIP	25	SU	5.17	17.0%	11.3%	3.8%	.306	2.79	22.7%	19.2%	35	-2.38	2.79	308	83
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	83
Kyle Whitten R 2023 · 4.35 FIP	24	SU	4.35	18.0%	9.5%	2.9%	.296	5.14	18.0%	8.1%	37	+0.79	4.32	152	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	39	19.1%	10.4%	1.17	4.83
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Chris Ray ('11)	1.4	47	19.1%	10.2%	1.12	4.10
Will Cunnane ('04)	1.4	46	18.9%	10.4%	1.25	5.26
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41