David Fry — OGILVIE

David FryC Cleveland Guardians

Age 30 R/R 6'1" / 215 lbs MLB Svc 2.895S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION226 act + 21 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 10198vR 90

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .286 / .421

PA21

HR1

K%24

BB%10

BABIP250

ISO211

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

669.3%

xAVG

100.202

POWER50

Barrel%

447.4

Avg EV

3287.7

Bat Spd

3970.1

EYE45

Chase%

8125.6%

SPEED45

Sprint

2626.3

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%24%▲▲21% over 39 PA (60d) · proj 26%

BB%11%▲▲15% over 39 PA (60d) · proj 9%

ISO.159▼.031 over 32 AB (60d) · proj .185xISO .087 vs .150 prior — approach backs the move

BABIP.263·.167 over 24 BIP (60d) · proj .266xBABIP .220 vs .240 prior

SLASH.221/.316/.380▼proj .223/.307/.408

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 572 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

308

264

—

wRC+

124

◀◀L

wOBA

351

294

◀◀L

ISO

225

134

◀◀L

BABIP

284

283

—

27.6%

24.2%

▶R

BB%

11.7%

6.1%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.895 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.7M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.1M
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.8M		$0.7M	-$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	22	ROK	Helena Brewers	—	261	222	70	15	2	12	29	42	7	2	1	315	411	563	974	248	339	16	11	421	171	+22	+0	—	—	+6	2.8
2019	23	A	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	568	504	130	41	1	17	50	111	6	7	4	258	332	444	777	187	296	20	9	340	116	+11	-0	—	—	+12	2.4
2019	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	56	50	15	5	0	1	5	13	1	0	0	300	375	460	835	160	389	23	9	373	138	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2021	25	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	60	52	15	4	1	1	7	17	1	0	0	288	383	462	845	173	412	28	12	377	141	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2021	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	299	262	65	15	2	11	31	71	6	1	1	248	341	447	788	198	300	24	10	351	124	+8	-0	—	—	+6	1.5
2022	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	479	422	108	27	2	17	39	92	10	2	0	256	333	450	784	194	285	19	8	342	118	+10	+0	—	—	+10	2.1
2022	26	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	49	42	12	3	0	1	4	11	1	0	0	286	362	429	790	143	344	22	8	341	117	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	27	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	113	101	24	6	0	4	8	30	4	2	0	238	319	416	734	178	299	27	7	329	109	+1	+0	-5	+4	+2	0.3
2023	27	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	117	101	32	9	1	4	11	21	4	2	0	317	405	545	950	228	364	18	9	414	166	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.2
2024	28	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	392	335	88	18	1	14	42	84	9	4	1	263	358	448	806	185	307	21	11	356	127	+13	+0	-2	-7	+8	1.2
2025	29	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	157	146	25	4	0	8	9	58	2	1	0	171	229	363	592	192	212	37	6	263	64	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	662	582	137	28	1	26	59	172	15	7	1	235	321	421	742	186	286	26	9	329	109	+7	+1	-7	-0	+14	1.5
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	22	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	261	234	54	11	1	9	17	61	7	2	1	231	302	402	704	171	261	23	7	303	91	-3	+0	—	—	+6	0.3
2019	23	A MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	568	519	103	27	1	13	35	152	6	7	4	198	257	329	587	131	243	27	6	254	58	-28	-0	—	—	+12	-1.7
2021	25	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	—	60	54	13	3	1	1	5	20	1	0	0	241	317	389	706	148	371	33	8	304	92	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2021	25	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	299	272	55	11	2	9	21	88	6	1	1	202	274	357	631	154	261	29	7	272	70	-11	-0	—	—	+6	-0.4
2022	26	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	479	432	98	22	2	12	29	107	10	2	0	227	291	370	661	144	261	22	6	287	80	-11	+0	—	—	+10	-0.0
2023	27	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	113	101	24	6	0	4	8	30	4	2	0	238	319	416	734	178	299	27	7	326	107	+1	+0	-5	+4	+2	0.3
2023	27	AAA MLE	Columbus Clippers	—	117	104	28	7	1	3	8	25	4	2	0	269	345	442	787	173	312	21	7	331	110	+1	+0	—	—	+3	0.4
2024	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	392	337	88	18	1	14	42	84	9	4	1	261	358	445	803	184	307	21	11	346	120	+9	+0	-2	-7	+8	0.9
2025	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	157	146	25	4	0	8	9	58	2	1	0	171	229	363	592	192	212	37	6	260	62	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.1
2018	22	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	261	234	54	11	1	9	17	61	7	2	1	231	302	402	704	171	269	23	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	ROK RAW	Helena Brewers	—	261	222	70	15	2	12	29	42	7	2	1	315	411	563	974	248	339	16	11	421	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	624	570	113	30	1	14	39	167	7	7	4	198	258	328	586	130	251	27	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A RAW	2 teams	—	624	554	145	46	1	18	55	124	7	7	4	262	336	446	782	184	304	20	9	343	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	359	326	69	14	3	10	26	108	7	1	1	212	284	365	649	153	284	30	7	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA RAW	2 teams	—	359	314	80	19	3	12	38	88	7	1	1	255	348	449	797	194	318	25	11	355	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	528	475	107	24	2	13	32	118	11	2	0	225	290	366	656	141	267	22	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	528	464	120	30	2	18	43	103	11	2	0	259	336	448	784	190	291	20	8	342	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	230	205	52	13	1	7	16	55	8	4	0	254	332	429	761	176	312	24	7	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	230	202	56	15	1	8	19	51	8	4	0	277	362	480	843	203	333	22	8	372	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	392	337	88	18	1	14	42	84	9	4	1	261	358	445	803	184	305	21	11	346	120	+9	+0	-2	-7	+8	0.9
2024	28	MLB RAW	Cleveland Guardians	—	392	335	88	18	1	14	42	84	9	4	1	263	358	448	806	185	307	21	11	356	120	+9	+0	-2	-7	+8	0.9
2025	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	157	146	25	4	0	8	9	58	2	1	0	171	229	363	592	192	212	37	6	260	62	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.1
2025	29	MLB RAW	Cleveland Guardians	—	157	146	25	4	0	8	9	58	2	1	0	171	229	363	592	192	212	37	6	263	62	-7	+0	+0	+3	+3	-0.1
2018	22	ROK MLE	Helena Brewers	—	261	235	54	11	1	9	17	61	7	2	1	230	302	400	702	170	261	23	7	303	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A MLE	2 teams	—	624	573	113	30	1	14	39	167	7	7	4	197	258	326	584	129	243	27	6	254	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA MLE	2 teams	—	359	323	69	14	3	10	26	108	7	1	1	214	284	368	653	155	279	30	7	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	528	480	107	24	2	13	32	118	11	2	0	223	290	362	652	140	261	22	6	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	230	204	52	13	1	7	16	55	8	4	0	255	332	431	763	176	305	24	7	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	392	338	88	18	1	14	42	84	9	4	1	260	358	444	802	183	307	21	11	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	157	145	25	4	0	8	9	58	2	1	0	172	229	366	595	193	212	37	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	230	204	52	13	1	7	16	55	8	4	0	255	332	431	763	176	305	24	7	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	392	338	88	18	1	14	42	84	9	4	1	260	358	444	802	183	307	21	11	346	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	29	MLB MLE	Cleveland Guardians	—	157	145	25	4	0	8	9	58	2	1	0	172	229	366	595	193	212	37	6	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	MLB MLE	CLE	—	226	195	38	6	0	10	28	60	1	0	0	195	299	379	679	185	220	27	12	304	92	-2	+0	-1	-2	+5	-0.1
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	30	MLB RAW	CLE	—	188	160	30	5	0	6	27	54	1	0	0	188	309	331	640	144	240	29	14	296	92	-2	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.1
YTD	30	AAA RAW	CLE	—	38	34	10	1	0	6	2	5	0	0	0	294	333	853	1.186	559	160	13	5	471	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	30	MLB RAW	CLE	—	188	160	30	5	0	6	27	54	1	0	0	188	309	331	640	144	240	29	14	296	87	-3	+0	-1	-2	+4	-0.2
ROS	30	MLB MLE	CLE	100%	21	19	4	1	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	211	286	421	707	211	250	24	10	313	98	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.1
ROS	30	MLB CTX	CLE	100%	21	19	4	1	0	1	2	5	0	0	0	211	286	421	707	211	250	24	10	303	98	-0	+0	-0	+0	+0	0.1
FULL	30	MLB A+C	CLE	—	209	179	34	6	0	7	29	59	1	0	0	190	306	341	647	151	239	28	14	297	92	-2	+0	-1	-2	+5	-0.0
TOT	30	MLB MLE	CLE	—	247	214	42	7	0	11	30	65	1	0	0	196	298	383	681	187	221	26	12	305	92	-2	+0	-1	-2	+5	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	31	MLB MLE	CLE	65%	268	235	49	9	0	11	28	71	3	2	1	209	301	387	688	179	247	26	10	310	96	-1	+0	-6	+5	+6	0.3
2027	31	MLB CTX	CLE	65%	174	152	32	6	0	7	18	46	2	1	0	211	302	388	690	178	247	26	10	301	96	-1	+0	-4	+3	+4	0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	857	753	173	35	1	34	79	223	17	8	1	230	316	414	730	185	277	26	9	323	84	+6	+1	-12	+3	+19	1.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	571	132	27	1	26	60	169	13	6	1	231	318	419	736	187	279	26	9	323	84	+5	+1	-9	+3	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	2840	2547	561	124	9	87	211	727	54	23	8	220	294	378	672	158	270	26	7	292	84	+6	+1	-14	+5	+21	1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	128	28	2	20	48	166	12	5	2	220	292	377	669	158	269	26	7	292	84	+4	+1	-10	+3	+14	1.3

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Robinson Chirinoslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,427 PA	3.7	2,427	95	5	227	320	420	+43	-10	12.9	13.8
/162	664	26	1	+11.9	-2.8	3.5	pk7: 15
#2Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	3.9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
/162	664	21	1	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
#3Ian Stewartlast yr '14 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,646 PA	2.5	1,646	60	17	230	317	416	+6	+2	6.2	6.2
/162	664	24	7	+2.4	+0.9	2.5	pk7: 6
#4Devin Mesoracolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,574 PA	2.4	1,574	58	4	232	309	406	+28	-13	6.0	6.2
/162	664	24	2	+11.9	-5.3	2.5	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	1.9	1,236	48	10	224	313	404	+16	-17	4.7	4.7
/162	664	26	6	+8.5	-9.3	2.5	pk7: 5
#5Daniel Descalsolast yr '19 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,856 PA	4.3	2,856	48	25	235	320	363	+16	-36	3.5	4.0
/162	664	11	6	+3.8	-8.3	0.8	pk7: 4
#6Jason Phillipslast yr '07 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,508 PA	2.3	1,508	29	0	248	314	368	+11	-10	2.7	2.7
/162	664	13	0	+4.7	-4.4	1.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Fry (OGILVIE)	30	40	50	45	45	211/303/393	182	250	9	1	26%	10%	98	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shelley Duncan 2010 · MLB	30	41→45	55→60	48→45	49	220/291/402	181	251	23	5	23%	8%	95	+0.9	226/301/400	174	267	22	4	24%	9%	97	+1.1	220/301/395	174	258	22	2	24%	9%	93	+0.5
✕Jon Knott 2008 · MLB	29	41→40	53→55	45→40	47	219/288/396	178	263	21	5	26%	8%	92	+0.7	219/286/370	151	277	17	6	26%	8%	84	+0.2	205/268/350	145	253	16	2	25%	7%	70	-0.7
✕Tagg Bozied 2009 · AAA	30	44→48	54→55	48→45	47	232/295/412	180	265	22	6	22%	7%	98	+1.2	235/300/404	169	300	19	6	27%	7%	98	+1.2	225/297/393	168	303	18	3	30%	8%	91	+0.3
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2022 · MLB	30	42	54→50	42→30	53	224/311/403	179	269	22	3	25%	11%	102	+1.5	220/310/363	143	297	17	4	29%	11%	92	+0.7	207/305/328	122	288	15	2	31%	12%	81	-0.0
✕Valentino Pascucci 2009 · AAA	30	44	55	47→45	50	229/316/411	182	294	24	7	30%	10%	106	+1.8	215/297/376	161	291	20	4	31%	10%	91	+0.6	203/285/356	153	277	18	2	32%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Jeff Bailey 2009 · MLB	30	46→49	50	45	50	232/314/392	160	281	18	7	24%	9%	101	+1.4	225/305/363	138	278	14	6	23%	8%	91	+0.6	213/295/337	124	267	12	4	24%	8%	79	-0.2
●Mike Ford 2022 · MLB	30	35→45	53→55	46→30	48	195/273/359	164	232	22	3	27%	9%	78	-0.3	217/301/379	162	264	21	4	26%	10%	93	+0.8	221/309/392	172	259	23	2	24%	10%	97	+0.5
✕Mac Williamson 2019 · MLB	29	42→50	54→55	44→45	42	223/285/393	171	280	23	6	29%	7%	90	+0.6	230/301/400	170	299	23	9	30%	8%	98	+1.2	212/291/376	164	274	26	7	32%	9%	88	+0.2
✕Chris Heisey 2016 · MLB	31	37→47	52→55	49→55	48	203/279/367	164	239	21	9	25%	8%	82	+0.0	213/285/388	175	265	22	6	28%	8%	88	+0.5	216/292/448	232	244	35	0	28%	8%	104	+0.4
✕Jason Dubois 2009 · AAA	30	41→45	54→60	45→40	40	221/278/393	172	282	23	5	30%	6%	88	+0.4	229/291/415	186	297	25	5	31%	6%	97	+1.1	223/286/408	185	287	25	1	31%	6%	92	+0.4
✕O'Koyea Dickson 2019 · AAA	29	41→46	54→55	44→45	44	220/281/396	176	262	22	6	26%	7%	89	+0.5	232/290/381	149	270	16	9	20%	6%	88	+0.5	237/288/397	160	256	14	0	14%	5%	88	+0.1
✕Ryan Shealy 2011 · MLB	31	43→53	52→55	45→40	48	222/300/387	166	283	19	3	28%	9%	94	+0.9	221/295/366	145	300	16	6	30%	8%	88	+0.4	208/288/334	126	285	16	0	31%	8%	74	-0.2
✕Matt Davidson 2021 · MLB	30	39→44	56→60	46→30	41	212/282/398	186	283	26	3	34%	7%	91	+0.6	232/301/445	213	299	30	3	32%	7%	109	+2.0	226/301/448	222	285	33	0	32%	7%	106	+1.2
✕Marquez Smith 2015 · AAA	30	47→52	51→55	48→40	50	238/316/406	167	292	18	3	24%	9%	104	+1.6	235/308/362	127	311	11	7	26%	8%	91	+0.6	243/314/353	110	323	8	7	25%	8%	88	+0.4
✕Nate Gold 2009 · AAA	29	42→45	53→60	41→30	44	224/281/395	171	271	22	2	26%	7%	89	+0.5	222/289/369	147	278	16	6	25%	8%	85	+0.2	201/289/329	127	234	10	0	18%	9%	79	-0.0
✕Hunter Dozier 2022 · MLB	30	46→55	54→60	48→45	48	235/310/428	193	295	21	7	27%	9%	107	+1.8	222/281/377	155	292	16	7	28%	7%	84	+0.2	213/265/358	146	282	15	6	29%	6%	72	-0.4
●Connor Joe 2022 · MLB	29	48→51	52→50	45	55	246/336/415	169	290	20	4	22%	11%	114	+2.3	239/331/387	148	294	14	6	22%	11%	105	+1.7	235/331/379	145	291	12	5	22%	11%	102	+1.1
✕Brock Peterson 2014 · MLB	30	44→51	52→50	42→40	41	231/285/396	166	294	21	4	29%	6%	91	+0.6	219/279/353	134	300	15	3	31%	7%	78	-0.3	208/271/328	121	288	13	1	31%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Matt Clark 2017 · MLB	30	43→45	52→55	47→30	43	227/283/391	164	273	21	3	26%	6%	88	+0.5	231/287/400	169	291	21	4	27%	7%	92	+0.7	228/287/412	184	278	24	0	27%	7%	95	+0.6
✕DJ Stewart 2023 · MLB	29	43→48	52→55	49→50	55	223/329/388	164	286	21	6	28%	12%	105	+1.7	209/312/382	173	265	23	6	29%	11%	99	+1.2	182/293/346	164	228	23	5	30%	11%	82	+0.0

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps