David Fry — OGILVIE

David Fry1B Cleveland Guardians

Age 30 R/R 6'1" / 215 lbs MLB Svc 2.895S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION149 act + 103 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 128115vR 82

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .314 / .400

PA103

HR4

K%27

BB%11

BABIP271

ISO178

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 40 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT40

Whiff%

619.8%

xwOBA

320.287

POWER50

Barrel%

477.8

Avg EV

3387.9

Bat Spd

3970.1

EYE45

Chase%

7427.1%

SPEED45

Sprint

2626.3

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 572 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

308

264

—

wRC+

127

◀◀L

wOBA

351

294

◀◀L

ISO

225

134

◀◀L

BABIP

284

283

—

27.6%

24.2%

▶R

BB%

11.7%

6.1%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2023

Service 2.895 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.6M	+0.2	$0.8M	+$0.2M
2027	Arb-2	$1M	+0.7	$3M	+$1M
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	ROK	Helena Brewers	—	261	234	54	11	1	9	17	61	7	2	1	231	302	402	704	171	269	23	7	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	ROK	Helena Brewers	—	261	222	70	15	2	12	29	42	7	2	1	315	411	563	974	248	339	16	11	421	180	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A	2 teams	—	624	568	112	27	1	14	41	168	7	7	4	197	260	322	582	125	250	27	7	251	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	A	2 teams	—	624	554	145	46	1	18	55	124	7	7	4	262	336	446	782	184	304	20	9	343	121	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	2 teams	—	359	327	68	13	2	12	25	115	7	1	1	208	279	370	649	162	280	32	7	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AA	2 teams	—	359	314	80	19	3	12	38	88	7	1	1	255	348	449	797	194	318	25	11	355	130	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	—	528	473	115	23	3	16	34	114	11	2	0	243	309	406	715	163	282	22	6	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	AAA	2 teams	—	528	464	120	30	2	18	43	103	11	2	0	259	336	448	784	190	291	20	8	342	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	2 teams	—	230	205	52	13	1	7	16	55	8	4	0	254	332	429	761	176	312	24	7	335	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	2 teams	—	230	202	56	15	1	8	19	51	8	4	0	277	362	480	843	203	333	22	8	372	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	392	337	88	18	1	14	42	84	9	4	1	261	358	445	803	184	305	21	11	345	122	+10	+0	-2	-7	+11	1.2
2024	28	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	392	335	88	18	1	14	42	84	9	4	1	263	358	448	806	185	307	21	11	356	131	+14	+0	-2	-7	+11	1.6
2025	29	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	157	146	25	4	0	8	9	58	2	1	0	171	229	363	592	192	212	37	6	260	57	-8	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2025	29	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	157	146	25	4	0	8	9	58	2	1	0	171	229	363	592	192	212	37	6	263	59	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	MLB	CLE	—	149	128	26	4	0	6	21	46	0	0	0	203	315	375	690	172	263	31	14	306	92	-1	+0	-1	-2	+4	0.0
YTD	30	MLB	CLE	—	149	128	26	4	0	6	21	46	0	0	0	203	315	375	690	172	263	31	14	314	98	-0	+0	-1	-2	+4	0.2
ROS	30	MLB	CLE	100%	103	90	20	4	0	4	11	28	1	1	0	222	314	400	714	178	267	27	11	319	102	+0	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.5
ROS	30	MLB	CLE	100%	103	90	20	4	0	4	11	28	1	1	0	222	314	400	714	178	268	27	11	310	95	-1	+0	-1	+2	+3	0.4
FULL	30	MLB	CLE	—	252	218	46	8	0	10	32	74	1	1	0	211	315	385	700	174	267	29	13	307	93	-2	+0	-2	+0	+7	0.4
TOT	30	MLB	CLE	—	252	218	46	8	0	10	32	74	1	1	0	211	315	385	700	174	267	29	13	311	96	-1	+0	-2	+0	+7	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	CLE	82%	268	235	51	9	1	11	28	74	3	2	1	217	308	404	713	187	265	28	10	315	99	-0	+0	-5	+5	+8	0.8
2027	31	MLB	CLE	82%	220	192	42	8	0	9	23	60	3	2	0	219	312	401	713	182	265	27	10	306	92	-2	+0	-4	+4	+6	0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	985	864	199	40	1	39	93	260	19	10	1	230	318	414	732	184	280	26	9	322	105	+5	+2	-12	+6	+28	2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	570	132	26	1	26	61	172	13	7	1	232	319	418	737	186	282	26	9	322	105	+3	+1	-8	+4	+18	1.9
Career	—			—	2922	2615	585	122	10	95	223	757	55	24	8	224	298	387	685	163	274	26	8	298	86	-46	+2	-13	+38	+83	6.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	130	27	2	21	50	168	12	5	2	223	298	385	683	162	274	26	8	298	86	-10	+0	-3	+8	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	ROK	Helena Brewers	—	261	222	70	15	2	12	29	42	7	2	1	315	411	563	974	248	339	16	11	421	180	+24	+0	—	—	+7	3.2
2019	23	A	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	568	504	130	41	1	17	50	111	6	7	4	258	332	444	777	187	296	20	9	340	118	+12	-0	—	—	+16	2.8
2019	23	INTL	Glendale Desert Dogs	—	56	50	15	5	0	1	5	13	1	0	0	300	375	460	835	160	389	23	9	373	143	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.4
2021	25	AAA	Nashville Sounds	—	60	52	15	4	1	1	7	17	1	0	0	288	383	462	845	173	412	28	12	377	146	+3	+0	—	—	+2	0.5
2021	25	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	299	262	65	15	2	11	31	71	6	1	1	248	341	447	788	198	300	24	10	351	127	+9	-0	—	—	+8	1.8
2022	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	479	422	108	27	2	17	39	92	10	2	0	256	333	450	784	194	285	19	8	342	120	+11	+0	—	—	+14	2.5
2022	26	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	49	42	12	3	0	1	4	11	1	0	0	286	362	429	790	143	344	22	8	341	119	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
2023	27	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	113	101	24	6	0	4	8	30	4	2	0	238	319	416	734	178	299	27	7	329	110	+1	+0	-5	+4	+3	0.4
2023	27	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	117	101	32	9	1	4	11	21	4	2	0	317	405	545	950	228	364	18	9	414	175	+10	+0	—	—	+3	1.4
2024	28	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	392	335	88	18	1	14	42	84	9	4	1	263	358	448	806	185	307	21	11	356	131	+14	+0	-2	-7	+11	1.6
2025	29	MLB	Cleveland Guardians	—	157	146	25	4	0	8	9	58	2	1	0	171	229	363	592	192	212	37	6	263	59	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	662	582	137	28	1	26	59	172	15	7	1	235	321	421	742	186	286	26	9	329	110	+8	+1	-7	-0	+19	2.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Robinson Chirinoslast yr '22 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,427 PA	10	2,427	95	5	227	320	420	+43	-10	12.9	13.8
	/162	664	26	1	227	320	420	+11.9	-2.8	3.5	pk7: 15
#2Stephen Vogtlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,571 PA	9	2,571	82	5	241	303	410	+36	-11	9.3	9.4
	/162	664	21	1	241	303	410	+9.2	-2.8	2.4	pk7: 9
#3Doug Mirabellilast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,509 PA	8	1,509	56	3	231	316	412	+11	+8	7.2	7.1
	/162	664	25	1	231	316	412	+4.8	+3.6	3.2	pk7: 7
#4Rick Ankiellast yr '13 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,092 PA	8	2,092	76	21	242	303	426	+2	-5	6.3	6.5
	/162	664	24	7	242	303	426	+0.7	-1.6	2.0	pk7: 7
#5Ian Stewartlast yr '14 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,646 PA	6	1,646	60	17	230	317	416	+6	+2	6.2	6.2
	/162	664	24	7	230	317	416	+2.4	+0.9	2.5	pk7: 6
#6Devin Mesoracolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,574 PA	8	1,574	58	4	232	309	406	+28	-13	6.0	6.2
	/162	664	24	2	232	309	406	+11.9	-5.3	2.5	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	6	1,283	51	11	228	314	412	+15	-17	5.0	5.0
	/162	664	26	6	228	314	412	+7.8	-9.0	2.6	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Fry (OGILVIE)	30	40	50	45	45	211/315/385	174	267	10	1	29%	13%	96	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrew Brown 2014 · MLB	29	44→47	53→55	46→40	44	227/291/404	177	300	21	5	31%	8%	94	+1.3	227/290/403	176	288	22	5	28%	7%	93	+1.3	214/279/394	179	263	25	2	28%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Yoshi Tsutsugo 2022 · MLB	30	43	55→50	42→30	53	228/314/412	184	273	23	3	25%	11%	105	+2.1	227/315/379	152	301	18	4	29%	11%	97	+1.5	216/313/352	135	294	17	2	30%	12%	88	+0.5
✕Jason Dubois 2009 · AAA	30	41→45	55→60	45→40	40	224/279/403	179	283	24	5	30%	6%	89	+1.0	234/294/437	203	297	28	5	31%	6%	105	+2.1	231/292/442	211	289	30	1	31%	6%	102	+1.1
●Matt Davidson 2021 · MLB	30	39→44	56→60	46→30	41	213/282/400	187	282	26	3	34%	7%	90	+1.0	237/305/459	222	303	32	3	32%	7%	115	+2.8	234/307/465	232	293	35	0	32%	7%	114	+1.7
✕Shelley Duncan 2010 · MLB	30	41→45	58→60	48→45	49	228/297/431	203	253	27	5	23%	8%	104	+2.0	227/300/407	180	266	23	4	24%	9%	99	+1.7	219/300/395	176	256	23	2	24%	9%	91	+0.7
✕Tagg Bozied 2009 · AAA	30	44→48	54→55	48→45	46	232/294/413	181	265	23	6	22%	7%	98	+1.6	235/299/403	168	303	19	6	28%	7%	97	+1.5	225/298/395	171	306	18	3	31%	8%	90	+0.5
✕Jeff Bailey 2009 · MLB	30	46→49	53→55	45	49	238/318/415	177	283	21	7	24%	9%	108	+2.3	225/303/368	143	279	16	6	24%	8%	90	+1.0	211/290/333	122	267	12	4	25%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Valentino Pascucci 2009 · AAA	30	44→45	55	47→45	49	229/315/411	182	294	24	7	30%	10%	106	+2.2	217/297/383	166	291	21	4	31%	10%	92	+1.2	207/295/373	166	295	22	0	35%	10%	85	+0.5
✕Andy Phillips 2007 · MLB	30	46→55	54→55	47→40	45	243/291/423	180	277	22	7	22%	6%	98	+1.6	259/309/398	139	292	16	5	17%	6%	99	+1.7	267/318/394	127	298	15	3	15%	6%	100	+0.9
✕Donnie Murphy 2014 · MLB	31	42→40	55→65	47→45	41	223/287/406	183	274	23	7	28%	6%	93	+1.3	203/268/336	133	258	16	6	27%	6%	66	-0.6	166/235/261	96	210	12	0	27%	7%	32	-1.0
✕John Mayberry Jr. 2014 · MLB	30	46→48	51→55	45→50	47	237/295/399	163	280	18	7	23%	7%	94	+1.3	215/284/374	159	260	18	6	24%	8%	83	+0.6	182/261/345	163	213	18	2	24%	9%	65	-0.2
✕Mitch Jones 2008 · AAA	30	39→40	57→65	44→45	40	213/279/410	197	291	25	5	35%	7%	91	+1.1	218/273/430	212	275	28	9	32%	6%	94	+1.3	202/251/407	206	244	28	9	30%	5%	76	+0.1
●Jonny Gomes 2011 · MLB	30	48→52	55→60	47→50	46	250/318/438	188	297	23	8	24%	7%	114	+2.7	243/338/433	190	303	24	8	27%	11%	121	+3.2	233/346/427	193	294	26	6	28%	13%	118	+1.8
✕DJ Stewart 2023 · MLB	29	44→47	54→60	49→50	54	228/332/403	175	289	23	6	28%	12%	111	+2.5	211/314/395	184	266	25	6	29%	11%	102	+1.9	184/295/360	177	228	25	5	31%	11%	84	+0.3
✕Paul McAnulty 2011 · MLB	30	42→50	55→60	38→40	47	228/290/411	183	261	24	2	24%	8%	95	+1.4	234/296/416	182	277	23	4	24%	8%	99	+1.7	228/296/409	181	269	23	3	24%	8%	96	+1.2
✕Brock Peterson 2014 · MLB	30	45→50	53→55	42→40	41	234/286/402	167	299	21	4	29%	6%	92	+1.2	216/275/350	134	301	15	3	32%	7%	72	-0.2	202/265/322	121	286	13	1	33%	7%	60	-0.8
●Mike Ford 2022 · MLB	30	35→45	55	46→30	47	198/274/375	177	232	24	3	27%	8%	80	+0.4	219/301/386	167	266	21	4	26%	9%	94	+1.3	223/311/397	174	263	23	2	24%	10%	98	+0.8
✕Eric Munson 2007 · MLB	29	42→43	56→60	43→40	46	227/289/415	187	251	25	3	22%	7%	96	+1.5	219/290/362	143	256	16	4	21%	8%	82	+0.5	209/286/342	134	246	14	1	21%	9%	74	-0.0
●Reynaldo Rodriguez 2015 · AAA	29	42→47	57→60	44→50	41	229/274/428	199	264	24	6	24%	5%	93	+1.3	225/272/381	156	263	17	11	21%	6%	79	+0.3	250/295/458	208	274	27	11	20%	6%	108	+1.3
✕Nate Gold 2009 · AAA	29	42→45	54→60	41→30	44	225/281/399	175	271	22	2	27%	7%	89	+0.9	221/285/367	146	277	16	6	25%	7%	82	+0.5	201/289/329	127	234	10	0	18%	9%	76	+0.0