Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets 1 | 15 | 3 | 34 | 147 | 33 | 15 | 0 | 20% | 2.3 | 15.3% | 12.8% | 2.5% | 0.0% | 4.24 | 3.43 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mets 1 | 15 | 3 | 34 | 147 | 33 | 15 | 0 | 20% | 2.3 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 0.0% | 4.24 | 2.48 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Mets | 19 | 0 | 27 | 127 | 22 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 11.8% | 14.8% | -3.0% | 1.1% | 4.94 | 4.58 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Mets | 19 | 0 | 27 | 127 | 22 | 15 | 1 | 0% | 1.4 | 17.3% | 11.8% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 4.94 | 3.61 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 1 | 37 | 164 | 44 | 14 | 5 | 4% | 1.6 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 3.86 | 5.03 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 1 | 37 | 164 | 44 | 14 | 5 | 4% | 1.6 | 26.8% | 8.5% | 18.3% | 3.0% | 3.86 | 3.61 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 7 | 73 | 291 | 84 | 18 | 4 | 37% | 3.8 | 21.6% | 7.2% | 14.4% | 2.0% | 2.48 | 3.29 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 19 | 7 | 73 | 291 | 84 | 18 | 4 | 37% | 3.8 | 28.9% | 6.2% | 22.7% | 1.4% | 2.48 | 2.25 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 17 | 12 | 61 | 285 | 54 | 22 | 5 | 71% | 3.6 | 14.6% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 5.72 | 4.08 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Brooklyn Cyclones | 17 | 12 | 61 | 285 | 54 | 22 | 5 | 71% | 3.6 | 18.9% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 1.8% | 5.72 | 3.48 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 1 | 54 | 248 | 36 | 28 | 3 | 4% | 2.1 | 11.5% | 10.8% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 5.37 | 4.53 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 1 | 54 | 248 | 36 | 28 | 3 | 4% | 2.1 | 14.5% | 11.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 5.37 | 4.05 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | NYM | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.55 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 36 | 0 | 37 | 157 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | NYM | 13 | 0 | 14 | 59 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 13 | 0 | 14 | 58 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.18 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 176 | 88 | 29 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.55 | 4.18 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 119 | 24 | 286 | 1262 | 201 | 127 | 24 | 20% | 2.4 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 4.34 | 4.08 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 83 | 17 | 200 | 881 | 141 | 89 | 17 | 20% | 2.4 | 16.0% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 4.34 | 4.08 | +3.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jeffrey Colon (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.55 | 20.5% | 9.6% | 2.9% | — | 4.56 | 20.8% | 11.2% | 37 | +0.01 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 83 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 83 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 83 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 81 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 81 |
| Layne Somsen R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.72 | 19.5% | 12.5% | 1.3% | .265 | 4.04 | 19.9% | 6.7% | 92 | +0.32 | 3.67 | 154 | 80 |
| Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .276 | 5.42 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 63 | +1.23 | 1.93 | 233 | 80 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2028 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 80 |
| Jack Dallas R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | .292 | 5.11 | 20.4% | 15.3% | 41 | +1.57 | 3.08 | 210 | 79 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 79 |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 79 |
| Brayden Spears R 2025 · 4.25 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.25 | 19.9% | 10.9% | 2.6% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.07 | 105 | 78 |
| Carter Rustad R 2025 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 78 |
| Jose Samayoa R 2026 · 3.56 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.56 | 16.6% | 9.9% | 1.1% | .286 | 4.12 | 17.3% | 9.4% | 226 | +0.56 | 3.56 | 262 | 78 |
| Esmil Rogers R 2029 · 3.51 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.51 | 18.5% | 8.9% | 1.6% | .348 | 2.88 | 21.7% | 17.9% | 40 | -0.63 | 2.88 | 199 | 78 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2027 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 78 |
| Troy Neiman R 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.2% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 199 | 78 |
| Donovan Benoit R 2026 · 4.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.61 | 18.2% | 12.1% | 2.8% | .313 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.53 | 183 | 78 |
| Wil Jensen R 2026 · 3.41 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.41 | 22.7% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .314 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 368 | 78 |
| Roman Mendez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.13 | 19.5% | 10.3% | 2.5% | .246 | 4.87 | 20.9% | 10.7% | 116 | +0.74 | 4.12 | 230 | 78 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 38 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 1.13 | 4.55 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |