Matt Willrodt
P
Everett AquaSox
Age 28
RHP
6'4" / 220 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 16 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 100
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
K%23.3%
BB%9.5%
K-BB%13.8%
ROS IP17
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 16 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | AZL Mariners | 11 | 2 | 26 | 125 | 23 | 11 | 1 | 18% | 2.3 | 12.5% | 11.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 7.36 | 4.05 | — |
| 2018 | 20 | ROK | AZL Mariners | 11 | 2 | 26 | 125 | 23 | 11 | 1 | 18% | 2.3 | 18.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 0.8% | 7.36 | 3.10 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 0 | 69 | 298 | 64 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 2.1 | 16.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 4.57 | 4.49 | — |
| 2019 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 0 | 69 | 298 | 64 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 2.1 | 21.5% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 1.7% | 4.57 | 3.23 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 1 | 54 | 249 | 56 | 31 | 4 | 3% | 1.5 | 14.8% | 14.4% | 0.4% | 3.1% | 5.50 | 5.39 | — |
| 2021 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 37 | 1 | 54 | 249 | 56 | 31 | 4 | 3% | 1.5 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 1.6% | 5.50 | 3.71 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 26 | 0 | 28 | 123 | 30 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.8% | 13.1% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 5.20 | 3.93 | — |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Everett AquaSox | 26 | 0 | 28 | 123 | 30 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.4% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 1.6% | 5.20 | 3.39 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 0 | 31 | 146 | 39 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 21.2% | 16.7% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 4.31 | 3.94 | — |
| 2023 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 26 | 0 | 31 | 146 | 39 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 26.7% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 0.7% | 4.31 | 3.04 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | SEA | 16 | 0 | 17 | 71 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 29 | MLB | SEA | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.09 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 66 | 33 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 4.42 | 4.09 | +3.1 | ||
| Career | — | 133 | 3 | 208 | 941 | 156 | 116 | 21 | 2% | 1.6 | 16.6% | 12.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 5.20 | 4.51 | +2.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 128 | 3 | 200 | 906 | 150 | 112 | 21 | 2% | 1.6 | 16.6% | 12.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 5.20 | 4.51 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Matt Willrodt (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 23.3% | 9.5% | 3.0% | — | 4.47 | 23.1% | 13.4% | 20 | +0.12 | — | — | — |
| Matt Ramsey R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.87 | 24.9% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .276 | 2.42 | 21.7% | 12.6% | 34 | -1.45 | 2.42 | 125 | 87 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2027 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 84 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 83 |
| David Hernandez R 2028 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 81 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 80 |
| Michael Mariot R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 22.6% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .327 | 4.77 | 20.9% | 11.8% | 74 | +1.31 | 2.32 | 676 | 80 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 3.34 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.34 | 23.5% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 166 | 80 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2026 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 80 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2027 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 80 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2026 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 79 |
| Dayan Díaz R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.43 | 25.1% | 8.7% | 2.4% | .358 | 4.01 | 29.4% | 19.3% | 16 | +0.58 | 3.17 | 205 | 79 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2024 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 79 |
| J.J. Hoover R 2026 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 22.6% | 8.6% | 4.4% | .350 | 5.85 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 137 | +1.16 | 4.26 | 258 | 79 |
| Rob Scahill R 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 79 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2026 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 78 |
| Brandon Cunniff R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.96 | 20.1% | 11.6% | 3.8% | .275 | 7.33 | 13.9% | -1.9% | 30 | +2.37 | 3.78 | 180 | 78 |
| José Cisnero R 2025 · 4.40 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.40 | 26.1% | 11.7% | 3.7% | .367 | 4.02 | 24.5% | 13.3% | 75 | -0.38 | 2.28 | 279 | 78 |
| Blake Treinen R 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.32 | 24.0% | 9.5% | 1.9% | .271 | 2.99 | 26.0% | 17.7% | 215 | -0.33 | 1.51 | 544 | 78 |
| Nick Merkel R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.85 | 17.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 201 | 78 |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 78 |