David Villar

1B Syracuse Mets

Age 30 R/R 5'11" / 216 lbs AAA H -5% Svc 5.000 · Ctrl thru 2027

Overview

AAAArb-3FA 2028

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2023	26	MLBSF	140	.145/.237/.315	5	1	60	-0.0
2024	27	MLBSF	37	.257/.278/.457	1	0	101	-1.0
2025	28	MLBSF	25	.200/.360/.250	0	0	91	-0.6
2027PROJ10% MLB	30	MLBNYM	32	.219/.299/.350	1	0	89	-0.0
2028PROJ27% MLB	31	MLBNYM	84	.214/.294/.340	2	0	84	-0.2

Last 3 seasons WAR -1.6 · Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2027Service5.000First FA2028

2027Arb-3$0.7M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2023-2025

Barrel%81

Chase%70

xwOBA53

Avg EV30

Bat Spd30

Speed23

CompsGuillermo Heredia (age 30) · Marquez Smith (age 30) · Taylor Jones (age 29)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .299 / .350

PA32

HR1

K%25

BB%9

BABIP277

ISO138

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2023-2025

CONTACT45

Whiff%

1714.7%

xAVG

100.211

POWER45

Barrel%

8112.8

Avg EV

3087.6

Bat Spd

3069.2

EYE60

Chase%

7027.8%

SPEED45

Sprint

2326.2

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-3

MLB Debut 2022

Service 5.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2027

First FA Year 2028

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Arb-3	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	21	ROK	AZL Giants Black	—	25	19	6	1	0	0	4	5	1	0	0	316	458	368	827	53	400	20	16	373	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+	San Jose Giants	—	479	423	111	24	2	13	40	144	9	4	1	262	339	421	760	158	359	30	8	336	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	446	385	106	29	0	20	46	112	15	5	1	275	374	506	881	231	340	25	10	389	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	181	156	36	6	1	9	18	58	6	0	1	231	333	455	788	224	300	32	10	349	129	+6	-0	-1	+2	+4	1.1
2022	25	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	366	298	82	19	1	27	55	93	11	1	1	275	407	617	1.024	342	306	25	15	438	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	140	124	18	6	0	5	11	45	4	1	1	145	237	315	552	169	173	32	8	250	60	-7	-0	+2	+2	+3	-0.0
2023	26	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	334	287	78	14	0	17	44	89	2	5	0	272	372	498	871	226	335	27	13	383	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	37	35	9	4	0	1	1	13	0	0	0	257	278	457	735	200	364	35	3	312	101	+0	+0	-1	-9	+1	-1.0
2024	27	AAA	Sacramento River Cats	—	482	408	106	26	0	16	60	124	8	2	1	260	366	441	807	181	328	26	12	358	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB	San Francisco Giants	—	25	20	4	1	0	0	4	5	1	0	0	200	360	250	610	50	267	20	16	301	91	-0	+0	-1	-5	+1	-0.6
2025	28	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	249	210	51	6	0	7	35	58	2	1	0	243	356	371	728	129	299	23	14	332	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	383	335	67	17	1	15	34	121	11	1	2	200	295	391	686	191	257	32	9	306	93	-3	-1	-1	-11	+8	-0.7
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	21	ROK MLE	AZL Giants Black	—	25	21	5	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	238	333	286	619	48	317	28	8	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	479	432	83	17	1	11	31	198	9	4	1	192	261	312	573	120	303	41	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	446	402	91	22	0	17	29	136	15	5	1	226	303	408	711	182	294	30	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	181	156	37	6	1	10	18	58	6	0	1	237	339	481	820	244	300	32	10	359	129	+6	-0	-1	+2	+4	1.1
2022	25	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	366	313	69	16	1	19	40	113	11	1	1	220	330	460	790	240	274	31	11	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	140	124	18	6	0	5	11	45	4	1	1	145	237	315	552	169	173	32	8	257	60	-7	-0	+2	+2	+3	-0.0
2023	26	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	334	300	69	12	0	12	31	98	2	5	0	230	306	390	696	160	300	29	9	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	37	35	9	4	0	1	1	13	0	0	0	257	278	457	735	200	364	35	3	317	101	+0	+0	-1	-9	+1	-1.0
2024	27	AAA MLE	Sacramento River Cats	—	482	428	95	21	0	12	40	138	8	2	1	222	300	355	656	133	283	29	8	287	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	MLB MLE	San Francisco Giants	—	25	20	4	1	0	0	4	5	1	0	0	200	360	250	610	50	267	20	16	302	91	-0	+0	-1	-5	+1	-0.6
2025	28	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	—	249	221	44	5	0	4	24	71	2	1	0	199	283	276	559	77	261	29	10	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK MLE	AZL Giants Black	—	25	21	5	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	238	333	286	619	48	333	28	8	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	AZL Giants Black	—	25	19	6	1	0	0	4	5	1	0	0	316	458	368	827	53	400	20	16	373	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	479	432	83	17	1	11	31	198	9	4	1	192	261	312	573	120	313	41	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ RAW	San Jose Giants	—	479	423	111	24	2	13	40	144	9	4	1	262	339	421	760	158	359	30	8	336	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	446	402	91	22	0	17	29	136	15	5	1	226	303	408	711	182	297	30	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	446	385	106	29	0	20	46	112	15	5	1	275	374	506	881	231	340	25	10	389	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	547	469	107	22	2	29	58	171	17	1	2	228	335	469	804	241	287	31	11	349	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	547	454	118	25	2	36	73	151	17	1	2	260	382	562	944	302	304	28	13	408	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	474	424	87	18	0	17	42	143	6	6	1	205	286	368	654	163	263	30	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	474	411	96	20	0	22	55	134	6	6	1	234	333	443	775	209	288	28	12	344	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	519	463	104	25	0	13	41	151	8	2	1	225	299	363	662	138	297	29	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	519	443	115	30	0	17	61	137	8	2	1	260	359	442	802	183	331	26	12	354	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	274	241	48	6	0	4	28	76	3	1	0	199	290	274	564	75	270	28	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	274	230	55	7	0	7	39	63	3	1	0	239	357	361	717	122	296	23	14	329	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	ROK MLE	AZL Giants Black	—	25	22	5	1	0	0	2	7	1	0	0	227	333	273	606	45	317	28	8	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	A+ MLE	San Jose Giants	—	479	436	83	17	1	11	31	198	9	4	1	190	261	310	570	119	303	41	6	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	446	399	91	22	0	17	29	136	15	5	1	228	303	411	714	183	294	30	7	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	547	467	107	22	2	29	58	171	17	1	2	229	335	471	806	242	283	31	11	349	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	474	423	87	18	0	17	42	143	6	6	1	206	286	369	655	163	263	30	9	291	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	519	465	104	25	0	13	41	151	8	2	1	224	299	361	660	138	289	29	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	274	241	48	6	0	4	28	76	3	1	0	199	290	274	564	75	262	28	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	27	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	519	465	104	25	0	13	41	151	8	2	1	224	299	361	660	138	289	29	8	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	274	241	48	6	0	4	28	76	3	1	0	199	290	274	564	75	262	28	10	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	30	MLB MLE	NYM	10%	324	288	64	12	1	8	29	84	4	3	1	225	305	360	665	134	286	26	9	299	89	-4	+0	-0	-6	+7	-0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	30	MLB CTX	NYM	10%	32	29	6	1	0	1	3	8	0	0	0	219	299	350	650	131	277	25	9	293	89	-0	+0	-0	-1	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	31	MLB MLE	NYM	27%	309	274	61	12	1	7	28	81	4	1	1	221	300	349	648	128	282	26	9	293	84	-6	-0	-3	-6	+7	-0.8
2028	31	MLB CTX	NYM	27%	84	76	16	3	0	2	7	22	1	0	0	214	294	340	634	125	273	26	8	287	84	-2	+0	-1	-1	+2	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	467	411	83	20	1	17	41	143	12	1	2	202	293	380	673	178	260	31	9	303	86	-5	-1	-2	-12	+10	-0.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	116	28	1	24	57	199	17	1	3	203	294	381	675	178	261	31	9	303	86	-6	-1	-3	-17	+14	-1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	3397	3014	650	135	5	106	288	1047	67	23	8	216	298	369	668	154	288	31	8	295	86	-13	-1	-4	-22	+22	-1.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	124	26	1	20	55	200	13	4	2	215	298	367	665	153	287	31	8	295	86	-8	-0	-3	-14	+14	-1.2

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Heiseylast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,758 PA	2.6	1,758	62	25	238	296	413	-18	+3	3.0	3.2
/162	664	23	9	-6.7	+1.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#2Dan Johnson'05-'15 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,625 PA	2.4	1,625	57	1	226*	330*	401*	-30	-3	2.2	2.8
/162	664	23	0	-12.2	-1.2	0.9	pk7: 3
#3Dave Nicholson'60-'67 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,661 PA	2.5	1,661	61	6	213*	321*	402*	-16	-6	2.5	2.5
/162	664	24	2	-6.6	-2.4	1.0	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	2.4	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
/162	664	19	6	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Brian Hunter'91-'00 * career totals — 9 seasons, 1,742 PA	2.6	1,742	67	4	226*	288*	432*	-29	+4	0.1	0.8
/162	664	26	2	-11.1	+1.6	0.0	pk7: 1
#6Karim Garcia'95-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,560 PA	2.3	1,560	66	10	231*	269*	413*	-16	-3	-1.0	0.1
/162	664	28	4	-6.7	-1.3	-0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.7	438	17	1	202	292	384	-8	-1	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	26	2	-11.9	-1.0	-0.3	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Villar (OGILVIE)	30	45	45	45	60	223/303/357	133	286	8	3	26%	9%	89	+0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Guillermo Heredia 2021 · MLB	30	46→56	47→45	42→45	49	230/307/366	135	279	15	8	22%	8%	92	+0.7	221/297/367	146	286	14	5	26%	8%	88	+0.5	217/302/349	133	278	9	0	23%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Marquez Smith 2015 · AAA	30	45→50	50→55	48→40	49	229/304/389	160	280	17	3	24%	9%	96	+1.0	226/296/349	123	298	11	7	26%	8%	83	+0.1	229/297/336	106	303	7	7	25%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Taylor Jones 2023 · MLB	29	47	49→50	43→40	45	233/304/383	150	305	16	3	28%	8%	95	+0.9	219/291/365	146	287	16	10	28%	8%	86	+0.3	178/255/326	148	222	16	12	27%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Rainel Rosario 2019 · AAA	30	49→51	47→50	45→50	47	246/298/380	134	282	16	9	19%	7%	91	+0.7	249/310/408	159	286	19	7	20%	8%	102	+1.5	251/315/414	163	281	20	4	18%	8%	101	+1.2
✕Emmanuel Valdez 2009 · AAA	30	44→51	47→50	40	51	222/309/357	135	280	15	3	26%	10%	91	+0.6	240/319/381	141	299	16	3	24%	10%	99	+1.3	242/323/382	139	300	16	2	23%	10%	99	+0.9
✕Clint Coulter 2023 · AAA	30	42→43	50	43→40	41	220/282/374	154	273	18	5	26%	6%	84	+0.2	221/288/353	132	266	13	9	22%	6%	82	-0.0	201/273/314	113	238	10	9	20%	6%	64	-0.5
✕Matt Tuiasosopo 2016 · MLB	30	42→52	47→45	47→45	46	207/289/338	131	294	15	4	33%	9%	79	-0.2	199/275/323	124	301	14	4	36%	9%	70	-0.8	181/260/293	112	278	13	1	37%	8%	55	-1.1
●Connor Joe 2023 · MLB	30	49→51	46→50	48→45	56	238/333/375	136	287	13	7	21%	11%	103	+1.6	233/322/376	143	290	12	6	22%	10%	99	+1.3	224/314/361	137	281	11	6	23%	10%	93	+0.5
✕Mike Vento 2009 · MLB	31	48→51	44→45	43→30	44	235/288/356	120	289	12	6	23%	6%	82	-0.0	224/259/359	135	272	14	10	23%	4%	72	-0.7	209/218/347	138	242	15	6	21%	1%	51	-0.6
✕Ryan Mulhern 2011 · AAA	30	44→49	48→55	47→40	42	220/281/362	141	300	17	8	31%	7%	81	-0.1	245/300/423	178	302	22	7	26%	6%	103	+1.5	234/288/402	168	288	21	3	26%	5%	91	+0.3
✕Brett Carroll 2013 · MLB	30	42→46	47→55	47→50	43	212/274/346	134	270	15	11	27%	6%	74	-0.5	204/269/335	131	275	16	10	30%	7%	70	-0.8	176/254/321	145	220	21	11	30%	8%	59	-0.9
✕Jerry Sands 2018 · MLB	30	47→46	47→60	46→45	48	234/296/372	138	289	14	5	24%	8%	88	+0.5	232/295/395	163	292	18	8	26%	8%	94	+0.9	222/287/406	184	271	21	5	26%	8%	90	+0.4
✕Matt Szczur 2019 · MLB	30	48→58	44→45	46→55	54	231/314/353	122	284	10	8	22%	10%	91	+0.7	225/287/374	149	276	16	7	24%	8%	86	+0.3	194/244/348	154	230	19	0	25%	6%	63	-0.3
✕Abraham M. Nunez 2007 · MLB	30	44→45	47→50	44→45	48	223/288/363	140	276	15	9	25%	8%	84	+0.1	228/283/364	136	290	15	7	26%	7%	82	-0.0	225/276/354	129	286	15	3	26%	6%	75	-0.2
✕Mike Wilson 2013 · MLB	30	44→53	52→55	47→50	46	229/299/392	163	293	20	8	28%	8%	95	+0.9	218/278/361	143	304	17	7	32%	7%	80	-0.2	203/263/335	132	288	17	4	34%	6%	65	-0.4
✕Mark Hamilton 2014 · MLB	30	45→44	47→50	47→30	46	225/294/362	137	301	15	3	29%	9%	86	+0.3	213/283/337	124	301	13	5	31%	8%	76	-0.4	185/263/284	99	264	10	0	32%	9%	55	-1.0
●Jeff Bailey 2008 · AAA	29	42→48	50→55	44→45	48	218/298/371	153	268	18	7	26%	8%	90	+0.6	230/309/389	159	277	18	6	23%	8%	98	+1.2	227/307/380	153	272	17	3	23%	8%	93	+0.7
✕Robbie Tenerowicz 2024 · AAA	29	48→51	49→50	40→45	46	238/322/383	144	287	16	4	22%	7%	102	+1.5	222/310/348	126	270	14	6	23%	6%	90	+0.6	194/293/301	106	238	13	4	23%	5%	73	-0.5
✕Christian Bethancourt 2022 · AAA	30	46→53	46→50	49→50	41	233/276/362	129	292	14	8	25%	5%	78	-0.3	233/268/385	152	289	19	8	26%	4%	81	-0.1	226/257/381	155	276	20	7	26%	4%	77	-0.2
✕Yermín Mercedes 2022 · MLB	29	48→53	49→50	47→45	45	247/296/388	141	280	18	5	19%	6%	92	+0.7	231/295/367	136	282	16	9	23%	8%	87	+0.4	210/286/341	131	259	16	10	25%	9%	78	-0.2

David Villar

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps