Connery Peters — OGILVIE

Connery Peters P Winston-Salem Dash

Age 27 RHP 6'6" / 240 lbs A+

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTION0 act + 15 ip · rates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.32

FIP5.32

K%19.9%

BB%14.9%

K-BB%4.9%

ROS IP15

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 15 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2023	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	0	11	55	15	7	0	0%	1.0	27.3%	12.7%	14.5%	0.0%	5.73	2.41	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	0	11	55	15	7	0	0%	1.0	27.3%	12.7%	14.5%	0.0%	5.73	2.28	—
2024	24	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	30	0	42	188	44	25	2	0%	1.4	17.3%	15.7%	1.6%	1.7%	4.75	4.55	—
2024	24	A MLE	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	30	0	42	188	44	25	2	0%	1.4	17.3%	15.7%	1.6%	1.7%	4.75	4.55	—
2024	24	A RAW	Kannapolis Cannon Ballers	30	0	42	188	44	25	2	0%	1.4	23.4%	13.3%	10.1%	1.1%	4.75	3.41	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	22	106	22	18	2	0%	1.3	14.9%	19.9%	-5.0%	2.8%	5.24	5.88	—
2025	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	17	0	22	106	22	18	2	0%	1.3	14.9%	19.9%	-5.0%	2.8%	5.24	5.88	—
2025	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	17	0	22	106	22	18	2	0%	1.3	20.8%	17.0%	3.8%	1.9%	5.24	4.71	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	27	MLB	CWS	14	0	15	63	13	9	2	0%	1.1	19.9%	14.9%	4.9%	3.0%	5.32	5.32	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	CWS	19	0	20	84	17	12	3	0%	1.1	20.1%	14.5%	5.6%	3.1%	5.27	5.30	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	CWS	7	0	7	30	6	4	1	0%	1.0	20.1%	14.5%	5.6%	3.1%	5.27	5.30	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	7	31	6	4	1	0%	1.0	20.1%	14.5%	5.6%	3.1%	5.27	4.93	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	164	109	27	0%	1.1	20.1%	14.5%	5.6%	3.1%	5.27	4.93	-0.9
Career	—	MLE		58	0	75	349	63	58	6	0%	1.3	18.2%	16.5%	1.6%	1.7%	5.04	4.62	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		155	0	200	931	169	154	16	0%	1.3	18.2%	16.5%	1.6%	1.7%	5.04	4.62	-1.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Connery Peters (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.32	19.9%	14.9%	3.0%	—	5.30	20.1%	5.6%	20	-0.02	—	—	—
Derek Eitel R 2015 · 4.35 FIP	27	SU	4.35	18.1%	13.9%	1.8%	.338	4.26	19.7%	5.0%	113	-0.09	3.96	138	88
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	87
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	85
David Holman R 2017 · 5.53 FIP	27	SU	5.53	15.6%	12.7%	3.9%	.324	5.45	9.6%	0.5%	107	-0.08	5.28	129	85
Scott Proctor R 2004 · 5.43 FIP	27	SU	5.43	17.8%	11.9%	4.2%	.308	4.36	18.8%	11.0%	233	-1.07	3.68	337	84
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	84
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	83
Armando Rivero R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	27	SU	4.29	18.7%	13.5%	1.9%	.256	2.70	32.9%	19.8%	68	-1.59	2.70	125	83
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	82
Theo Denlinger R 2023 · 4.19 FIP	27	SU	4.19	20.1%	15.1%	1.6%	.266	4.23	15.3%	9.9%	41	+0.04	2.92	140	82
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	82
Arcenio Leon R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	17.9%	12.5%	2.9%	.450	3.37	18.0%	9.1%	85	-1.36	3.00	115	82
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	82
Francisco Rodriguez R 2010 · 4.33 FIP	27	SU	4.33	17.2%	11.0%	2.4%	.283	5.00	11.9%	3.4%	14	+0.67	3.16	334	82
Chris Jefferson R 2024 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	16.4%	13.6%	4.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	140	81
Gregory Infante R 2015 · 4.54 FIP	28	SU	4.54	16.9%	15.7%	1.6%	.290	3.78	21.3%	12.7%	181	-0.76	2.97	230	81
Jeff Fulchino R 2008 · 4.62 FIP	28	SU	4.62	16.7%	11.1%	2.8%	.380	3.86	21.0%	12.4%	164	-0.76	3.36	178	80
Stevie Branche R 2024 · 5.67 FIP	27	SU	5.67	19.3%	17.6%	3.6%	.320	—	—	—	—	—	3.23	162	80
Zane Russell R 2024 · 4.95 FIP	24	SU	4.95	22.7%	18.3%	2.6%	.314	5.36	18.2%	6.7%	71	+0.41	4.63	108	79
Kevin Lenik R 2019 · 4.91 FIP	27	SU	4.91	21.7%	14.9%	3.2%	.205	—	—	—	—	—	3.00	107	79