Christian Molfetta

Christian MolfettaC Erie SeaWolves

Age 29 R/R 5'10" / 195 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 170 proj PA

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .265 / .312

PA15

HR0

K%32

BB%7

ISO111

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	24	AA	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	37	31	5	1	1	0	5	14	1	0	1	161	297	258	555	97	294	38	14	266	66	-1	-0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2022	25	A+	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	220	190	38	8	1	1	22	65	4	1	2	200	296	268	565	68	296	30	10	262	63	-10	-1	—	—	+5	-0.6
2023	26	AAA	Salt Lake Bees	—	34	31	4	0	0	0	3	9	0	0	0	129	206	129	335		182	26	9	168	0	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2024	27	AA	Erie SeaWolves	—	39	34	6	1	0	1	3	16	1	0	0	176	263	294	557	118	278	41	8	252	56	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	24	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	37	33	5	1	1	0	3	17	1	0	1	152	243	242	486	91	269	46	8	206	26	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2022	25	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	220	199	29	6	1	1	13	87	4	1	2	146	213	201	414	55	237	40	6	184	11	-23	-1	—	—	+5	-2.0
2023	26	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	34	32	3	0	0	0	2	11	0	0	0	94	147	94	241		155	32	6	125	-29	-5	+0	—	—	+1	-0.5
2024	27	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	39	35	6	1	0	1	2	19	1	0	0	171	237	286	523	114	254	49	5	200	22	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2021	24	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	37	33	5	1	1	0	3	17	1	0	1	152	243	242	486	91	312	46	8	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA RAW	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	37	31	5	1	1	0	5	14	1	0	1	161	297	258	555	97	294	38	14	266	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	220	199	29	6	1	1	13	87	4	1	2	146	213	201	414	55	250	40	6	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	A+ RAW	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	220	190	38	8	1	1	22	65	4	1	2	200	296	268	565	68	296	30	10	262	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	34	32	3	0	0	0	2	11	0	0	0	94	147	94	241		143	32	6	125	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	Salt Lake Bees	—	34	31	4	0	0	0	3	9	0	0	0	129	206	129	335		182	26	9	168	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	39	35	6	1	0	1	2	19	1	0	0	171	237	286	523	114	312	49	5	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA RAW	Erie SeaWolves	—	39	34	6	1	0	1	3	16	1	0	0	176	263	294	557	118	278	41	8	252	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AA MLE	Rocket City Trash Pandas	—	37	33	5	1	1	0	3	17	1	0	1	152	243	242	486	91	269	46	8	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	—	220	201	29	6	1	1	13	87	4	1	2	144	213	199	412	55	237	40	6	184	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	34	32	3	0	0	0	2	11	0	0	0	94	147	94	241		155	32	6	125	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	39	36	6	1	0	1	2	19	1	0	0	167	237	278	515	111	254	49	5	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	26	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	—	34	32	3	0	0	0	2	11	0	0	0	94	147	94	241		155	32	6	125	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AA MLE	Erie SeaWolves	—	39	36	6	1	0	1	2	19	1	0	0	167	237	278	515	111	254	49	5	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	29	MLB MLE	DET	2%	15	14	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	0	0	143	200	143	343		286	33	7	263	64	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	DET	23%	243	221	46	8	1	5	17	75	3	3	1	208	274	321	595	113	285	31	7	266	66	-10	+0	-2	+4	+5	-0.2
2028	31	MLB MLE	DET	35%	238	217	45	8	1	5	17	73	2	3	1	207	271	323	594	115	283	31	7	267	67	-9	+0	-3	+4	+5	-0.3
2027	30	MLB CTX	DET	23%	55	50	10	2	0	1	4	17	1	1	0	200	273	300	573	100	280	31	7	254	66	-2	+0	-0	+1	+1	-0.0
2028	31	MLB CTX	DET	35%	83	76	16	3	0	2	6	25	1	1	0	211	277	329	606	118	279	30	7	255	67	-3	+0	-1	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	138	126	26	5	0	3	10	42	2	2	0	206	275	317	593	111	284	30	7	254	44	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	593	123	24	0	14	47	198	9	9	0	207	275	319	594	111	286	30	7	254	44	-26	+2	-7	+12	+14	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	826	751	136	24	4	12	55	287	11	7	5	181	247	272	519	91	272	35	7	233	44	-20	+0	-5	+9	+11	-0.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	591	107	19	3	9	43	226	9	6	4	181	247	269	516	88	273	35	7	233	44	-26	+1	-6	+12	+14	-0.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Christian Molfetta (OGILVIE)	29	—	—	—	—	203/265/312	110	286	3	3	32%	7%	64	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Joe Hudson 2020 · AAA	29	38	45	47→40	40	197/251/316	119	276	14	4	33%	7%	59	-1.6	196/255/316	120	281	15	5	34%	7%	61	-1.5	175/280/306	130	256	18	8	36%	11%	67	-0.3
✕Gabe Johnson 2008 · AAA	28	38	47→50	45→40	40	199/259/332	133	276	16	5	33%	7%	65	-1.2	210/269/319	109	308	10	9	33%	7%	66	-1.1	181/242/260	79	275	6	4	34%	7%	41	-0.7
✕Trent Giambrone 2022 · AAA	28	35→41	43→45	48→55	41	179/243/283	104	257	11	13	34%	7%	49	-2.4	188/252/274	86	270	7	15	31%	7%	50	-2.3	156/222/216	60	225	4	19	31%	6%	24	-2.1
✕Chris Rabago 2022 · AAA	29	40	40	47→55	44	198/266/286	88	273	8	13	29%	8%	57	-1.8	201/268/296	95	308	8	10	35%	7%	61	-1.5	157/228/221	64	263	4	5	39%	6%	26	-1.2
✕Camden Duzenack 2023 · AAA	28	39→36	49→50	51→50	37	207/247/351	144	269	17	13	30%	4%	65	-1.2	231/288/355	124	292	12	10	24%	6%	82	-0.0	243/308/345	102	303	9	6	22%	6%	84	+0.1
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA	28	38	43→45	48→30	43	194/259/298	104	257	12	6	29%	7%	58	-1.7	211/261/323	112	273	12	5	26%	6%	64	-1.3	207/251/312	105	265	11	1	25%	5%	55	-0.8
✕David Matranga 2007 · AAA	30	38	44→45	47→50	42	193/261/309	116	251	13	9	28%	6%	61	-1.5	213/285/338	125	283	14	11	28%	7%	78	-0.3	212/294/334	122	284	13	9	28%	8%	78	-0.1
✕Brandon Hicks 2016 · MLB	30	37→40	46→50	46→50	41	187/263/312	125	288	14	5	38%	8%	63	-1.3	198/267/312	114	334	13	10	41%	8%	64	-1.3	168/238/260	91	301	11	12	45%	8%	39	-1.6
✕Grayson Greiner 2022 · MLB	29	42	43→45	47→30	40	202/266/311	110	311	12	4	37%	7%	63	-1.3	196/261/307	111	365	12	6	46%	7%	61	-1.5	163/227/268	105	321	15	3	51%	7%	36	-0.9
✕Kevin Richardson 2010 · AAA	29	36	47→50	44→40	34	190/245/320	130	289	17	3	39%	5%	58	-1.7	203/251/344	141	328	17	5	41%	5%	66	-1.1	194/239/335	141	309	17	2	42%	4%	56	-0.8
✕Aramis Garcia 2022 · MLB	29	41	47→50	44→45	37	211/260/340	129	290	15	4	32%	5%	68	-1.0	197/240/316	119	272	15	7	33%	4%	55	-1.9	168/243/303	136	236	19	5	37%	7%	53	-0.8
✕Eddy Rodriguez 2015 · AAA	29	37→29	44→45	44→30	33	191/228/304	113	280	12	4	36%	4%	47	-2.5	174/211/260	86	292	8	4	42%	4%	30	-3.8	140/173/207	67	257	7	1	47%	3%	2	-2.1
✕Tyler Payne 2022 · AA	29	42	42→45	49→40	37	209/252/318	109	290	10	5	31%	5%	59	-1.6	234/273/332	98	317	8	5	27%	5%	70	-0.8	240/276/327	87	311	7	2	24%	4%	66	-0.4
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB	28	37→39	44→50	46→45	50	188/283/306	118	262	12	9	31%	11%	70	-0.8	187/282/307	120	260	13	10	31%	11%	70	-0.9	168/270/286	118	229	14	8	31%	11%	59	-1.0
✕Dave Wallace 2008 · AAA	28	34	46→45	43→40	42	181/255/303	122	248	15	5	33%	8%	59	-1.7	209/279/324	115	282	12	7	29%	8%	72	-0.7	201/279/293	92	266	9	0	26%	8%	64	-0.3
✕Jeff Arnold 2018 · AAA	30	36	44→50	42→40	38	180/245/294	114	288	11	4	40%	7%	52	-2.2	183/247/284	101	325	10	6	43%	7%	51	-2.3	135/202/199	65	262	7	0	48%	7%	12	-2.0
✕McCarthy Tatum 2023 · AA	27	36→25	44→50	49→50	35	186/241/304	118	277	12	9	36%	5%	53	-2.1	214/275/326	112	297	10	10	30%	5%	70	-0.8	213/284/304	91	290	6	9	26%	4%	67	-0.3
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA	28	39	45	48→40	49	198/286/319	122	254	12	5	26%	9%	74	-0.5	216/298/331	115	289	12	7	27%	9%	80	-0.1	197/296/255	58	267	7	0	26%	12%	61	-0.3
✕Jake Wald 2010 · AAA	29	42	41→45	51→50	42	202/266/300	98	286	8	10	31%	7%	61	-1.5	191/256/277	86	314	7	8	38%	7%	52	-2.2	135/207/179	44	258	2	2	44%	8%	11	-2.1
✕Ryan Budde 2009 · MLB	29	41	42→45	48→40	40	203/256/310	107	271	9	8	28%	5%	59	-1.6	195/256/288	93	287	9	6	33%	7%	55	-2.0	179/247/258	79	272	8	2	35%	8%	42	-1.2