Antoine Kelly
P
Iowa Cubs
Age 26
LHP
6'5" / 205 lbs
AAA
ILReassigned to Minors (RM)
2026 ROS PROJECTION57 act + 14 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 107116vR 125
ERA4.70
FIP4.70
K%21.4%
BB%13.4%
K-BB%8.0%
ROS IP14
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 71 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 10 | 32 | 125 | 45 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 3.2 | 25.8% | 5.8% | 20.0% | 0.0% | 2.84 | 1.65 | — |
| 2019 | 19 | MIX | 2 levels | 10 | 10 | 32 | 125 | 45 | 9 | 2 | 100% | 3.2 | 36.0% | 7.2% | 28.8% | 1.6% | 2.84 | 1.93 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 9 | 8 | 19 | 94 | 27 | 19 | 0 | 89% | 2.1 | 22.5% | 23.9% | -1.4% | 0.0% | 9.78 | 4.23 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 9 | 8 | 19 | 94 | 27 | 19 | 0 | 89% | 2.1 | 28.7% | 20.2% | 8.5% | 0.0% | 9.78 | 3.26 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 24 | 110 | 474 | 143 | 71 | 6 | 92% | 4.2 | 23.4% | 17.0% | 6.4% | 2.1% | 4.43 | 4.41 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 26 | 24 | 110 | 474 | 143 | 71 | 6 | 92% | 4.2 | 30.2% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 1.3% | 4.43 | 3.15 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 57 | 246 | 79 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 25.8% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 2.3% | 2.04 | 3.62 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 49 | 0 | 57 | 246 | 79 | 23 | 4 | 0% | 1.2 | 32.1% | 9.3% | 22.8% | 1.6% | 2.04 | 2.45 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 26 | 139 | 34 | 32 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 21.0% | 24.3% | -3.3% | 2.1% | 9.35 | 5.54 | — |
| 2024 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 0 | 26 | 139 | 34 | 32 | 3 | 0% | 0.9 | 24.5% | 23.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 9.35 | 5.68 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 34 | 0 | 38 | 193 | 41 | 26 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.7% | 14.1% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 5.63 | 3.92 | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 34 | 0 | 38 | 193 | 41 | 26 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 1.0% | 5.63 | 3.67 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | AAA | Oklahoma City Comets | 56 | 0 | 57 | 268 | 59 | 42 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.4% | 16.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.13 | 4.67 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | LAD | 14 | 0 | 14 | 60 | 13 | 8 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 4.70 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 26 | MLB | LAD | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.4% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 4.70 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 26 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 71 | 328 | 72 | 50 | 6 | — | — | 21.9% | 15.2% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 4.24 | 4.68 | +0.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 26 | MLB | LAD | — | — | 6 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | — | 21.4% | 13.4% | 8.0% | 2.4% | 4.70 | 4.32 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 20 | 0 | 21 | 88 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.6% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 4.69 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | LAD | 12 | 0 | 13 | 55 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.6% | 13.0% | 8.5% | 2.5% | 4.69 | 4.70 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 18 | 0 | 18 | 78 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 4.69 | 4.32 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 184 | 108 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 13.1% | 8.4% | 2.5% | 4.69 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 212 | 42 | 339 | 1539 | 345 | 243 | 26 | 20% | 1.6 | 22.4% | 15.8% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 4.65 | 4.13 | +5.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 125 | 25 | 200 | 908 | 204 | 143 | 15 | 20% | 1.6 | 22.4% | 15.8% | 6.6% | 1.7% | 4.65 | 4.13 | +3.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Antoine Kelly (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.70 | 21.4% | 13.4% | 2.4% | — | 4.70 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 21 | +0.00 | — | — | — |
| Brian Moran L 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 84 |
| Matt Purke L 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.30 | 19.1% | 13.9% | 1.9% | .284 | 3.48 | 21.4% | 8.8% | 112 | -0.82 | 2.92 | 226 | 82 |
| Colton Johnson L 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.04 | 20.8% | 11.0% | 2.4% | .309 | 4.49 | 12.2% | -0.4% | 48 | +0.45 | 4.04 | 106 | 81 |
| Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.26 | 22.6% | 12.5% | 2.7% | .311 | 4.43 | 19.5% | 8.1% | 53 | +0.17 | 3.67 | 165 | 80 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 3.61 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.61 | 25.8% | 12.9% | 1.9% | .305 | 3.97 | 25.4% | 15.7% | 128 | +0.36 | 1.79 | 186 | 80 |
| Haylen Green L 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 80 |
| Jeff Belge L 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 175 | 79 |
| Andy Fisher L 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.21 | 21.5% | 15.4% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.23 | 17.2% | 6.3% | 52 | +0.02 | 3.14 | 167 | 79 |
| Mitchell Tyranski L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 21.0% | 12.3% | 4.1% | .234 | 3.46 | 20.5% | 4.0% | 57 | -1.66 | 3.46 | 145 | 79 |
| Graeme Stinson L 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.75 | 19.5% | 15.6% | 2.4% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.54 | 146 | 79 |
| Trey Jeans L 2026 · 5.12 FIP | 26 | SU | 5.12 | 22.3% | 16.5% | 3.3% | .291 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.74 | 111 | 79 |
| Brad Kuntz L 2026 · 4.02 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.02 | 20.9% | 11.7% | 2.2% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 197 | 79 |
| Adam McCreery L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.23 | 20.7% | 14.5% | 1.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.12 | 207 | 78 |
| Andy Oliver L 2027 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.4% | 16.9% | 1.5% | .283 | 5.02 | 19.2% | 8.6% | 108 | +0.94 | 4.08 | 165 | 78 |
| Tom Windle L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.64 | 19.0% | 11.8% | 3.0% | .269 | 4.43 | 17.2% | 1.8% | 74 | -0.21 | 3.79 | 330 | 78 |
| Hunter Cervenka L 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.71 | 23.1% | 12.6% | 1.7% | .246 | 4.16 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 121 | +0.45 | 3.20 | 194 | 78 |
| Sean Mellen L 2024 · 3.97 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.97 | 21.3% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.97 | 101 | 77 |
| Mason Melotakis L 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.62 | 21.9% | 10.9% | 1.8% | .264 | 5.40 | 12.0% | 0.6% | 30 | +1.78 | 3.12 | 142 | 77 |
| Russell Smith L 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.89 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 1.2% | .266 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.89 | 175 | 77 |
| Hunter Schryver L 2026 · 4.64 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.64 | 21.0% | 14.1% | 2.8% | .294 | 3.83 | 17.7% | 4.9% | 37 | -0.81 | 3.54 | 206 | 77 |