Dom Keegan

C Durham Bulls

Age 26 R/R 5'11" / 210 lbs AAA HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

Scout OFP45ETA2029MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	24	AAATB	297	.241/.311/.429	10	0	61	—	.205/.259/.326
2025	24	ROKTB	32	.292/.469/.625	2	0	114	—	.185/.312/.444
2026	25	AAATB	214	.191/.327/.303	6	6	43	—	.160/.266/.235
2026	25	AABAL	167	.196/.335/.362	6	0	56	—	.164/.269/.295
2027PROJ10% MLB	26	MLBTB	25	.190/.272/.301	1	0	63	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	27	MLBTB	104	.192/.274/.303	2	1	64	-0.1
2029PROJ42% MLB	28	MLBTB	153	.193/.274/.304	3	1	64	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

BB%83

Speed78

Max EV74

Chase%73

Z-Con%15

Whiff%14

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 95%

CompsTrevor Schwecke (age 25) · Ricardo Genovés (age 25) · Seby Zavala (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .272 / .301

PA25

HR1

K%40

BB%8

BABIP299

ISO174

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 36 / POW 52

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT36

scouting grade only

POWER52

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED34

scouting grade only

DEFENSE44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	21	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	26	23	6	0	0	2	2	6	1	0	0	261	346	522	868	261	267	23	8	381	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK	FCL Rays	—	20	17	7	4	0	0	3	4	0	1	0	412	500	647	1.147	235	538	20	15	497	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	207	173	44	11	0	8	28	42	4	0	1	254	371	457	827	202	288	20	14	367	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	241	200	63	9	4	5	31	48	3	2	0	315	415	475	890	160	377	20	13	386	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	INTL	Peoria Javelinas	—	66	53	18	4	0	3	10	14	1	0	0	340	446	585	1.031	245	405	21	15	440	184	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	—	442	375	107	23	3	9	50	90	7	0	0	285	380	435	814	149	343	20	11	358	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	297	266	64	16	2	10	24	91	3	0	0	241	311	429	739	188	320	31	8	324	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	ROK	FCL Rays	—	32	24	7	2	0	2	8	6	0	0	1	292	469	625	1.094	333	312	19	25	470	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA	Durham Bulls	—	214	178	34	0	1	6	31	79	5	6	0	191	327	303	630	112	301	37	14	298	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA	Chesapeake Baysox	—	167	138	27	3	1	6	25	41	4	0	1	196	335	362	698	167	231	25	15	322	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	21	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	26	24	5	0	0	2	1	8	1	0	0	208	269	458	728	250	248	31	4	296	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	20	18	5	3	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	278	350	444	794	167	412	30	10	342	118	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+ MLE	Bowling Green Hot Rods	—	207	185	37	8	0	7	16	58	4	0	1	200	278	357	635	157	239	28	8	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	241	211	54	8	4	4	20	66	3	2	0	256	329	389	718	133	322	27	8	311	97	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	442	392	99	22	2	8	33	110	7	0	0	253	322	380	702	128	310	25	7	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	297	273	56	14	2	5	17	103	3	0	0	205	259	326	585	121	296	35	6	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	32	27	5	1	0	2	5	9	0	0	1	185	312	444	757	259	223	28	16	337	114	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	Durham Bulls	—	214	187	30	0	1	4	22	95	5	6	0	160	266	235	502	75	289	44	10	232	43	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AA MLE	Chesapeake Baysox	—	167	146	24	2	1	5	17	50	4	0	1	164	269	295	564	130	209	30	10	251	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	46	42	11	3	0	2	3	14	1	1	0	262	326	476	802	214	346	30	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	46	40	13	4	0	2	5	10	1	1	0	325	413	575	988	250	393	22	11	432	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	514	454	103	18	4	12	42	143	8	2	1	227	304	363	667	137	294	28	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A RAW	3 teams	—	514	426	125	24	4	16	69	104	8	2	1	293	401	481	882	188	345	20	13	385	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	442	392	99	22	2	8	33	110	7	0	0	253	322	380	702	128	320	25	7	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA RAW	Montgomery Biscuits	—	442	375	107	23	3	9	50	90	7	0	0	285	380	435	814	149	343	20	11	358	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	329	301	61	15	2	7	21	112	3	0	1	203	262	336	597	133	290	34	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	329	290	71	18	2	12	32	97	3	0	1	245	326	445	771	200	319	29	10	338	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	381	333	53	2	2	9	39	145	9	6	1	159	265	258	523	99	246	38	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	381	316	61	3	2	12	56	120	9	6	1	193	331	329	660	136	266	31	15	309	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	46	42	11	3	0	2	3	14	1	1	0	262	326	476	802	214	319	30	7	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A MLE	3 teams	—	514	459	103	18	4	12	42	143	8	2	1	224	304	359	663	135	284	28	8	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	442	399	99	22	2	8	33	110	7	0	0	248	322	373	695	125	310	25	7	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	329	302	61	15	2	7	21	112	3	0	1	202	262	334	596	132	289	34	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	381	330	53	2	2	9	39	145	9	6	1	161	265	261	526	100	254	38	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	23	AA MLE	Montgomery Biscuits	—	442	399	99	22	2	8	33	110	7	0	0	248	322	373	695	125	310	25	7	308	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	329	302	61	15	2	7	21	112	3	0	1	202	262	334	596	132	289	34	6	266	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	381	330	53	2	2	9	39	145	9	6	1	161	265	261	526	100	254	38	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TB	10%	380	339	64	11	2	8	32	145	6	3	1	188	271	301	572	113	295	38	8	261	63	-17	+0	-2	+7	+8	0.0
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	26	MLB CTX	TB	10%	25	23	5	1	0	1	2	10	0	0	0	190	272	301	573	111	299	40	8	262	63	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TB	31%	336	299	58	10	2	7	29	126	5	3	1	190	272	304	576	114	294	38	9	263	64	-14	+0	-1	+6	+7	-0.2
2029	28	MLB MLE	TB	42%	364	325	62	10	2	8	31	134	5	2	0	191	273	304	577	113	293	37	9	263	64	-15	+0	-2	+7	+8	-0.3
2030	29	MLB MLE	TB	46%	373	333	65	11	2	8	32	136	5	1	0	191	272	303	575	112	291	36	9	263	64	-16	+0	-3	+7	+8	-0.4
2031	30	MLB MLE	TB	48%	378	338	65	11	2	8	32	136	5	1	0	191	271	301	571	110	289	36	8	261	63	-17	+0	-4	+7	+8	-0.5
2028	27	MLB CTX	TB	31%	104	92	18	3	1	2	9	39	2	1	0	192	274	303	577	112	298	38	9	264	64	-4	+0	-0	+2	+2	-0.1
2029	28	MLB CTX	TB	42%	153	137	26	4	1	3	13	56	2	1	0	193	274	304	578	111	296	37	8	264	64	-6	+0	-1	+3	+3	-0.1
2030	29	MLB CTX	TB	46%	172	153	29	5	1	3	15	63	2	0	0	193	273	303	576	110	294	37	9	263	64	-7	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.2
2031	30	MLB CTX	TB	48%	183	163	32	5	1	4	15	66	3	0	0	192	272	300	572	108	292	36	8	262	63	-8	+0	-2	+3	+4	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	612	545	105	17	4	12	52	224	9	2	0	193	274	305	579	112	297	37	8	263	70	-26	+0	-5	+11	+13	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	111	18	4	13	55	238	10	2	0	192	273	304	577	112	295	37	8	263	70	-28	+0	-5	+12	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	3413	3040	618	109	19	74	283	1151	52	18	4	203	282	325	607	121	294	34	8	271	70	-73	+1	-12	+30	+37	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	118	21	4	14	54	219	10	3	1	204	283	326	609	123	295	34	8	271	70	-28	+1	-4	+12	+14	-0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Sam Agnew'13-'19 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,711 PA	2.6	1,711	2	29	204*	262*	314*	+31	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	11	+11.9	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.0	637	13	3	192	270	304	+11	-5	0.2	0.2
/162	664	14	3	+11.9	-4.8	0.2	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dom Keegan (OGILVIE)	26	20→36	50→52	30→34	50	187/269/298	112	295	5	2	38%	9%	63	-0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Trevor Schwecke 2023 · AAA	25	40	43→45	41→50	39	197/259/307	110	292	10	6	34%	7%	60	-1.6	222/280/332	110	315	9	14	30%	7%	73	-0.6	229/287/336	107	321	8	17	29%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Ricardo Genovés 2024 · AAA	25	42→43	44→45	41→30	42	205/275/319	114	290	12	2	32%	7%	69	-0.9	201/266/325	124	297	13	6	35%	7%	67	-1.1	178/251/329	151	258	16	3	36%	7%	61	-0.6
✕Seby Zavala 2019 · AAA	25	41→40	47→50	39→40	38	211/259/343	132	289	16	2	33%	6%	68	-1.0	190/245/335	145	290	19	4	40%	6%	61	-1.5	191/268/314	123	294	13	1	37%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Mark Kolozsvary 2022 · AAA	26	39	45→40	43→30	40	188/279/309	122	296	12	4	38%	8%	70	-0.9	180/263/292	112	284	12	6	38%	7%	60	-1.6	147/224/255	108	224	12	2	38%	6%	34	-0.8
✕AJ Lewis 2024 · A	26	39	43→40	39→45	45	188/296/297	109	289	10	5	35%	9%	74	-0.5	205/287/299	94	305	6	8	32%	8%	70	-0.9	194/273/259	65	293	0	7	30%	8%	53	-0.5
✕Adam Donachie 2010 · AA	26	39	41→45	37→30	47	195/265/292	97	267	9	3	29%	9%	59	-1.7	190/254/286	96	261	10	4	29%	8%	53	-2.1	161/225/241	80	216	10	0	29%	7%	31	-1.4
✕Brent Diaz 2022 · AA	26	40	43→45	44→45	37	195/271/298	103	305	11	8	37%	6%	63	-1.3	219/284/346	127	296	14	9	30%	6%	79	-0.2	198/261/319	120	262	16	9	30%	5%	59	-0.5
✕Lou Santangelo 2009 · AAA	26	40→39	44→55	43→40	39	206/250/316	111	280	13	3	31%	6%	58	-1.7	200/251/301	101	279	10	3	30%	6%	55	-2.0	183/237/278	95	257	8	0	31%	6%	42	-1.4
✕Scott Kapers 2023 · AA	26	38	50	42→40	35	197/271/339	143	295	19	6	38%	6%	73	-0.6	193/262/314	121	258	12	5	29%	6%	63	-1.3	170/245/277	107	216	9	0	25%	5%	49	-1.1
✕Jeffrey Eure 2007 · AA	26	39→30	47→50	41→45	35	200/246/332	132	280	15	5	34%	4%	61	-1.5	204/258/313	109	298	10	8	33%	5%	61	-1.5	161/223/237	76	255	5	5	36%	4%	28	-1.2
✕Davis Wendzel 2023 · AAA	26	36→32	48→50	43→40	42	193/258/328	135	252	17	5	31%	7%	65	-1.2	199/277/337	138	247	17	5	26%	8%	75	-0.5	194/271/323	128	229	14	4	22%	7%	67	-0.6
✕Jakson Reetz 2022 · AAA	26	37→33	43→55	45	40	186/266/297	111	275	11	5	34%	7%	62	-1.4	204/280/379	175	264	21	5	31%	6%	86	+0.3	198/277/386	187	246	23	4	29%	6%	83	+0.0
✕Jorge Saez 2017 · AA	26	38	45	44→30	41	194/252/312	118	271	13	4	33%	7%	59	-1.7	207/272/331	124	290	15	5	32%	8%	70	-0.8	189/263/302	114	258	16	2	32%	9%	59	-0.5
✕Colton Shaver 2021 · AA	25	37→32	50	43→30	42	196/269/346	151	275	18	3	34%	8%	74	-0.6	187/273/323	136	338	17	5	46%	8%	70	-0.8	136/249/272	137	235	21	0	48%	10%	49	-1.1
✕Matthew Allegra 2007 · AA	26	38	48→50	43→40	37	197/255/339	142	292	16	5	37%	6%	66	-1.1	208/261/348	140	282	14	6	30%	6%	70	-0.8	194/244/340	146	249	14	2	28%	5%	59	-1.1
✕John Nelson 2006 · AAA	27	40→36	45	41→45	39	199/261/322	123	301	13	5	37%	7%	64	-1.3	182/242/320	138	275	18	8	39%	7%	57	-1.8	155/216/291	137	224	20	8	40%	6%	39	-2.0
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	39	42→45	42→45	46	191/278/294	103	260	10	6	29%	8%	65	-1.2	197/274/326	129	246	14	10	25%	7%	71	-0.8	183/262/322	139	217	16	12	24%	7%	63	-0.8
✕Madison Stokes 2022 · AA	26	39→36	42→45	41→40	37	196/244/302	106	285	10	4	34%	5%	53	-2.1	186/258/289	103	297	9	9	37%	8%	56	-1.9	161/248/256	95	264	7	9	38%	9%	42	-1.5
✕Will Wilson 2024 · AAA	26	40→39	48→50	44→45	41	207/264/341	134	274	17	6	31%	7%	70	-0.8	206/265/303	97	274	10	8	27%	7%	61	-1.5	191/253/271	79	256	8	7	27%	7%	47	-1.8
✕Erik Ostberg 2022 · AA	26	42	48→50	42→45	39	212/268/348	136	303	18	4	35%	6%	73	-0.6	199/257/332	133	281	15	7	33%	7%	65	-1.2	168/228/301	133	229	15	7	33%	7%	45	-0.8

Dom Keegan

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps