AJ LewisC
Hartford Yard Goats
Age 28
R/R
5'9" / 195 lbs
AA
H +10%K -4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
peak 0.2 · 2026
wRC+†66
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .282 / .306
PA170
HR3
K%31
BB%8
MLB%2%
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.3peak
2028
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2029
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2034
First FA Year 2035
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2029 | |||
| 2029 | Arb-1 | $0.8M | — | — | — |
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | — | — | — |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.2M | — | — | — |
| 2033 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| 2034 | Ext | beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate | |||
| Totals | $-3M | $-6M | -$3M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | 2 teams | 131 | 108 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 45 | 9 | 2 | 4 | .185 | .312 | .250 | .562 | .065 | .302 | 34 | 8 | .257 | 55 | -7 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.2 |
| 2022 | 24 | A | 2 teams | 190 | 159 | 33 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 63 | 5 | 0 | 3 | .208 | .330 | .352 | .682 | .145 | .301 | 33 | 13 | .301 | 88 | -3 | -1 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.5 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 276 | 232 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 104 | 20 | 3 | 3 | .147 | .277 | .246 | .523 | .099 | .240 | 38 | 8 | .235 | 38 | -19 | -1 | +0 | +5 | +8 | -0.7 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | 2 teams | 130 | 116 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .190 | .271 | .250 | .521 | .060 | .293 | 32 | 8 | .239 | 41 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 28 | MLB | COL | 170 | 151 | 31 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 52 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .205 | .286 | .325 | .610 | .119 | .285 | 31 | 8 | .272 | 66 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 29 | MLB 9% | COL | 243 | 217 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 73 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .207 | .286 | .318 | .604 | .111 | .285 | 30 | 8 | .275 | 68 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +7 | 0.2 |
| 2028 | 30 | MLB 19% | COL | 290 | 259 | 52 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 87 | 6 | 4 | 1 | .201 | .281 | .309 | .590 | .108 | .284 | 30 | 8 | .275 | 69 | -10 | +0 | -2 | +5 | +8 | 0.2 |
| 2029 | 31 | MLB 29% | COL | 278 | 248 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 83 | 6 | 2 | 1 | .206 | .286 | .319 | .605 | .113 | .283 | 30 | 8 | .274 | 68 | -10 | +0 | -3 | +5 | +8 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 32 | MLB 40% | COL | 258 | 230 | 46 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 78 | 5 | 1 | 0 | .200 | .281 | .304 | .586 | .104 | .282 | 30 | 8 | .271 | 65 | -10 | +0 | -4 | +5 | +7 | -0.2 |
| 2031 | 33 | MLB 54% | COL | 228 | 203 | 40 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 70 | 5 | 0 | 0 | .197 | .279 | .296 | .574 | .099 | .281 | 31 | 8 | .265 | 61 | -10 | +0 | -4 | +4 | +6 | -0.4 |
| 2032 | 34 | MLB 71% | COL | 186 | 165 | 33 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 59 | 4 | 0 | 0 | .200 | .283 | .309 | .592 | .109 | .279 | 32 | 8 | .259 | 56 | -9 | +0 | -5 | +3 | +5 | -0.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 2380 | 2088 | 407 | 93 | 8 | 37 | 198 | 756 | 72 | 21 | 15 | .195 | .287 | .300 | .587 | .105 | .283 | 32 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -102 | -2 | -19 | +42 | +67 | -1.3 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 570 | 110 | 25 | 2 | 10 | 54 | 206 | 20 | 6 | 4 | .193 | .286 | .296 | .582 | .104 | .280 | 32 | 8 | .266 | 62 | -28 | -0 | -5 | +12 | +18 | -0.3 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 23 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 74 | 56 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 2 | .179 | .352 | .268 | .620 | .089 | .250 | 27 | 16 | .291 | 81 | -2 | -0 | — | — | +2 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 23 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 57 | 46 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 2 | .283 | .421 | .413 | .834 | .130 | .364 | 21 | 9 | .386 | 153 | +3 | -1 | — | — | +2 | 0.4 |
| 2022 | 24 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 37 | 33 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .152 | .243 | .212 | .455 | .061 | .250 | 35 | 11 | .218 | 25 | -3 | -0 | — | — | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2022 | 24 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 153 | 115 | 32 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 2 | .278 | .450 | .478 | .929 | .200 | .338 | 21 | 20 | .413 | 174 | +13 | -1 | — | — | +4 | 1.7 |
| 2023 | 25 | A+ | Spokane Indians | 276 | 217 | 44 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 73 | 20 | 3 | 3 | .203 | .369 | .350 | .719 | .147 | .273 | 26 | 13 | .336 | 115 | +5 | -1 | — | — | +8 | 1.2 |
| 2024 | 26 | AAA | Albuquerque Isotopes | 44 | 35 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | .314 | .442 | .486 | .928 | .171 | .355 | 11 | 16 | .406 | 169 | +3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.5 |
| 2024 | 26 | AA | Hartford Yard Goats | 86 | 76 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 1 | .197 | .291 | .237 | .528 | .039 | .306 | 31 | 9 | .253 | 52 | -5 | -0 | — | — | +2 | -0.2 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| AJ Lewis (OGILVIE) | 28 | — | — | — | — | .200/.282/.306 | .106 | .285 | 3 | 3 | 31% | 8% | 66 | -0.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Zack Short 2023 · MLB |
28 | 37→39 | 46→50 | 46→45 | 50 | .191/.285/.319 | .128 | .261 | 14 | 9 | 31% | 11% | 70 | -0.3 | .189/.283/.313 | .124 | .261 | 14 | 10 | 31% | 11% | 68 | -0.5 | .168/.270/.287 | .119 | .228 | 14 | 8 | 31% | 11% | 54 | -0.9 |
|
✕Brad Cresse 2006 · AAA |
28 | 41 | 44→50 | 48→30 | 43 | .204/.269/.324 | .120 | .267 | 10 | 7 | 27% | 7% | 64 | -0.8 | .215/.275/.352 | .137 | .301 | 15 | 6 | 32% | 7% | 73 | -0.1 | .205/.267/.343 | .138 | .291 | 19 | 0 | 35% | 7% | 69 | -0.2 |
|
✕Stevie Berman 2023 · AAA |
28 | 39 | 46→50 | 48→40 | 48 | .200/.287/.330 | .129 | .255 | 14 | 5 | 26% | 9% | 73 | -0.1 | .215/.296/.335 | .120 | .285 | 13 | 7 | 27% | 9% | 79 | +0.3 | .199/.298/.266 | .067 | .267 | 9 | 0 | 27% | 12% | 60 | -0.2 |
|
✕Dominic Miroglio 2022 · AA |
27 | 41 | 44→45 | 44→40 | 43 | .205/.269/.321 | .117 | .279 | 11 | 5 | 30% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .216/.284/.361 | .145 | .260 | 15 | 5 | 23% | 8% | 80 | +0.4 | .203/.270/.374 | .171 | .212 | 20 | 2 | 16% | 7% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Dan Butler 2015 · MLB |
28 | 43→39 | 45 | 44→40 | 45 | .213/.274/.334 | .121 | .264 | 12 | 3 | 24% | 6% | 69 | -0.4 | .217/.279/.315 | .098 | .282 | 7 | 3 | 24% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .214/.284/.310 | .095 | .269 | 9 | 0 | 22% | 8% | 63 | -0.3 |
|
✕Grayson Greiner 2021 · MLB |
28 | 40 | 46→45 | 45→30 | 44 | .206/.272/.331 | .125 | .276 | 15 | 4 | 30% | 8% | 66 | -0.6 | .196/.260/.306 | .110 | .334 | 12 | 5 | 42% | 7% | 55 | -1.4 | .177/.244/.263 | .086 | .329 | 9 | 1 | 46% | 8% | 34 | -0.9 |
|
✕Angelo Castellano 2023 · AAA |
28 | 38→42 | 41→45 | 47→50 | 43 | .193/.254/.284 | .092 | .249 | 10 | 12 | 26% | 6% | 46 | -2.0 | .221/.284/.356 | .135 | .267 | 16 | 14 | 23% | 8% | 78 | +0.2 | .228/.293/.382 | .154 | .263 | 20 | 15 | 22% | 8% | 85 | +0.3 |
|
✕Alex De Goti 2023 · AAA |
28 | 43→46 | 41→45 | 51→50 | 47 | .206/.279/.307 | .101 | .275 | 8 | 8 | 27% | 8% | 63 | -0.8 | .196/.273/.279 | .083 | .270 | 6 | 10 | 28% | 9% | 54 | -1.4 | .174/.259/.229 | .054 | .247 | 4 | 10 | 28% | 9% | 33 | -1.3 |
|
✕Joe DeCarlo 2021 · AA |
27 | 40→38 | 43→50 | 47→30 | 40 | .197/.265/.308 | .111 | .291 | 11 | 5 | 34% | 7% | 58 | -1.2 | .199/.260/.292 | .093 | .305 | 9 | 6 | 35% | 7% | 51 | -1.7 | .163/.224/.224 | .061 | .249 | 8 | 0 | 36% | 7% | 16 | -1.3 |
|
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2007 · AAA |
28 | 38 | 44→45 | 48→30 | 43 | .197/.260/.308 | .111 | .260 | 13 | 6 | 29% | 7% | 56 | -1.3 | .211/.260/.328 | .117 | .271 | 13 | 5 | 26% | 6% | 60 | -1.0 | .210/.254/.324 | .114 | .266 | 12 | 1 | 25% | 5% | 54 | -0.6 |
|
✕Chris Rabago 2021 · AAA |
28 | 39 | 41→40 | 50→55 | 43 | .192/.252/.291 | .099 | .264 | 9 | 14 | 30% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .193/.261/.280 | .087 | .291 | 8 | 11 | 34% | 7% | 49 | -1.8 | .161/.236/.224 | .063 | .253 | 6 | 8 | 36% | 7% | 21 | -1.1 |
|
✕Brett Hayes 2012 · MLB |
28 | 41 | 46→45 | 48→40 | 42 | .211/.258/.339 | .128 | .264 | 14 | 4 | 26% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .214/.254/.363 | .149 | .284 | 18 | 6 | 30% | 5% | 67 | -0.5 | .184/.217/.317 | .133 | .235 | 17 | 2 | 30% | 3% | 34 | -1.1 |
|
✕Brad Davis 2011 · MLB |
28 | 42 | 47→50 | 43→45 | 44 | .213/.270/.353 | .141 | .266 | 15 | 4 | 26% | 7% | 72 | -0.2 | .213/.260/.321 | .108 | .282 | 10 | 6 | 27% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .197/.240/.283 | .087 | .265 | 6 | 4 | 27% | 5% | 37 | -1.1 |
|
✕Jeremy Farrell 2015 · AAA |
28 | 42→38 | 40→45 | 42→45 | 38 | .202/.265/.299 | .098 | .295 | 7 | 4 | 33% | 6% | 56 | -1.3 | .208/.259/.304 | .096 | .318 | 7 | 6 | 35% | 5% | 53 | -1.5 | .189/.229/.269 | .080 | .302 | 4 | 2 | 38% | 2% | 29 | -1.1 |
|
✕Drew Jackson 2021 · AAA |
28 | 39→45 | 45 | 49→55 | 41 | .197/.268/.316 | .118 | .283 | 13 | 17 | 34% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .210/.295/.327 | .117 | .326 | 12 | 25 | 36% | 9% | 76 | +0.0 | .199/.294/.308 | .110 | .316 | 12 | 32 | 37% | 10% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Andrew Susac 2018 · MLB |
28 | 37→39 | 48→50 | 47→30 | 43 | .197/.261/.333 | .136 | .264 | 16 | 3 | 31% | 8% | 63 | -0.9 | .206/.283/.350 | .144 | .290 | 17 | 7 | 33% | 9% | 76 | +0.1 | .198/.293/.339 | .141 | .281 | 18 | 0 | 34% | 11% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Lucas May 2013 · MLB |
28 | 38→42 | 45→55 | 44→45 | 37 | .197/.240/.320 | .124 | .267 | 12 | 6 | 31% | 5% | 50 | -1.8 | .199/.235/.300 | .101 | .269 | 10 | 7 | 29% | 4% | 42 | -2.3 | .191/.231/.254 | .063 | .257 | 8 | 3 | 28% | 4% | 26 | -1.1 |
|
✕Renae Martinez 2021 · AA |
27 | 42→32 | 43→50 | 44→40 | 43 | .208/.271/.314 | .106 | .276 | 10 | 3 | 28% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .195/.264/.310 | .115 | .308 | 11 | 8 | 37% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .139/.221/.264 | .125 | .227 | 13 | 6 | 43% | 8% | 26 | -0.9 |
|
✕Dustin Garneau 2016 · MLB |
28 | 40→38 | 47→50 | 43→45 | 46 | .203/.259/.335 | .132 | .225 | 16 | 6 | 19% | 6% | 63 | -0.9 | .209/.268/.359 | .150 | .248 | 18 | 4 | 24% | 6% | 72 | -0.2 | .184/.263/.355 | .171 | .225 | 21 | 0 | 29% | 7% | 68 | -0.2 |
|
✕Chris Okey 2023 · AAA |
28 | 43 | 44→45 | 47→40 | 39 | .212/.263/.330 | .117 | .305 | 11 | 5 | 33% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .215/.261/.319 | .104 | .290 | 10 | 7 | 28% | 5% | 58 | -1.2 | .205/.250/.290 | .085 | .272 | 9 | 5 | 27% | 4% | 42 | -0.7 |