Luca Tresh

C Omaha Storm Chasers

Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 193 lbs AAA HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

AAAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

ETA2030MLB%10%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	25	AAAKC	271	.259/.323/.473	10	3	70	—	.206/.259/.367
2026	26	AAAKC	385	.266/.315/.401	10	1	57	—	.221/.260/.318
2027PROJ10% MLB	27	MLBKC	25	.206/.254/.325	1	0	64	-0.0
2028PROJ31% MLB	28	MLBKC	103	.206/.255/.324	2	0	64	-0.1
2029PROJ40% MLB	29	MLBKC	139	.206/.255/.322	3	0	64	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$3M2033Ext$5M2034Ext$7M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Max EV59

Z-Con%29

Speed24

K%21

BB%16

Chase%16

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsPat Valaika (age 27) · Jesus Flores (age 27) · Cody Roberts (age 27)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .254 / .325

PA25

HR1

K%32

BB%4

BABIP291

ISO167

MLB%10%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 60

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT50

scouting grade only

POWER60

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	39	35	5	1	0	0	4	11	0	0	0	143	231	171	402	29	208	28	10	197	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	ACL Royals Blue	—	19	18	7	3	0	1	1	4	0	0	0	389	421	722	1.143	333	462	21	5	492	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	24	24	3	1	0	0	0	8	0	1	0	125	125	167	292	42	188	33	0	129	-27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	106	91	23	4	0	5	13	25	2	1	0	253	358	462	820	209	295	24	12	366	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	347	300	82	15	1	14	41	85	2	3	3	273	364	470	834	197	332	24	12	366	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	380	334	76	11	2	10	43	72	0	1	1	228	316	362	678	135	259	19	11	306	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	400	352	88	19	1	14	37	98	4	0	0	250	328	429	757	179	301	24	9	332	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	271	243	63	16	3	10	21	59	2	3	0	259	323	473	797	214	301	22	8	344	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	385	354	94	18	0	10	23	113	3	1	1	266	315	401	716	136	359	29	6	317	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	21	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	39	36	4	1	0	0	3	15	0	0	0	111	179	139	318	28	190	38	8	145	-16	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK MLE	ACL Royals Blue	—	19	18	5	2	0	1	1	6	0	0	0	278	316	556	871	278	344	32	5	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	106	94	19	3	0	4	10	31	2	1	0	202	292	362	654	160	262	29	9	299	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	347	315	71	12	1	11	26	106	2	3	3	225	289	375	663	149	288	31	7	285	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	380	345	64	8	2	9	32	87	0	1	1	186	255	299	553	113	214	23	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	400	364	73	15	1	12	25	120	4	0	0	201	260	346	606	146	251	30	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	271	248	51	13	3	7	16	70	2	3	0	206	259	367	626	161	252	26	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	385	362	80	14	0	7	16	136	3	1	1	221	260	318	578	97	324	35	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	82	77	13	4	0	1	5	30	0	1	0	169	220	260	479	91	261	37	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	3 teams	—	82	77	15	5	0	1	5	23	0	1	0	195	244	299	543	104	264	28	6	246	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	453	409	90	15	1	15	36	137	4	4	3	220	290	372	661	152	287	30	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	453	391	105	19	1	19	54	110	4	4	3	269	363	468	831	199	323	24	12	366	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	380	345	64	8	2	9	32	87	0	1	1	186	255	299	553	113	218	23	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	380	334	76	11	2	10	43	72	0	1	1	228	316	362	678	135	259	19	11	306	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	400	364	73	15	1	12	25	120	4	0	0	201	260	346	606	146	256	30	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	400	352	88	19	1	14	37	98	4	0	0	250	328	429	757	179	301	24	9	332	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	271	248	51	13	3	7	16	70	2	3	0	206	259	367	626	161	254	26	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	271	243	63	16	3	10	21	59	2	3	0	259	323	473	797	214	301	22	8	344	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	385	362	80	14	0	7	16	136	3	1	1	221	260	318	578	97	329	35	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	385	354	94	18	0	10	23	113	3	1	1	266	315	401	716	136	359	29	6	317	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	3 teams	—	82	77	13	4	0	1	5	30	0	1	0	169	220	260	479	91	240	37	6	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	453	410	90	15	1	15	36	137	4	4	3	220	290	371	660	151	282	30	8	288	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	380	345	64	8	2	9	32	87	0	1	1	186	255	299	553	113	214	23	8	246	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	400	368	73	15	1	12	25	120	4	0	0	198	260	342	602	144	251	30	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	271	251	51	13	3	7	16	70	2	3	0	203	259	363	622	159	252	26	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	385	363	80	14	0	7	16	136	3	1	1	220	260	317	577	96	324	35	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	24	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	400	368	73	15	1	12	25	120	4	0	0	198	260	342	602	144	251	30	6	265	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	271	251	51	13	3	7	16	70	2	3	0	203	259	363	622	159	252	26	6	272	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	385	363	80	14	0	7	16	136	3	1	1	220	260	317	577	96	324	35	4	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	27	MLB MLE	KC	10%	380	355	74	15	1	9	19	126	3	3	1	209	256	333	589	124	294	33	5	263	64	-16	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.1
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	27	MLB CTX	KC	10%	25	24	5	1	0	1	1	8	0	0	0	206	254	325	579	119	291	32	4	258	64	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	28	MLB MLE	KC	31%	333	309	65	13	1	8	18	109	3	1	1	209	257	332	590	123	292	33	5	263	64	-14	-0	-1	+6	+7	-0.2
2029	29	MLB MLE	KC	40%	352	327	69	14	1	8	19	115	3	0	0	209	258	330	587	121	291	33	5	262	64	-15	+0	-1	+6	+8	-0.3
2030	30	MLB MLE	KC	45%	363	337	70	14	1	8	20	118	3	0	0	207	257	326	583	119	289	33	6	261	63	-16	+0	-2	+6	+8	-0.4
2028	28	MLB CTX	KC	31%	103	96	19	4	0	2	5	34	1	0	0	206	255	324	579	118	290	33	5	259	64	-4	+0	-0	+2	+2	-0.1
2029	29	MLB CTX	KC	40%	139	129	27	5	1	3	8	45	1	0	0	206	255	322	577	116	289	32	6	258	64	-6	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.1
2030	30	MLB CTX	KC	45%	162	151	31	6	1	3	9	53	1	0	0	205	254	318	573	114	287	33	6	257	63	-7	+0	-1	+3	+4	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	404	376	77	15	2	8	22	132	3	0	0	205	254	319	574	114	289	33	5	258	64	-18	+0	-2	+7	+9	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	605	124	24	3	13	35	212	5	0	0	205	254	319	573	114	288	33	5	258	64	-28	+0	-3	+12	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3269	3011	624	120	11	81	200	1005	24	13	6	207	262	335	597	128	278	31	6	262	64	-56	+0	-4	+23	+28	-0.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	599	124	24	2	16	40	200	5	3	1	207	263	334	597	127	278	31	6	262	64	-28	+0	-2	+12	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#3Gabby Street'04-'31 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,677 PA	2.5	1,677	2	17	210*	281*	325*	+30	+0	3.1	3.3
/162	664	1	7	+11.8	+0.0	1.2	pk7: 3
#4Malachi Kittridge'01-'06 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,664 PA	2.5	1,664	4	11	219*	281*	319*	+30	+0	1.3	1.3
/162	664	2	4	+11.9	+0.0	0.5	pk7: 1
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Sam Agnew'13-'19 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,711 PA	2.6	1,711	2	29	204*	262*	314*	+31	+0	0.5	0.5
/162	664	1	11	+11.9	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 0
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.6	429	10	1	209	255	331	+8	+4	-0.0	0.0
/162	664	15	1	+11.9	+6.2	-0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luca Tresh (OGILVIE)	27	50	60	45	40	207/254/330	123	294	6	2	33%	5%	64	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Pat Valaika 2020 · MLB	27	40→47	50→55	47→50	39	212/256/366	154	274	19	6	30%	6%	72	-0.7	216/260/342	126	279	16	5	28%	6%	68	-1.0	203/247/302	99	257	12	2	26%	5%	53	-1.2
✕Jesus Flores 2012 · MLB	27	42→39	45→50	47→30	36	212/244/336	124	280	13	4	29%	4%	60	-1.6	194/226/295	101	246	10	4	25%	4%	44	-2.8	177/207/262	85	221	9	1	25%	3%	27	-1.6
✕Cody Roberts 2023 · AAA	27	46	43→45	46→40	41	219/282/330	111	326	11	3	34%	7%	74	-0.6	212/268/313	101	312	9	6	33%	6%	64	-1.3	200/255/287	87	300	7	6	34%	6%	51	-0.7
✕Mike Ahmed 2019 · AAA	27	43→44	45→50	44→50	40	208/270/326	118	310	13	7	35%	7%	69	-0.9	209/263/319	110	324	10	10	36%	6%	64	-1.3	191/241/299	108	300	10	11	38%	5%	48	-1.0
✕Seby Zavala 2021 · AAA	27	38→40	50	43→40	35	199/253/347	148	293	19	5	38%	6%	68	-1.0	195/262/330	135	313	16	4	40%	8%	67	-1.1	191/268/314	123	294	13	1	37%	8%	65	-0.5
✕Jason Leblebijian 2018 · AAA	27	45→49	44→45	46→45	38	217/269/333	115	315	11	7	34%	6%	69	-0.9	213/276/331	118	317	13	9	35%	7%	72	-0.7	183/259/286	103	275	14	8	37%	8%	53	-1.1
✕Colt Morton 2009 · MLB	27	37	46→50	47→30	41	192/258/319	128	270	14	4	33%	7%	63	-1.4	202/257/334	132	277	15	7	31%	6%	65	-1.2	161/211/333	171	188	22	0	29%	5%	46	-0.5
✕Aramis Garcia 2019 · MLB	26	43→42	49→50	43→45	36	220/260/363	142	291	18	2	31%	4%	73	-0.6	210/260/349	139	305	17	3	35%	6%	70	-0.8	190/228/307	117	250	16	3	31%	3%	47	-0.8
✕Martin Cervenka 2021 · AAA	28	43→47	44→45	49→40	40	214/263/323	109	292	12	6	30%	6%	65	-1.2	195/257/312	117	272	12	8	31%	7%	60	-1.6	137/207/246	108	180	13	2	31%	8%	26	-1.5
✕David Sheaffer 2021 · AAA	26	42	47→50	49→40	38	213/260/346	133	292	15	6	32%	5%	69	-0.9	199/247/294	95	287	8	5	32%	5%	52	-2.2	172/218/252	80	248	6	1	32%	5%	30	-1.1
✕Chad Wallach 2019 · MLB	27	40→50	45→50	42→40	42	202/268/320	118	275	13	4	31%	7%	67	-1.1	214/283/341	127	298	14	5	31%	8%	77	-0.3	191/254/323	133	259	17	2	33%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Kevin Richardson 2008 · AA	27	40	49→50	42→40	39	207/268/343	136	275	18	4	31%	6%	72	-0.7	193/246/325	132	287	17	4	37%	5%	59	-1.6	170/218/301	130	265	17	1	42%	4%	41	-1.2
✕Alvin Colina 2009 · AAA	27	40	45	46→40	37	203/250/323	119	272	13	5	30%	5%	60	-1.6	214/266/341	127	284	15	6	29%	5%	71	-0.8	203/256/324	121	262	15	2	28%	5%	60	-0.6
✕William Simoneit 2024 · AAA	27	43	44→45	48→45	43	211/286/328	116	300	11	6	32%	8%	76	-0.4	194/259/307	113	315	11	6	39%	6%	60	-1.6	165/229/267	102	285	10	2	43%	6%	38	-1.0
✕J.D. Osborne 2022 · AAA	27	43	44→45	45→40	37	210/271/322	112	308	12	6	34%	6%	68	-1.0	215/272/335	120	328	12	6	36%	6%	71	-0.8	188/240/304	116	289	13	0	38%	4%	49	-0.7
✕JJ Schwarz 2023 · AAA	27	46	46→45	45→30	46	228/295/355	127	308	14	4	30%	9%	84	+0.2	213/278/331	118	297	13	5	31%	8%	72	-0.7	177/246/274	98	244	12	0	32%	8%	45	-1.4
✕Taylor Gushue 2021 · AAA	27	44	48→45	46→30	40	224/273/363	139	297	15	4	30%	6%	78	-0.3	201/266/325	124	287	14	4	33%	8%	67	-1.1	175/248/289	115	247	13	0	33%	9%	50	-1.1
✕Ryan Dorow 2022 · AAA	26	43→44	47→45	47→45	42	214/278/351	137	296	14	7	32%	7%	77	-0.3	216/278/331	115	293	10	6	28%	7%	72	-0.7	204/269/297	93	278	6	2	27%	7%	58	-1.2
✕René Pinto 2023 · MLB	26	42	51→55	46→40	35	218/257/375	157	304	19	5	35%	4%	75	-0.5	206/248/366	160	295	21	4	36%	5%	70	-0.9	188/231/348	160	266	22	2	38%	5%	58	-0.8
✕Gabe Johnson 2006 · AA	26	44	46→50	47→40	41	219/281/342	123	296	15	5	30%	6%	76	-0.4	194/253/318	124	276	14	5	33%	7%	60	-1.6	156/217/269	113	221	13	1	35%	7%	33	-1.1

Luca Tresh

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps