Cristian Charle prospect projection, MLE, ETA

Cristian Charle P Pensacola Blue Wahoos

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 208 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 44 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 122114vR 106

ERA4.68

FIP4.68

K%22.4%

BB%10.8%

K-BB%11.6%

ROS IP45

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 44 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	18	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates 2	14	3	28	146	20	23	0	21%	2.0	9.3%	19.7%	-10.4%	0.0%	6.04	4.81	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates 2	14	3	28	146	20	23	0	21%	2.0	13.7%	15.8%	-2.1%	0.0%	6.04	4.12	—
2021	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	16	0	43	178	47	8	2	0%	2.7	18.3%	5.5%	12.8%	1.4%	3.59	3.00	—
2021	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	16	0	43	178	47	8	2	0%	2.7	26.4%	4.5%	21.9%	1.1%	3.59	2.07	—
2022	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	32	0	54	220	57	17	3	0%	1.7	19.4%	9.0%	10.4%	1.4%	2.52	3.38	—
2022	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	32	0	54	220	57	17	3	0%	1.7	25.9%	7.7%	18.2%	1.4%	2.52	2.65	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	40	0	65	264	67	30	12	0%	1.6	20.7%	12.7%	8.0%	5.5%	3.20	5.99	—
2023	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	40	0	65	264	67	30	12	0%	1.6	20.7%	12.7%	8.0%	5.5%	3.20	5.99	—
2023	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	40	0	65	264	67	30	12	0%	1.6	25.4%	11.4%	14.0%	4.5%	3.20	4.83	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	26	MLB	MIA	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	22.4%	10.8%	11.6%	3.1%	4.68	4.68	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	MIA	42	0	44	185	42	20	6	0%	1.0	22.5%	10.7%	11.8%	3.2%	4.66	4.68	-0.1
2027	27	MLB CTX	MIA	15	0	16	68	15	7	2	0%	1.1	22.5%	10.7%	11.8%	3.2%	4.66	4.68	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		16	0	16	70	16	7	2	0%	1.0	22.5%	10.7%	11.8%	3.2%	4.66	4.30	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	194	85	24	0%	1.1	22.5%	10.7%	11.8%	3.2%	4.66	4.30	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		102	3	189	808	143	92	20	3%	1.9	17.7%	11.4%	6.4%	2.5%	3.52	4.41	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		108	3	200	854	151	97	21	3%	1.9	17.7%	11.4%	6.4%	2.5%	3.52	4.41	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Cristian Charle (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.68	22.4%	10.8%	3.1%	—	4.68	22.5%	11.8%	44	+0.00	—	—	—
Jesus Pirela R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	26	SU	3.84	23.7%	11.6%	2.3%	.305	3.92	17.1%	13.9%	45	+0.08	3.24	161	90
Ronald Peña R 2018 · 4.19 FIP	26	SU	4.19	23.4%	11.6%	2.9%	.273	4.52	18.7%	7.1%	88	+0.33	3.72	187	90
Jason Stoffel R 2015 · 3.61 FIP	26	SU	3.61	23.4%	10.1%	2.2%	.267	3.49	27.2%	19.2%	59	-0.12	3.49	103	87
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	87
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	87
Fernando Rodriguez Jr. R 2011 · 3.85 FIP	27	SU	3.85	24.7%	10.8%	2.7%	.315	3.90	25.2%	16.5%	70	+0.05	3.34	335	86
Hunter Parsons R 2023 · 4.84 FIP	26	SU	4.84	22.5%	10.0%	4.3%	.274	6.70	25.5%	9.0%	29	+1.86	4.73	183	86
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.18	22.3%	9.0%	119	-0.38	2.12	165	86
Colton Murray R 2016 · 3.97 FIP	26	SU	3.97	21.2%	9.4%	2.7%	.295	4.27	21.8%	13.1%	41	+0.30	3.34	187	85
Josh Zeid R 2013 · 4.00 FIP	26	SU	4.00	20.3%	9.3%	2.6%	.287	4.75	16.2%	4.8%	183	+0.75	4.00	313	85
Cale Coshow R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	26	SU	4.59	23.1%	10.9%	3.8%	.300	3.68	23.0%	12.8%	63	-0.91	3.08	377	85
Jon Leicester R 2004 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	20.0%	8.6%	4.0%	.280	4.44	11.0%	2.0%	32	-0.25	3.76	113	85
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	85
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.29	16.7%	9.8%	248	+0.82	4.47	303	84
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	84
Carlos Fisher R 2009 · 3.90 FIP	26	SU	3.90	21.2%	12.8%	1.8%	.317	3.80	18.2%	8.1%	46	-0.10	2.48	245	84
Taylor Floyd R 2023 · 4.34 FIP	25	SU	4.34	21.7%	10.8%	3.1%	.331	4.61	18.4%	8.9%	192	+0.27	3.48	359	84
Shawn Armstrong R 2017 · 4.21 FIP	26	SU	4.21	22.1%	9.2%	3.3%	.282	3.18	26.9%	17.2%	144	-1.03	1.79	653	84
Scott Dohmann R 2004 · 4.44 FIP	26	SU	4.44	24.7%	9.6%	4.0%	.270	4.80	20.6%	8.5%	112	+0.36	4.28	173	84
Jackson Hicks R 2023 · 3.90 FIP	25	SU	3.90	22.6%	10.5%	2.5%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	2.17	116	84

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 714 reliever careers (1990-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	44	22.5%	10.8%	1.22	4.67
Valerio De Los Santos ('08)	1.3	51	18.7%	11.5%	1.30	4.57
Josias Manzanillo ('04)	1.7	57	20.0%	10.2%	1.21	4.71
Josh Lindblom ('21)	1.0	52	22.1%	9.6%	1.25	4.78
Wesley Wright ('15)	1.5	51	22.0%	10.1%	1.11	4.16
Bill Risley ('98)	1.1	55	21.9%	10.9%	1.26	3.98
Manny Acosta ('12)	1.2	41	20.5%	10.9%	1.09	3.99