Jonah Scolaro P Winston-Salem Dash
Age 27 LHP 5'10" / 193 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 48 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 101110vR 119
ERA4.41
FIP4.41
K%23.4%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%13.6%
ROS IP48
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 48 IP
K: +0.2 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+0KBB: -0.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-0BBCONTACT: -1.0 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-1CONTACTSTAM: +2.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.08 (48 IP)+0.1WAR
0.10.00.02628
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
202223MIX2 levels85251083711262%3.125.7%12.0%13.6%2.0%3.243.54
202223MIX2 levels85251083711262%3.134.3%10.2%24.1%1.9%3.242.50
202324MIX2 levels391693058936103%1.823.3%13.0%10.3%3.9%4.804.92
202324MIX2 levels391693058936103%1.829.2%11.8%17.4%3.3%4.803.97
202425A+Winston-Salem Dash4053511820%1.231.4%22.9%8.6%5.7%23.406.48
202425A+Winston-Salem Dash4053511820%1.231.4%22.9%8.6%5.7%23.408.70
▸ 2026 Season
202627MLBCWS46048205482060%1.123.4%9.8%13.6%3.0%4.414.41+0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBCWS45047198462060%1.023.2%9.9%13.4%3.1%4.454.48+0.0
202829MLBCWS43045190441960%1.023.0%10.0%13.0%3.3%4.544.60-0.0
202728MLBCWS160177217720%1.123.2%9.9%13.4%3.1%4.454.48+0.0
202829MLBCWS24025106241130%1.023.0%10.0%13.0%3.3%4.544.60-0.0
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career40042177411860%1.023.1%10.0%13.1%3.2%4.504.17+0.2
/ 200 IP190020084419686290%1.123.1%10.0%13.1%3.2%4.504.17+2.9
Career51699448110611612%1.924.5%13.6%11.0%3.6%5.354.71+0.8
/ 200 IP103122009022211223212%1.924.5%13.6%11.0%3.6%5.354.71+1.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Jonah Scolaro (OGILVIE) 4.41 23.4%9.8%3.0% 4.54 23.1%13.2%92 +0.13
Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.86 FIP 26 SU 4.86 19.8%10.9%3.7%.305 4.86 134 81
Ryan Verdugo L 2027 · 3.62 FIP 28 SU 3.62 19.8%10.8%1.5%.281 3.41 22.7%17.3%82 -0.21 3.41 153 81
Dylan Phillips L 2026 · 4.01 FIP 27 SU 4.01 22.8%10.1%2.9%.336 2.69 221 81
James Reeves L 2025 · 3.79 FIP 26 SU 3.79 22.4%10.3%2.3%.226 5.24 27.0%10.8%51 +1.45 2.02 280 78
Fabian Williamson L 2026 · 3.46 FIP 27 SU 3.46 23.8%9.0%2.2%.259 5.31 16.5%-3.3%54 +1.85 3.46 154 78
Will Gilbert L 2024 · 4.26 FIP 25 SU 4.26 19.9%10.3%2.8%.306 2.85 141 78
Adam Liberatore L 2027 · 3.84 FIP 28 SU 3.84 21.1%7.3%2.9%.267 3.21 23.3%15.2%73 -0.63 2.44 124 77
Bailey Horn L 2026 · 4.24 FIP 27 SU 4.24 23.8%11.7%3.0%.331 4.13 265 77
Aaron Brown L 2026 · 3.88 FIP 27 SU 3.88 22.9%13.5%1.8%.317 4.79 19.4%6.7%129 +0.91 3.88 269 77
Jordan Mills L 2026 · 3.26 FIP 27 SU 3.26 23.2%9.3%1.7%.325 2.64 210 76
Andrew Barbosa L 2026 · 3.30 FIP 27 SW 3.30 22.8%12.2%1.1%.292 3.80 20.2%11.3%127 +0.50 2.68 175 76
Conor Lillis-White L 2025 · 3.54 FIP 26 SU 3.54 26.8%11.1%2.4%.322 1.80 182 76
A.J. Block L 2026 · 3.64 FIP 27 SU 3.64 22.7%12.4%1.6%.311 3.64 203 76
Kevin Chapman L 2026 · 3.32 FIP 27 SU 3.32 21.9%11.1%1.2%.368 3.66 21.7%11.5%100 +0.34 3.04 153 76
Jake Diekman L 2027 · 3.40 FIP 28 SU 3.40 26.5%11.9%1.9%.310 3.21 27.0%15.3%106 -0.19 2.33 455 76
Jeremy Horst L 2028 · 4.06 FIP 29 SU 4.06 18.8%11.2%2.1%.291 3.73 15.1%2.7%48 -0.33 3.73 108 76
Brad Kuntz L 2025 · 4.02 FIP 26 SU 4.02 20.9%11.7%2.2%.352 2.35 197 76
Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.26 FIP 27 SU 4.26 17.9%8.5%2.9%.281 3.91 20.1%10.8%34 -0.35 2.34 338 75
Chris Nunn L 2026 · 3.26 FIP 27 SU 3.26 23.0%10.9%1.3%.367 4.30 23.9%9.2%95 +1.04 3.26 180 75
Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.43 FIP 27 SU 4.43 19.5%11.4%2.8%.262 3.67 165 75

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION34723.2%9.9%1.214.46
José Ruiz ('24)55222.2%10.4%1.414.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)55224.8%9.0%1.334.19
Travis Wood ('17)38520.8%9.8%1.344.72
Bud Norris ('18)47922.7%9.2%1.285.07
Brandon Maurer ('18)45321.5%8.8%1.065.20
Matt Albers ('19)54920.3%8.3%1.374.21