Dylan Phillips
P
Tri-City Dust Devils
Age 27
LHP
6'0" / 230 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION49 act + 41 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100109vR 118
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
K%21.1%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%11.5%
ROS IP41
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 91 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.2% | 2.8% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 6.48 | 1.58 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 6 | 0 | 8 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0% | 1.4 | 22.2% | 2.8% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 6.48 | 1.54 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 0 | 61 | 268 | 82 | 25 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.9% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 0.7% | 4.72 | 2.69 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 42 | 0 | 61 | 268 | 82 | 25 | 1 | 0% | 1.5 | 30.6% | 9.3% | 21.3% | 0.4% | 4.72 | 1.85 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 41 | 0 | 54 | 232 | 64 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 21.2% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 0.6% | 3.31 | 2.98 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | A+ | Tri-City Dust Devils | 41 | 0 | 54 | 232 | 64 | 21 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 27.6% | 9.1% | 18.5% | 0.4% | 3.31 | 2.14 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 46 | 2 | 73 | 312 | 70 | 25 | 8 | 4% | 1.6 | 16.9% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 3.58 | 4.27 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 3 levels | 46 | 2 | 73 | 312 | 70 | 25 | 8 | 4% | 1.6 | 22.4% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 2.6% | 3.58 | 3.63 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | 31 | 0 | 49 | 209 | 60 | 19 | 5 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 3.65 | 4.01 | +0.3 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | LAA | 39 | 0 | 41 | 174 | 37 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 2.6% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 2.6% | 4.33 | 4.33 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 91 | 383 | 97 | 36 | 10 | — | — | 25.3% | 9.4% | 15.9% | 2.5% | 3.97 | 4.16 | +1.1 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | LAA | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 21.1% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 2.6% | 4.33 | 3.94 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 38 | 0 | 40 | 169 | 36 | 17 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 4.40 | 4.43 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | LAA | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 4.37 | 4.40 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 14 | 0 | 15 | 63 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 4.37 | 4.02 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 174 | 81 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 2.7% | 4.37 | 4.02 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 166 | 2 | 246 | 1057 | 222 | 104 | 17 | 1% | 1.5 | 21.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 1.6% | 3.91 | 3.44 | +5.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 135 | 2 | 200 | 859 | 180 | 85 | 14 | 1% | 1.5 | 21.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 1.6% | 3.91 | 3.44 | +4.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Dylan Phillips (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 21.1% | 9.7% | 2.6% | — | 4.43 | 21.2% | 11.5% | 40 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Jeremy Horst L 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.06 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.73 | 15.1% | 2.7% | 48 | -0.33 | 3.73 | 108 | 88 |
| Tony Cingrani L 2026 · 4.22 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.22 | 18.1% | 13.3% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.74 | 32.4% | 26.1% | 65 | -0.48 | 1.79 | 186 | 86 |
| Stephen Peterson L 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.79 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 2.9% | .284 | 3.04 | 17.3% | 6.3% | 55 | -1.75 | 3.04 | 120 | 84 |
| Haylen Green L 2024 · 4.08 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.08 | 18.6% | 10.8% | 2.2% | .317 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.85 | 104 | 83 |
| Michael Johnson L 2026 · 4.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.99 | 13.4% | 10.0% | 3.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.88 | 256 | 83 |
| Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.86 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.86 | 19.8% | 10.9% | 3.7% | .305 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.86 | 134 | 82 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.26 | 17.9% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .281 | 3.91 | 20.1% | 10.8% | 34 | -0.35 | 2.34 | 338 | 82 |
| Brian Moran L 2025 · 4.66 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.66 | 17.7% | 14.1% | 2.3% | .318 | 2.63 | 25.0% | 17.4% | 80 | -2.03 | 1.67 | 421 | 82 |
| Ozzie Mendez L 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.07 | 14.6% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .269 | 3.89 | 11.3% | 3.0% | 68 | -0.18 | 3.86 | 161 | 81 |
| Justin Wright L 2025 · 4.48 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.48 | 14.7% | 13.7% | 1.6% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.28 | 109 | 81 |
| Will Gilbert L 2024 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 19.9% | 10.3% | 2.8% | .306 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.85 | 141 | 80 |
| Kit Scheetz L 2026 · 5.20 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.20 | 16.2% | 13.6% | 3.2% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.34 | 195 | 80 |
| Ryan Och L 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 13.9% | 1.2% | .287 | 2.86 | 27.1% | 10.9% | 16 | -1.00 | 2.58 | 140 | 80 |
| Aaron Brown L 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 22.9% | 13.5% | 1.8% | .317 | 4.79 | 19.4% | 6.7% | 129 | +0.91 | 3.88 | 269 | 79 |
| Jimmy Reyes L 2026 · 4.09 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.09 | 14.6% | 6.2% | 2.6% | .313 | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.8% | 66 | +0.64 | 3.00 | 200 | 79 |
| Jeff Belge L 2025 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.45 | 19.4% | 12.3% | 2.6% | .250 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.27 | 175 | 79 |
| Jose Meraz L 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.53 | 13.3% | 12.0% | 1.9% | .331 | 4.05 | 15.3% | 6.7% | 44 | -0.48 | 3.59 | 110 | 79 |
| Andy Fisher L 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.23 | 17.2% | 10.9% | 2.2% | .232 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.14 | 167 | 79 |
| Bryan Harper L 2025 · 3.97 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.97 | 19.3% | 9.6% | 2.4% | .197 | 4.72 | 14.9% | 1.0% | 46 | +0.75 | 3.97 | 133 | 79 |
| Justin Thomas L 2024 · 4.23 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.23 | 13.1% | 10.4% | 1.7% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 105 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 41 | 21.2% | 9.7% | 1.03 | 4.37 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |