Dylan Phillips — OGILVIE

Dylan Phillips P Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 27 LHP 6'0" / 230 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 41 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 103112vR 120

ERA4.55

FIP4.55

K%19.4%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%9.2%

ROS IP41

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 41 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	6	0	8	36	8	1	0	0%	1.4	22.2%	2.8%	19.4%	0.0%	6.48	1.58	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	6	0	8	36	8	1	0	0%	1.4	22.2%	2.8%	19.4%	0.0%	6.48	1.54	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	0	61	268	82	25	1	0%	1.5	23.9%	9.8%	14.2%	0.6%	4.72	2.65	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	42	0	61	268	82	25	1	0%	1.5	23.9%	9.8%	14.2%	0.6%	4.72	2.65	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	42	0	61	268	82	25	1	0%	1.5	30.6%	9.3%	21.3%	0.4%	4.72	1.85	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	41	0	54	232	64	21	1	0%	1.3	21.2%	10.4%	10.8%	0.6%	3.31	2.95	—
2024	25	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	41	0	54	232	64	21	1	0%	1.3	21.2%	10.4%	10.8%	0.6%	3.31	2.95	—
2024	25	A+ RAW	Tri-City Dust Devils	41	0	54	232	64	21	1	0%	1.3	27.6%	9.1%	18.5%	0.4%	3.31	2.14	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	46	2	73	312	70	25	8	4%	1.6	16.9%	10.3%	6.6%	2.4%	3.58	4.27	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	3 levels	46	2	73	312	70	25	8	4%	1.6	16.9%	10.3%	6.6%	2.4%	3.58	4.27	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	3 levels	46	2	73	312	70	25	8	4%	1.6	22.4%	8.0%	14.4%	2.6%	3.58	3.63	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	44	0	72	309	91	29	6	0%	1.6	23.1%	10.0%	13.1%	2.3%	4.02	3.68	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Salt Lake Bees	44	0	72	309	91	29	6	0%	1.6	23.1%	10.0%	13.1%	2.3%	4.02	3.68	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	A+ RAW	LAA	30	0	47	189	62	13	3	0%	1.6	32.8%	6.9%	25.9%	1.6%	3.47	2.07	—
2026	27	AA RAW	LAA	7	0	12	60	15	8	1	0%	1.7	25.0%	13.3%	11.7%	1.7%	6.00	3.59	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	LAA	7	0	13	60	14	8	2	0%	1.9	23.3%	13.3%	10.0%	3.3%	4.15	4.65	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	LAA	38	0	40	169	33	17	5	0%	1.1	19.7%	10.2%	9.5%	2.7%	4.58	4.61	-0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	LAA	14	0	15	63	12	6	2	0%	1.1	19.7%	10.2%	9.5%	2.8%	4.61	4.64	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	62	12	6	2	0%	1.0	19.7%	10.2%	9.5%	2.8%	4.61	4.26	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	82	27	0%	1.1	19.7%	10.2%	9.5%	2.8%	4.61	4.26	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		179	2	268	1157	246	114	17	1%	1.5	21.2%	9.9%	11.3%	1.5%	3.99	3.39	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		133	1	200	862	183	85	13	1%	1.5	21.2%	9.9%	11.3%	1.5%	3.99	3.39	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Dylan Phillips (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.55	19.4%	10.2%	2.6%	—	4.61	19.7%	9.5%	40	+0.06	—	—	—
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	88
Tony Cingrani L 2016 · 4.19 FIP	27	SU	4.19	18.1%	13.3%	1.7%	.271	3.50	32.4%	26.1%	65	-0.69	1.68	186	85
Stephen Peterson L 2015 · 4.59 FIP	27	SU	4.59	13.0%	9.5%	2.5%	.284	3.04	17.3%	6.3%	55	-1.55	3.04	120	84
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	84
Haylen Green L 2023 · 4.09 FIP	25	SU	4.09	18.6%	10.8%	2.2%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.02	104	83
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	82
Michael Johnson L 2018 · 5.19 FIP	27	SU	5.19	13.4%	10.0%	3.6%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	3.92	256	82
Jeff Ibarra L 2016 · 3.75 FIP	28	SU	3.75	17.8%	9.7%	1.7%	.321	3.29	19.2%	13.8%	66	-0.46	2.85	101	81
Triston Polley L 2023 · 4.15 FIP	26	SU	4.15	17.8%	8.9%	2.6%	.331	4.53	17.4%	-0.3%	22	+0.38	4.15	151	81
Justin Wright L 2016 · 4.42 FIP	26	SU	4.42	14.7%	13.7%	1.5%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	2.28	109	81
Ozzie Mendez L 2015 · 4.16 FIP	27	SU	4.16	14.6%	6.7%	2.6%	.269	3.99	11.3%	3.0%	68	-0.17	3.95	161	81
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	80
Kit Scheetz L 2021 · 5.08 FIP	27	SU	5.08	16.2%	13.6%	2.9%	.278	—	—	—	—	—	2.34	195	80
Aaron Brown L 2019 · 4.04 FIP	27	SU	4.04	22.9%	13.5%	2.1%	.317	4.77	19.4%	6.7%	129	+0.73	4.04	269	80
Will Gilbert L 2019 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	19.9%	10.3%	3.1%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	2.92	141	80
Jose Meraz L 2015 · 4.71 FIP	27	SU	4.71	13.3%	12.0%	2.2%	.331	4.06	15.3%	6.7%	44	-0.65	3.78	110	80
Greg Nappo L 2016 · 5.09 FIP	27	SU	5.09	17.2%	10.3%	3.9%	.285	6.26	12.3%	-0.3%	11	+1.17	3.37	144	79
David Rollins L 2017 · 5.58 FIP	27	SU	5.58	18.0%	12.1%	4.5%	.260	5.68	15.9%	12.5%	20	+0.10	3.59	132	79
Justin Thomas L 2016 · 4.25 FIP	25	SU	4.25	13.1%	10.4%	1.7%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.09	105	79
Jimmy Reyes L 2016 · 3.82 FIP	27	SU	3.82	14.6%	6.2%	2.1%	.313	4.92	13.8%	5.8%	66	+1.10	3.02	200	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	41	19.5%	10.2%	1.03	4.56
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Cory Gearrin ('19)	1.1	57	21.5%	9.8%	0.79	3.42
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38