Nick Loftin

2B Kansas City Royals

Age 28 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs MLB HR -15%K -8% Svc 1.471 · Ctrl thru 2031

Overview

MLB40-MANPre-ArbFA 2032

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR
2024	25	MLBKC	171	.189/.286/.236	1	1	54	-0.2
2025	26	MLBKC	188	.208/.281/.357	4	1	80	-0.4
2026	27	MLBKC	426	.240/.325/.388	8	4	103	1.1
2027PROJ	28	MLBKC	444	.225/.311/.352	7	6	91	0.8
2028PROJ65% MLB	29	MLBKC	282	.222/.308/.345	4	3	88	0.3
2029PROJ65% MLB	30	MLBKC	276	.218/.304/.336	4	2	85	0.1

Last 3 seasons WAR 0.6 · Next 3 projected WAR 1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2031Service1.471First FA2032

2027Pre-Arb$0.8M2028Pre-Arb$0.8M2029Arb-1$0.4M2030Ext$0.7M2031Ext$1M

Skills · percentileStatcast 2024-2026

Whiff%90

Chase%90

Speed63

Bat Spd40

xwOBA36

Barrel%21

Form.221/.291/.357 ▼ rolling true talent (60d window) · proj .227/.310/.358

CompsShane Robinson (age 28) · Eric Fryer (age 28) · Vinny Capra (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†vL 9491vR 83

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .311 / .352

PA444

HR7

SB6

K%17

BB%9

BABIP260

ISO125

MLB%100%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 45 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT45

Whiff%

903.3%

xAVG

220.228

POWER40

Barrel%

214.5

Avg EV

1586.4

Bat Spd

4070.3

EYE60

Chase%

9012.1%

SPEED60

Sprint

6328.0

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%21%▼▼23% over 94 PA (60d) · proj 17%

BB%8%▼▼5% over 94 PA (60d) · proj 9%

ISO.136·.146 over 89 AB (60d) · proj .131

HR/BB2.7%·3.0% over 67 BBE (60d) · proj 2.5%

BABIP.265·.308 over 65 BIP (60d) · proj .262

SLASH.221/.291/.357▼proj .227/.310/.358

Platoon Splits2024-2025 · 359 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

120

239

—

wRC+

◀◀L

wOBA

275

258

◀L

ISO

103

099

◀L

BABIP

218

220

—

14.2%

—

BB%

8.3%

9.6%

▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2023

Service 1.471 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.2	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2029	Arb-1	$0.4M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$2M	+$0.4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	A+	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	410	356	103	22	5	10	42	60	7	11	2	289	375	463	839	174	323	15	10	369	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	168	153	33	7	0	5	10	41	4	5	2	216	281	359	641	144	259	24	6	288	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	425	363	98	17	1	12	45	57	5	24	4	270	357	421	779	152	288	13	11	341	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	68	62	20	5	1	0	4	12	1	2	0	323	373	435	809	113	392	18	6	356	127	+2	+0	-0	+2	+1	0.6
2023	24	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	358	315	85	13	0	14	34	47	4	6	4	270	348	444	793	175	274	13	9	349	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	ROK	ACL Royals	—	26	17	8	1	0	1	6	4	2	1	0	471	640	706	1.346	235	538	15	23	556	181	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	171	148	28	4	0	1	19	24	1	1	0	189	286	236	522	47	216	14	11	246	54	-9	+0	+2	+2	+4	-0.2
2024	25	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	254	212	64	13	0	7	37	37	3	4	2	302	413	462	875	160	335	15	15	390	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	188	168	35	9	2	4	14	27	3	1	1	208	281	357	638	149	223	14	7	283	80	-4	-0	+1	-4	+4	-0.4
2025	26	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	197	152	46	12	0	4	39	24	3	12	1	303	454	461	914	158	331	12	20	408	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB	Kansas City Royals	—	426	371	89	27	2	8	41	73	6	4	1	240	325	388	713	148	276	17	10	316	103	+1	+0	-2	+2	+9	1.1
2026	27	AAA	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	39	33	10	1	2	0	2	3	3	1	0	303	395	455	849	152	323	8	5	370	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	853	749	172	45	5	13	78	136	11	8	2	230	311	355	667	126	261	16	9	298	88	-12	+1	+1	+1	+18	0.9
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	410	368	85	18	4	8	30	80	7	11	2	231	301	367	668	136	266	20	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	168	156	28	5	0	4	7	51	4	5	2	179	234	288	522	109	234	30	4	228	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Northwest Arkansas Naturals	—	425	378	92	15	1	11	31	71	5	24	4	243	309	376	685	132	259	17	7	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	68	62	20	5	1	0	4	12	1	2	0	323	373	435	809	113	392	18	6	357	127	+2	+0	-0	+2	+1	0.6
2023	24	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	358	325	82	12	0	11	24	57	4	6	4	252	312	391	702	138	265	16	7	305	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	ROK MLE	ACL Royals	—	26	19	7	1	0	1	4	6	2	1	0	368	520	579	1.099	211	396	23	15	435	181	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	171	148	28	4	0	1	19	24	1	1	0	189	286	236	522	47	216	14	11	248	54	-9	+0	+2	+2	+4	-0.2
2024	25	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	254	224	59	12	0	5	25	45	3	4	2	263	345	384	729	121	303	18	10	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	188	168	35	9	2	4	14	27	3	1	1	208	281	357	638	149	223	14	7	286	80	-4	-0	+1	-4	+4	-0.4
2025	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	197	162	39	10	0	3	29	29	3	12	1	241	366	358	724	117	261	15	15	325	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	Kansas City Royals	—	426	371	90	27	2	9	41	73	6	4	1	243	328	399	727	156	276	17	10	320	103	+1	+0	-2	+2	+9	1.1
2026	27	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	—	39	34	10	1	2	0	1	4	3	1	0	294	368	441	810	147	297	10	3	345	120	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	410	368	85	18	4	8	30	80	7	11	2	231	301	367	668	136	273	20	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	410	356	103	22	5	10	42	60	7	11	2	289	375	463	839	174	323	15	10	369	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	593	533	120	20	1	15	39	122	9	29	6	225	289	351	640	126	261	21	7	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA RAW	2 teams	—	593	516	131	24	1	17	55	98	9	29	6	254	336	403	739	149	280	17	9	326	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	452	407	109	17	1	12	31	74	7	9	4	268	330	403	733	135	296	16	7	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA RAW	3 teams	—	452	394	113	19	1	15	44	63	7	9	4	287	369	454	823	168	303	14	10	362	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	425	372	87	16	0	6	44	69	4	5	2	234	321	325	647	91	269	16	10	290	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	425	360	92	17	0	8	56	61	4	5	2	256	362	369	731	114	285	14	13	332	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	385	330	74	19	2	7	43	56	6	13	2	224	325	358	682	133	246	15	11	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	385	320	81	21	2	8	53	51	6	13	2	253	369	406	776	153	274	13	14	347	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	465	405	100	28	4	9	42	77	9	5	1	247	331	402	734	156	281	17	9	322	104	+2	+1	-2	+2	+10	1.3
2026	27	MLB RAW	2 teams	—	465	404	99	28	4	8	43	76	9	5	1	245	331	394	725	149	280	16	9	321	104	+2	+1	-2	+2	+10	1.3
2021	22	A+ MLE	Quad Cities River Bandits	—	410	370	85	18	4	8	30	80	7	11	2	230	301	365	666	135	266	20	7	289	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	2 teams	—	593	540	120	20	1	15	39	122	9	29	6	222	289	346	635	124	252	21	7	277	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AAA MLE	3 teams	—	452	411	109	17	1	12	31	74	7	9	4	265	330	399	729	134	292	16	7	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	425	374	87	16	0	6	44	69	4	5	2	233	321	324	645	91	268	16	10	290	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	385	333	74	19	2	7	43	56	6	13	2	222	325	354	679	132	242	15	11	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	465	411	100	28	4	9	42	77	9	5	1	243	331	397	728	153	277	17	9	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	425	374	87	16	0	6	44	69	4	5	2	233	321	324	645	91	268	16	10	290	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	385	333	74	19	2	7	43	56	6	13	2	222	325	354	679	132	242	15	11	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	MLB MLE	2 teams	—	465	411	100	28	4	9	42	77	9	5	1	243	331	397	728	153	277	17	9	322	104	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	KC	100%	444	392	90	22	3	8	42	77	7	6	1	227	313	358	671	131	262	17	9	303	91	-5	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.2
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	KC	100%	444	392	88	22	3	7	42	77	7	6	1	225	311	352	663	127	260	17	9	300	91	-5	+1	+0	+2	+10	0.8
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	KC	65%	434	383	86	21	3	7	41	77	7	4	1	224	310	351	661	127	260	18	9	299	88	-6	+0	-1	+2	+9	0.4
2029	30	MLB MLE	KC	65%	425	377	83	20	3	7	39	77	6	3	1	221	305	342	647	121	257	18	9	293	85	-8	+0	-2	+2	+9	0.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	KC	65%	282	250	55	14	2	4	26	50	4	3	1	222	308	345	653	123	258	18	9	296	88	-4	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.3
2029	30	MLB CTX	KC	65%	276	244	53	13	2	4	26	50	4	2	1	218	304	336	640	118	256	18	9	290	85	-5	+0	-1	+1	+6	0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1411	1243	280	72	9	21	130	236	19	13	4	225	308	348	657	123	260	17	9	296	89	-21	+1	-0	+3	+31	1.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	573	129	33	4	10	60	109	9	6	2	225	309	349	658	124	259	17	9	296	89	-10	+0	-0	+1	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	4033	3567	834	181	21	79	351	709	62	85	20	234	313	363	676	129	268	18	9	299	89	-31	+2	-1	+5	+47	2.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	575	134	29	3	13	57	114	10	14	3	233	314	362	675	129	267	18	9	299	89	-9	+1	-0	+2	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Joey Amalfitano'54-'67 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,937 PA	2.9	1,937	9	19	238*	319*	333*	+7	+1	1.9	2.7
/162	664	3	7	+2.4	+0.4	0.7	pk7: 4
#4Scott Leius'90-'99 * career totals — 5 seasons, 1,727 PA	2.6	1,727	28	16	237*	306*	358*	+5	+5	1.5	2.1
/162	664	11	6	+2.0	+1.9	0.6	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	2.8	1,855	30	19	227	307	353	-1	+0	1.8	1.8
/162	664	11	7	-0.5	+0.1	0.6	pk7: 2
#5Phil Linz'62-'68 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,518 PA	2.3	1,518	11	13	238*	301*	338*	+10	-0	0.7	0.7
/162	664	5	6	+4.3	-0.2	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nick Loftin (OGILVIE)	28	45	40	60	60	225/310/355	130	262	8	6	17%	9%	91	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shane Robinson 2013 · MLB	28	51→56	44→45	54→55	49	251/306/372	121	285	11	14	16%	7%	92	+0.7	240/306/332	92	277	7	13	15%	8%	82	+0.0	237/305/307	70	274	3	13	14%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Eric Fryer 2014 · MLB	28	43→53	43→45	55→50	49	213/287/328	115	268	10	12	24%	8%	75	-0.5	229/292/317	88	299	6	10	24%	8%	74	-0.6	241/302/304	63	317	3	6	23%	8%	72	-0.3
✕Vinny Capra 2024 · MLB	28	51→48	41→45	49→50	51	245/315/346	102	302	8	11	21%	9%	89	+0.5	222/286/315	93	283	8	12	23%	7%	72	-0.7	213/280/303	90	273	8	12	24%	7%	64	-0.8
✕Jeff Salazar 2009 · MLB	28	49→51	46→50	54→55	53	240/315/380	141	284	11	13	19%	9%	97	+1.1	216/277/334	118	258	13	22	21%	8%	73	-0.6	200/262/305	105	238	13	28	22%	7%	58	-1.2
✕Levi Jordan 2024 · AAA	28	46→54	43→45	53→50	46	224/290/336	112	284	10	15	24%	7%	78	-0.3	228/287/334	106	281	9	16	22%	6%	76	-0.4	226/284/329	103	275	9	16	20%	5%	72	-0.5
✕Pablo Ozuna 2003 · MLB	28	50	45→40	51→55	49	245/297/374	129	262	11	12	12%	6%	88	+0.5	240/299/347	107	270	9	20	14%	6%	84	+0.1	288/324/371	83	316	3	24	10%	3%	98	+0.3
✕Joey Rickard 2019 · MLB	28	48→58	45	50→55	46	237/295/361	124	286	12	11	21%	7%	86	+0.3	241/310/387	146	298	14	9	23%	8%	97	+1.1	243/316/395	152	303	14	6	23%	8%	100	+1.0
✕Jimmy Herron 2023 · AAA	27	44→48	47→45	53→55	49	223/298/360	138	268	15	16	23%	8%	87	+0.4	228/297/350	122	280	13	24	22%	8%	84	+0.1	222/290/331	110	273	12	28	22%	7%	75	-0.3
✕Kevin Reese 2006 · AAA	28	50→51	46→45	53→50	48	245/305/389	144	279	12	13	17%	7%	95	+1.0	238/299/356	118	277	11	11	18%	6%	86	+0.3	233/295/332	99	271	10	9	18%	6%	78	-0.2
✕Tommy Field 2015 · MLB	28	48→50	45	50→45	46	236/297/362	126	293	11	8	23%	7%	86	+0.3	205/270/329	124	254	13	7	24%	7%	70	-0.9	184/248/297	113	226	12	5	24%	6%	52	-1.6
✕Ryan Roberts 2009 · MLB	28	48→52	45→50	50→55	50	236/303/363	127	290	12	10	22%	8%	88	+0.5	238/312/373	135	284	13	16	20%	9%	95	+0.9	234/314/376	142	272	15	19	19%	10%	96	+0.9
✕Nate Spears 2013 · AAA	28	43→53	45	52→50	49	213/285/336	122	264	12	10	24%	8%	76	-0.4	216/278/324	108	289	9	11	27%	7%	71	-0.8	212/274/305	93	285	7	12	27%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Logan Schafer 2015 · MLB	28	45→55	42→45	53→50	48	216/276/337	121	260	8	12	20%	7%	73	-0.6	216/270/305	89	262	6	8	19%	6%	63	-1.4	216/268/290	74	261	4	6	18%	6%	56	-1.2
✕Jamie Hoffmann 2013 · AAA	28	44→53	45	50→55	45	221/276/345	124	268	14	13	23%	6%	75	-0.5	217/268/339	122	262	12	12	22%	6%	70	-0.8	205/247/312	108	244	9	10	20%	4%	53	-1.4
✕Ed Lucas 2010 · AAA	28	49→55	42→45	53→50	48	240/302/349	109	295	10	17	22%	8%	85	+0.2	225/284/342	117	284	12	9	24%	7%	77	-0.3	250/299/321	71	322	5	3	23%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Óscar Mercado 2023 · MLB	28	44→54	47→50	53→60	48	220/285/358	139	253	14	18	20%	7%	82	-0.0	218/281/357	139	256	15	28	21%	7%	80	-0.2	206/274/332	126	238	14	36	20%	7%	70	-0.6
✕John Gall 2006 · MLB	28	46→52	48→45	49→50	50	232/286/371	139	247	16	11	14%	7%	84	+0.2	241/292/366	125	267	13	10	15%	6%	86	+0.3	247/296/370	123	275	12	9	15%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Alex Call 2023 · MLB	28	46→47	49→50	49→50	54	234/323/386	152	268	17	14	19%	10%	103	+1.5	225/321/357	132	265	13	15	19%	11%	95	+1.0	235/338/356	121	285	11	12	20%	12%	102	+0.8
✕Carlos Sosa 2009 · AAA	28	49	41→45	47→50	49	238/299/331	93	275	8	12	17%	7%	80	-0.2	242/304/340	98	269	7	11	12%	7%	84	+0.1	245/315/348	104	262	6	11	9%	8%	88	+0.2
✕Cole Gillespie 2012 · MLB	28	48→57	45→50	56→50	50	234/310/365	131	293	11	17	23%	9%	92	+0.7	236/304/364	128	290	12	13	22%	8%	90	+0.6	249/309/358	109	297	9	13	18%	8%	90	+0.3

Nick Loftin

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps