Angel Obando

P New Hampshire Fisher Cats

Age 28 RHP 5'11" / 178 lbs AA

Overview

AAPROSPECT

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2018	19	ROKNYY	13	8	48	3.40	2.89	22.3%	10.9%	—	K 15.2% · BB 13.6% · FIP 3.94
2019	20	ROKNYY	1	0	1	27.00	4.10	16.7%	16.7%	—	K 16.7% · BB 16.7% · FIP 3.80
2026	27	MIX2 levels	24	0	52	5.50	5.03	27.9%	12.4%	—	K 21.7% · BB 14.0% · FIP 6.40
2027PROJ	28	MLBTOR	34	0	36	5.16	5.16	22.4%	13.2%	-0.2
2028PROJ31% MLB	29	MLBTOR	10	0	11	5.15	5.21	22.3%	13.0%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 -0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsSpencer Bivens (age 28) · Cody Tucker (age 25) · Jim Miller (age 30)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA5.16

FIP5.16

K%22.4%

BB%13.2%

K-BB%9.2%

Proj IP36

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 36 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees	13	8	48	193	43	21	1	62%	3.7	15.2%	13.6%	1.5%	0.7%	3.40	3.94	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees	13	8	48	193	43	21	1	62%	3.7	22.3%	10.9%	11.4%	0.5%	3.40	2.89	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	DSL Yankees	1	0	1	6	1	1	0	0%	1.0	16.7%	16.7%	0.0%	0.0%	27.00	3.80	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	DSL Yankees	1	0	1	6	1	1	0	0%	1.0	16.7%	16.7%	0.0%	0.0%	27.00	4.10	—
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	0	52	226	63	28	11	0%	2.2	21.7%	14.0%	7.7%	6.1%	5.50	6.40	—
2026	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	0	52	226	63	28	11	0%	2.2	21.7%	14.0%	7.7%	6.1%	5.50	6.40	—
2026	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	0	52	226	63	28	11	0%	2.2	27.9%	12.4%	15.5%	4.9%	5.50	5.03	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	28	MLB	TOR	34	0	36	152	34	20	5	0%	1.1	22.4%	13.2%	9.2%	3.5%	5.16	5.16	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	TOR	33	0	35	147	33	19	5	0%	1.1	22.3%	13.0%	9.3%	3.6%	5.15	5.21	-0.3
2028	29	MLB CTX	TOR	10	0	11	46	10	6	2	0%	1.1	22.3%	13.0%	9.3%	3.6%	5.15	5.21	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	11	46	10	6	2	0%	1.1	22.3%	13.0%	9.3%	3.6%	5.15	4.83	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	111	37	0%	1.1	22.3%	13.0%	9.3%	3.6%	5.15	4.83	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		38	8	101	425	79	59	15	21%	2.7	18.6%	13.9%	4.8%	3.6%	4.72	5.24	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		75	16	200	842	157	117	30	21%	2.7	18.6%	13.9%	4.8%	3.6%	4.72	5.24	-1.5

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Angel Obando (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.16	22.4%	13.2%	3.5%	—	5.21	22.3%	9.3%	35	+0.05	—	—	—
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.85	18.1%	10.3%	272	-1.01	3.52	391	81
Cody Tucker R 2024 · 4.97 FIP	25	SU	4.97	22.0%	12.0%	4.0%	.272	5.36	15.8%	-1.9%	40	+0.39	4.97	105	78
Jim Miller R 2012 · 4.56 FIP	30	SU	4.56	20.9%	11.8%	3.1%	.243	3.95	18.8%	14.7%	74	-0.61	3.95	140	78
Brandon Cunniff R 2017 · 4.79 FIP	28	SU	4.79	20.1%	11.6%	3.5%	.275	6.80	13.9%	-1.9%	30	+2.01	3.89	180	78
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	76
Luis Santos R 2019 · 4.31 FIP	28	SU	4.31	22.9%	10.0%	3.4%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.53	472	76
Thad Weber R 2013 · 5.18 FIP	28	SU	5.18	16.4%	13.1%	3.3%	.244	4.52	12.2%	6.0%	308	-0.66	4.40	378	75
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	75
Mike Adams R 2022 · 5.36 FIP	27	SU	5.36	17.1%	11.2%	4.2%	.326	—	—	—	—	—	3.65	109	74
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	74
Peyton Gray R 2021 · 4.27 FIP	26	SU	4.27	29.2%	14.1%	3.4%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	160	74
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	74
Cole McDonald R 2024 · 5.01 FIP	27	SU	5.01	20.9%	12.7%	3.8%	.281	—	—	—	—	—	2.81	153	73
Fernery Ozuna R 2023 · 5.65 FIP	27	SU	5.65	19.0%	11.6%	4.9%	.275	—	—	—	—	—	3.84	157	73
Travis Hissong R 2017 · 4.17 FIP	26	SU	4.17	20.3%	13.5%	2.0%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	3.01	122	73
Conor Steinbaugh R 2024 · 4.74 FIP	25	SU	4.74	16.0%	9.9%	3.2%	.281	6.29	15.0%	2.1%	44	+1.55	4.74	111	73
Carlos Torres R 2010 · 4.50 FIP	27	SW	4.50	18.3%	11.3%	2.8%	.438	3.89	20.1%	13.2%	139	-0.61	2.89	604	73
Nelson Gonzalez R 2018 · 5.03 FIP	28	SW	5.03	19.2%	8.2%	4.6%	.311	6.22	16.9%	4.6%	74	+1.19	3.42	258	73
Wil Browning R 2017 · 4.44 FIP	28	SU	4.44	17.9%	13.1%	2.2%	.359	—	—	—	—	—	2.14	162	72
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	72

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	36	22.4%	13.1%	1.36	5.16
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Armando Almanza ('05)	1.1	54	24.4%	14.3%	1.43	4.82
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*