Jefferson EncarnacionCF ACL Cubs
Age 24 L/L 6'1" / 185 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 76 proj PA
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .258 / .294
PA76
HR1
K%34
BB%7
ISO103
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -4.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-4BATRUN: +0.3 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.3 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +2.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+2REPTotal WAR: -0.20-0.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.2-0.2-0.12628
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201816 ROKDSL Phillies Red 261240 43220 15824 510 179239204444 25269 316 206 16
201816 ROKDSL Phillies Red 261229 56330 26574 510 245332284616 39322 2210 287 78
201917 ROKDSL Phillies Red 250232 41541 15661 85 177230246476 69240 266 210 19
201917 ROKDSL Phillies Red 250220 55761 27461 85 250335350685 100309 1811 310 95
202321 A2 teams 256234 43722 191031 41 184248256504 73313 407 233 36
202321 A2 teams 256223 57943 30731 41 256346372719 117362 2912 324 106
202422 ROK2 teams 131114 12302 12660 30 105190184375 79196 509 177 -7
202422 ROK2 teams 131108 17412 18450 30 157278269546 111227 3414 248 48
▸ 2026 Season
202624 MLBCHC 7669 12201 6261 10 174250246496 72284 348 253 52 -4 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202725 MLBCHC 30% 131119 24413 10431 21 202269328597 126285 338 264 60 -6 +0 +0 +0 +4 -0.2
202826 MLBCHC 44% 235213 43815 18752 41 202270319590 117286 328 271 66 -9 +0 +0 +1 +7 -0.1
202725 MLBCHC 30% 3936 7101 3130 10 194256306562 111287 338 259 57 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.0
202826 MLBCHC 44% 10494 20412 8331 20 213282340622 128288 328 266 62 -4 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 143130 27513 11461 30 208275331605 123293 328 264 60 -6 +1 +0 +1 +4 -0.1
/ 162G 650591 12423514 502095 140 210278337614 127295 328 264 60 -29 +3 +0 +2 +18 -0.6
Career 13401221 218311014 9546110 2718 179244255498 76269 347 229 33 -101 -2 +0 +5 +38 -6.1
/ 162G 650592 1061557 462245 139 179244257501 78270 347 229 33 -49 -1 +0 +2 +18 -3.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201816 ROKDSL Phillies Red 261229 56330 26574 510 245332284616 39322 2210 287 78 -6 -3 +7 -0.2
201917 ROKDSL Phillies Red 250220 55761 27461 85 250335350685 100309 1811 310 95 -1 -0 +7 0.5
202321 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans 144125 28422 18451 10 224326336662 112333 3112 305 92 -1 +0 +4 0.3
202321 ROKACL Cubs 11298 29521 12280 31 296373418791 122394 2511 349 125 +3 +0 +3 0.7
202422 AMyrtle Beach Pelicans 4332 8101 10140 00 250429375804 125389 3323 367 139 +2 +0 +1 0.3
202422 ROKACL Cubs 8876 9311 8310 30 118202224426 105167 359 190 4 -10 +1 +2 -0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#3Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#4Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
221943202266317+1+5-0.3-0.2
/1626641310+2.4+15.2-0.9pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Jefferson Encarnacion (OGILVIE) 24 192/258/294 102284 11 34% 7% 52 -0.2
Jackson Cluff
2021 · A
24 39→29 42→45 51→60 39 193/259/298 104285 912 34% 6% 53 -1.5 180/251/274 94284 813 37% 7% 44 -2.1 181/273/314133265152835%10%61-0.6
Mark Contreras
2019 · A
24 40→37 42→50 47→55 38 194/256/300 106290 911 35% 6% 52 -1.6 186/249/308 122277 1213 36% 6% 52 -1.6 197/258/338141284182436%6%60-0.8
Seth Gray
2022 · A
24 36 43→45 49→50 38 178/256/281 102283 116 38% 7% 48 -1.9 195/273/305 110331 1211 42% 8% 61 -1.0 188/271/297108330131443%8%55-1.0
Devin Foyle
2021 · A
24 42→36 40→45 48→45 45 201/279/294 93296 812 32% 9% 60 -1.0 209/277/348 139270 168 28% 8% 73 -0.1 196/269/34214524418627%8%65-0.4
Jonny Butler
2023 · A
24 43→31 41→45 53→55 43 207/268/306 98300 810 32% 8% 57 -1.2 185/257/298 113267 1017 32% 8% 53 -1.5 165/245/279113234101832%8%39-1.3
Jacob Wetzel
2023 · A
23 39→35 44→45 49→50 45 196/278/309 113276 1310 32% 9% 64 -0.8 190/263/303 113285 1013 34% 8% 56 -1.3 175/248/29011527091636%8%43-1.1
Michael Harrington
2010 · A
24 38→34 41→45 45→40 39 189/237/289 101266 83 32% 6% 40 -2.4 191/242/275 84287 65 33% 6% 39 -2.5 149/205/195452343035%6%0-1.6
Gage Canning
2021 · A
24 40→36 39→40 50 34 189/240/274 84315 611 40% 5% 37 -2.6 202/253/293 91334 86 39% 5% 48 -1.9 219/272/314953418336%5%58-0.6
Kes Carter
2014 · A
24 41→42 42→45 49→50 39 197/257/308 111293 810 34% 6% 54 -1.4 203/268/301 98285 610 29% 7% 56 -1.3 198/269/2899127761229%8%51-1.3
Ross Adolph
2021 · A
24 40→32 40 45→50 40 183/270/277 93321 89 41% 8% 53 -1.5 199/291/318 119355 1210 43% 8% 72 -0.2 183/288/300118335121144%9%64-0.3
Estee Harris
2008 · A
23 37→31 40→50 49→50 36 182/234/272 91293 813 39% 6% 35 -2.8 218/265/340 122373 1212 42% 5% 66 -0.6 212/254/349137373141445%4%59-0.4
Nick Quintana
2022 · A
24 33→39 43→45 47→45 45 172/254/283 111243 116 33% 9% 47 -1.9 188/273/293 105265 115 31% 9% 58 -1.2 172/265/2689524010330%10%45-1.0
Julian Escobedo
2022 · A
24 41→34 41→40 47→50 37 196/254/296 100301 813 36% 6% 50 -1.8 192/258/299 107270 914 31% 6% 53 -1.5 175/246/282108237101629%6%42-1.1
Neil Medchill
2011 · A
24 36→29 44→50 43→45 34 180/237/293 113299 137 43% 6% 42 -2.3 198/257/337 139322 177 41% 7% 62 -0.9 194/252/33413931018541%7%56-0.6
Brenden Webb
2014 · A
24 38→42 43→45 49→50 41 179/263/290 110305 1010 41% 9% 53 -1.5 184/240/292 108298 1111 39% 6% 43 -2.2 176/225/284108274121139%6%32-2.0
Jameson Fisher
2018 · A
24 41→36 41→45 44→45 42 201/268/303 102282 87 30% 7% 58 -1.2 185/257/277 92287 86 35% 8% 46 -2.0 185/252/28510027810435%7%45-1.5
River Town
2023 · A
24 39→36 44→40 55→50 44 196/275/315 119256 1115 27% 7% 64 -0.8 212/300/304 92266 814 22% 9% 72 -0.2 211/311/2837126161519%10%69-0.2
Jake Ring
2019 · A
24 41→45 44→45 49→50 41 201/262/317 115289 1110 33% 7% 59 -1.1 192/253/298 106300 107 37% 7% 50 -1.8 143/202/24610323412243%6%12-1.4
Jack Stronach
2022 · A
24 39 44→45 48→45 39 193/261/306 113298 128 38% 7% 56 -1.3 196/272/297 101295 86 34% 8% 58 -1.2 159/254/238802395033%9%34-1.0
Kevin Rivers
2013 · A
24 41 45 45 43 201/274/325 124288 126 33% 8% 66 -0.6 206/267/326 120294 106 31% 7% 63 -0.9 200/259/3221222829431%7%56-1.0