Omar Cruz — OGILVIE

Omar Cruz P San Antonio Missions

Age 27 LHP 6'0" / 210 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 109117vR 125

ERA4.86

FIP4.86

K%20.7%

BB%13.5%

K-BB%7.2%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP

Grades · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL3535

CMD4040

K†5050

FB+0.8 (62%)

CU (11%)

SL (1%)

CH-1.1 (26%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	19	ROK MLE	AZL Padres 1	5	5	20	89	30	6	0	100%	4.0	22.9%	8.4%	14.5%	0.0%	1.80	2.23	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	AZL Padres 1	5	5	20	89	30	6	0	100%	4.0	33.7%	6.7%	27.0%	0.0%	1.80	1.00	—
2019	20	A MLE	Fort Wayne TinCaps	10	10	49	199	62	13	1	100%	4.9	23.1%	7.7%	15.3%	0.6%	2.76	2.44	—
2019	20	A RAW	Fort Wayne TinCaps	10	10	49	199	62	13	1	100%	4.9	31.2%	6.5%	24.6%	0.5%	2.76	1.63	—
2021	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	21	21	99	419	98	36	10	100%	4.7	18.6%	9.6%	9.0%	2.8%	3.44	4.27	—
2021	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	21	21	99	419	98	36	10	100%	4.7	23.4%	8.6%	14.8%	2.4%	3.44	3.52	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	23	5	63	284	69	28	9	22%	2.7	19.7%	10.8%	8.8%	3.5%	5.03	4.74	—
2022	23	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	23	5	63	284	69	28	9	22%	2.7	24.3%	9.9%	14.4%	3.2%	5.03	4.11	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	27	1	48	216	44	30	2	4%	1.8	16.5%	15.3%	1.2%	1.0%	3.94	4.19	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	27	1	48	216	44	30	2	4%	1.8	16.5%	15.3%	1.2%	1.0%	3.94	4.19	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Altoona Curve	27	1	48	216	44	30	2	4%	1.8	20.4%	13.9%	6.5%	0.9%	3.94	3.68	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	7	86	365	118	36	4	21%	2.5	26.4%	9.6%	16.9%	1.3%	3.96	2.80	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	7	86	365	118	36	4	21%	2.5	26.4%	9.6%	16.9%	1.3%	3.96	2.80	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	7	86	365	118	36	4	21%	2.5	32.3%	9.9%	22.5%	1.1%	3.96	2.22	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	11	87	397	93	58	9	33%	2.6	19.3%	13.1%	6.2%	2.7%	4.76	4.59	-0.0
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	11	87	397	93	58	9	33%	2.6	19.3%	13.1%	6.2%	2.7%	4.76	4.59	-0.0
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	11	87	397	93	58	9	33%	2.6	23.4%	14.6%	8.8%	2.3%	4.76	4.31	+0.2
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			2	0	4	18	5	3	0	0%	1.8	27.8%	16.7%	11.1%	0.0%	4.91	2.83	+0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	21	2	33	145	51	15	6	10%	1.6	30.9%	8.4%	22.5%	4.1%	5.23	3.79	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	El Paso Chihuahuas	21	2	33	145	51	15	6	10%	1.6	30.9%	8.4%	22.5%	4.1%	5.23	3.79	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	SD	15	2	29	118	45	9	4	13%	1.9	38.1%	7.6%	30.5%	3.4%	3.45	2.71	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	SD	6	0	4	27	6	6	2	0%	0.7	22.2%	22.2%	0.0%	7.4%	18.00	8.10	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	SD	6	0	6	27	6	4	1	0%	1.1	20.7%	13.5%	7.2%	2.6%	4.86	4.86	-0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	SD	—	—	39	172	57	19	7	—	—	32.9%	10.8%	22.1%	3.9%	5.17	3.96	+0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	SD	65	0	68	287	60	38	8	0%	1.0	20.9%	13.2%	7.6%	2.7%	4.86	4.89	-0.3
2028	29	MLB MLE	SD	62	0	65	274	57	36	8	0%	1.0	20.8%	13.2%	7.6%	2.9%	4.91	4.98	-0.3
2027	28	MLB CTX	SD	25	0	26	110	23	15	3	0%	1.0	20.9%	13.2%	7.6%	2.7%	4.86	4.89	-0.1
2028	29	MLB CTX	SD	34	0	36	152	32	20	4	0%	1.1	20.8%	13.2%	7.6%	2.9%	4.91	4.98	-0.2
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		61	0	65	279	59	37	7	0%	1.1	21.3%	13.4%	7.9%	2.6%	4.89	4.45	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		186	0	200	852	181	113	21	0%	1.1	21.3%	13.4%	7.9%	2.6%	4.89	4.45	+0.2
Career	—	MLE		174	62	485	2114	454	226	46	36%	2.8	21.5%	10.7%	10.8%	2.2%	4.01	3.84	-0.5
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		72	26	200	872	187	93	19	36%	2.8	21.5%	10.7%	10.8%	2.2%	4.01	3.84	-0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Omar Cruz (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.86	20.7%	13.5%	2.6%	—	4.93	20.8%	7.6%	133	+0.07	—	—	—
Braeden Fausnaught L 2023 · 4.77 FIP	24	SW	4.77	16.9%	16.4%	1.8%	.287	4.60	17.9%	9.7%	179	-0.17	4.43	242	70
Brian Holmes L 2017 · 5.91 FIP	26	SW	5.91	15.5%	11.7%	4.8%	.354	—	—	—	—	—	3.60	205	67
Anderson Polanco L 2019 · 5.09 FIP	26	SU	5.09	18.9%	16.3%	2.8%	.317	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	316	67
Graeme Stinson L 2023 · 4.85 FIP	25	SU	4.85	19.5%	15.6%	2.6%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.56	146	66
Brendan Nail L 2023 · 4.39 FIP	27	SU	4.39	18.9%	10.5%	2.8%	.262	—	—	—	—	—	3.45	165	66
Juan Grullon L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	26	SU	4.64	19.8%	10.9%	3.3%	.305	—	—	—	—	—	4.64	134	66
Greg Nappo L 2016 · 5.09 FIP	27	SU	5.09	17.2%	10.3%	3.9%	.285	6.26	12.3%	-0.3%	11	+1.17	3.37	144	66
Eric Jokisch L 2016 · 4.64 FIP	27	SW	4.64	12.4%	9.6%	2.5%	.330	3.93	15.2%	7.6%	283	-0.71	3.78	412	65
Brian Moran L 2015 · 4.50 FIP	26	SU	4.50	17.7%	14.1%	2.0%	.318	2.74	25.0%	17.4%	80	-1.76	1.80	421	65
Mitchell Tyranski L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	25	SU	5.14	20.4%	13.6%	3.7%	.269	4.10	20.7%	6.1%	103	-1.04	3.46	145	65
Ben Onyshko L 2023 · 4.39 FIP	26	SU	4.39	16.1%	10.2%	2.5%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	219	65
David Rollins L 2017 · 5.58 FIP	27	SU	5.58	18.0%	12.1%	4.5%	.260	5.68	15.9%	12.5%	20	+0.10	3.59	132	65
Brad Kuntz L 2018 · 4.10 FIP	26	SU	4.10	20.9%	11.7%	2.4%	.352	—	—	—	—	—	2.35	197	64
Sean Keselica L 2019 · 4.47 FIP	26	SU	4.47	18.0%	14.5%	1.9%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	2.79	235	64
Jackson Lancaster L 2023 · 5.14 FIP	24	SU	5.14	18.9%	17.6%	2.6%	.315	5.15	19.7%	6.8%	122	+0.01	4.15	142	64
Will Lamb L 2017 · 5.78 FIP	26	SU	5.78	20.0%	14.0%	4.7%	.322	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	178	63
Houston Harding L 2023 · 5.74 FIP	25	SU	5.74	17.9%	15.0%	4.1%	.307	4.83	14.4%	3.1%	142	-0.91	3.41	239	63
Ross Detwiler L 2015 · 5.50 FIP	29	SW	5.50	14.2%	12.2%	3.8%	.356	4.80	14.1%	5.9%	242	-0.70	3.49	512	63
Cody Beckman L 2021 · 5.27 FIP	26	SU	5.27	19.3%	14.9%	3.5%	.331	—	—	—	—	—	3.76	189	63
Matt Whitehouse L 2018 · 4.55 FIP	27	SW	4.55	17.0%	12.8%	2.3%	.308	4.07	20.1%	9.2%	81	-0.48	3.37	353	63

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	1.0	68	20.8%	13.3%	1.05	4.88
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64