Omar Cruz P San Antonio Missions
Age 27 LHP 6'0" / 210 lbs AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION33 act + 70 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114123vR 132
ERA5.03
FIP5.03
K%21.7%
BB%15.4%
K-BB%6.2%
ROS IP70
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 103 IP
K: +2.4 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)+2KBB: -5.2 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-5BBCONTACT: -2.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-2CONTACTSTAM: +14.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+14STAMTotal WAR: +0.93 (103 IP)+0.9WAR
0.10.0-0.1-0.3262829
Grades · Arsenal · Contract
Scouting Grades
STUF4545
CTRL3535
CMD4040
K†5050
FB+0.8 (62%)
CU (11%)
SL (1%)
CH-1.1 (26%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
201819ROKAZL Padres 15520893060100%4.022.9%8.4%14.5%0.0%1.802.23
201819ROKAZL Padres 15520893060100%4.033.7%6.7%27.0%0.0%1.801.00
201920AFort Wayne TinCaps10104919962131100%4.923.1%7.7%15.3%0.5%2.762.40
201920AFort Wayne TinCaps10104919962131100%4.931.2%6.5%24.6%0.5%2.761.63
202122MIX2 levels212199419983610100%4.718.6%9.6%9.0%2.7%3.444.25
202122MIX2 levels212199419983610100%4.723.4%8.6%14.8%2.4%3.443.52
202223AAAltoona Curve235632846928922%2.719.7%10.8%8.8%3.3%5.034.60
202223AAAltoona Curve235632846928922%2.724.3%9.9%14.4%3.2%5.034.11
202324AAAltoona Curve27148216443024%1.816.5%15.3%1.2%0.9%3.944.14
202324AAAltoona Curve27148216443024%1.820.4%13.9%6.5%0.9%3.943.68
202425MIX2 levels3478636511836421%2.527.1%10.5%16.6%1.3%3.962.89
202425MIX2 levels3478636511836421%2.532.3%9.9%22.5%1.1%3.962.22
202526MIX2 levels3311873979358933%2.620.4%15.2%5.2%2.7%4.764.79+0.3
202526MIX2 levels3311873979358933%2.623.4%14.6%8.8%2.3%4.764.31+0.8
▸ 2026 Season
202627AAAEl Paso Chihuahuas212331455115610%1.630.9%8.4%22.5%4.1%5.233.79+0.3
ROS27MLBSD67070296644680%1.021.7%15.4%6.2%2.6%5.035.03-0.2
ROS27MLBSD10141100%1.021.7%15.4%6.2%2.6%5.035.03-0.0
2026 TOT27MLBSD103441115611426.1%13.8%12.4%3.1%5.104.63+0.9
2026 FULL27MLBSD1611021.7%15.4%6.2%2.6%5.034.65-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202728MLBSD65068287624380%1.021.7%15.0%6.8%2.7%5.015.04-0.3
202829MLBSD62065274594080%1.021.6%14.8%6.9%2.9%5.065.12-0.4
202930MLBSD58061257553880%1.121.4%14.8%6.6%3.1%5.165.26-0.5
202728MLBSD25026110241630%1.021.7%15.0%6.8%2.7%5.015.04-0.1
202829MLBSD34036152332240%1.121.6%14.8%6.9%2.9%5.065.12-0.2
202930MLBSD39041173372650%1.121.4%14.8%6.6%3.1%5.165.26-0.3
▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections)
Career101010845910068130%1.121.8%14.9%6.9%2.8%5.084.70+0.9
/ 200 IP1880200849185126240%1.121.8%14.9%6.9%2.8%5.084.70+1.6
Career1746248521144612384536%2.821.8%11.3%10.5%2.1%4.013.86+8.7
/ 200 IP7226200872190981936%2.821.8%11.3%10.5%2.1%4.013.86+3.6

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Omar Cruz (OGILVIE) 5.03 21.7%15.4%2.6% 5.14 21.6%6.7%194 +0.11
Tommy Vail L 2025 · 5.18 FIP 26 SW 5.18 19.7%16.4%3.0%.258 3.91 151 68
Anderson Polanco L 2025 · 5.41 FIP 26 SU 5.41 18.9%16.3%3.4%.317 4.00 316 67
Graeme Stinson L 2024 · 4.75 FIP 25 SU 4.75 19.5%15.6%2.4%.302 3.54 146 67
Erik Rivera L 2024 · 4.69 FIP 25 SU 4.69 25.3%15.4%3.2%.330 4.69 122 65
Brendan Nail L 2026 · 4.43 FIP 27 SU 4.43 19.5%11.4%2.8%.262 3.67 165 65
Will Lamb L 2025 · 5.47 FIP 26 SU 5.47 20.0%14.0%4.2%.322 3.56 178 65
Brian Moran L 2025 · 4.66 FIP 26 SU 4.66 17.7%14.1%2.3%.318 2.63 25.0%17.4%80 -2.03 1.67 421 64
Shinnosuke Ogasawara L 2026 · 4.83 FIP 27 SW 4.83 16.6%9.0%3.6%.308 3.98 22.0%15.2%59 -0.85 3.98 122 64
Trenton Wallace L 2025 · 5.34 FIP 26 SW 5.34 24.8%16.4%4.1%.306 2.75 286 64
Andy Oliver L 2026 · 4.08 FIP 27 SU 4.08 23.4%16.9%1.5%.283 5.02 19.2%8.6%108 +0.94 4.08 165 64
Austin Krob L 2024 · 4.89 FIP 25 SW 4.89 16.4%16.3%2.0%.303 3.73 280 64
Russell Smith L 2024 · 3.89 FIP 25 SU 3.89 19.0%13.9%1.2%.266 3.89 175 64
Trey Jeans L 2025 · 5.12 FIP 26 SU 5.12 22.3%16.5%3.3%.291 2.74 111 64
Brian Holmes L 2025 · 6.01 FIP 26 SW 6.01 15.5%11.7%5.0%.354 3.42 205 64
Sean Keselica L 2025 · 4.53 FIP 26 SU 4.53 18.0%14.5%2.0%.314 2.77 235 64
Juan Grullon L 2025 · 4.86 FIP 26 SU 4.86 19.8%10.9%3.7%.305 4.86 134 63
Hunter Barco L 2024 · 4.31 FIP 25 SW 4.31 20.3%11.7%2.6%.322 3.51 212 63
Cody Beckman L 2025 · 5.42 FIP 26 SU 5.42 19.3%14.9%3.8%.331 3.76 189 63
Stu Flesland III L 2024 · 4.31 FIP 25 SW 4.31 18.7%10.5%2.7%.288 3.44 211 62
Brad Kuntz L 2025 · 4.02 FIP 26 SU 4.02 20.9%11.7%2.2%.352 2.35 197 62

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

PlayerYrsIP/yrK%BB%HR/9ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION46621.6%15.0%1.095.06
Amir Garrett ('23)65125.8%13.4%1.505.10
Daniel Bard ('23)45025.1%13.5%0.813.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)74023.1%14.1%1.255.39
Fernando Rodney ('19)55924.6%11.8%0.884.21
Tyler Chatwood ('21)510419.2%13.3%0.944.48
Miguel Castro ('23)75920.8%12.0%1.043.99