Miguel Rodriguez

Miguel Rodriguez P Wichita Wind Surge

Age 27 RHP 6'0" / 180 lbs AA

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.57

FIP4.57

K%19.8%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%9.6%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	19	ROK MLE	DSL Twins	13	5	31	135	35	12	0	38%	2.4	17.6%	11.1%	6.5%	0.0%	4.99	3.02	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	DSL Twins	13	5	31	135	35	12	0	38%	2.4	25.9%	8.9%	17.0%	0.0%	4.99	1.99	—
2019	20	ROK MLE	GCL Twins	9	5	33	136	39	11	1	56%	3.6	19.5%	10.1%	9.4%	1.0%	2.48	3.30	—
2019	20	ROK RAW	GCL Twins	9	5	33	136	39	11	1	56%	3.6	28.7%	8.1%	20.6%	0.7%	2.48	2.12	—
2021	22	A MLE	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	15	10	52	236	58	26	4	67%	3.5	18.2%	13.0%	5.2%	2.4%	4.50	4.54	—
2021	22	A RAW	Fort Myers Mighty Mussels	15	10	52	236	58	26	4	67%	3.5	24.6%	11.0%	13.6%	1.7%	4.50	3.37	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Cedar Rapids Kernels	39	1	56	240	67	24	13	3%	1.4	21.5%	11.5%	10.0%	7.1%	3.36	6.66	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Cedar Rapids Kernels	39	1	56	240	67	24	13	3%	1.4	27.9%	10.0%	17.9%	5.4%	3.36	5.00	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	55	230	66	14	2	0%	1.2	22.5%	6.9%	15.6%	1.0%	3.13	2.60	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	46	0	55	230	66	14	2	0%	1.2	22.5%	6.9%	15.6%	1.0%	3.13	2.60	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	46	0	55	230	66	14	2	0%	1.2	28.7%	6.1%	22.6%	0.9%	3.13	1.93	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	37	0	45	202	42	22	1	0%	1.2	16.8%	12.0%	4.9%	0.7%	4.96	3.58	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Wichita Wind Surge	37	0	45	202	42	22	1	0%	1.2	16.8%	12.0%	4.9%	0.7%	4.96	3.58	—
2024	25	AA RAW	Wichita Wind Surge	37	0	45	202	42	22	1	0%	1.2	20.8%	10.9%	9.9%	0.5%	4.96	2.99	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	MIN	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	19.8%	10.2%	9.6%	2.7%	4.57	4.57	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	MIN	26	0	28	116	23	12	3	0%	1.1	20.1%	10.3%	9.8%	2.8%	4.59	4.63	-0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	MIN	10	0	10	42	8	4	1	0%	1.0	20.1%	10.3%	9.8%	2.8%	4.59	4.63	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		10	0	10	44	9	4	1	0%	1.0	20.1%	10.3%	9.8%	2.8%	4.59	4.25	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	174	77	19	0%	1.1	20.1%	10.3%	9.8%	2.8%	4.59	4.25	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		159	21	272	1179	231	127	28	13%	1.7	19.6%	10.8%	8.8%	2.4%	3.88	4.11	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		117	15	200	868	170	94	21	13%	1.7	19.6%	10.8%	8.8%	2.4%	3.88	4.11	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Miguel Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.57	19.8%	10.2%	2.7%	—	4.63	20.1%	9.8%	28	+0.06	—	—	—
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	86
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	83
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	83
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	82
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	82
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	82
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	81
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	81
Brett McKinney R 2017 · 4.66 FIP	26	SU	4.66	18.5%	9.9%	3.4%	.287	—	—	—	—	—	3.43	183	81
Dustin Molleken R 2015 · 3.74 FIP	30	SU	3.74	20.4%	11.7%	1.6%	.287	3.90	20.6%	8.4%	77	+0.16	3.38	129	81
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	81
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	80
Tanner Scheppers R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	28	SU	4.37	17.7%	11.2%	2.5%	.263	4.86	15.7%	9.0%	48	+0.49	4.37	101	80
Wirfin Obispo R 2015 · 4.80 FIP	30	SU	4.80	18.6%	12.2%	3.1%	.292	1.31	28.6%	24.5%	126	-3.49	1.30	218	80
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	80
Jonathan Hughes R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	17.1%	9.2%	2.7%	.283	3.54	17.1%	4.9%	50	-0.77	3.44	219	80
Guido Knudson R 2016 · 4.69 FIP	26	SU	4.69	17.5%	10.8%	3.1%	.235	—	—	—	—	—	3.50	106	80
Adrian Ramirez R 2015 · 3.59 FIP	27	SU	3.59	17.4%	10.0%	1.3%	.317	3.04	17.5%	13.1%	49	-0.55	3.04	137	80
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	79
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	28	19.9%	10.3%	1.06	4.58
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Cory Gearrin ('19)	1.1	57	21.5%	9.8%	0.79	3.42
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Jacob Barnes ('24)	1.5	42	22.1%	9.6%	1.21	4.58