Miguel Rodriguez
P
Wichita Wind Surge
Age 27
RHP
6'0" / 180 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 28 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%22.0%
BB%9.7%
K-BB%12.3%
ROS IP28
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 28 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Twins | 13 | 5 | 31 | 135 | 35 | 12 | 0 | 38% | 2.4 | 17.6% | 11.1% | 6.5% | 0.0% | 4.99 | 3.02 | — |
| 2018 | 19 | ROK | DSL Twins | 13 | 5 | 31 | 135 | 35 | 12 | 0 | 38% | 2.4 | 25.9% | 8.9% | 17.0% | 0.0% | 4.99 | 1.99 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Twins | 9 | 5 | 33 | 136 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 56% | 3.6 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 1.0% | 2.48 | 3.30 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | ROK | GCL Twins | 9 | 5 | 33 | 136 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 56% | 3.6 | 28.7% | 8.1% | 20.6% | 0.7% | 2.48 | 2.12 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 15 | 10 | 52 | 236 | 58 | 26 | 4 | 67% | 3.5 | 18.2% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 4.50 | 4.69 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | 15 | 10 | 52 | 236 | 58 | 26 | 4 | 67% | 3.5 | 24.6% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 1.7% | 4.50 | 3.37 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 39 | 1 | 56 | 240 | 67 | 24 | 13 | 3% | 1.4 | 21.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 3.36 | 6.89 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | 39 | 1 | 56 | 240 | 67 | 24 | 13 | 3% | 1.4 | 27.9% | 10.0% | 17.9% | 5.4% | 3.36 | 5.00 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 55 | 230 | 66 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 22.5% | 6.9% | 15.6% | 0.9% | 3.13 | 2.55 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 46 | 0 | 55 | 230 | 66 | 14 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.7% | 6.1% | 22.6% | 0.9% | 3.13 | 1.93 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 37 | 0 | 45 | 202 | 42 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 16.8% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 4.96 | 3.67 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 37 | 0 | 45 | 202 | 42 | 22 | 1 | 0% | 1.2 | 20.8% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 0.5% | 4.96 | 2.99 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | MIN | 27 | 0 | 28 | 120 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 2.7% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 26 | 0 | 28 | 116 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | MIN | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 4.03 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 194 | 77 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.0% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 4.03 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 159 | 21 | 272 | 1179 | 231 | 127 | 30 | 13% | 1.7 | 19.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 3.88 | 4.19 | +3.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 117 | 15 | 200 | 868 | 170 | 94 | 22 | 13% | 1.7 | 19.6% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 3.88 | 4.19 | +2.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Miguel Rodriguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 22.0% | 9.7% | 2.7% | — | 4.41 | 22.0% | 12.2% | 28 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 82 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 82 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 81 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 81 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.33 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.33 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.4% | .309 | 5.34 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +1.01 | 3.43 | 160 | 81 |
| Taylor Williams R 2026 · 3.64 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.64 | 24.2% | 8.9% | 2.6% | .309 | 4.33 | 22.5% | 12.7% | 108 | +0.69 | 2.59 | 309 | 81 |
| Cole Sulser R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 22.6% | 10.2% | 1.7% | .321 | 2.78 | 28.2% | 18.4% | 140 | -0.65 | 2.29 | 538 | 80 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 80 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.04 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.1% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.28 | 113 | 80 |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 80 |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 80 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 80 |
| Grant Sides R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.89 | 22.4% | 11.9% | 2.1% | .247 | 3.24 | 21.7% | 11.9% | 47 | -0.65 | 3.24 | 159 | 79 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 79 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .417 | 2.87 | 19.5% | 13.2% | 71 | -1.12 | 1.94 | 143 | 79 |
| Pedro Garcia R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.30 | 22.9% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .276 | 6.16 | 27.5% | 9.3% | 50 | +2.86 | 2.80 | 155 | 79 |
| Simon Castro R 2026 · 3.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.16 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .320 | 3.55 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.39 | 2.85 | 185 | 79 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 79 |
| Conor Mullee R 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.17 | 17.7% | 7.2% | 1.2% | .290 | 2.68 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 55 | -0.49 | 2.17 | 110 | 79 |
| Evan Gates R 2026 · 3.87 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.87 | 22.5% | 11.8% | 2.1% | .312 | 4.34 | 18.5% | 10.4% | 35 | +0.47 | 3.74 | 277 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 28 | 22.0% | 9.7% | 1.07 | 4.35 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Scott Oberg ('19) | 5 | 51 | 21.5% | 9.3% | 0.91 | 3.85 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |