Damian Mendoza

P Hickory Crawdads

Age 26 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs A+ peak 0.1 · 2027

Overview

A+PROSPECT

MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2022	21	MIX2 levels	34	0	62	2.47	3.33	21.6%	11.4%	—	K 16.2% · BB 13.1% · FIP 4.26
2023	22	ADown East Woo…	29	0	60	4.83	3.80	25.7%	7.8%	—	K 19.1% · BB 9.2% · FIP 4.88
2024	23	MIX3 levels	28	1	59	4.42	3.63	23.2%	7.7%	—	K 18.6% · BB 8.3% · FIP 4.46
2027PROJ	26	MLBTEX	38	0	40	4.42	4.42	21.6%	8.8%	0.1
2028PROJ37% MLB	27	MLBTEX	13	0	14	4.43	4.45	21.8%	8.9%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

CompsColeman Huntley III (age 28) · Derek Gordon (age 25) · R.J. Alaniz (age 26)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117109vR 101

ERA4.42

FIP4.42

K%21.6%

BB%8.8%

K-BB%12.8%

Proj IP40

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 2	11	11	59	234	40	9	0	100%	5.4	11.6%	4.8%	6.8%	0.0%	2.58	2.73	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 2	11	11	59	234	40	9	0	100%	5.4	17.1%	3.8%	13.2%	0.0%	2.58	2.21	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	12	2	36	151	32	9	5	17%	3.0	14.4%	7.5%	7.0%	4.6%	4.95	5.37	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	12	2	36	151	32	9	5	17%	3.0	21.2%	6.0%	15.2%	3.3%	4.95	3.87	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	14	9	41	195	43	16	4	64%	2.9	15.0%	10.3%	4.7%	2.8%	7.30	4.69	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	14	9	41	195	43	16	4	64%	2.9	22.1%	8.2%	13.8%	2.1%	7.30	3.44	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	62	273	59	31	3	0%	1.8	16.2%	13.1%	3.1%	1.6%	2.47	4.26	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	62	273	59	31	3	0%	1.8	21.6%	11.4%	10.3%	1.1%	2.47	3.33	—
2023	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	29	0	60	268	69	21	9	0%	2.1	19.1%	9.2%	9.8%	4.0%	4.83	4.88	—
2023	22	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	29	0	60	268	69	21	9	0%	2.1	25.7%	7.8%	17.9%	3.4%	4.83	3.80	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	1	59	259	60	20	7	4%	2.1	18.6%	8.3%	10.3%	3.4%	4.42	4.46	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	1	59	259	60	20	7	4%	2.1	18.6%	8.3%	10.3%	3.4%	4.42	4.46	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	1	59	259	60	20	7	4%	2.1	23.2%	7.7%	15.4%	2.7%	4.42	3.63	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	26	MLB	TEX	38	0	40	169	36	15	5	0%	1.1	21.6%	8.8%	12.8%	3.0%	4.42	4.42	+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	27	MLB MLE	TEX	37	0	39	165	36	15	5	0%	1.1	21.8%	8.9%	12.8%	3.1%	4.43	4.45	+0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	TEX	13	0	14	59	13	5	2	0%	1.1	21.8%	8.9%	12.8%	3.1%	4.43	4.45	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	14	60	13	5	2	0%	1.0	21.8%	8.9%	12.8%	3.1%	4.43	4.07	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	181	70	28	0%	1.1	21.8%	8.9%	12.8%	3.1%	4.43	4.07	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		128	23	317	1380	222	125	37	18%	2.5	16.1%	9.0%	7.0%	2.6%	4.20	4.34	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		81	15	200	871	140	79	23	18%	2.5	16.1%	9.0%	7.0%	2.6%	4.20	4.34	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Damian Mendoza (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.42	21.6%	8.8%	3.0%	—	4.45	21.8%	12.8%	39	+0.03	—	—	—
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	83
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	83
R.J. Alaniz R 2017 · 3.91 FIP	26	SU	3.91	20.7%	8.9%	2.6%	.318	3.28	23.8%	15.0%	96	-0.63	2.45	362	81
Jarret Whorff R 2024 · 4.04 FIP	25	SU	4.04	18.9%	10.2%	2.3%	.271	4.52	19.6%	12.0%	123	+0.48	3.88	257	81
Emmanuel Chapman R 2024 · 4.08 FIP	25	SW	4.08	19.7%	10.6%	2.4%	.256	4.52	17.8%	1.3%	117	+0.44	3.81	198	81
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	81
Connor Schultz R 2024 · 3.88 FIP	25	SU	3.88	19.7%	5.3%	3.2%	.283	4.02	18.8%	10.4%	156	+0.14	3.53	203	80
Wil Jensen R 2024 · 3.48 FIP	26	SW	3.48	22.7%	8.4%	2.2%	.314	—	—	—	—	—	3.48	368	80
Joe Navilhon R 2019 · 3.23 FIP	26	SU	3.23	20.5%	7.7%	1.6%	.322	4.28	23.4%	16.7%	99	+1.05	2.25	273	80
Spencer Stockton R 2022 · 4.18 FIP	26	SU	4.18	20.2%	10.3%	2.7%	.276	5.45	18.9%	6.4%	63	+1.27	1.93	233	79
Daniel Corcino R 2017 · 3.93 FIP	26	SU	3.93	21.7%	11.4%	2.2%	.292	4.91	19.0%	7.9%	223	+0.98	3.84	318	79
Garrett McMillan R 2024 · 3.30 FIP	23	SU	3.30	21.2%	8.2%	1.7%	.324	3.53	18.9%	14.6%	48	+0.23	3.30	118	78
Edwin Quirarte R 2015 · 3.41 FIP	28	SW	3.41	16.7%	6.2%	1.7%	.311	3.48	12.7%	4.9%	83	+0.06	3.16	157	78
Joshua Loeschorn R 2023 · 3.86 FIP	23	SU	3.86	24.5%	7.7%	3.4%	.272	4.43	17.1%	8.4%	83	+0.57	3.08	151	78
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	78
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	26	SU	4.46	19.9%	9.8%	3.3%	.278	4.79	22.7%	10.3%	89	+0.33	2.64	315	78
Jon Rauch R 2005 · 3.78 FIP	26	SU	3.78	18.5%	7.3%	2.4%	.236	3.67	21.6%	15.8%	250	-0.11	2.87	595	78
Madison Younginer IV R 2017 · 4.22 FIP	26	SU	4.22	23.0%	9.8%	3.3%	.370	4.73	14.0%	-5.3%	27	+0.51	3.08	219	78
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	78
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	77

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	39	21.7%	8.8%	1.17	4.42
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Kevin Quackenbush ('21)	1.0	52	21.0%	9.2%	1.04	4.41
Chris Hatcher ('18)	1.3	53	22.9%	8.4%	1.32	4.65
Dave Baldwin ('66-'73, 2 WAR*)	1.1	56	22.2%*	9.2%*	0.96*	3.97*
Bob Macdonald ('90-'96, 1 WAR*)	1.2	59	18.3%*	9.8%*	1.20*	4.32*
Gary Wayne ('89-'94, 2 WAR*)	1.2	62	19.9%*	9.4%*	1.05*	3.88*