Sergio Morillo
P
Lake County Captains
Age 26
RHP
6'3" / 190 lbs
A+
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 29 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120111vR 102
ERA4.47
FIP4.47
K%23.0%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%13.0%
ROS IP29
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 29 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians/Brewers | 7 | 2 | 10 | 53 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 29% | 1.4 | 9.0% | 23.6% | -14.6% | 2.6% | 12.10 | 6.78 | — |
| 2017 | 17 | ROK | DSL Indians/Brewers | 7 | 2 | 10 | 53 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 29% | 1.4 | 13.2% | 18.9% | -5.7% | 1.9% | 12.10 | 6.10 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians 2 | 12 | 9 | 43 | 177 | 34 | 18 | 0 | 75% | 3.6 | 13.1% | 12.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 1.66 | 3.61 | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | AZL Indians 2 | 12 | 9 | 43 | 177 | 34 | 18 | 0 | 75% | 3.6 | 19.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 1.66 | 2.78 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 6 | 6 | 14 | 79 | 16 | 13 | 0 | 100% | 2.4 | 15.0% | 19.4% | -4.4% | 0.0% | 11.30 | 4.29 | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Lynchburg Hillcats | 6 | 6 | 14 | 79 | 16 | 13 | 0 | 100% | 2.4 | 20.3% | 16.5% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 11.30 | 3.59 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 1 | 27 | 127 | 45 | 18 | 1 | 6% | 1.5 | 27.5% | 16.9% | 10.6% | 1.2% | 4.94 | 3.57 | — |
| 2022 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 1 | 27 | 127 | 45 | 18 | 1 | 6% | 1.5 | 35.4% | 14.2% | 21.3% | 0.8% | 4.94 | 2.26 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 33 | 0 | 49 | 226 | 53 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.1% | 20.4% | -2.3% | 4.0% | 7.21 | 6.32 | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Lake County Captains | 33 | 0 | 49 | 226 | 53 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.5 | 23.5% | 17.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 7.21 | 5.52 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | CLE | 28 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 28 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 27 | 0 | 29 | 121 | 28 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | CLE | 10 | 0 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.49 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 10 | 0 | 10 | 44 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.1% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.11 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 76 | 19 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.1% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 4.48 | 4.11 | +3.0 | ||
| Career | — | 76 | 18 | 143 | 662 | 115 | 118 | 12 | 24% | 1.9 | 17.4% | 17.8% | -0.3% | 1.8% | 5.84 | 4.86 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 106 | 25 | 200 | 924 | 161 | 164 | 17 | 24% | 1.9 | 17.4% | 17.8% | -0.3% | 1.8% | 5.84 | 4.86 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Sergio Morillo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.47 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 3.0% | — | 4.49 | 23.1% | 13.0% | 29 | +0.02 | — | — | — |
| Daniel Corcino R 2026 · 3.75 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.75 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 1.9% | .292 | 4.81 | 19.0% | 7.9% | 223 | +1.06 | 3.75 | 299 | 84 |
| R.J. Alaniz R 2026 · 3.78 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.78 | 20.7% | 8.9% | 2.4% | .318 | 3.31 | 23.8% | 15.0% | 96 | -0.47 | 2.46 | 362 | 80 |
| Madison Younginer IV R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.24 | 23.0% | 9.8% | 3.4% | .370 | 4.72 | 14.0% | -5.3% | 27 | +0.48 | 3.04 | 219 | 79 |
| Jesus Pirela R 2026 · 3.91 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.91 | 23.7% | 11.6% | 2.5% | .305 | 3.92 | 17.1% | 13.9% | 45 | +0.01 | 3.21 | 161 | 79 |
| Jason Stoffel R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 23.4% | 10.1% | 2.1% | .267 | 3.70 | 27.2% | 19.2% | 59 | +0.16 | 3.54 | 103 | 79 |
| Derek Gordon R 2025 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 79 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.34 | 23.4% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .273 | 4.52 | 18.7% | 7.1% | 88 | +0.18 | 3.57 | 187 | 79 |
| Jack Dallas R 2026 · 3.54 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.54 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% | .292 | 5.11 | 20.4% | 15.3% | 41 | +1.57 | 3.08 | 210 | 78 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.46 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 5.02 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.56 | 2.69 | 315 | 78 |
| Taylor Grover R 2026 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 77 |
| Kaleb Bowman R 2026 · 3.80 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.80 | 22.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% | .333 | 4.41 | 18.1% | 6.6% | 151 | +0.61 | 3.74 | 185 | 77 |
| Spencer Stockton R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.19 | 20.2% | 10.3% | 2.7% | .276 | 5.42 | 19.0% | 5.8% | 63 | +1.23 | 1.93 | 233 | 77 |
| Miguel Sánchez R 2025 · 3.68 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.68 | 21.3% | 9.0% | 2.2% | .305 | 4.77 | 19.1% | 9.7% | 83 | +1.09 | 2.54 | 309 | 77 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2028 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 77 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 77 |
| Matt Pushard R 2026 · 3.77 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.77 | 24.1% | 8.9% | 2.9% | .242 | 3.56 | 22.5% | 12.4% | 100 | -0.21 | 3.05 | 205 | 77 |
| Mike Ellenbest R 2026 · 4.63 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.63 | 22.8% | 9.3% | 4.1% | .315 | 3.73 | 19.4% | 6.8% | 21 | -0.90 | 3.69 | 228 | 77 |
| Cale Coshow R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.1% | 10.9% | 3.6% | .300 | 3.61 | 23.0% | 12.8% | 63 | -0.90 | 3.16 | 377 | 76 |
| Jack Hartman R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.36 | 20.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% | .310 | 4.40 | 17.6% | 5.6% | 46 | +0.04 | 3.42 | 161 | 76 |
| Jackson Hicks R 2025 · 3.94 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.94 | 22.6% | 10.5% | 2.6% | .336 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.17 | 116 | 76 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 29 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 1.18 | 4.47 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |