Jack Dallas
P
Reading Fightin Phils
Age 27
RHP
5'9" / 200 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION41 act + 60 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 118109vR 99
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%18.6%
BB%7.4%
K-BB%11.2%
ROS IP60
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 101 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 6 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 35.7% | 17.9% | 17.9% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.35 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | A | Clearwater Threshers | 6 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0% | 1.3 | 35.7% | 17.9% | 17.9% | 0.0% | 0.00 | 2.45 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 65 | 266 | 69 | 23 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 19.6% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 0.7% | 1.79 | 3.08 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 42 | 0 | 65 | 266 | 69 | 23 | 1 | 0% | 1.6 | 25.9% | 8.6% | 17.3% | 0.4% | 1.79 | 2.24 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 3 | 57 | 238 | 59 | 16 | 3 | 7% | 1.4 | 18.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 1.9% | 3.32 | 3.61 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 41 | 3 | 57 | 238 | 59 | 16 | 3 | 7% | 1.4 | 24.8% | 6.7% | 18.1% | 1.3% | 3.32 | 2.56 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 31 | 3 | 49 | 210 | 49 | 13 | 4 | 10% | 1.6 | 18.9% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 2.1% | 3.47 | 3.54 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 31 | 3 | 49 | 210 | 49 | 13 | 4 | 10% | 1.6 | 23.3% | 6.2% | 17.1% | 1.9% | 3.47 | 2.96 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | 28 | 0 | 41 | 171 | 43 | 8 | 8 | 0% | 1.5 | 20.4% | 5.1% | 15.2% | 5.6% | 4.14 | 5.11 | -0.3 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | PHI | 57 | 0 | 60 | 251 | 47 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | PHI | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.6% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 101 | 422 | 90 | 27 | 15 | — | — | 21.3% | 6.3% | 14.9% | 3.5% | 4.26 | 4.66 | +0.9 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | PHI | — | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 18.6% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 2.7% | 4.34 | 3.95 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 46 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 4.42 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 52 | 0 | 55 | 233 | 44 | 19 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 49 | 0 | 52 | 219 | 41 | 18 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 4.61 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | PHI | 21 | 0 | 22 | 93 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 2.8% | 4.38 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | PHI | 30 | 0 | 31 | 131 | 25 | 11 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.54 | +0.0 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | PHI | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 3.2% | 4.61 | 4.71 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 85 | 0 | 89 | 375 | 71 | 30 | 11 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.19 | +1.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 160 | 68 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 4.50 | 4.19 | +2.8 | ||
| Career | — | 148 | 6 | 221 | 913 | 181 | 74 | 20 | 4% | 1.5 | 19.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 2.2% | 2.94 | 3.68 | +4.4 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 134 | 5 | 200 | 827 | 164 | 67 | 18 | 4% | 1.5 | 19.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 2.2% | 2.94 | 3.68 | +4.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jack Dallas (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 18.6% | 7.4% | 2.7% | — | 4.55 | 19.0% | 10.9% | 165 | +0.21 | — | — | — |
| Andrew Robinson R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.58 | 17.6% | 6.3% | 2.1% | .246 | 3.53 | 22.7% | 14.4% | 97 | -0.05 | 2.96 | 160 | 90 |
| Ryan Doolittle R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.06 | 15.1% | 6.7% | 2.5% | .315 | 4.62 | 13.9% | 6.8% | 44 | +0.56 | 4.06 | 101 | 89 |
| Justin De Fratus R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 18.8% | 8.3% | 2.4% | .325 | 4.53 | 12.4% | 6.9% | 279 | +0.65 | 3.88 | 500 | 89 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.23 | 18.6% | 6.7% | 1.6% | .294 | 4.07 | 19.0% | 10.6% | 106 | +0.84 | 3.23 | 253 | 88 |
| Conor Mullee R 2026 · 3.17 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.17 | 17.7% | 7.2% | 1.2% | .290 | 2.68 | 24.2% | 16.3% | 55 | -0.49 | 2.17 | 110 | 88 |
| Miguel Mejia R 2027 · 3.46 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.46 | 19.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% | .359 | 5.26 | 12.8% | 2.8% | 47 | +1.80 | 3.46 | 108 | 88 |
| Anthony Bass R 2026 · 3.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.57 | 16.5% | 7.0% | 1.8% | .300 | 3.39 | 21.6% | 14.2% | 123 | -0.18 | 2.93 | 432 | 88 |
| Pedro Beato R 2027 · 3.40 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.40 | 17.4% | 7.5% | 1.5% | .276 | 4.18 | 19.0% | 11.2% | 192 | +0.78 | 3.40 | 295 | 87 |
| Ryan Kelly R 2026 · 3.43 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.43 | 20.3% | 7.5% | 2.0% | .241 | 3.28 | 20.8% | 14.2% | 43 | -0.15 | 2.51 | 131 | 87 |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.83 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.83 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.1% | .288 | 3.34 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.49 | 2.93 | 201 | 87 |
| Jaye Chapman R 2027 · 3.36 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.36 | 21.6% | 8.5% | 1.8% | .276 | 4.03 | 20.3% | 11.3% | 85 | +0.67 | 3.27 | 150 | 87 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 86 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 86 |
| Johnny Magliozzi R 2025 · 3.31 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.31 | 17.1% | 5.9% | 1.7% | .294 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.31 | 131 | 86 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.62 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.62 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 1.8% | .333 | 4.06 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.44 | 3.62 | 147 | 86 |
| Pedro Rodriguez R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.39 | 16.4% | 4.5% | 2.0% | .272 | 3.71 | 13.1% | 5.2% | 43 | +0.32 | 3.39 | 145 | 85 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 84 |
| Chris Martin R 2028 · 3.28 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.28 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .319 | 3.06 | 20.9% | 19.2% | 42 | -0.22 | 1.76 | 416 | 84 |
| Bryan Shaw R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.90 | 20.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .276 | 3.48 | 23.3% | 15.0% | 198 | -0.42 | 2.78 | 596 | 84 |
| Troy Neiman R 2025 · 3.84 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.84 | 18.1% | 8.3% | 2.2% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 199 | 84 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 56 | 18.9% | 7.9% | 1.13 | 4.44 |
| Blaine Hardy ('19) | 5 | 50 | 18.6% | 7.7% | 1.11 | 3.91 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Joe Biagini ('19) | 4 | 81 | 19.1% | 7.8% | 1.28 | 4.86 |
| Robert Gsellman ('21) | 5 | 67 | 18.4% | 7.8% | 0.96 | 4.38 |
| Josh Winckowski ('24) | 3 | 77 | 18.3% | 8.2% | 1.13 | 4.21 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |