Jack Dallas — OGILVIE

Jack Dallas P Reading Fightin Phils

Age 27 RHP 5'9" / 200 lbs AA peak 0.1 · 2026

2026 ROS PROJECTION65 act + 5 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 116108vR 100

ERA4.35

FIP4.35

K%18.6%

BB%7.5%

K-BB%11.1%

ROS IP5

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL5555

CMD5050

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	23	A MLE	Clearwater Threshers	6	0	8	28	10	5	0	0%	1.3	35.7%	17.9%	17.9%	0.0%	0.00	2.35	—
2022	23	A RAW	Clearwater Threshers	6	0	8	28	10	5	0	0%	1.3	35.7%	17.9%	17.9%	0.0%	0.00	2.45	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	65	266	69	23	1	0%	1.6	19.6%	10.1%	9.5%	0.5%	1.79	3.02	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	42	0	65	266	69	23	1	0%	1.6	19.6%	10.1%	9.5%	0.5%	1.79	3.02	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	42	0	65	266	69	23	1	0%	1.6	25.9%	8.6%	17.3%	0.4%	1.79	2.24	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	3	57	238	59	16	3	7%	1.4	18.6%	8.1%	10.5%	1.8%	3.32	3.53	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	41	3	57	238	59	16	3	7%	1.4	18.6%	8.1%	10.5%	1.8%	3.32	3.53	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	41	3	57	238	59	16	3	7%	1.4	24.8%	6.7%	18.1%	1.3%	3.32	2.56	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	31	3	49	210	49	13	4	10%	1.6	18.9%	6.8%	12.1%	2.2%	3.47	3.58	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	31	3	49	210	49	13	4	10%	1.6	18.9%	6.8%	12.1%	2.2%	3.47	3.58	—
2025	26	AA RAW	Reading Fightin Phils	31	3	49	210	49	13	4	10%	1.6	23.3%	6.2%	17.1%	1.9%	3.47	2.96	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	46	0	65	274	73	16	12	0%	1.4	21.6%	6.4%	15.2%	5.3%	4.85	4.98	—
YTD	27	AA MLE	Reading Fightin Phils	46	0	65	274	73	16	12	0%	1.4	21.6%	6.4%	15.2%	5.3%	4.85	4.98	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	PHI	46	0	65	274	73	16	12	0%	1.4	26.6%	5.8%	20.8%	4.4%	4.85	3.99	—
ROS	27	MLB MLE	PHI	5	0	5	21	4	2	1	0%	1.0	18.6%	7.5%	11.1%	2.7%	4.35	4.35	+0.0
2026 TOT	27	MLB MLE	PHI	—	—	70	295	77	18	13	—	—	26.1%	6.0%	20.1%	4.3%	4.81	4.93	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	PHI	55	0	58	244	46	19	7	0%	1.0	18.9%	7.8%	11.1%	2.8%	4.39	4.43	+0.1
2028	29	MLB MLE	PHI	52	0	55	233	44	19	7	0%	1.1	19.1%	8.2%	10.9%	3.0%	4.48	4.55	0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	PHI	21	0	22	93	18	7	3	0%	1.0	18.9%	7.8%	11.1%	2.8%	4.39	4.43	+0.0
2028	29	MLB CTX	PHI	30	0	31	131	25	11	4	0%	1.0	19.1%	8.2%	10.9%	3.0%	4.48	4.55	0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		50	0	52	221	42	18	6	0%	1.0	19.0%	8.0%	11.0%	2.9%	4.44	4.12	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	160	69	23	0%	1.1	19.0%	8.0%	11.0%	2.9%	4.44	4.12	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		166	6	244	1016	205	83	25	4%	1.5	20.2%	8.2%	12.0%	2.4%	3.24	3.76	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		136	5	200	832	168	68	20	4%	1.5	20.2%	8.2%	12.0%	2.4%	3.24	3.76	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jack Dallas (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.35	18.6%	7.5%	2.7%	—	4.49	19.0%	11.0%	113	+0.14	—	—	—
Andrew Robinson R 2015 · 3.77 FIP	27	SU	3.77	17.6%	6.3%	2.5%	.246	3.64	22.7%	14.4%	97	-0.13	3.19	160	91
Ryan Doolittle R 2015 · 4.03 FIP	27	SU	4.03	15.1%	6.7%	2.5%	.315	4.38	13.9%	6.8%	44	+0.35	4.03	101	89
Conor Mullee R 2015 · 3.26 FIP	27	SU	3.26	17.7%	7.2%	1.4%	.290	2.64	24.2%	16.3%	55	-0.62	2.17	110	89
Justin De Fratus R 2015 · 3.84 FIP	27	SU	3.84	18.8%	8.3%	2.3%	.325	4.61	12.4%	6.9%	279	+0.77	3.84	500	89
Pedro Beato R 2015 · 3.47 FIP	28	SU	3.47	17.4%	7.5%	1.6%	.276	3.93	19.0%	11.2%	192	+0.46	3.47	295	88
Ryan Kelly R 2015 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	20.3%	7.5%	2.1%	.241	3.21	20.8%	14.2%	43	-0.31	2.49	131	88
Anthony Bass R 2015 · 3.56 FIP	27	SU	3.56	16.5%	7.0%	1.8%	.300	3.43	21.6%	14.2%	123	-0.13	2.93	432	88
Jhan Mariñez R 2016 · 3.16 FIP	27	SU	3.16	18.6%	6.7%	1.4%	.294	4.02	19.0%	10.6%	106	+0.86	3.16	253	87
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	87
Miguel Mejia R 2016 · 3.37 FIP	28	SU	3.37	19.6%	7.2%	1.8%	.359	5.21	12.8%	2.8%	47	+1.84	3.37	108	87
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	87
Jaye Chapman R 2015 · 3.32 FIP	28	SU	3.32	21.6%	8.5%	1.8%	.276	4.08	20.3%	11.3%	85	+0.76	3.25	150	87
Cody Satterwhite R 2015 · 3.71 FIP	28	SU	3.71	20.2%	9.8%	1.9%	.333	4.04	17.7%	10.2%	75	+0.33	3.69	147	86
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	86
Johnny Magliozzi R 2017 · 3.22 FIP	26	SU	3.22	17.1%	5.9%	1.5%	.294	—	—	—	—	—	3.22	131	85
Sean Donatello R 2017 · 3.64 FIP	26	SU	3.64	17.8%	7.4%	2.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	141	85
Ryan Cook R 2015 · 4.73 FIP	28	SU	4.73	16.5%	9.9%	3.2%	.297	3.96	25.1%	14.3%	50	-0.77	3.96	102	85
Kurt Spomer R 2016 · 3.17 FIP	27	SU	3.17	17.7%	6.1%	1.4%	.348	3.61	11.7%	2.4%	78	+0.44	3.17	199	85
Tristan Archer R 2018 · 3.65 FIP	27	SU	3.65	18.0%	7.2%	2.1%	.286	5.11	15.0%	6.8%	30	+1.46	2.40	321	85
Troy Neiman R 2017 · 4.03 FIP	26	SU	4.03	18.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.282	—	—	—	—	—	4.03	199	85

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	57	18.9%	7.8%	1.10	4.40
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Trevor Gott ('23)	1.0	51	22.0%	7.4%	0.79	3.97
Austin Pruitt ('23)	1.5	61	16.9%	5.6%	1.22	4.45