Alec Burleson — OGILVIE

Alec Burleson1B St. Louis Cardinals

Age 27 L/L 6'0" / 225 lbs MLB HR -14%BB -5% Svc 3.169 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION627 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†vL 105127vR 135

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%11

BB%11

BABIP302

ISO174

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$12M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · Splits · ContractCON 60 / POW 50

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT60

Whiff%

905.6%

xAVG

830.278

POWER50

Barrel%

559.0

Avg EV

7590.8

Bat Spd

5571.9

EYE40

Chase%

9023.2%

SPEED35

Sprint

1325.7

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%18%▼▼19% over 119 PA (30d) · proj 15%

BB%9%▲▲11% over 174 PA (45d) · proj 7%

ISO.167·.162 over 204 AB (60d) · proj .174xISO .229 vs .186 prior

HR/BB4.5%·4.4% over 158 BBE (60d) · proj 4.6%barrel% 10.9% vs 7.9% prior

BABIP.296▲.358 over 151 BIP (60d) · proj .285xBABIP .349 vs .334 prior — approach backs the move

SLASH.265/.338/.432·proj .268/.325/.442

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1253 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

302

951

—

wRC+

128

▶▶R

wOBA

262

358

▶▶R

ISO

106

177

▶▶R

BABIP

243

308

▶▶R

13.9%

13.5%

▶R

BB%

4.6%

7.5%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2022

Service 3.169 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$0.3M	+0.2	$0.7M	+$0.5M
2027	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$11M	+$7M
2028	Arb-3	$7M	+1.3	$9M	+$4M
Totals		$12M		$21M	+$11M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	172	154	36	7	0	4	17	27	0	0	1	234	308	357	665	123	260	16	10	301	90	-2	-0	—	—	+4	0.1
2021	22	AA	Springfield Cardinals	—	282	260	75	10	0	14	19	59	0	2	0	288	337	488	825	200	321	21	7	360	129	+10	+0	—	—	+6	1.7
2021	22	A+	Peoria Chiefs	—	49	42	12	1	0	4	6	15	0	1	0	286	375	595	970	310	333	31	12	411	164	+4	+0	—	—	+1	0.5
2022	23	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	53	48	9	1	0	1	5	9	0	1	0	188	264	271	535	83	211	17	9	249	55	-3	+0	-1	-6	+1	-0.8
2022	23	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	470	432	143	25	1	20	29	67	3	4	0	331	377	532	910	201	350	14	6	395	153	+30	+1	—	—	+10	4.2
2023	24	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	347	315	77	20	1	8	23	45	3	3	1	244	299	390	690	146	261	13	7	304	92	-3	+0	-8	-4	+8	-0.7
2024	25	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	595	547	147	20	0	21	35	76	4	9	4	269	316	420	737	152	276	13	6	324	105	+4	+0	-7	-6	+13	0.3
2025	26	MLB	St. Louis Cardinals	—	546	497	144	26	2	18	39	79	3	5	1	290	344	459	803	169	312	14	7	352	124	+16	+1	-7	-10	+12	1.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1541	1407	377	67	3	48	102	209	10	18	6	268	320	422	743	154	283	14	7	327	107	+13	+1	-24	-25	+33	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	172	161	32	6	0	3	11	34	0	0	1	199	250	292	542	93	236	20	6	241	49	-10	-0	—	—	+4	-0.7
2021	22	AA MLE	Springfield Cardinals	—	282	266	68	8	0	11	13	74	0	2	0	256	290	410	700	154	303	26	5	298	88	-4	+0	—	—	+6	0.2
2021	22	A+ MLE	Peoria Chiefs	—	49	44	10	1	0	3	4	20	0	1	0	227	292	455	746	227	293	41	8	308	95	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	23	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	53	48	9	1	0	1	5	9	0	1	0	188	264	271	535	83	211	17	9	251	56	-3	+0	-1	-6	+1	-0.8
2022	23	AAA MLE	Memphis Redbirds	—	470	442	122	21	1	13	19	82	3	4	0	276	310	416	727	140	303	17	4	314	99	-1	+1	—	—	+10	1.0
2023	24	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	347	318	78	20	1	9	23	45	3	3	1	245	302	399	702	154	261	13	7	306	93	-3	+0	-8	-4	+8	-0.7
2024	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	595	549	149	20	0	23	35	76	4	9	4	271	320	434	753	162	276	13	6	327	107	+5	+0	-7	-6	+13	0.5
2025	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	546	499	145	26	2	19	39	79	3	5	1	291	346	465	811	174	312	14	7	353	125	+16	+1	-7	-10	+12	1.2
2021	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	503	471	110	15	0	17	28	128	0	3	1	234	277	374	650	140	282	25	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	AA RAW	3 teams	—	503	456	123	18	0	22	42	101	0	3	1	270	331	454	785	184	300	20	8	345	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	523	490	131	22	1	14	24	91	3	5	0	267	306	402	708	135	299	17	5	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	523	480	152	26	1	21	34	76	3	5	0	317	366	506	872	190	337	15	7	380	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	347	318	78	20	1	9	23	45	3	3	1	245	302	399	702	154	259	13	7	306	93	-3	+0	-8	-4	+8	-0.7
2023	24	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	347	315	77	20	1	8	23	45	3	3	1	244	299	390	690	146	261	13	7	304	93	-3	+0	-8	-4	+8	-0.7
2024	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	595	549	149	20	0	23	35	76	4	9	4	271	320	434	753	162	276	13	6	327	107	+5	+0	-7	-6	+13	0.5
2024	25	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	595	547	147	20	0	21	35	76	4	9	4	269	316	420	737	152	276	13	6	324	107	+5	+0	-7	-6	+13	0.5
2025	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	546	499	145	26	2	19	39	79	3	5	1	291	346	465	811	174	311	14	7	353	125	+16	+1	-7	-10	+12	1.2
2025	26	MLB RAW	St. Louis Cardinals	—	546	497	144	26	2	18	39	79	3	5	1	290	344	459	803	169	312	14	7	352	125	+16	+1	-7	-10	+12	1.2
2021	22	AA MLE	3 teams	—	503	470	110	15	0	17	28	128	0	3	1	234	277	374	651	140	279	25	6	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	523	491	131	22	1	14	24	91	3	5	0	267	306	401	707	134	294	17	5	308	94	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	347	318	78	20	1	9	23	45	3	3	1	245	302	399	702	154	261	13	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	595	551	149	20	0	23	35	76	4	9	4	270	320	432	752	162	276	13	6	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	546	499	145	26	2	19	39	79	3	5	1	291	346	465	811	174	312	14	7	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	24	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	347	318	78	20	1	9	23	45	3	3	1	245	302	399	702	154	261	13	7	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	595	551	149	20	0	23	35	76	4	9	4	270	320	432	752	162	276	13	6	327	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	MLB MLE	St. Louis Cardinals	—	546	499	145	26	2	19	39	79	3	5	1	291	346	465	811	174	312	14	7	353	125	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	27	MLB MLE	STL	—	627	563	161	35	1	24	54	107	6	4	0	286	355	480	834	194	314	17	9	359	129	+22	+1	-2	-11	+14	2.3
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	27	MLB RAW	STL	—	627	563	159	35	1	22	54	107	6	4	0	282	352	465	817	183	313	17	9	360	129	+22	+1	-2	-11	+14	2.3
YTD	27	MLB RAW	STL	—	627	563	159	35	1	22	54	107	6	4	0	282	352	465	817	183	313	17	9	360	130	+22	+1	-2	-11	+14	2.3
ROS	27	MLB MLE	STL	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		304	11	11	355	127	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
ROS	27	MLB CTX	STL	100%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		302	11	11	343	127	+0	+0	+0	-0	+0	0.0
FULL	27	MLB A+C	STL	—	636	571	160	35	1	22	55	108	6	4	0	280	350	461	810	180	310	17	9	360	129	+22	+1	-2	-11	+14	2.3
TOT	27	MLB MLE	STL	—	636	571	162	35	1	24	55	108	6	4	0	284	353	475	827	191	312	17	9	359	129	+22	+1	-2	-11	+14	2.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	STL	100%	660	595	157	29	1	24	54	108	6	5	1	264	331	437	768	173	282	16	8	338	115	+12	+1	+0	-12	+14	1.5
2028	29	MLB MLE	STL	100%	655	590	155	28	1	24	54	109	6	4	1	263	331	436	766	173	281	17	8	336	113	+10	+0	-0	-12	+14	1.3
2029	30	MLB MLE	STL	100%	642	579	150	27	1	23	53	108	5	4	1	259	327	428	755	169	279	17	8	332	111	+8	+0	-1	-11	+14	1.0
2030	31	MLB MLE	STL	100%	629	567	144	26	0	22	52	108	5	3	1	254	322	416	738	162	276	17	8	327	108	+6	+0	-2	-11	+14	0.7
2031	32	MLB MLE	STL	100%	617	556	138	24	0	21	51	108	5	3	0	248	317	405	722	156	272	18	8	320	103	+2	+1	-3	-11	+13	0.3
2032	33	MLB MLE	STL	100%	532	480	116	20	0	17	43	96	4	2	0	242	309	390	699	148	266	18	8	312	97	-2	+0	-3	-10	+12	-0.3
2027	28	MLB CTX	STL	100%	660	595	154	28	1	22	54	108	6	5	1	259	327	420	747	161	281	16	8	326	115	+12	+1	+0	-12	+14	1.5
2028	29	MLB CTX	STL	100%	655	590	153	28	1	22	54	109	6	4	1	259	328	422	750	163	280	17	8	324	113	+10	+0	-0	-12	+14	1.3
2029	30	MLB CTX	STL	100%	642	579	148	27	1	21	53	108	5	4	1	256	323	415	738	159	278	17	8	321	111	+8	+0	-1	-11	+14	1.0
2030	31	MLB CTX	STL	100%	629	567	142	26	0	20	52	108	5	3	1	250	319	402	721	152	275	17	8	316	108	+6	+0	-2	-11	+14	0.7
2031	32	MLB CTX	STL	100%	617	556	136	24	0	19	51	108	5	3	0	245	314	390	704	146	271	18	8	309	103	+2	+1	-3	-11	+13	0.3
2032	33	MLB CTX	STL	100%	532	480	115	20	0	16	43	96	4	2	0	240	307	381	689	142	265	18	8	301	97	-2	+0	-3	-10	+12	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5285	4782	1226	220	6	168	410	847	41	39	10	256	320	410	730	154	279	16	8	320	105	+50	+4	-33	-92	+115	4.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	151	27	1	21	50	104	5	5	1	257	320	413	733	156	278	16	8	320	105	+6	+0	-4	-11	+14	0.5
Career	—	MLE		—	6258	5702	1474	257	7	213	457	1057	44	46	11	259	318	418	736	160	282	17	7	323	105	+50	+4	-33	-92	+115	4.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	592	154	27	1	22	47	110	5	5	1	260	320	421	740	160	284	17	7	323	105	+6	+0	-4	-11	+14	0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kendrys Moraleslast yr '19 career totals — 13 seasons, 5,357 PA	8.1	5,357	213	6	265	327	453	-95	-16	14.9	15.2
/162	664	26	1	-11.8	-2.0	1.8	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 12 projected seasons	9.9	6,569	224	48	263	323	427	-117	-75	14.5	13.8
/162	664	23	5	-11.9	-7.6	1.5	pk7: 13
#2Adam LaRochelast yr '15 career totals — 12 seasons, 6,329 PA	9.5	6,329	255	13	260	336	462	-113	-125	10.8	12.1
/162	664	27	1	-11.9	-13.1	1.1	pk7: 13
#3Adam Lindlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,029 PA	7.6	5,029	200	7	272	330	465	-76	-76	11.6	11.8
/162	664	26	1	-10.0	-10.1	1.5	pk7: 12
#4Lyle Overbaylast yr '14 career totals — 12 seasons, 5,790 PA	8.7	5,790	151	19	266	348	429	-103	-102	8.8	10.3
/162	664	17	2	-11.9	-11.7	1.0	pk7: 12
#5C.J. Cronlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,043 PA	6.1	4,043	187	10	260	320	471	-72	-46	8.9	8.9
/162	664	31	2	-11.9	-7.6	1.5	pk7: 9
#6Trey Mancinilast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,367 PA	5.1	3,367	126	2	262	327	445	-47	-48	6.3	6.3
/162	664	25	0	-9.2	-9.4	1.2	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Alec Burleson (OGILVIE)	27	60	50	35	40	278/342/459	181	304	25	5	16%	8%	127	+3.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Steve Cox 2002 · MLB	27	52→51	51→50	40	53	264/341/434	169	295	19	4	17%	9%	120	+2.8	253/328/405	152	292	16	6	19%	9%	108	+1.9	251/330/392	141	290	15	5	18%	9%	101	+1.5
✕Daryle Ward 2003 · MLB	28	52→56	52→60	37→30	49	267/318/440	174	298	20	3	18%	7%	113	+2.3	249/303/403	154	273	17	3	16%	7%	98	+1.2	259/324/444	185	273	22	0	14%	8%	107	+0.9
●Robert Fick 2002 · MLB	28	51→54	54→55	39→40	55	263/336/447	183	281	22	4	16%	9%	120	+2.8	259/326/419	160	279	17	2	14%	8%	111	+2.1	253/322/402	149	272	15	0	13%	8%	100	+1.0
✕Mitch Moreland 2013 · MLB	27	49→59	52→60	42→40	49	253/313/419	166	284	21	4	19%	8%	106	+1.8	244/305/418	174	284	22	3	22%	8%	103	+1.5	241/323/449	208	273	25	1	22%	10%	112	+1.7
✕Ryan Garko 2008 · MLB	27	52→57	52→50	37→30	47	263/334/429	166	296	19	3	18%	6%	116	+2.5	255/328/399	144	283	17	2	16%	7%	107	+1.9	239/315/366	127	264	16	0	16%	8%	92	+0.5
✕Colin Moran 2020 · MLB	27	54→57	50→55	35→30	47	272/325/427	155	322	17	2	21%	7%	112	+2.2	252/317/414	162	313	20	3	25%	8%	106	+1.8	231/305/386	154	290	20	1	26%	9%	94	+0.4
●Jay Gibbons 2004 · MLB	27	50→54	57→60	36→30	52	263/321/462	199	267	24	2	13%	8%	119	+2.7	265/319/453	188	276	22	2	14%	7%	116	+2.5	266/320/456	190	275	23	0	13%	7%	113	+1.6
●Dan Johnson 2006 · MLB	26	52→53	52→55	38→30	59	264/343/436	171	277	20	2	13%	11%	120	+2.8	249/341/418	169	270	20	2	15%	12%	116	+2.5	235/339/423	188	253	25	0	18%	13%	115	+2.1
✕Josh Pressley 2006 · AA	26	54→57	51→55	39→40	49	274/333/435	162	306	20	3	18%	7%	117	+2.6	240/309/359	119	290	12	6	20%	9%	91	+0.6	206/294/272	66	257	5	2	20%	11%	63	-0.5
✕Chris Shelton 2006 · MLB	26	55→57	54→55	40	51	276/343/463	187	318	21	2	20%	8%	127	+3.3	253/324/411	158	327	17	3	26%	9%	108	+1.9	244/319/388	144	324	15	2	27%	9%	99	+1.0
★Eric Hosmer 2017 · MLB	27	55→64	52→55	44→50	52	280/342/449	169	316	20	6	18%	8%	123	+3.0	284/346/453	169	329	21	5	19%	9%	126	+3.2	281/342/444	164	330	20	4	20%	8%	116	+2.8
✕Mike Carp 2013 · MLB	27	46→54	53→55	40	46	239/300/405	166	286	21	5	25%	7%	98	+1.2	234/309/381	147	301	15	6	26%	9%	96	+1.0	241/324/399	159	313	14	1	26%	9%	102	+0.5
✕Ross Gload 2005 · MLB	29	58	50→55	36→40	52	287/347/443	156	317	17	4	15%	8%	124	+3.1	286/328/450	164	314	17	6	14%	6%	118	+2.7	293/328/455	162	318	15	6	13%	4%	117	+1.2
●Andrew Benintendi 2022 · MLB	28	53→63	51→55	42→50	50	265/327/430	165	307	18	10	20%	8%	114	+2.3	269/333/391	122	310	11	10	16%	9%	106	+1.8	261/328/375	115	299	11	9	16%	9%	97	+1.1
✕Travis Snider 2015 · MLB	27	50→53	51→55	41→50	51	254/322/412	158	301	18	5	22%	9%	107	+1.9	239/307/359	120	306	11	4	24%	9%	89	+0.5	231/297/327	96	311	7	1	26%	8%	76	-0.3
✕Clint Robinson 2012 · AAA	27	54→57	50→55	43→40	45	268/318/426	157	316	17	4	21%	6%	109	+2.0	249/313/388	139	294	14	3	19%	8%	99	+1.2	246/319/392	146	292	15	0	20%	9%	98	+0.9
●Jacque Jones 2003 · MLB	28	56→61	54→60	41→50	46	286/332/469	183	326	22	9	20%	6%	124	+3.1	276/325/451	175	317	22	12	20%	6%	118	+2.6	260/321/450	190	291	25	12	20%	7%	110	+2.0
●Dmitri Young 2001 · MLB	27	57→65	52→60	39→45	49	289/336/470	181	311	18	3	14%	6%	126	+3.2	293/346/483	190	322	22	6	16%	7%	132	+3.7	280/346/497	217	313	26	1	19%	8%	127	+2.9
●Ty France 2021 · MLB	27	51→59	56→55	41→40	44	265/332/463	197	304	24	3	21%	6%	124	+3.1	277/350/436	159	314	18	2	17%	7%	124	+3.1	272/350/418	146	308	16	0	16%	6%	117	+2.8
●Adam Lind 2010 · MLB	27	55→60	57→60	43→40	49	285/339/491	206	315	24	3	18%	7%	132	+3.6	259/312/452	193	292	25	2	20%	7%	114	+2.3	288/362/471	183	329	20	0	18%	10%	127	+2.6

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps