Alec Burleson1B
St. Louis Cardinals
Age 27
L/L
6'0" / 225 lbs
MLB
HR -7%K -4%
Svc 3.169 · Ctrl thru 2028
peak 1.3 · 2026
wRC+†vL 66120vR 135
AVG/OBP/SLG.270 / .325 / .435
PA542
HR18
SB6
K%14
BB%7
xwOBA.393
Barrel%11.5%
MLB%100%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
60→60
PWR
50→50
SPD
35→35
EYE
46↘40
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.7peak
2027
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Arb-1
MLB Debut 2022
Service 3.169 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2028
First FA Year 2027
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Arb-1 | $3M | +1.3 | $10M | +$7M |
| 2027 | Arb-2 | $4M | +1.1 | $9M | +$5M |
| 2028 | Arb-3 | $5M | +0.9 | $4M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $12M | $23M | +$12M | ||
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | AA | 3 teams | 503 | 471 | 109 | 14 | 0 | 19 | 28 | 133 | 0 | 3 | 1 | .231 | .275 | .382 | .657 | .151 | .279 | 26 | 6 | .283 | 75 | -14 | +0 | +0 | -9 | +14 | -0.9 |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | 2 teams | 523 | 490 | 134 | 22 | 1 | 17 | 24 | 92 | 3 | 5 | 0 | .273 | .311 | .427 | .738 | .153 | .302 | 18 | 5 | .316 | 100 | -0 | +1 | -1 | -6 | +15 | 0.9 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 347 | 318 | 76 | 21 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 45 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .239 | .297 | .387 | .683 | .148 | .255 | 13 | 7 | .301 | 89 | -4 | +0 | -8 | -4 | +10 | -0.6 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 595 | 549 | 146 | 20 | 0 | 21 | 35 | 76 | 4 | 9 | 4 | .266 | .315 | .417 | .732 | .151 | .273 | 13 | 6 | .318 | 102 | +1 | +0 | -7 | -6 | +17 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 546 | 499 | 145 | 25 | 2 | 19 | 39 | 79 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .291 | .346 | .463 | .809 | .172 | .311 | 14 | 7 | .351 | 127 | +17 | +1 | -7 | -10 | +15 | 1.6 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 103 | 90 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .278 | .363 | .444 | .807 | .167 | .293 | 13 | 12 | .347 | 123 | +3 | +0 | -2 | -2 | +3 | 0.2 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | STL | 439 | 399 | 110 | 21 | 1 | 15 | 35 | 61 | 2 | 5 | 1 | .276 | .337 | .446 | .783 | .170 | .288 | 14 | 8 | .342 | 120 | +10 | +1 | -3 | -8 | +12 | 1.2 |
| TOT | 27 | MLB | STL | 542 | 489 | 135 | 27 | 1 | 18 | 47 | 74 | 2 | 6 | 1 | .276 | .342 | .446 | .788 | .170 | .292 | 14 | 9 | .342 | 120 | +12 | +1 | -6 | -10 | +15 | 1.3 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | STL | 534 | 483 | 132 | 25 | 1 | 18 | 43 | 61 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .273 | .336 | .441 | .777 | .168 | .278 | 11 | 8 | .340 | 119 | +11 | +1 | -5 | -10 | +15 | 1.3 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | STL | 522 | 472 | 128 | 24 | 1 | 17 | 42 | 61 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .271 | .335 | .434 | .769 | .163 | .278 | 12 | 8 | .338 | 117 | +10 | +0 | -5 | -9 | +15 | 1.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | STL | 510 | 462 | 123 | 23 | 1 | 16 | 41 | 61 | 2 | 2 | 0 | .266 | .329 | .424 | .753 | .158 | .276 | 12 | 8 | .335 | 115 | +8 | +0 | -6 | -9 | +14 | 0.8 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | STL | 495 | 450 | 118 | 22 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 62 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .262 | .325 | .416 | .741 | .153 | .275 | 13 | 8 | .331 | 112 | +7 | +0 | -7 | -9 | +14 | 0.5 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | STL | 476 | 433 | 113 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 38 | 62 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .261 | .323 | .411 | .735 | .150 | .274 | 13 | 8 | .327 | 108 | +4 | +0 | -7 | -8 | +13 | 0.2 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | STL | 446 | 406 | 104 | 19 | 1 | 13 | 35 | 61 | 2 | 0 | 0 | .256 | .318 | .404 | .722 | .148 | .272 | 14 | 8 | .321 | 104 | +2 | +0 | -8 | -8 | +13 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | STL | 400 | 365 | 92 | 17 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 58 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .252 | .312 | .395 | .707 | .142 | .271 | 14 | 8 | .314 | 99 | -1 | +0 | -8 | -7 | +11 | -0.5 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | STL | 346 | 315 | 78 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 54 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .248 | .309 | .384 | .693 | .137 | .269 | 16 | 8 | .306 | 92 | -3 | +0 | -8 | -6 | +10 | -0.8 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6682 | 6112 | 1608 | 288 | 13 | 212 | 481 | 966 | 31 | 41 | 10 | .263 | .320 | .419 | .739 | .155 | .280 | 14 | 7 | .324 | 106 | +48 | +4 | -81 | -109 | +189 | 5.2 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 595 | 157 | 28 | 1 | 21 | 47 | 94 | 3 | 4 | 1 | .264 | .321 | .420 | .741 | .156 | .281 | 14 | 7 | .324 | 106 | +5 | +0 | -8 | -11 | +18 | 0.5 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 22 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 172 | 154 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .234 | .308 | .357 | .665 | .123 | .260 | 16 | 10 | .301 | 89 | -2 | -0 | — | — | +5 | 0.2 |
| 2021 | 22 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | 282 | 260 | 75 | 10 | 0 | 14 | 19 | 59 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .288 | .337 | .488 | .825 | .200 | .321 | 21 | 7 | .360 | 133 | +11 | +0 | — | — | +8 | 1.9 |
| 2021 | 22 | A+ | Peoria Chiefs | 49 | 42 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .286 | .375 | .595 | .970 | .310 | .333 | 31 | 12 | .411 | 172 | +4 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.6 |
| 2022 | 23 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 53 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | .188 | .264 | .271 | .535 | .083 | .211 | 17 | 9 | .249 | 49 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -6 | +2 | -0.8 |
| 2022 | 23 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | 470 | 432 | 143 | 25 | 1 | 20 | 29 | 67 | 3 | 4 | 0 | .331 | .377 | .532 | .910 | .201 | .350 | 14 | 6 | .395 | 160 | +32 | +1 | — | — | +13 | 4.7 |
| 2023 | 24 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 347 | 315 | 77 | 20 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 45 | 3 | 3 | 1 | .244 | .299 | .390 | .690 | .146 | .261 | 13 | 7 | .304 | 91 | -3 | +0 | -8 | -4 | +10 | -0.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 595 | 547 | 147 | 20 | 0 | 21 | 35 | 76 | 4 | 9 | 4 | .269 | .316 | .420 | .737 | .152 | .276 | 13 | 6 | .324 | 106 | +4 | +0 | -7 | -6 | +17 | 0.7 |
| 2025 | 26 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | 546 | 497 | 144 | 26 | 2 | 18 | 39 | 79 | 3 | 5 | 1 | .290 | .344 | .459 | .803 | .169 | .312 | 14 | 7 | .352 | 128 | +17 | +1 | -7 | -10 | +15 | 1.6 |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | 1541 | 1407 | 377 | 67 | 3 | 48 | 102 | 209 | 10 | 18 | 6 | .268 | .320 | .422 | .743 | .154 | .283 | 14 | 7 | .327 | 108 | +14 | +1 | -24 | -25 | +44 | 1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Alec Burleson (OGILVIE) | 27 | 60 | 50 | 35 | 40 | .271/.332/.436 | .165 | .279 | 18 | 6 | 11% | 8% | 120 | +2.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Steve Cox 2002 · MLB |
27 | 53→51 | 51→50 | 40 | 53 | .265/.343/.434 | .169 | .294 | 19 | 5 | 17% | 9% | 123 | +3.3 | .254/.330/.406 | .152 | .293 | 16 | 6 | 19% | 9% | 110 | +2.4 | .251/.330/.392 | .141 | .290 | 15 | 5 | 18% | 9% | 101 | +1.9 |
|
●Jay Gibbons 2005 · MLB |
28 | 50→54 | 54→60 | 38→30 | 52 | .258/.316/.437 | .178 | .269 | 21 | 2 | 14% | 8% | 112 | +2.6 | .265/.316/.453 | .188 | .277 | 22 | 2 | 14% | 7% | 117 | +2.9 | .264/.314/.455 | .191 | .273 | 23 | 0 | 13% | 6% | 112 | +1.7 |
|
●Raul Lopez 2006 · AAA |
27 | 55→62 | 50 | 42→40 | 50 | .277/.327/.435 | .158 | .297 | 16 | 5 | 13% | 7% | 116 | +2.8 | .279/.335/.421 | .142 | .309 | 15 | 4 | 14% | 8% | 115 | +2.8 | .279/.338/.432 | .153 | .303 | 18 | 3 | 14% | 8% | 120 | +1.6 |
|
●Dan Johnson 2007 · MLB |
27 | 51→53 | 51→60 | 38→30 | 59 | .255/.338/.416 | .162 | .271 | 18 | 2 | 14% | 11% | 116 | +2.8 | .251/.344/.432 | .181 | .272 | 22 | 2 | 17% | 12% | 123 | +3.3 | .238/.342/.440 | .201 | .253 | 27 | 0 | 18% | 13% | 122 | +2.8 |
|
●Robert Fick 2002 · MLB |
28 | 51→54 | 54→55 | 40 | 55 | .262/.335/.443 | .181 | .282 | 21 | 4 | 16% | 9% | 122 | +3.3 | .261/.327/.423 | .162 | .281 | 17 | 2 | 14% | 8% | 114 | +2.7 | .253/.322/.402 | .149 | .272 | 15 | 0 | 13% | 8% | 100 | +1.3 |
|
✕Willie Calhoun 2022 · MLB |
27 | 48→51 | 52→55 | 41→40 | 52 | .245/.308/.411 | .165 | .259 | 20 | 3 | 15% | 8% | 102 | +1.9 | .228/.294/.361 | .133 | .250 | 15 | 3 | 15% | 8% | 83 | +0.6 | .221/.293/.345 | .125 | .242 | 14 | 1 | 15% | 9% | 75 | +0.0 |
|
✕Daryle Ward 2003 · MLB |
28 | 52→56 | 54→60 | 38→30 | 48 | .266/.317/.448 | .183 | .295 | 22 | 3 | 19% | 7% | 116 | +2.8 | .250/.304/.403 | .153 | .275 | 17 | 3 | 16% | 7% | 98 | +1.6 | .259/.324/.444 | .185 | .273 | 22 | 0 | 14% | 8% | 108 | +1.2 |
|
✕Chris Carter 2011 · MLB |
28 | 51→57 | 51→55 | 41→40 | 46 | .260/.303/.417 | .157 | .279 | 19 | 3 | 15% | 5% | 102 | +1.8 | .254/.295/.412 | .158 | .271 | 19 | 5 | 15% | 5% | 97 | +1.5 | .270/.299/.408 | .138 | .283 | 18 | 1 | 12% | 4% | 96 | +0.6 |
|
✕Colin Moran 2020 · MLB |
27 | 54→57 | 50→55 | 35→30 | 47 | .270/.323/.422 | .152 | .318 | 18 | 2 | 21% | 7% | 111 | +2.5 | .253/.318/.415 | .162 | .312 | 20 | 3 | 24% | 8% | 108 | +2.3 | .231/.305/.388 | .157 | .287 | 21 | 1 | 26% | 9% | 92 | +0.6 |
|
●Casey Kotchman 2009 · MLB |
26 | 55→65 | 48→50 | 40 | 56 | .270/.335/.417 | .147 | .275 | 14 | 4 | 8% | 8% | 115 | +2.8 | .264/.331/.395 | .131 | .279 | 13 | 3 | 10% | 8% | 108 | +2.3 | .268/.339/.387 | .119 | .290 | 11 | 1 | 11% | 8% | 100 | +1.4 |
|
●Randall Simon 2003 · MLB |
28 | 57→59 | 51→60 | 40→30 | 47 | .289/.320/.442 | .154 | .286 | 20 | 2 | 8% | 4% | 115 | +2.8 | .272/.310/.428 | .156 | .272 | 21 | 3 | 9% | 5% | 108 | +2.3 | .294/.337/.476 | .182 | .295 | 25 | 2 | 10% | 5% | 131 | +2.1 |
|
●Mitch Moreland 2013 · MLB |
27 | 49→58 | 51→60 | 42→40 | 50 | .248/.310/.405 | .157 | .282 | 19 | 4 | 20% | 8% | 102 | +1.8 | .247/.307/.429 | .182 | .286 | 23 | 3 | 22% | 8% | 107 | +2.2 | .239/.321/.446 | .208 | .268 | 26 | 1 | 22% | 10% | 113 | +2.0 |
|
●Wilmer Flores 2019 · MLB |
27 | 53→56 | 55→60 | 42→40 | 50 | .271/.322/.456 | .184 | .278 | 23 | 3 | 13% | 6% | 120 | +3.1 | .279/.333/.464 | .185 | .291 | 22 | 3 | 13% | 7% | 127 | +3.6 | .253/.334/.440 | .187 | .264 | 24 | 0 | 15% | 9% | 117 | +2.4 |
|
●Ryan Garko 2008 · MLB |
27 | 52→57 | 52→55 | 37→30 | 47 | .263/.333/.433 | .170 | .296 | 20 | 3 | 19% | 6% | 119 | +3.1 | .257/.330/.404 | .147 | .285 | 18 | 2 | 16% | 7% | 110 | +2.4 | .239/.315/.365 | .127 | .264 | 16 | 0 | 16% | 8% | 90 | +0.8 |
|
✕Luis Montanez 2009 · MLB |
27 | 54→59 | 51→55 | 41→45 | 45 | .274/.316/.436 | .162 | .306 | 19 | 5 | 18% | 5% | 112 | +2.6 | .259/.303/.401 | .142 | .295 | 14 | 7 | 17% | 5% | 97 | +1.5 | .246/.294/.354 | .108 | .288 | 7 | 7 | 17% | 5% | 78 | +0.1 |
|
✕Alex Verdugo 2023 · MLB |
27 | 57→58 | 46→50 | 43→45 | 51 | .277/.333/.411 | .134 | .311 | 13 | 5 | 15% | 8% | 112 | +2.6 | .254/.313/.388 | .134 | .285 | 12 | 4 | 15% | 8% | 98 | +1.6 | .242/.303/.369 | .127 | .271 | 12 | 4 | 15% | 8% | 87 | +0.7 |
|
●Jesse Winker 2020 · MLB |
26 | 55→61 | 49→55 | 37→45 | 57 | .272/.355/.424 | .152 | .302 | 16 | 3 | 16% | 10% | 125 | +3.5 | .263/.363/.460 | .197 | .291 | 24 | 3 | 18% | 12% | 137 | +4.3 | .250/.363/.438 | .188 | .277 | 23 | 1 | 18% | 14% | 127 | +2.4 |
|
●Ross Gload 2005 · MLB |
29 | 57→58 | 50→55 | 37→40 | 52 | .283/.344/.439 | .156 | .314 | 17 | 5 | 16% | 8% | 124 | +3.4 | .289/.332/.463 | .174 | .316 | 19 | 6 | 15% | 6% | 125 | +3.5 | .296/.331/.467 | .171 | .319 | 17 | 6 | 13% | 4% | 124 | +1.5 |
|
●Mike Moustakas 2016 · MLB |
27 | 49→54 | 51→65 | 38→45 | 50 | .248/.308/.406 | .158 | .262 | 19 | 3 | 14% | 7% | 102 | +1.8 | .261/.318/.470 | .209 | .266 | 28 | 3 | 15% | 7% | 122 | +3.3 | .258/.320/.491 | .233 | .260 | 33 | 2 | 16% | 7% | 121 | +3.2 |
|
✕Gonzalo Meza 2006 · AAA |
27 | 54→56 | 51→50 | 45→40 | 46 | .273/.317/.429 | .156 | .299 | 19 | 8 | 16% | 6% | 111 | +2.5 | .275/.324/.404 | .129 | .309 | 14 | 5 | 16% | 7% | 107 | +2.2 | .280/.331/.391 | .111 | .316 | 12 | 3 | 15% | 7% | 105 | +1.3 |