Hayden Cantrelle

2B Knoxville Smokies

Age 28 S/R 5'9" / 175 lbs AA HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

Overview

AAPROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

MLB%2%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	26	AAACHC	278	.234/.341/.332	4	19	54	—	.200/.282/.261
2025	26	AACHC	118	.239/.402/.359	0	11	69	—	.190/.308/.280
2026	27	AAACHC	155	.145/.273/.267	2	8	12	—	.116/.208/.203
2026	27	AACHC	156	.298/.431/.411	1	18	92	—	.248/.346/.346
2027PROJ2% MLB	28	MLBCHC	5	.168/.263/.248	0	0	46	-0.0
2028PROJ23% MLB	29	MLBCHC	71	.169/.263/.250	1	3	47	-0.3

Next 2 projected WAR -0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.8M2031Ext$0.9M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$3M2034Ext$5M+1

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 AAA

Speed97

BB%83

Chase%82

Whiff%31

Z-Con%27

Max EV16

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsWill Holland (age 26) · Zach Davis (age 28) · Michael Reed (age 28)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.168 / .263 / .248

PA5

HR0

K%40

BB%10

BABIP270

ISO77

MLB%2%

Value2027 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	22	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	43	35	5	0	2	0	5	12	3	1	1	143	302	257	559	114	217	28	12	271	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	341	252	44	12	1	7	77	90	7	28	8	175	381	313	694	139	233	26	23	329	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	110	92	17	5	0	3	14	40	3	6	4	185	312	337	649	152	286	36	13	298	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Eugene Emeralds	—	41	28	6	4	0	1	12	8	0	3	0	214	450	464	914	250	250	20	29	402	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A	San Jose Giants	—	149	111	31	3	5	2	34	37	2	10	1	279	456	450	906	171	392	25	23	405	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK	ACL Giants Black	—	20	13	4	3	0	0	5	5	0	0	1	308	500	538	1.038	231	400	25	25	412	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	357	275	59	11	1	4	66	75	14	14	1	215	392	305	697	91	279	21	18	334	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	160	132	36	7	2	3	23	48	4	9	0	273	396	424	820	152	407	30	14	370	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA	Tennessee Smokies	—	71	62	16	3	1	2	5	23	3	2	2	258	343	435	778	177	378	32	7	343	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	278	235	55	9	1	4	33	91	5	19	4	234	341	332	673	98	362	33	12	307	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	118	92	22	5	3	0	24	35	1	11	1	239	402	359	760	120	386	30	20	351	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA	Iowa Cubs	—	155	131	19	6	2	2	22	53	1	8	4	145	273	267	540	122	224	34	14	254	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA	Knoxville Smokies	—	156	124	37	5	3	1	26	33	3	18	2	298	431	411	843	113	391	21	17	378	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	22	AA MLE	Biloxi Shuckers	—	43	37	5	0	2	0	3	15	3	1	1	135	256	243	499	108	209	35	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	341	274	35	8	1	5	55	121	7	28	8	128	289	219	508	91	188	35	16	242	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	AA MLE	Pensacola Blue Wahoos	—	110	97	13	4	0	2	9	51	3	6	4	134	229	237	466	103	247	46	8	217	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Eugene Emeralds	—	41	31	6	4	0	1	9	10	0	3	0	194	375	419	794	226	216	24	22	328	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	San Jose Giants	—	149	123	26	2	5	1	22	53	2	10	1	211	340	333	673	122	341	36	15	306	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	ROK MLE	ACL Giants Black	—	20	15	4	3	0	0	3	7	0	0	1	267	389	467	856	200	308	35	15	349	122	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	357	294	56	9	1	4	47	92	14	14	1	190	330	269	598	78	255	26	13	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	160	138	32	6	2	2	17	58	4	9	0	232	333	348	681	116	376	36	11	301	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AA MLE	Tennessee Smokies	—	71	64	13	2	1	2	3	29	3	2	2	203	271	359	631	156	334	41	4	271	70	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	278	245	49	7	1	2	23	110	5	19	4	200	282	261	543	61	339	40	8	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	118	100	19	5	2	0	16	43	1	11	1	190	308	280	588	90	330	36	14	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AAA MLE	Iowa Cubs	—	155	138	16	5	2	1	15	64	1	8	4	116	208	203	411	87	188	41	10	186	12	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	Knoxville Smokies	—	156	133	33	4	3	1	17	40	3	18	2	248	346	346	692	98	329	26	11	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	384	310	39	8	3	5	59	136	10	29	9	126	285	219	504	94	197	35	15	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	384	287	49	12	3	7	82	102	10	29	9	171	372	307	679	136	231	27	21	322	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	4 teams	—	320	266	49	13	5	4	43	122	5	19	6	184	309	316	625	132	310	38	13	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A RAW	4 teams	—	320	244	58	15	5	6	65	90	5	19	6	238	408	414	822	176	340	28	20	368	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	357	294	56	9	1	4	47	92	14	14	1	190	330	269	598	78	261	26	13	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA RAW	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	357	275	59	11	1	4	66	75	14	14	1	215	392	305	697	91	279	21	18	334	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	231	202	45	8	3	4	20	87	7	11	2	223	314	351	666	129	369	38	9	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	231	194	52	10	3	5	28	71	7	11	2	268	380	428	808	160	398	31	12	362	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	396	345	68	12	3	2	39	153	6	30	5	197	290	267	556	70	346	39	10	255	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA RAW	2 teams	—	396	327	77	14	4	4	57	126	6	30	5	235	359	339	698	104	369	32	14	320	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	311	271	48	9	4	2	32	104	4	26	6	177	274	262	536	85	275	33	10	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA RAW	2 teams	—	311	255	56	11	5	3	48	86	4	26	6	220	352	337	689	118	315	28	15	316	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	384	312	39	8	3	5	59	136	10	29	9	125	285	218	503	93	190	35	15	240	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A MLE	4 teams	—	320	269	49	13	5	4	43	122	5	19	6	182	309	312	621	130	291	38	13	281	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA MLE	Richmond Flying Squirrels	—	357	293	56	9	1	4	47	92	14	14	1	191	330	270	599	78	255	26	13	275	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	231	202	45	8	3	4	20	87	7	11	2	223	314	351	666	129	363	38	9	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	396	348	68	12	3	2	39	153	6	30	5	195	290	264	554	69	336	39	10	255	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	311	272	48	9	4	2	32	104	4	26	6	176	274	261	535	85	259	33	10	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	25	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	231	202	45	8	3	4	20	87	7	11	2	223	314	351	666	129	363	38	9	292	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AAA MLE	2 teams	—	396	348	68	12	3	2	39	153	6	30	5	195	290	264	554	69	336	39	10	255	58	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	27	AA MLE	2 teams	—	311	272	48	9	4	2	32	104	4	26	6	176	274	261	535	85	259	33	10	245	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	28	MLB MLE	CHC	2%	361	317	53	10	3	3	36	131	5	19	4	165	261	243	503	77	266	36	10	237	46	-23	+2	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
2027	28	MLB CTX	CHC	2%	5	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	168	263	248	510	80	270	40	0	239	46	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	29	MLB MLE	CHC	23%	312	274	46	9	2	3	31	112	4	14	3	167	261	245	505	78	266	36	10	237	47	-20	+2	-1	+1	+7	-1.2
2028	29	MLB CTX	CHC	23%	71	63	11	2	1	1	7	25	1	3	1	169	263	250	512	80	270	35	10	240	47	-4	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	71	63	11	2	1	1	7	25	1	3	1	175	268	286	553	111	270	35	10	240	60	-4	+0	-0	+0	+2	-0.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	100	18	9	9	64	229	9	27	9	173	266	282	549	109	268	35	10	240	60	-41	+2	-3	+2	+14	-2.6
Career	—	MLE		—	2561	2182	387	75	23	26	296	897	53	156	35	177	291	269	559	91	283	35	12	257	60	-36	+3	-1	+2	+12	-2.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	554	99	19	6	7	75	228	13	40	9	179	291	273	564	94	285	35	12	257	60	-41	+3	-2	+2	+14	-2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Hayden Cantrelle (OGILVIE)	28	35	40	60	55	164/258/240	77	266	2	13	36%	10%	46	-1.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Will Holland 2024 · AA	26	37→36	41→45	58→60	42	179/259/279	100	282	9	29	37%	9%	54	-2.0	198/279/310	112	288	11	26	33%	8%	69	-0.9	184/276/301	117	260	13	30	32%	7%	65	-0.4
✕Zach Davis 2022 · AAA	28	46→51	37→30	58→65	41	216/274/285	69	308	5	34	30%	6%	60	-1.6	217/286/287	70	322	4	41	31%	7%	65	-1.2	220/297/258	38	327	0	78	30%	7%	61	-0.5
✕Michael Reed 2023 · AAA	28	46→42	40→45	54→55	38	211/265/299	88	338	7	20	38%	7%	59	-1.6	211/274/327	116	327	12	17	36%	8%	70	-0.8	159/240/279	119	248	13	19	39%	9%	44	-0.6
✕JJ Muno 2022 · AA	28	38	42→40	54→60	39	189/272/294	105	273	10	21	33%	6%	63	-1.3	204/283/294	90	287	8	27	30%	7%	67	-1.1	189/275/254	65	268	5	39	29%	7%	53	-1.1
✕J.T. Arruda 2024 · AA	26	43→42	39→40	56→55	49	202/285/290	88	294	6	24	31%	10%	66	-1.1	209/274/299	90	290	7	20	28%	8%	63	-1.3	207/270/292	85	284	7	22	28%	7%	58	-1.0
✕Jacob Hannemann 2019 · MLB	28	40→43	41→45	56→60	40	200/250/301	100	262	9	27	27%	5%	55	-2.0	213/271/335	122	269	12	21	25%	6%	70	-0.8	195/265/342	147	221	16	30	20%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Logan Warmoth 2024 · AAA	28	41→40	42→40	52→55	43	200/277/305	105	293	10	23	33%	8%	67	-1.1	198/276/285	87	279	8	18	29%	9%	61	-1.5	157/249/194	37	224	3	17	28%	10%	31	-1.7
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	40→45	36→30	58→55	44	183/267/248	65	298	4	26	36%	9%	51	-2.3	199/268/277	78	288	6	19	30%	8%	57	-1.8	189/255/254	65	258	4	20	26%	8%	44	-1.1
✕Chavez Young 2024 · AAA	27	42→50	41→45	59→60	47	204/280/299	95	274	8	33	27%	8%	66	-1.1	206/278/308	102	289	8	22	30%	7%	68	-1.0	181/254/268	87	272	5	21	33%	6%	47	-0.7
✕Terrance Gore 2019 · AAA	28	42	35→30	63→70	41	201/255/252	52	276	3	41	27%	6%	45	-2.7	208/282/290	82	312	5	43	32%	8%	65	-1.2	202/301/280	78	308	0	73	30%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Kevin Mattison 2014 · AAA	28	39→47	42→45	55→60	37	189/247/298	109	293	9	23	37%	6%	53	-2.1	189/248/308	119	316	12	21	41%	6%	56	-1.9	146/208/265	119	242	13	27	44%	6%	30	-1.5
✕Justin Dean 2024 · AAA	27	41→47	41→45	58→65	44	192/279/286	94	305	9	30	37%	9%	63	-1.3	216/286/302	86	321	6	41	32%	8%	69	-0.9	217/286/294	77	315	5	48	30%	8%	64	-0.8
✕Tanner Kirwer 2023 · AA	27	43	42→40	59→60	45	209/288/304	95	297	11	32	31%	8%	71	-0.8	207/275/301	94	292	9	27	30%	7%	65	-1.2	173/243/241	69	239	8	46	30%	7%	38	-1.1
✕Nick Ward 2024 · AA	28	42→40	42→40	55→50	46	209/284/305	96	274	11	20	27%	8%	70	-0.9	198/267/279	81	277	8	14	29%	7%	57	-1.8	165/234/213	48	238	4	12	30%	7%	27	-2.0
✕Luis Ugueto 2007 · AAA	28	40	45	55	43	202/267/325	123	277	12	16	30%	7%	67	-1.1	203/255/293	90	279	7	14	28%	6%	55	-2.0	182/229/243	61	252	3	15	28%	6%	30	-2.0
✕Pedro Florimón 2016 · MLB	29	42→52	41→45	57→55	42	205/257/309	104	284	7	22	30%	6%	59	-1.7	218/271/330	112	318	10	14	32%	6%	69	-0.9	217/272/330	113	320	10	11	33%	6%	68	-0.5
✕Nick Heath 2021 · MLB	27	44→39	40	63→65	41	205/272/301	96	328	8	43	37%	8%	63	-1.3	204/268/317	113	331	10	27	38%	7%	65	-1.2	182/257/288	106	310	8	36	40%	8%	55	-0.9
✕Cody Wilson 2023 · AAA	27	37	37→30	58→55	35	174/232/244	71	298	5	27	41%	6%	35	-3.4	174/236/241	67	318	5	25	44%	6%	36	-3.3	146/213/194	48	277	3	29	45%	6%	15	-2.1
✕Errol Robinson 2023 · AAA	28	46→49	37→40	52→55	46	209/288/281	72	329	5	21	35%	10%	65	-1.2	204/270/273	69	309	5	20	33%	8%	56	-1.9	186/252/234	48	283	3	23	33%	7%	38	-1.2
✕Marland Williams 2007 · AAA	26	38→40	43→45	61→60	38	189/247/299	110	293	10	37	37%	7%	53	-2.1	189/246/304	115	338	12	23	44%	7%	55	-2.0	158/214/269	111	295	13	23	49%	6%	31	-2.2