Ernie Clement — OGILVIE

Ernie Clement3B Toronto Blue Jays

Age 30 R/R 6'0" / 170 lbs MLB Svc 3.977 · Ctrl thru 2028

2026 ROS PROJECTION374 act + 249 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL 115106vR 84

AVG/OBP/SLG.270 / .299 / .392

PA249

HR5

K%10

BB%4

BABIP283

ISO122

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 55 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT55

Whiff%

905.2%

xwOBA

290.284

POWER35

Barrel%

102.9

Avg EV

1085.9

Bat Spd

1066.8

EYE30

Chase%

5131.4%

SPEED60

Sprint

5827.8

Platoon Splits2024-2026 · 1149 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

357

792

—

wRC+

114

◀◀L

wOBA

334

299

◀L

ISO

184

105

◀◀L

BABIP

295

287

—

9.2%

9.7%

◀L

BB%

2.5%

3.5%

▶▶R

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Arb-1

MLB Debut 2021

Service 3.977 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2028

First FA Year 2029

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Ext	$2M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
2027	Arb-2	$4M	+1.0	$7M	+$4M
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$6M		$11M	+$6M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	A	3 teams	—	471	434	117	22	2	2	26	47	5	18	10	270	318	343	662	74	297	10	6	290	80	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	22	A	3 teams	—	471	419	121	26	2	2	41	35	5	18	10	289	359	375	734	86	310	7	9	330	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	2 teams	—	511	472	113	18	4	2	20	50	8	17	11	239	282	307	589	68	260	10	4	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	23	AA	2 teams	—	511	460	123	17	4	1	32	46	8	17	11	267	326	328	654	61	290	9	6	293	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	2 teams	—	271	248	60	16	1	4	13	45	2	2	2	242	285	363	648	121	277	17	5	278	71	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	25	AAA	2 teams	—	271	245	59	16	1	4	16	41	2	2	2	241	293	363	656	122	271	15	6	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	26	MLB	2 teams	—	266	244	49	6	1	3	16	35	2	0	1	201	256	270	526	70	222	13	6	237	40	-18	-0	+1	+1	+8	-0.9
2022	26	MLB	2 teams	—	266	243	49	6	1	4	17	34	2	0	1	202	260	284	543	82	218	13	6	246	46	-16	-0	+1	+1	+8	-0.7
2023	27	AAA	2 teams	—	372	344	106	17	2	12	20	24	1	13	2	308	348	474	822	166	301	6	5	351	126	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	27	AAA	2 teams	—	372	337	119	22	2	12	27	20	1	13	2	353	403	537	940	184	346	5	7	406	169	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	452	434	113	21	3	12	11	41	3	12	3	260	283	406	689	145	264	9	2	296	85	-8	+1	+7	+2	+13	1.5
2024	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	452	434	114	21	3	12	11	41	3	12	3	263	286	408	694	145	266	9	2	304	91	-5	+1	+7	+2	+13	1.8
2025	29	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	588	545	150	35	2	9	27	61	4	6	5	275	314	396	711	121	294	10	5	306	92	-5	-1	+11	+2	+17	2.4
2025	29	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	588	545	151	35	2	9	27	61	4	6	5	277	316	398	714	121	296	10	5	312	97	-2	-1	+11	+2	+17	2.8
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	30	MLB	TOR	—	374	358	106	23	1	8	13	35	0	3	1	296	321	433	754	137	308	9	3	327	109	+4	+0	-0	+1	+11	1.6
YTD	30	MLB	TOR	—	374	358	106	23	1	8	13	35	0	3	1	296	321	433	754	137	308	9	3	331	112	+5	+0	-0	+1	+11	1.7
ROS	30	MLB	TOR	100%	249	237	64	12	1	5	9	25	1	3	1	270	299	392	691	122	281	10	4	305	92	-2	+0	+2	+1	+7	0.8
ROS	30	MLB	TOR	100%	249	237	64	12	1	5	9	25	1	3	1	270	300	392	692	122	282	10	4	304	91	-3	+0	+2	+1	+7	0.8
FULL	30	MLB	TOR	—	623	595	170	35	2	13	22	60	1	6	2	286	312	417	729	131	298	10	4	318	102	+1	+0	+2	+2	+18	2.4
TOT	30	MLB	TOR	—	623	595	170	35	2	13	22	60	1	6	2	286	312	417	729	131	298	10	4	319	102	+1	+0	+2	+2	+18	2.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	31	MLB	TOR	100%	493	471	123	24	2	9	18	50	1	5	1	261	290	378	668	117	274	10	4	297	85	-8	+1	+2	+2	+14	1.0
2027	31	MLB	TOR	100%	493	471	123	24	2	9	18	50	1	5	1	261	290	378	668	117	275	10	4	296	84	-9	+1	+2	+2	+14	0.9
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	2146	2021	529	101	9	39	84	226	13	27	12	262	296	379	674	117	277	11	4	297	85	-35	+1	+27	+12	+61	6.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	612	161	31	3	12	25	68	4	8	4	263	296	382	679	119	278	10	4	297	85	-11	+0	+8	+4	+18	2.0
Career	—			—	3673	3429	895	171	18	58	160	378	27	76	36	261	299	372	671	111	277	10	4	292	81	-77	+1	+27	+16	+104	7.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	607	158	30	3	10	28	67	5	13	6	260	298	369	667	109	277	10	4	292	81	-14	+0	+5	+3	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2018	22	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	68	65	16	5	1	0	3	7	0	2	1	246	279	354	633	108	276	10	4	282	74	-2	+0	—	—	+2	-0.0
2018	22	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	156	133	46	7	0	1	15	7	4	5	3	346	428	421	849	75	357	4	10	377	147	+8	-0	—	—	+4	1.3
2018	22	A	Lake County Captains	—	247	221	59	14	1	1	23	21	1	11	6	267	339	353	692	86	290	9	9	313	98	-1	-0	—	—	+7	0.6
2019	23	AA	Akron RubberDucks	—	437	394	103	15	3	1	26	33	7	16	10	261	319	322	641	61	279	8	6	287	78	-11	-1	—	—	+12	0.1
2019	23	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	74	66	20	2	1	0	6	13	1	1	1	303	370	364	733	61	370	18	8	331	111	+1	-0	—	—	+2	0.3
2021	25	MLB	Cleveland Indians	—	133	121	28	4	0	3	7	19	2	0	1	231	285	339	623	107	253	14	5	276	70	-5	-0	+3	+1	+4	0.3
2021	25	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	138	124	31	12	1	1	9	22	0	2	1	250	301	387	688	137	288	16	7	295	84	-2	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2022	26	MLB	Oakland Athletics	—	179	163	30	4	0	0	11	26	2	0	1	184	244	209	453	25	217	15	6	211	20	-16	-0	+1	+1	+5	-1.0
2022	26	AAA	Columbus Clippers	—	87	80	19	2	1	4	6	8	0	0	0	237	291	438	728	200	221	9	7	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2023	27	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	52	50	19	1	1	1	1	4	0	1	0	380	392	500	892	120	391	8	2	388	155	+3	+0	+1	+4	+1	1.0
2023	27	AAA	Buffalo Bisons	—	320	287	100	21	1	11	26	16	1	12	2	348	404	544	948	195	338	5	8	409	171	+26	+2	—	—	+9	3.7
2024	28	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	452	434	114	21	3	12	11	41	3	12	3	263	286	408	694	145	266	9	2	304	91	-5	+1	+7	+2	+13	1.8
2025	29	MLB	Toronto Blue Jays	—	588	545	151	35	2	9	27	61	4	6	5	277	316	398	714	121	296	10	5	312	97	-2	-1	+11	+2	+17	2.8
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	1404	1313	342	65	6	25	57	151	11	19	10	260	297	376	673	116	277	11	4	296	85	-24	-0	+23	+10	+40	4.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jose Lopezlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,089 PA	9	4,089	92	25	262	292	395	+16	+24	10.7	10.8
#1Jose Lopezlast yr '12 career totals — 9 seasons, 4,089 PA	/162	664	15	4	262	292	395	+2.6	+3.9	1.7	pk7: 11
#2Joey Wendlelast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,286 PA	7	2,286	31	61	262	312	385	+10	+26	9.3	9.3
	/162	664	9	18	262	312	385	+3.0	+7.6	2.7	pk7: 9
#3Neifi Perezlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,676 PA	8	3,676	38	33	263	291	364	+3	+44	6.2	7.3
	/162	664	7	6	263	291	364	+0.5	+8.0	1.1	pk7: 8
#4Mike Avileslast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,234 PA	10	3,234	60	78	261	295	376	+13	+4	5.8	7.2
	/162	664	12	16	261	295	376	+2.7	+0.8	1.2	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	2,883	54	38	267	296	388	+10	+33	5.7	6.2
	/162	664	12	9	267	296	388	+2.4	+7.6	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Albert Almora Jr.last yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,571 PA	6	1,571	33	7	261	301	387	+2	+18	4.8	4.8
	/162	664	14	3	261	301	387	+1.0	+7.8	2.0	pk7: 5
#6Dan Wilsonlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,801 PA	5	1,801	27	5	259	301	360	+6	+13	3.4	3.4
#6Dan Wilsonlast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,801 PA	/162	664	10	2	259	301	360	+2.1	+4.7	1.3	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ernie Clement (OGILVIE)	30	55	35	60	30	286/312/417	131	298	13	6	10%	4%	102	+2.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Miguel Cairo 2005 · MLB	31	54→58	44→45	52→55	47	260/315/384	124	283	10	12	13%	5%	98	+1.6	245/296/338	93	272	5	21	12%	6%	77	+0.1	258/308/370	112	285	12	10	14%	5%	88	+0.4
✕Hanser Alberto 2022 · MLB	29	56→62	43→45	48→50	43	271/299/393	122	292	9	8	11%	3%	93	+1.3	244/280/383	139	271	12	6	15%	4%	83	+0.6	250/265/377	127	287	8	0	16%	2%	72	-0.0
✕Roque Sanchez 2006 · AAA	31	52→56	47→45	53→45	44	255/281/396	141	264	15	7	11%	3%	86	+0.8	255/277/354	99	275	9	6	11%	2%	73	-0.1	275/299/362	87	312	5	1	13%	2%	80	+0.2
✕Kevin Frandsen 2012 · MLB	30	51→61	41→45	50	45	242/294/342	100	261	8	11	11%	4%	79	+0.3	264/307/358	94	288	6	5	10%	3%	87	+0.8	273/314/357	84	297	4	1	9%	3%	87	+0.5
✕Adonis García 2015 · AAA	30	53→56	44→50	49→50	42	258/292/377	119	296	11	12	17%	4%	85	+0.7	262/292/390	128	297	14	8	17%	3%	89	+1.0	262/294/391	129	293	15	6	16%	3%	87	+0.6
✕Jose Iglesias 2020 · MLB	30	56→65	44→45	46→50	46	275/310/397	122	299	10	11	13%	4%	98	+1.6	274/312/394	120	305	10	7	13%	4%	98	+1.6	273/314/375	102	314	8	5	15%	4%	92	+0.7
✕Johnny Giavotella 2017 · MLB	30	53→61	42→45	47→50	48	256/296/369	113	278	8	8	12%	5%	85	+0.7	250/301/364	114	281	10	8	14%	7%	86	+0.8	275/330/395	120	306	9	5	13%	7%	106	+1.4
✕Francisco Arias 2008 · AAA	30	53→50	39→45	49→45	43	254/295/342	88	282	7	7	13%	3%	78	+0.2	250/294/346	96	273	7	6	11%	4%	79	+0.3	270/318/377	108	288	8	5	9%	4%	95	+0.7
✕Ildemaro Vargas 2021 · MLB	30	52→55	43→45	50	47	251/286/367	116	268	11	7	12%	5%	80	+0.4	239/280/366	127	259	12	7	13%	5%	79	+0.3	245/293/352	107	262	10	9	11%	6%	77	+0.1
✕Joaquin Arias 2014 · MLB	29	54→60	41→45	52→55	43	262/292/367	105	295	8	8	15%	4%	82	+0.5	245/276/337	92	283	7	7	16%	4%	68	-0.5	244/266/306	62	283	2	4	14%	3%	49	-0.4
✕Pablo Ozuna 2005 · MLB	30	48	45→40	54→55	49	236/302/361	125	263	12	15	16%	7%	87	+0.8	266/310/358	92	296	6	23	12%	5%	88	+0.9	288/324/385	97	318	4	16	10%	3%	98	+0.4
✕Luis Ordaz 2007 · AAA	31	52	42→40	51→50	44	252/280/362	109	275	9	8	13%	4%	76	+0.1	255/284/353	98	297	8	11	17%	3%	76	+0.0	268/295/355	86	314	6	10	16%	3%	80	+0.2
✕Lou Merloni 2001 · MLB	30	55→46	42→45	52→40	45	263/304/381	118	308	7	8	17%	5%	92	+1.2	255/317/382	127	302	10	7	18%	7%	98	+1.6	260/339/379	119	313	8	4	18%	9%	102	+0.7
✕Santiago Gonzalez 2013 · AAA	30	51→60	44→50	47→55	41	248/278/359	110	271	12	9	14%	3%	76	+0.0	237/272/377	140	254	15	8	14%	3%	79	+0.3	235/273/378	143	248	16	8	13%	3%	77	+0.1
✕T.J. Rivera 2019 · MLB	30	53→63	45	46→45	43	262/302/386	124	297	12	5	17%	4%	93	+1.3	234/279/361	127	288	13	8	23%	5%	77	+0.1	236/275/376	140	284	16	2	23%	4%	79	+0.2
✕Manuel Velez 2006 · AAA	30	55→59	41→40	50→45	52	266/324/365	99	302	9	9	15%	8%	96	+1.5	267/309/370	103	289	10	6	11%	5%	91	+1.1	280/316/388	108	294	13	2	10%	4%	95	+0.5
✕Jermaine Curtis 2017 · AAA	30	54→62	43→40	50	52	263/341/373	109	293	12	10	14%	7%	107	+2.2	230/317/323	93	295	8	8	23%	9%	84	+0.6	206/306/267	61	282	3	5	25%	10%	65	-0.3
✕Adeiny Hechavarría 2019 · MLB	30	50→60	43→50	50	45	244/284/352	109	279	11	6	17%	5%	76	+0.1	246/296/380	134	290	14	8	20%	6%	89	+0.9	232/281/395	164	271	19	6	22%	5%	86	+0.3
✕Kevin Newman 2023 · MLB	29	53→62	39→45	50	48	249/291/340	91	274	6	10	12%	5%	76	+0.0	248/295/346	98	288	7	13	16%	6%	79	+0.3	244/289/332	88	288	6	13	17%	5%	71	-0.1
✕Alcides Escobar 2017 · MLB	30	55→64	39→45	54→55	45	263/298/351	88	295	6	17	13%	4%	81	+0.4	245/281/348	103	284	7	9	16%	4%	73	-0.1	241/285/351	111	294	8	6	20%	4%	74	-0.1